Haslametrics.com

Automated Team Capsule for 2016-17 W. Michigan 16-16 (0.500) | Mid-American

All-Play Percentage: 0.520 (169^th)	Schedule Strength: 0.515 (139^th)	Record Quality: -0.008 (180^th)	Avg. Season Rank: 189.61 (188^th)
Pace: 70.27 (176^th)	Momentum: 3.70 (26^th)	Off. Momentum: -1.85 (295^th)	Def. Momentum: 5.55 (1^st)
Consistency: -11.99 (350^th)	Res. Consistency: -10.17 (95^th)	Away From Home: -2.41 (333^rd)	Paper Tiger Factor: -0.09 (104^th)

NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category.
Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement.
Includes games through April 3, 2017. Data shown on this page is based on time-independent ratings.

OFFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

102.72

27.98

70.83

82.62

44.58

24.70

37.41

30.64

36.93

27.28

59.66

10.60

16.57

7.47

29.90

37.08

33.02

1.97

RANK:

143^rd

149^th

157^th

126^th

140^th

320^th

65^th

20^th

154^th

227^th

160^th

174^th

68^th

93^rd

321^st

23^rd

234^th

82^nd

DEFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

103.59

27.10

79.15

46.92

28.06

35.92

21.85

38.98

29.25

63.40

12.02

11.26

6.12

35.45

27.60

36.95

1.98

RANK:

198^th

157^th

73^rd

280^th

100^th

205^th

107^th

278^th

206^th

271^st

268^th

5^th

118^th

143^rd

124^th

252^nd

234^th

ANALYSIS:
W. Michigan is a fairly decent basketball team that, while likely better than average, isn't quite good enough to crack any top-25 rankings this year. Haslametrics has them ranked 169th overall (out of 351) in All-Play Percentage, and the team holds a record of 16-16. They are also ranked by this site as the #7 team (out of 12) in the MAC (average ranking 175.6).

If there is a strength for W. Michigan this year, it's probably on the offensive end of the court. The team is rated 143rd in offensive efficiency, scoring more than 102 points every 100 possessions vs. AO. W. Michigan loves taking the mid-range two, far more so than most other teams. The club is ranked 23rd in ratio of mid-range attempts to total field goal attempts. As far as converting those mid-range shots goes, the team shoots a mediocre 36.9% vs. AO. W. Michigan has also been generally quite good when shooting the three-pointer. They're ranked 65th nationally in three-point field goal percentage and make about 37.4% of their attempts from there vs. AO.

W. Michigan doesn't perform as well defensively as they do offensively. The team is ranked 198th in defensive efficiency, allowing about 104 points every 100 possessions vs. AO. W. Michigan allows opponents to make good on a fair number of their overall field goal attempts. The ball-club ranks #280 nationally in field goal percentage allowed, as AO will convert approximately 46.9% of their total attempts from the floor. If W. Michigan does have a bright spot on defense, it would have to be their success stopping opponents from earning second-chance opportunities via offensive boards. The team has a rating of 11.26 in potential points allowed off of second chances vs. AO, which ranks fifth-best in college hoops.

W. Michigan has been playing better basketball in their most recent outings, as evidenced by the team's #26 ranking in positive momentum. W. Michigan has also been one of the most erratic teams in college basketball this year (currently ranked second from the bottom overall in consistency), which makes the outcomes of their future games far more difficult to predict. On the road, W. Michigan performs noticeably worse than they do at home. The team is currently ranked 333rd in the country in the away-from-home metric we track.

SORTABLE SCHEDULE / RESULTS:


					ADJ. OFF. EFFICIENCY			ADJ. DEF. EFFICIENCY
Date	Opponent	Should	Did	Record	Should	Did	Diff.	Should	Did	Diff.	Rating
Fri 11/11/2016	vs Marygrove	---	W 90-74	1-0	---	---	---	---	---	---	---
Mon 11/14/2016	@ Oakland₁₀₆	L 70.69 - 78.16	L 60-77	1-1	98.42	81.67	▼ 16.75	103.49	93.78	▲ 9.71	▼ 7.04
Thu 11/17/2016	vs Villanova₁ *	L 59.18 - 81.82	L 65-76	1-2	89.58	100.00	▲ 10.42	122.44	115.15	▲ 7.29	▲ 17.71
Fri 11/18/2016	vs UTEP₂₁₁ *	W 70.53 - 67.42	L 75-85	1-3	102.76	107.14	▲ 4.38	97.89	120.00	▼ 22.11	▼ 17.73
Sun 11/20/2016	vs Boise State₈₂ *	L 70.41 - 76.91	L 70-91	1-4	99.20	82.61	▼ 16.59	108.10	115.94	▼ 7.84	▼ 24.43
Sat 11/26/2016	vs Cent. Arkansas₃₁₀	W 85.30 - 71.45	W 80-63	2-4	113.55	101.89	▼ 11.66	99.31	85.78	▲ 13.53	▲ 1.87
Wed 11/30/2016	vs UNC Wilmington₆₁	L 75.29 - 81.80	L 92-97	2-5	103.11	114.24	▲ 11.13	115.61	125.00	▼ 9.39	▲ 1.74
Wed 12/7/2016	@ Cleveland State₂₅₄	W 68.99 - 66.31	L 62-85	2-6	103.10	82.57	▼ 20.53	94.94	120.59	▼ 25.65	▼ 46.18
Sat 12/10/2016	vs JMU₂₂₁	W 69.90 - 63.38	W 74-67	3-6	102.39	103.50	▲ 1.11	96.87	96.58	▲ 0.29	▲ 1.40
Sun 12/18/2016	@ Washington₁₆₇	L 74.72 - 77.93	L 86-92	3-7	104.68	120.02	▲ 15.34	104.77	123.81	▼ 19.04	▼ 3.70
Wed 12/21/2016	@ UCLA₁₉	L 71.53 - 93.19	L 68-82	3-8	99.26	89.89	▼ 9.37	123.02	108.90	▲ 14.12	▲ 4.75
Thu 12/29/2016	vs Alabama A&M₃₅₁	W 83.45 - 58.98	W 80-50	4-8	122.33	110.07	▼ 12.26	90.23	70.07	▲ 20.16	▲ 7.90
Tue 1/3/2017	@ Ohio₁₀₅	L 69.56 - 77.15	L 58-89	4-9	99.08	74.63	▼ 24.45	104.77	116.75	▼ 11.98	▼ 36.43
Fri 1/6/2017	@ Akron₁₁₁	L 69.83 - 76.39	L 59-66	4-10	104.55	91.61	▼ 12.94	109.34	96.29	▲ 13.05	▲ 0.11
Tue 1/10/2017	vs Toledo₁₄₅	W 73.12 - 71.41	W 90-74	5-10	104.07	135.88	▲ 31.81	105.74	113.33	▼ 7.59	▲ 24.22
Sat 1/14/2017	vs Kent State₁₅₉	W 73.83 - 71.36	W 92-88	6-10	102.99	123.81	▲ 20.82	103.41	124.44	▼ 21.03	▼ 0.21
Tue 1/17/2017	@ E. Michigan₁₅₂	L 71.07 - 75.00	L 80-86	6-11	102.90	125.29	▲ 22.39	103.60	132.16	▼ 28.56	▼ 6.17
Sat 1/21/2017	@ Buffalo₁₅₄	L 72.91 - 76.94	L 54-66	6-12	102.10	82.81	▼ 19.29	103.01	94.84	▲ 8.17	▼ 11.12
Tue 1/24/2017	vs Akron₁₁₁	L 72.81 - 73.45	L 80-90	6-13	104.55	110.46	▲ 5.91	109.34	127.22	▼ 17.88	▼ 11.97
Sat 1/28/2017	@ Ball State₁₇₅	L 73.54 - 76.20	L 78-84	6-14	103.66	110.79	▲ 7.13	102.80	116.09	▼ 13.29	▼ 6.16
Tue 1/31/2017	vs Ohio₁₀₅	L 72.68 - 74.04	W 90-85	7-14	99.08	117.78	▲ 18.70	104.77	112.61	▼ 7.84	▲ 10.86
Fri 2/3/2017	@ Cent. Michigan₂₃₃	W 85.35 - 83.86	L 82-86	7-15	115.20	111.55	▼ 3.65	108.37	114.00	▼ 5.63	▼ 9.28
Tue 2/7/2017	@ Miami (OH)₂₅₂	W 72.15 - 69.64	W 72-55	8-15	103.68	103.75	▲ 0.07	95.56	70.09	▲ 25.47	▲ 25.54
Sat 2/11/2017	vs N. Illinois₂₀₆	W 72.13 - 66.47	W 76-67	9-15	102.36	111.86	▲ 9.50	97.67	102.45	▼ 4.78	▲ 4.72
Tue 2/14/2017	vs Bowling Green₂₄₆	W 77.07 - 68.79	W 89-79	10-15	104.93	116.45	▲ 11.52	97.65	103.53	▼ 5.88	▲ 5.64
Sat 2/18/2017	vs E. Michigan₁₅₂	W 74.15 - 71.91	W 88-80	11-15	102.90	121.73	▲ 18.83	103.60	113.64	▼ 10.04	▲ 8.79
Tue 2/21/2017	@ Toledo₁₄₅	L 70.12 - 74.36	W 61-56 (OT)	12-15	104.07	78.78	▼ 25.29	105.74	73.17	▲ 32.57	▲ 7.28
Sat 2/25/2017	vs Ball State₁₇₅	W 76.69 - 73.01	W 80-55	13-15	103.66	120.59	▲ 16.93	102.80	84.97	▲ 17.83	▲ 34.76
Tue 2/28/2017	@ N. Illinois₂₀₆	L 69.12 - 69.43	W 70-56	14-15	102.36	105.25	▲ 2.89	97.67	81.37	▲ 16.30	▲ 19.19
Fri 3/3/2017	vs Cent. Michigan₂₃₃	W 88.65 - 80.40	W 88-80	15-15	115.20	111.12	▼ 4.08	108.37	100.88	▲ 7.49	▲ 3.41
Mon 3/6/2017	vs Miami (OH)₂₅₂	W 75.24 - 66.53	W 65-61	16-15	103.68	93.37	▼ 10.31	95.56	90.62	▲ 4.94	▼ 5.37
Thu 3/9/2017	vs Ball State₁₇₅ *	W 75.11 - 74.61	L 63-66	16-16	103.66	86.30	▼ 17.36	102.80	91.67	▲ 11.13	▼ 6.23
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Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location.
Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.

CURIOUS TRENDS:

	W. Michigan performs worse against squads that are likely to allow more second chances off of offensive rebounds. When facing teams that have a defensive second-chance potential point rate vs. AO greater than 13.54, W. Michigan is more efficient than normal 38% of the time. In their other contests, the team is more efficient 80% of the time.
	When playing teams that tend to get off more shots, W. Michigan usually performs better than average. W. Michigan is more efficient than normal 71% of the time when facing clubs that have an offensive field goal attempt rate vs. AO greater than 80.81. In all other contests, W. Michigan performs better than average 30% of the time.
	W. Michigan is typically better vs. teams that fail to defend efficiently inside the paint. Against foes that have a defensive near-proximity field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 62.05%, W. Michigan performs above their norm 83% of the time. Against the remaining opposition, the team performs above average 42% of the time.

HASLAMETRICS ALL-PLAY PERCENTAGE RANKING BY DAY: Select data to plot:

HASLAMETRICS TEAM HISTORY: Select data to view:

SUMMARY	Rk	AP%	Rec (WinPct)		RQ	Conference	Pace	Con	SOS	PTF	AFH	ASR

OFFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

DEFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

SUMMARY	Rk		AP%		Rec (WinPct)		RQ		Conference		Pace		Con		SOS		PTF		AFH		ASR

OFFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox

DEFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox