Haslametrics.com

Automated Team Capsule for 2017-18 VCU 18-15 (0.545) | Atlantic 10

All-Play Percentage: 0.603 (139^th)	Schedule Strength: 0.545 (122^nd)	Record Quality: 0.069 (136^th)	Avg. Season Rank: 112.78 (107^th)
Pace: 72.54 (50^th)	Momentum: -0.59 (189^th)	Off. Momentum: -1.08 (264^th)	Def. Momentum: 0.49 (114^th)
Consistency: -7.88 (43^rd)	Res. Consistency: -11.11 (132^nd)	Away From Home: -0.33 (166^th)	Paper Tiger Factor: -1.73 (252^nd)

NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category.
Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement.
Includes games through April 2, 2018. Data shown on this page is based on time-independent ratings.

OFFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

103.94

22.98

68.13

84.28

45.33

33.48

35.47

19.55

41.12

31.24

58.53

13.43

16.05

7.76

39.73

23.20

37.07

2.03

RANK:

130^th

286^th

296^th

67^th

116^th

87^th

153^rd

261^st

37^th

71^st

211^th

35^th

102^nd

94^th

108^th

284^th

93^rd

176^th

DEFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

102.12

24.71

81.49

45.42

29.41

36.47

16.71

36.21

35.37

57.21

10.44

14.42

7.10

36.09

20.50

43.40

1.93

RANK:

161^st

111^th

147^th

208^th

115^th

241^st

7^th

128^th

345^th

83^rd

137^th

157^th

199^th

126^th

5^th

346^th

326^th

ANALYSIS:
VCU is a fairly decent basketball team that, while likely better than average, isn't quite good enough to crack any top-25 rankings this year. They are ranked #139 (out of 351) in the most recent Haslametrics ratings and have a record of 18-15. They are also ranked by this site as the #6 team (out of 14) in the A-10 (average ranking 152.0).

If there is a strength for VCU this year, it's probably on the offensive end of the court. The team is rated 130th in offensive efficiency, scoring more than 103 points every 100 possessions vs. AO. VCU has a keen ability to drain field goals between the three-point line and the low post. The squad is ranked 37th nationally in mid-range field goal percentage, making about 41.1% of their attempts from those locations vs. AO. However, even with their high conversion rate on mid-range attempts, this team usually settles for shots from other spots on the floor. Only about 23.2% of their overall attempts vs. AO are from those in-between locations. VCU also does a pretty decent job in most cases to maximize opportunities to score on offense. The team is ranked 67th in the NCAA in offensive field goal attempt rate with a rating of 84.28 vs. AO. As far as making those field goal attempts goes, the team is somewhat middle-of-the-road, converting about 45.3% of them vs. AO.

VCU plays at roughly the same level defensively as they do offensively. The team ranks 161st nationally in defensive efficiency, allowing about 102 points every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO. VCU does a pretty solid job providing themselves chances to score quickly off of steals. They're ranked 35th in potential points off of breakaway steals vs. AO with a rating of 13.43.

VCU is one of the more consistent teams in Division I (presently ranked 43rd in consistency), so forecasting the outcomes of their future contests tends to be easier than the norm.

SORTABLE SCHEDULE / RESULTS:


					ADJ. OFF. EFFICIENCY			ADJ. DEF. EFFICIENCY
Date	Opponent	Should	Did	Record	Should	Did	Diff.	Should	Did	Diff.	Rating
Fri 11/10/2017	vs Grambling₃₂₁	W 83.84 - 66.84	W 94-65	1-0	107.24	121.37	▲ 14.13	89.72	64.77	▲ 24.95	▲ 39.08
Mon 11/13/2017	vs North Florida₂₈₀	W 92.05 - 77.39	W 95-85	2-0	115.96	121.11	▲ 5.15	101.67	114.11	▼ 12.44	▼ 7.29
Fri 11/17/2017	vs Virginia₃	L 56.14 - 72.30	L 67-76	2-1	85.00	104.08	▲ 19.08	113.90	122.90	▼ 9.00	▲ 10.08
Mon 11/20/2017	vs Marquette₄₂ *	L 75.65 - 86.17	L 83-94	2-2	103.64	109.21	▲ 5.57	118.38	125.33	▼ 6.95	▼ 1.38
Tue 11/21/2017	vs California₂₄₁ *	W 76.59 - 69.49	W 83-69	3-2	105.49	120.90	▲ 15.41	95.88	85.29	▲ 10.59	▲ 26.00
Wed 11/22/2017	vs Michigan₁₁ *	L 62.94 - 77.46	L 60-68	3-3	91.13	93.75	▲ 2.62	112.20	107.94	▲ 4.26	▲ 6.88
Tue 11/28/2017	vs Appalachian St.₂₀₂	W 80.35 - 72.61	W 85-72	4-3	105.60	112.60	▲ 7.00	99.49	99.57	▼ 0.08	▲ 6.92
Sat 12/2/2017	vs Old Dominion₈₂	L 69.18 - 71.56	W 82-75	5-3	97.27	109.54	▲ 12.27	105.12	103.77	▲ 1.35	▲ 13.62
Tue 12/5/2017	vs Texas₄₁	L 66.66 - 73.46	L 67-71	5-4	93.64	97.73	▲ 4.09	107.53	106.68	▲ 0.85	▲ 4.94
Sat 12/9/2017	@ Seton Hall₂₃	L 69.67 - 85.52	L 67-90	5-5	97.39	92.89	▼ 4.50	113.85	125.86	▼ 12.01	▼ 16.51
Sat 12/16/2017	vs Bucknell₁₀₁	L 78.54 - 79.09	W 85-79	6-5	102.70	114.17	▲ 11.47	108.10	110.49	▼ 2.39	▲ 9.08
Tue 12/19/2017	vs Winthrop₁₆₇	W 80.21 - 74.96	W 69-55	7-5	104.13	88.14	▼ 15.99	102.38	75.88	▲ 26.50	▲ 10.51
Fri 12/22/2017	vs VMI₃₃₃	W 80.71 - 61.88	W 75-65	8-5	107.46	108.67	▲ 1.21	86.77	80.05	▲ 6.72	▲ 7.93
Sat 12/30/2017	vs Fordham₂₇₅	W 76.73 - 64.37	W 76-63	9-5	105.96	111.16	▲ 5.20	93.19	97.72	▼ 4.53	▲ 0.67
Wed 1/3/2018	@ Saint Joe's₁₂₃	L 73.69 - 78.11	L 81-87 (OT)	9-6	101.46	98.47	▼ 2.99	103.31	93.93	▲ 9.38	▲ 6.39
Sat 1/6/2018	@ La Salle₁₃₆	L 73.26 - 76.57	W 80-74	10-6	102.45	102.27	▼ 0.18	102.79	91.40	▲ 11.39	▲ 11.21
Tue 1/9/2018	vs Duquesne₁₉₇	W 76.95 - 69.87	W 78-67	11-6	107.01	107.59	▲ 0.58	101.95	97.86	▲ 4.09	▲ 4.67
Fri 1/12/2018	@ Dayton₁₆₄	L 73.90 - 75.26	L 79-106	11-7	106.16	97.35	▼ 8.81	104.08	143.63	▼ 39.55	▼ 48.36
Wed 1/17/2018	vs Richmond₁₇₀	W 78.08 - 72.77	L 52-67	11-8	106.23	77.04	▼ 29.19	103.12	117.79	▼ 14.67	▼ 43.86
Sat 1/20/2018	vs G. Washington₁₈₈	W 75.17 - 68.93	W 87-63	12-8	105.81	128.24	▲ 22.43	101.16	97.10	▲ 4.06	▲ 26.49
Tue 1/23/2018	@ Saint Louis₁₄₉	L 67.44 - 69.65	W 75-74 (OT)	13-8	99.74	93.31	▼ 6.43	98.30	87.44	▲ 10.86	▲ 4.43
Sat 1/27/2018	@ George Mason₂₂₇	W 76.98 - 73.76	W 84-76	14-8	107.02	114.60	▲ 7.58	98.85	94.99	▲ 3.86	▲ 11.44
Fri 2/2/2018	vs URI₅₅	L 71.73 - 77.62	L 68-81	14-9	96.19	94.79	▼ 1.40	108.15	116.76	▼ 8.61	▼ 10.01
Wed 2/7/2018	@ Richmond₁₇₀	L 74.97 - 75.95	L 76-77	14-10	106.23	104.97	▼ 1.26	103.12	97.73	▲ 5.39	▲ 4.13
Sat 2/10/2018	vs Dayton₁₆₄	W 76.97 - 72.11	W 88-84 (OT)	15-10	106.16	99.01	▼ 7.15	104.08	104.87	▼ 0.79	▼ 7.94
Wed 2/14/2018	vs Davidson₄₉	L 71.13 - 76.93	L 63-74	15-11	101.87	82.21	▼ 19.66	114.49	115.83	▼ 1.34	▼ 21.00
Sat 2/17/2018	@ G. Washington₁₈₈	W 72.17 - 71.98	L 56-80	15-12	105.81	78.74	▼ 27.07	101.16	130.42	▼ 29.26	▼ 56.33
Wed 2/21/2018	@ UMass₁₇₉	L 74.86 - 75.20	W 82-78	16-12	107.49	111.60	▲ 4.11	103.73	101.73	▲ 2.00	▲ 6.11
Sat 2/24/2018	vs St. Bonaventure₇₇	L 74.03 - 76.98	L 63-68	16-13	98.70	82.87	▼ 15.83	107.53	92.94	▲ 14.59	▼ 1.24
Wed 2/28/2018	vs George Mason₂₂₇	W 80.15 - 70.51	L 80-81	16-14	107.02	104.40	▼ 2.62	98.85	111.73	▼ 12.88	▼ 15.50
Sat 3/3/2018	@ Fordham₂₇₅	W 73.66 - 67.46	W 83-58	17-14	105.96	125.60	▲ 19.64	93.19	86.26	▲ 6.93	▲ 26.57
Thu 3/8/2018	vs Dayton₁₆₄ *	W 75.43 - 73.68	W 77-72	18-14	106.16	108.45	▲ 2.29	104.08	102.86	▲ 1.22	▲ 3.51
Fri 3/9/2018	vs URI₅₅ *	L 70.16 - 79.22	L 67-76	18-15	96.19	87.01	▼ 9.18	108.15	101.33	▲ 6.82	▼ 2.36
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Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location.
Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.

CURIOUS TRENDS:

	When facing teams that convert well from outside the arc, VCU often performs worse than normal. VCU is more efficient than usual 30% of the time when facing teams that have an offensive three-point field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 35.73%. In their other contests, VCU performs better than the norm 78% of the time.
	VCU does worse vs. clubs that shoot the ball well from the field. When playing squads that have an offensive field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 43.42%, VCU performs above average 48% of the time. Against all other opponents, the team performs better than the norm 92% of the time.
	VCU performs worse against squads that are more proficient at draining the mid-range shot. When facing teams that have an offensive mid-range field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 37.52%, VCU is more efficient than normal 47% of the time. In their other contests, the team is more efficient 86% of the time.

HASLAMETRICS ALL-PLAY PERCENTAGE RANKING BY DAY: Select data to plot:

HASLAMETRICS TEAM HISTORY: Select data to view:

SUMMARY	Rk	AP%	Rec (WinPct)		RQ	Conference	Pace	Con	SOS	PTF	AFH	ASR

OFFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

DEFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

SUMMARY	Rk		AP%		Rec (WinPct)		RQ		Conference		Pace		Con		SOS		PTF		AFH		ASR

OFFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox

DEFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox