Haslametrics.com

Automated Team Capsule for 2014-15 W. Carolina 15-17 (0.469) | Southern

All-Play Percentage: 0.369 (222^nd)	Schedule Strength: 0.447 (223^rd)	Record Quality: -0.126 (236^th)	Avg. Season Rank: 212.10 (213^th)
Pace: 66.60 (119^th)	Momentum: -0.34 (183^rd)	Off. Momentum: -2.05 (319^th)	Def. Momentum: 1.71 (34^th)
Consistency: -9.14 (172^nd)	Res. Consistency: -9.61 (46^th)	Away From Home: 0.80 (79^th)	Paper Tiger Factor: -1.20 (209^th)

NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category.
Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement.
Includes games through April 6, 2015. Data shown on this page is based on time-independent ratings.

OFFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

98.09

25.23

70.64

84.56

41.69

28.02

34.82

29.66

34.81

26.89

56.44

14.00

17.34

6.12

33.13

35.07

31.80

2.01

RANK:

208^th

302^nd

125^th

64^th

237^th

179^th

149^th

60^th

194^th

251^st

223^rd

37^th

69^th

226^th

210^th

67^th

282^nd

213^th

DEFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

104.76

38.48

77.92

43.86

27.13

34.48

20.99

34.01

29.79

59.33

11.63

18.38

8.50

34.82

26.94

38.23

1.97

RANK:

245^th

350^th

30^th

186^th

133^rd

164^th

28^th

105^th

234^th

189^th

194^th

335^th

314^th

205^th

39^th

293^rd

232^nd

ANALYSIS:
They're far from the worst of the worst, but W. Carolina should not be a terribly frightening opponent for most clubs. Haslametrics has them ranked 222nd overall (out of 351) in All-Play Percentage, and the team holds a record of 15-17. Of the 10 schools in the Southern (average ranking 238.8), they're currently ranked as our #5 team in the conference.

Defensively, W. Carolina finds itself in the lower half of our ratings. The team is ranked 245th in defensive efficiency, giving up more than 104 points for every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO. W. Carolina fouls far too much and sends the opposition to the line way too often. With a defensive free throw attempt rate of 38.48 vs. AO, the squad is ranked #350 in the country in that category. W. Carolina also gives up far too many offensive rebounds and second chances to their opponents. The club has a rating of 18.38 vs. AO in potential points allowed off of second chances (335th nationally), and they let AO convert a healthy 8.5% of all second-chance opportunities (ranked 314th) as well. If W. Carolina does have a bright spot on defense, it would have to be their ability to limit the number of shot attempts by the opposition. The team has a defensive field goal attempt rate of 77.92 vs. AO, which ranks 30th-best in college basketball.

W. Carolina doesn't rate much better on offense than they do on defense. Scoring roughly 98 points for every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO, they are ranked #208 in the nation in offensive efficiency. W. Carolina struggles to draw fouls and earn opportunities at the free throw line. With a free throw attempt rate of just 25.23 vs. AO, they are 302nd in the overall rankings for that category.

SORTABLE SCHEDULE / RESULTS:


					ADJ. OFF. EFFICIENCY			ADJ. DEF. EFFICIENCY
Date	Opponent	Should	Did	Record	Should	Did	Diff.	Should	Did	Diff.	Rating
Fri 11/14/2014	@ Miss. State₁₅₇	L 61.76 - 69.50	L 56-66	0-1	96.59	96.30	▼ 0.29	102.59	107.03	▼ 4.44	▼ 4.73
Mon 11/17/2014	@ Alabama₅₈	L 58.54 - 74.13	L 74-80	0-2	93.22	108.62	▲ 15.40	111.70	112.32	▼ 0.62	▲ 14.78
Fri 11/21/2014	vs Hiwassee College	---	W 72-53	1-2	---	---	---	---	---	---	---
Mon 11/24/2014	@ Oakland₁₆₄	L 69.92 - 77.19	W 88-79 (2OT)	2-2	104.47	109.64	▲ 5.17	109.35	105.50	▲ 3.85	▲ 9.02
Tue 11/25/2014	vs Georgia State₆₄ *	L 61.04 - 72.09	L 70-85	2-3	93.76	98.51	▲ 4.75	110.73	120.59	▼ 9.86	▼ 5.11
Wed 11/26/2014	vs Chicago State₃₃₂ *	W 67.47 - 57.75	W 66-61	3-3	103.71	95.65	▼ 8.06	89.21	81.16	▲ 8.05	▼ 0.01
Mon 12/1/2014	@ Charleston So.₂₁₃	L 67.60 - 71.97	L 66-72	3-4	102.68	101.87	▼ 0.81	103.33	106.00	▼ 2.67	▼ 3.48
Wed 12/3/2014	@ ETSU₂₀₂	L 68.77 - 74.04	L 89-96	3-5	102.34	117.44	▲ 15.10	104.32	125.03	▼ 20.71	▼ 5.61
Fri 12/5/2014	@ Minnesota₄₁	L 61.97 - 80.06	L 64-84	3-6	92.60	95.01	▲ 2.41	113.16	119.02	▼ 5.86	▼ 3.45
Tue 12/16/2014	@ Vanderbilt₃₉	L 59.83 - 77.45	L 79-99	3-7	94.69	109.12	▲ 14.43	115.76	137.03	▼ 21.27	▼ 6.84
Thu 12/18/2014	vs Wright State₂₂₁	W 67.17 - 63.39	L 56-69	3-8	99.51	82.51	▼ 17.00	99.96	109.42	▼ 9.46	▼ 26.46
Sun 12/21/2014	@ UNC Asheville₂₄₄	L 69.76 - 73.08	W 66-62	4-8	102.30	93.38	▼ 8.92	101.33	79.70	▲ 21.63	▲ 12.71
Tue 12/30/2014	vs St. Catharine	---	W 86-70	5-8	---	---	---	---	---	---	---
Sat 1/3/2015	vs The Citadel₃₂₂	W 71.90 - 61.22	W 78-70	6-8	113.31	117.03	▲ 3.72	103.17	112.35	▼ 9.18	▼ 5.46
Mon 1/5/2015	vs Furman₃₀₅	W 71.37 - 62.12	W 72-53	7-8	106.99	137.85	▲ 30.86	98.75	90.47	▲ 8.28	▲ 39.14
Thu 1/8/2015	@ Chattanooga₁₆₃	L 65.04 - 72.18	L 60-66	7-9	99.54	84.40	▼ 15.14	104.51	94.09	▲ 10.42	▼ 4.72
Sat 1/10/2015	vs UNCG₂₈₀	W 72.30 - 64.56	W 82-72	8-9	103.12	113.21	▲ 10.09	97.54	102.97	▼ 5.43	▲ 4.66
Thu 1/15/2015	vs ETSU₂₀₂	W 72.79 - 69.97	L 76-83	8-10	102.34	98.40	▼ 3.94	104.32	115.13	▼ 10.81	▼ 14.75
Sat 1/17/2015	@ Wofford₁₁₃	L 57.42 - 67.69	L 43-62	8-11	92.76	73.66	▼ 19.10	103.48	95.36	▲ 8.12	▼ 10.98
Thu 1/22/2015	vs Mercer₁₈₄	W 65.20 - 63.29	W 60-52	9-11	100.31	97.03	▼ 3.28	103.64	86.30	▲ 17.34	▲ 14.06
Sat 1/24/2015	@ Samford₃₀₄	W 71.16 - 69.31	L 72-78	9-12	107.53	108.04	▲ 0.51	99.57	111.94	▼ 12.37	▼ 11.86
Thu 1/29/2015	@ VMI₂₉₃	W 78.27 - 77.44	W 85-70	10-12	104.50	106.72	▲ 2.22	98.34	86.77	▲ 11.57	▲ 13.79
Sat 1/31/2015	@ UNCG₂₈₀	L 68.33 - 68.36	W 78-73	11-12	103.12	112.83	▲ 9.71	97.54	99.85	▼ 2.31	▲ 7.40
Thu 2/5/2015	vs Samford₃₀₄	W 75.12 - 65.46	L 72-76	11-13	107.53	97.03	▼ 10.50	99.57	111.54	▼ 11.97	▼ 22.47
Sat 2/7/2015	vs Chattanooga₁₆₃	W 68.95 - 68.29	W 73-70	12-13	99.54	102.83	▲ 3.29	104.51	102.97	▲ 1.54	▲ 4.83
Thu 2/12/2015	@ Mercer₁₈₄	L 61.52 - 66.91	W 58-54	13-13	100.31	96.52	▼ 3.79	103.64	84.13	▲ 19.51	▲ 15.72
Sat 2/14/2015	vs Wofford₁₁₃	L 61.14 - 64.02	L 55-75	13-14	92.76	91.67	▼ 1.09	103.48	127.97	▼ 24.49	▼ 25.58
Sat 2/21/2015	vs VMI₂₉₃	W 82.73 - 73.09	L 111-113 (2OT)	13-15	104.50	113.25	▲ 8.75	98.34	120.78	▼ 22.44	▼ 13.69
Thu 2/26/2015	@ Furman₃₀₅	W 67.58 - 65.80	L 49-53	13-16	106.99	80.75	▼ 26.24	98.75	79.84	▲ 18.91	▼ 7.33
Sat 2/28/2015	@ The Citadel₃₂₂	W 68.28 - 64.98	W 67-54	14-16	113.31	132.97	▲ 19.66	103.17	99.11	▲ 4.06	▲ 23.72
Sat 3/7/2015	vs ETSU₂₀₂ *	L 70.78 - 72.00	W 67-61 (OT)	15-16	102.34	76.71	▼ 25.63	104.32	76.71	▲ 27.61	▲ 1.98
Sun 3/8/2015	vs Wofford₁₁₃ *	L 59.28 - 65.85	L 61-73	15-17	92.76	91.67	▼ 1.09	103.48	115.25	▼ 11.77	▼ 12.86
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Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location.
Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.

CURIOUS TRENDS:

	When facing teams that effectively clean the offensive glass, W. Carolina often performs better than normal. W. Carolina is more efficient than usual 71% of the time when facing teams that have an offensive second-chance potential point rate vs. AO greater than 15.03. In their other contests, W. Carolina performs better than the norm 19% of the time.
	W. Carolina does worse vs. clubs that tend to capitalize off breakaway opportunities. When playing squads that have a potential point rate off steals vs. AO greater than 10.35, W. Carolina performs above average 24% of the time. Against all other opponents, the team performs better than the norm 69% of the time.
	W. Carolina performs better against squads that tend to get off more shots. When facing teams that have an offensive field goal attempt rate vs. AO greater than 82.62, W. Carolina is more efficient than normal 70% of the time. In their other contests, the team is more efficient 30% of the time.

HASLAMETRICS ALL-PLAY PERCENTAGE RANKING BY DAY: Select data to plot:

HASLAMETRICS TEAM HISTORY: Select data to view:

SUMMARY	Rk	AP%	Rec (WinPct)		RQ	Conference	Pace	Con	SOS	PTF	AFH	ASR

OFFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

DEFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

SUMMARY	Rk		AP%		Rec (WinPct)		RQ		Conference		Pace		Con		SOS		PTF		AFH		ASR

OFFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox

DEFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox