Haslametrics.com

Automated Team Capsule for 2016-17 Wagner 16-14 (0.533) | Northeast

All-Play Percentage: 0.291 (248^th)	Schedule Strength: 0.295 (337^th)	Record Quality: -0.127 (235^th)	Avg. Season Rank: 233.21 (233^rd)
Pace: 65.73 (340^th)	Momentum: 0.90 (130^th)	Off. Momentum: 2.19 (77^th)	Def. Momentum: -1.29 (228^th)
Consistency: -7.09 (14^th)	Res. Consistency: -8.62 (28^th)	Away From Home: 1.19 (44^th)	Paper Tiger Factor: -1.20 (193^rd)

NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category.
Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement.
Includes games through April 3, 2017. Data shown on this page is based on time-independent ratings.

OFFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

96.99

26.28

69.14

84.66

40.83

29.63

32.67

24.00

37.30

31.03

51.37

7.72

19.38

8.95

35.00

28.34

36.65

1.98

RANK:

247^th

216^th

211^th

45^th

303^rd

175^th

286^th

161^st

130^th

59^th

336^th

334^th

8^th

22^nd

211^th

189^th

99^th

120^th

DEFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

105.79

31.48

82.55

44.16

29.90

35.90

20.82

36.33

31.83

57.04

10.58

17.23

6.76

36.22

25.22

38.56

1.98

RANK:

243^rd

311^th

220^th

162^nd

204^th

203^rd

66^th

147^th

299^th

92^nd

153^rd

334^th

180^th

51^st

293^rd

260^th

ANALYSIS:
Wagner has a squad that most likely falls somewhere in the bottom half of NCAA Division I teams this year. Haslametrics has them ranked 248th overall (out of 351) in All-Play Percentage, and the team holds a record of 16-14. They are also ranked by this site as the #2 team (out of 10) in the NEC (average ranking 274.6). With a strength-of-schedule rating of 0.295 (which ranks 337th in the nation), Wagner has faced some of the easiest opponents in all of college basketball.

Wagner sports an offensive attack that is mediocre at best. Rated at #247 in offensive efficiency, they score about 97 points every 100 possessions vs. AO. Wagner will have a really tough time winning games when taking into consideration their shooting percentage near the basket. The team is ranked 336th in near-proximity field goal percentage, making only 51.4% of their attempts from up-close vs. AO. Moreover, they find themselves in the bottom-50 in overall offensive field goal percentage, converting just 40.8% of their total attempts vs. AO. If Wagner does have a strength offensively, it would have to be the team's knack for obtaining second-chance opportunities off of their frequent misses. The squad has a rating of 19.38 in potential points off of second chances vs. AO, which ranks eighth in all of college hoops.

Wagner doesn't rate much better on defense than they do on offense. Allowing roughly 106 points for every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO, they are ranked #243 in the nation in defensive efficiency. Wagner is extremely underskilled to force steals that turn into quick and easy points. They're ranked #334 in potential points off of breakaway steals with a rating of only 7.72 vs. AO. Wagner also gives up far too many offensive rebounds and second chances to their opponents. The club has a rating of 17.23 vs. AO in potential points allowed off of second chances (334th nationally).

Wagner is one of the most consistent teams in NCAA basketball (currently ranked 14th in consistency), which makes the outcomes of their upcoming games far easier to predict. On the road, Wagner performs somewhat better than their norm, as the squad is nationally ranked 44th in our away-from-home metric.

SORTABLE SCHEDULE / RESULTS:


					ADJ. OFF. EFFICIENCY			ADJ. DEF. EFFICIENCY
Date	Opponent	Should	Did	Record	Should	Did	Diff.	Should	Did	Diff.	Rating
Fri 11/11/2016	@ UConn₈₀	L 56.08 - 69.46	W 67-58	1-0	91.31	105.34	▲ 14.03	107.79	91.33	▲ 16.46	▲ 30.49
Mon 11/14/2016	@ UMass Lowell₂₈₇	L 72.71 - 73.38	L 76-87	1-1	107.66	102.22	▼ 5.44	104.27	112.65	▼ 8.38	▼ 13.82
Sat 11/19/2016	vs Fairfield₂₂₀	W 67.45 - 66.10	L 64-70 (OT)	1-2	98.75	92.95	▼ 5.80	101.21	97.38	▲ 3.83	▼ 1.97
Tue 11/22/2016	@ American₃₀₄	W 61.93 - 60.62	W 73-65	2-2	101.09	109.91	▲ 8.82	94.98	85.84	▲ 9.14	▲ 17.96
Sat 11/26/2016	vs Rider₂₁₀	W 68.93 - 68.21	L 67-70	2-3	97.65	96.31	▼ 1.34	101.03	106.69	▼ 5.66	▼ 7.00
Wed 11/30/2016	@ UMass₁₅₀	L 63.22 - 72.43	L 55-62	2-4	92.80	88.15	▼ 4.65	101.87	96.20	▲ 5.67	▲ 1.02
Tue 12/6/2016	vs Monmouth₉₁	L 67.00 - 75.05	L 71-81	2-5	94.10	102.40	▲ 8.30	110.20	123.75	▼ 13.55	▼ 5.25
Sat 12/10/2016	@ Morgan State₃₂₅	W 65.73 - 62.35	W 68-66	3-5	102.14	110.15	▲ 8.01	92.85	104.24	▼ 11.39	▼ 3.38
Sat 12/17/2016	@ Providence₆₃	L 55.72 - 71.93	L 54-76	3-6	88.94	67.52	▼ 21.42	109.70	123.78	▼ 14.08	▼ 35.50
Thu 12/22/2016	vs Staten Island	---	W 94-42	4-6	---	---	---	---	---	---	---
Thu 12/29/2016	vs Cent. Conn. St.₃₃₉	W 69.54 - 57.44	W 71-46	5-6	107.85	112.33	▲ 4.48	93.25	79.00	▲ 14.25	▲ 18.73
Sat 12/31/2016	@ Mt. St. Mary's₂₁₅	L 61.78 - 66.29	L 56-57	5-7	96.70	92.54	▼ 4.16	99.60	91.23	▲ 8.37	▲ 4.21
Thu 1/5/2017	vs Fair. Dickinson₂₆₃	W 72.22 - 68.48	L 69-70	5-8	105.47	105.60	▲ 0.13	104.99	111.59	▼ 6.60	▼ 6.47
Sat 1/7/2017	vs Sacred Heart₂₉₇	W 71.98 - 65.36	W 75-64	6-8	102.44	102.07	▼ 0.37	97.52	87.93	▲ 9.59	▲ 9.22
Thu 1/12/2017	@ Bryant₂₅₈	L 67.89 - 70.34	L 66-77	6-9	102.91	90.95	▼ 11.96	102.24	107.78	▼ 5.54	▼ 17.50
Sat 1/14/2017	vs Robert Morris₂₇₃	W 64.42 - 60.04	W 53-50	7-9	94.39	79.32	▼ 15.07	92.32	80.34	▲ 11.98	▼ 3.09
Thu 1/19/2017	@ LIU Brooklyn₂₅₆	L 64.03 - 66.28	L 69-76	7-10	100.87	103.69	▲ 2.82	100.45	111.22	▼ 10.77	▼ 7.95
Sat 1/21/2017	@ Sacred Heart₂₉₇	W 69.01 - 68.32	W 67-62	8-10	102.44	105.29	▲ 2.85	97.52	94.66	▲ 2.86	▲ 5.71
Thu 1/26/2017	vs St. Francis (PA)₂₅₀	W 70.34 - 67.17	L 67-72	8-11	101.74	97.78	▼ 3.96	101.44	111.31	▼ 9.87	▼ 13.83
Sat 1/28/2017	vs St. Francis (BKN)₃₄₇	W 71.08 - 55.25	W 66-64	9-11	106.26	100.91	▼ 5.35	86.91	99.19	▼ 12.28	▼ 17.63
Thu 2/2/2017	@ Cent. Conn. St.₃₃₉	W 66.79 - 60.02	W 70-60	10-11	107.85	111.89	▲ 4.04	93.25	92.87	▲ 0.38	▲ 4.42
Sat 2/4/2017	@ Fair. Dickinson₂₆₃	L 69.32 - 71.52	W 68-59	11-11	105.47	106.83	▲ 1.36	104.99	88.55	▲ 16.44	▲ 17.80
Thu 2/9/2017	@ St. Francis (PA)₂₅₀	L 67.42 - 70.09	W 76-74 (OT)	12-11	101.74	103.78	▲ 2.04	101.44	96.27	▲ 5.17	▲ 7.21
Sat 2/11/2017	@ Robert Morris₂₇₃	L 61.55 - 62.81	L 48-50	12-12	94.39	79.63	▼ 14.76	92.32	79.75	▲ 12.57	▼ 2.19
Thu 2/16/2017	vs Mt. St. Mary's₂₁₅	W 64.60 - 63.51	W 69-65	13-12	96.70	97.78	▲ 1.08	99.60	99.23	▲ 0.37	▲ 1.45
Sat 2/18/2017	@ St. Francis (BKN)₃₄₇	W 68.25 - 57.96	W 73-55	14-12	106.26	115.12	▲ 8.86	86.91	70.37	▲ 16.54	▲ 25.40
Thu 2/23/2017	vs Bryant₂₅₈	W 70.80 - 67.38	W 69-66	15-12	102.91	100.77	▼ 2.14	102.24	99.27	▲ 2.97	▲ 0.83
Sat 2/25/2017	vs LIU Brooklyn₂₅₆	W 66.83 - 63.51	L 84-88 (OT)	15-13	100.87	111.85	▲ 10.98	100.45	114.52	▼ 14.07	▼ 3.09
Wed 3/1/2017	vs Fair. Dickinson₂₆₃	W 72.22 - 68.48	W 72-70	16-13	105.47	108.55	▲ 3.08	104.99	109.91	▼ 4.92	▼ 1.84
Sat 3/4/2017	vs St. Francis (PA)₂₅₀	W 70.34 - 67.17	L 70-71	16-14	101.74	110.69	▲ 8.95	101.44	116.73	▼ 15.29	▼ 6.34
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Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location.
Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.

CURIOUS TRENDS:

	Wagner performs worse against squads that find ways to get to the free throw line. When facing teams that have an offensive free throw attempt rate vs. AO greater than 27.32, Wagner is more efficient than normal 11% of the time. In their other contests, the team is more efficient 60% of the time.
	When playing teams that typically allow more than a fair share of breakaway opportunities, Wagner usually performs better than average. Wagner is more efficient than normal 65% of the time when facing clubs that have a potential point rate allowed off steals vs. AO greater than 10.45. In all other contests, Wagner performs better than average 17% of the time.
	Wagner is typically better vs. teams that allow opponents to shoot well from the field. Against foes that have a defensive field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 45.97%, Wagner performs above their norm 63% of the time. Against the remaining opposition, the team performs above average 23% of the time.

HASLAMETRICS ALL-PLAY PERCENTAGE RANKING BY DAY: Select data to plot:

HASLAMETRICS TEAM HISTORY: Select data to view:

SUMMARY	Rk	AP%	Rec (WinPct)		RQ	Conference	Pace	Con	SOS	PTF	AFH	ASR

OFFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

DEFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

SUMMARY	Rk		AP%		Rec (WinPct)		RQ		Conference		Pace		Con		SOS		PTF		AFH		ASR

OFFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox

DEFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox