Haslametrics.com

Automated Team Capsule for 2014-15 Wagner 10-20 (0.333) | Northeast

All-Play Percentage: 0.111 (312^th)	Schedule Strength: 0.391 (291^st)	Record Quality: -0.286 (306^th)	Avg. Season Rank: 312.84 (315^th)
Pace: 67.85 (51^st)	Momentum: -1.32 (244^th)	Off. Momentum: -0.87 (271^st)	Def. Momentum: -0.44 (151^st)
Consistency: -9.25 (186^th)	Res. Consistency: -10.24 (77^th)	Away From Home: -1.74 (318^th)	Paper Tiger Factor: -3.33 (326^th)

NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category.
Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement.
Includes games through April 6, 2015. Data shown on this page is based on time-independent ratings.

OFFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

94.26

27.65

70.42

85.30

38.70

27.61

31.74

24.06

33.84

33.62

47.90

11.21

21.24

7.70

32.37

28.21

39.42

1.93

RANK:

276^th

218^th

136^th

41^st

326^th

199^th

291^st

221^st

241^st

13^th

349^th

177^th

9^th

73^rd

228^th

258^th

37^th

58^th

DEFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

109.01

37.97

76.40

47.85

25.12

38.82

20.89

39.99

30.39

60.72

11.62

15.80

7.02

32.87

27.35

39.78

1.93

RANK:

321^st

348^th

12^th

331^st

58^th

339^th

23^rd

329^th

251^st

231^st

191^st

217^th

206^th

127^th

48^th

316^th

294^th

ANALYSIS:
Wagner presently has one of the below-average teams in college basketball. Carrying a record of 10-20, they are currently rated #312 overall (out of 351) in All-Play Percentage this season. They are also ranked by this site as the #8 team (out of 10) in the NEC (average ranking 260.3).

Defense is not exactly a strength for Wagner this year. The team is ranked 321st in defensive efficiency and allows more than 109 points for every 100 possessions vs. AO. Wagner fouls far too much and sends the opposition to the line way too often. With a defensive free throw attempt rate of 37.97 vs. AO, the squad is ranked #348 in the country in that category. Wagner also allows the opposition far too many easy shots from the floor and ranks in the bottom-25 in three of our four major defensive field goal shooting categories. They are at their worst when defending outside the paint, allowing AO to convert 38.8% of their three-pointers (339th in the nation), 40.0% of their mid-range chances (329th), and 47.8% of their total shots from the field (331st). If Wagner does have a bright spot on defense, it would have to be their ability to limit the number of shot attempts by the opposition. The team has a defensive field goal attempt rate of 76.40 vs. AO, which ranks 12th-best in college basketball.

Wagner doesn't rate much better on offense than they do on defense. Scoring roughly 94 points for every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO, they are ranked #276 in the nation in offensive efficiency. Wagner will have a really tough time winning games when taking into consideration their shooting percentage near the basket. The team is ranked third from the bottom in near-proximity field goal percentage, making only 47.9% of their attempts from up-close vs. AO. Moreover, they find themselves in the bottom-50 in overall offensive field goal percentage, converting just 38.7% of their total attempts vs. AO. If Wagner does have a strength offensively, it would have to be the team's knack for obtaining second-chance opportunities off of their frequent misses. The squad has a rating of 21.24 in potential points off of second chances vs. AO, which ranks ninth in all of college hoops.

When playing on the road, Wagner performs somewhat worse than they normally do on their home court. The club is nationally ranked 318th in our site's away-from-home metric.

SORTABLE SCHEDULE / RESULTS:


					ADJ. OFF. EFFICIENCY			ADJ. DEF. EFFICIENCY
Date	Opponent	Should	Did	Record	Should	Did	Diff.	Should	Did	Diff.	Rating
Fri 11/14/2014	@ Maryland₃₁	L 56.14 - 81.88	L 48-82	0-1	87.13	64.88	▼ 22.25	118.38	139.89	▼ 21.51	▼ 43.76
Tue 11/18/2014	@ Columbia₁₇₁	L 59.91 - 72.31	L 56-70	0-2	96.90	96.83	▼ 0.07	109.63	115.52	▼ 5.89	▼ 5.96
Thu 11/20/2014	vs SUNY-Old Westbury	---	W 83-49	1-2	---	---	---	---	---	---	---
Sun 11/23/2014	@ Hofstra₁₂₂	L 66.48 - 84.30	L 71-93	1-3	95.93	87.97	▼ 7.96	114.57	122.84	▼ 8.27	▼ 16.23
Sat 11/29/2014	vs Penn₂₈₇	W 68.04 - 66.90	W 64-61	2-3	99.08	101.95	▲ 2.87	102.19	101.36	▲ 0.83	▲ 3.70
Tue 12/2/2014	@ Maine₃₃₉	W 71.29 - 71.22	L 81-82 (OT)	2-4	106.10	108.69	▲ 2.59	99.76	98.40	▲ 1.36	▲ 3.95
Sat 12/6/2014	@ Lafayette₁₉₇	L 69.23 - 81.42	L 84-97	2-5	105.15	119.08	▲ 13.93	116.68	132.22	▼ 15.54	▼ 1.61
Sun 12/14/2014	@ Vermont₁₀₂	L 57.40 - 75.92	L 47-61	2-6	87.75	74.18	▼ 13.57	108.45	86.73	▲ 21.72	▲ 8.15
Sat 12/20/2014	vs Monmouth₁₇₇	L 64.02 - 69.14	L 66-74	2-7	93.26	91.31	▼ 1.95	105.95	110.22	▼ 4.27	▼ 6.22
Tue 12/23/2014	@ Cincinnati₅₆	L 52.56 - 74.07	L 48-72	2-8	85.64	77.79	▼ 7.85	112.66	110.55	▲ 2.11	▼ 5.74
Mon 12/29/2014	vs Rider₁₇₃	L 64.20 - 69.12	L 71-76	2-9	92.34	99.93	▲ 7.59	104.66	113.12	▼ 8.46	▼ 0.87
Sat 1/3/2015	@ St. Francis (PA)₁₉₈	L 59.84 - 71.04	L 68-85	2-10	92.95	104.58	▲ 11.63	104.23	129.29	▼ 25.06	▼ 13.43
Mon 1/5/2015	vs Mt. St. Mary's₂₆₀	L 65.93 - 66.43	W 85-83 (2OT)	3-10	96.50	95.56	▼ 0.94	102.75	100.07	▲ 2.68	▲ 1.74
Thu 1/8/2015	vs Robert Morris₂₂₇	L 69.10 - 71.54	L 73-77	3-11	97.60	102.83	▲ 5.23	106.44	114.57	▼ 8.13	▼ 2.90
Sat 1/10/2015	vs LIU Brooklyn₂₇₉	W 70.75 - 69.98	W 87-82	4-11	97.62	111.50	▲ 13.88	102.11	110.87	▼ 8.76	▲ 5.12
Thu 1/15/2015	@ Bryant₂₃₀	L 63.85 - 74.25	L 73-81	4-12	98.95	89.27	▼ 9.68	108.41	106.75	▲ 1.66	▼ 8.02
Sat 1/17/2015	@ Fair. Dickinson₃₁₃	L 69.43 - 73.36	W 82-68	5-12	101.95	108.38	▲ 6.43	101.46	83.33	▲ 18.13	▲ 24.56
Thu 1/22/2015	vs St. Francis (PA)₁₉₈	L 63.69 - 67.27	W 63-58	6-12	92.95	93.95	▲ 1.00	104.23	93.60	▲ 10.63	▲ 11.63
Sat 1/24/2015	@ Cent. Conn. St.₃₄₂	W 68.10 - 66.77	L 50-53	6-13	105.26	84.94	▼ 20.32	97.38	85.36	▲ 12.02	▼ 8.30
Thu 1/29/2015	vs Sacred Heart₂₆₃	W 73.97 - 73.63	W 75-64	7-13	100.83	105.85	▲ 5.02	105.96	89.93	▲ 16.03	▲ 21.05
Sat 1/31/2015	vs Cent. Conn. St.₃₄₂	W 71.97 - 62.89	W 86-55	8-13	105.26	117.72	▲ 12.46	97.38	82.28	▲ 15.10	▲ 27.56
Thu 2/5/2015	@ Sacred Heart₂₆₃	L 69.84 - 77.59	L 75-86	8-14	100.83	105.87	▲ 5.04	105.96	113.93	▼ 7.97	▼ 2.93
Sat 2/7/2015	vs St. Francis (BKN)₁₇₉	L 66.44 - 71.33	L 51-66	8-15	94.51	72.41	▼ 22.10	107.10	96.91	▲ 10.19	▼ 11.91
Thu 2/12/2015	@ St. Francis (BKN)₁₇₉	L 62.49 - 75.26	L 66-83	8-16	94.51	109.42	▲ 14.91	107.10	128.70	▼ 21.60	▼ 6.69
Sat 2/14/2015	vs Fair. Dickinson₃₁₃	W 73.50 - 69.33	W 83-79 (OT)	9-16	101.95	98.42	▼ 3.53	101.46	102.97	▼ 1.51	▼ 5.04
Thu 2/19/2015	vs Bryant₂₃₀	L 67.71 - 70.24	L 65-66	9-17	98.95	86.07	▼ 12.88	108.41	92.16	▲ 16.25	▲ 3.37
Sat 2/21/2015	@ LIU Brooklyn₂₇₉	L 66.67 - 74.08	W 60-47	10-17	97.62	101.28	▲ 3.66	102.11	57.37	▲ 44.74	▲ 48.40
Thu 2/26/2015	@ Robert Morris₂₂₇	L 65.11 - 75.57	L 59-91	10-18	97.60	89.25	▼ 8.35	106.44	140.17	▼ 33.73	▼ 42.08
Sat 2/28/2015	@ Mt. St. Mary's₂₆₀	L 62.08 - 70.26	L 64-74	10-19	96.50	96.41	▼ 0.09	102.75	111.31	▼ 8.56	▼ 8.65
Wed 3/4/2015	@ Robert Morris₂₂₇	L 65.11 - 75.57	L 68-91	10-20	97.60	98.36	▲ 0.76	106.44	119.42	▼ 12.98	▼ 12.22
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Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location.
Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.

CURIOUS TRENDS:

	When facing teams that are typically efficient on offense, Wagner often performs worse than normal. Wagner is more efficient than usual 19% of the time when facing teams that have an offensive efficiency rating vs. AO greater than 96.67. In their other contests, Wagner performs better than the norm 69% of the time.
	Wagner does better vs. clubs that are likely to allow more second chances off of offensive rebounds. When playing squads that have a defensive second-chance potential point rate vs. AO greater than 14.40, Wagner performs above average 58% of the time. Against all other opponents, the team performs better than the norm 10% of the time.
	Wagner performs worse against squads that convert well from outside the arc. When facing teams that have an offensive three-point field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 33.97%, Wagner is more efficient than normal 11% of the time. In their other contests, the team is more efficient 55% of the time.

HASLAMETRICS ALL-PLAY PERCENTAGE RANKING BY DAY: Select data to plot:

HASLAMETRICS TEAM HISTORY: Select data to view:

SUMMARY	Rk	AP%	Rec (WinPct)		RQ	Conference	Pace	Con	SOS	PTF	AFH	ASR

OFFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

DEFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

SUMMARY	Rk		AP%		Rec (WinPct)		RQ		Conference		Pace		Con		SOS		PTF		AFH		ASR

OFFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox

DEFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox