Haslametrics.com

Automated Team Capsule for 2016-17 JMU 10-23 (0.303) | Colonial

All-Play Percentage: 0.371 (221^st)	Schedule Strength: 0.495 (164^th)	Record Quality: -0.221 (278^th)	Avg. Season Rank: 226.51 (228^th)
Pace: 66.84 (320^th)	Momentum: 1.82 (84^th)	Off. Momentum: 1.86 (96^th)	Def. Momentum: -0.04 (136^th)
Consistency: -6.53 (3^rd)	Res. Consistency: -9.11 (45^th)	Away From Home: 0.86 (63^rd)	Paper Tiger Factor: -0.43 (130^th)

NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category.
Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement.
Includes games through April 3, 2017. Data shown on this page is based on time-independent ratings.

OFFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

95.32

25.89

72.71

78.36

42.64

29.14

33.17

20.77

35.19

28.45

57.79

9.14

14.19

6.44

37.19

26.50

36.30

2.01

RANK:

282^nd

231^st

101^st

313^th

231^st

191^st

268^th

271^st

234^th

173^rd

224^th

270^th

197^th

188^th

148^th

248^th

111^th

179^th

DEFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

101.93

27.97

79.70

44.17

32.49

35.19

23.41

35.48

23.80

64.95

10.84

11.62

5.59

40.76

29.37

29.87

2.11

RANK:

163^rd

183^rd

94^th

163^rd

300^th

156^th

158^th

106^th

26^th

307^th

180^th

15^th

64^th

321^st

197^th

39^th

26^th

ANALYSIS:
If you see JMU on the schedule, you will likely get one of the average to below-average teams in college hoops. Haslametrics has them ranked 221st overall (out of 351) in All-Play Percentage, and the team holds a record of 10-23. They are also ranked by this site as the #8 team (out of 10) in the Colonial (average ranking 173.3).

JMU will likely call on their defense to win a majority of their games. The team is ranked 163rd in defensive efficiency and allows fewer than 102 points for every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO. JMU does a super job to deny opponents offensive rebounds and second chances. They have a rating of 11.62 vs. AO in potential points allowed off of second chances (ranked 15th in the country). If JMU does exhibit a weakness on the defensive end of the floor, it'd likely be the team's difficulties stopping opponents from converting from the inside. AO will convert 65.0% of their near-proximity field goal attempts, and the team ranks 45th-worst in that category as a result.

The offense for JMU, on the other hand, isn't nearly as efficient as the defense is. The team is ranked 282nd in offensive efficiency, scoring about 95 points every 100 possessions vs. AO. JMU is one of the more inferior teams in the college game when it comes to maximizing opportunities to score on offense. The team is nationally ranked 313th in offensive field goal attempt rate with a rating of only 78.36 vs. AO.

JMU is one of the most consistent teams in NCAA basketball (currently ranked third in consistency), which makes the outcomes of their upcoming games far easier to predict.

SORTABLE SCHEDULE / RESULTS:


					ADJ. OFF. EFFICIENCY			ADJ. DEF. EFFICIENCY
Date	Opponent	Should	Did	Record	Should	Did	Diff.	Should	Did	Diff.	Rating
Fri 11/11/2016	@ Old Dominion₁₁₇	L 52.52 - 60.85	L 55-62	0-1	87.86	89.52	▲ 1.66	96.52	94.66	▲ 1.86	▲ 3.52
Sun 11/13/2016	vs Rice₁₆₃	L 70.61 - 71.66	L 70-94	0-2	97.94	91.99	▼ 5.95	103.38	126.50	▼ 23.12	▼ 29.07
Fri 11/18/2016	@ Montana State₂₄₀	L 67.37 - 69.40	L 73-80	0-3	101.69	99.44	▼ 2.25	99.70	105.89	▼ 6.19	▼ 8.44
Mon 11/21/2016	vs Texas Southern₂₂₆	W 68.24 - 65.05	L 56-67	0-4	100.08	83.50	▼ 16.58	99.29	105.39	▼ 6.10	▼ 22.68
Wed 11/23/2016	vs Louisiana₁₄₁	L 71.51 - 73.67	L 70-82	0-5	99.20	93.17	▼ 6.03	106.02	123.75	▼ 17.73	▼ 23.76
Sat 11/26/2016	@ George Mason₁₃₁	L 62.84 - 71.12	L 77-80 (OT)	0-6	95.73	102.22	▲ 6.49	103.29	94.89	▲ 8.40	▲ 14.89
Wed 11/30/2016	@ Charlotte₂₃₈	L 69.58 - 71.84	L 56-65	0-7	100.17	77.89	▼ 22.28	98.72	85.62	▲ 13.10	▼ 9.18
Sat 12/3/2016	@ Longwood₃₄₈	W 74.57 - 62.33	W 71-59	1-7	110.88	106.90	▼ 3.98	88.62	83.50	▲ 5.12	▲ 1.14
Sat 12/10/2016	@ W. Michigan₁₆₉	L 63.38 - 69.90	L 67-74	1-8	96.87	96.58	▼ 0.29	102.39	103.50	▼ 1.11	▼ 1.40
Sat 12/17/2016	@ Appalachian St.₂₆₇	L 68.12 - 68.25	L 61-73 (OT)	1-9	100.75	97.38	▼ 3.37	95.89	91.44	▲ 4.45	▲ 1.08
Tue 12/20/2016	vs Richmond₈₄	L 63.39 - 70.14	L 55-75	1-10	92.27	71.22	▼ 21.05	106.77	110.28	▼ 3.51	▼ 24.56
Fri 12/23/2016	vs UMBC₁₉₇	W 71.25 - 69.93	L 61-62	1-11	101.40	101.17	▼ 0.23	103.85	105.55	▼ 1.70	▼ 1.93
Wed 12/28/2016	vs EastMenn	---	W 82-65	2-11	---	---	---	---	---	---	---
Sat 12/31/2016	vs Drexel₂₆₂	W 71.43 - 65.94	W 78-67	3-11	101.52	113.17	▲ 11.65	97.94	94.52	▲ 3.42	▲ 15.07
Mon 1/2/2017	vs Towson₁₃₈	L 64.04 - 66.05	W 64-44	4-11	93.80	94.39	▲ 0.59	101.17	61.86	▲ 39.31	▲ 39.90
Thu 1/5/2017	@ Hofstra₁₉₅	L 66.72 - 71.68	W 62-54	5-11	102.46	96.15	▼ 6.31	105.11	76.57	▲ 28.54	▲ 22.23
Sat 1/7/2017	@ Northeastern₁₅₆	L 61.55 - 68.81	L 54-64	5-12	96.23	86.96	▼ 9.27	102.38	104.45	▼ 2.07	▼ 11.34
Thu 1/12/2017	vs Charleston₁₀₇	L 59.32 - 63.60	L 51-53	5-13	91.26	84.23	▼ 7.03	102.07	92.05	▲ 10.02	▲ 2.99
Sat 1/14/2017	vs Elon₁₅₈	L 63.43 - 64.87	W 60-59	6-13	93.30	94.56	▲ 1.26	99.69	98.94	▲ 0.75	▲ 2.01
Thu 1/19/2017	@ William & Mary₁₄₂	L 67.78 - 75.87	L 72-73	6-14	100.60	106.56	▲ 5.96	107.80	105.14	▲ 2.66	▲ 8.62
Sat 1/21/2017	@ Charleston₁₀₇	L 56.52 - 66.45	L 60-73	6-15	91.26	98.99	▲ 7.73	102.07	110.48	▼ 8.41	▼ 0.68
Thu 1/26/2017	vs UNC Wilmington₆₁	L 66.72 - 76.54	L 76-87	6-16	95.71	111.63	▲ 15.92	113.69	134.03	▼ 20.34	▼ 4.42
Sat 1/28/2017	@ Delaware₂₉₃	W 62.73 - 60.93	L 61-66	6-17	99.58	91.92	▼ 7.66	92.49	96.29	▼ 3.80	▼ 11.46
Thu 2/2/2017	@ Elon₁₅₈	L 60.51 - 67.76	L 61-67	6-18	93.30	96.06	▲ 2.76	99.69	100.86	▼ 1.17	▲ 1.59
Sat 2/4/2017	vs Northeastern₁₅₆	L 64.43 - 65.98	W 73-69	7-18	96.23	110.09	▲ 13.86	102.38	106.76	▼ 4.38	▲ 9.48
Thu 2/9/2017	@ UNC Wilmington₆₁	L 63.72 - 79.49	L 73-88	7-19	95.71	94.02	▼ 1.69	113.69	130.57	▼ 16.88	▼ 18.57
Sat 2/11/2017	vs Delaware₂₉₃	W 65.58 - 58.18	L 57-58	7-20	99.58	97.78	▼ 1.80	92.49	100.52	▼ 8.03	▼ 9.83
Thu 2/16/2017	vs William & Mary₁₄₂	L 70.81 - 72.90	W 95-92 (OT)	8-20	100.60	113.50	▲ 12.90	107.80	117.93	▼ 10.13	▲ 2.77
Sat 2/18/2017	@ Towson₁₃₈	L 61.11 - 68.92	L 65-75	8-21	93.80	95.97	▲ 2.17	101.17	111.85	▼ 10.68	▼ 8.51
Thu 2/23/2017	@ Drexel₂₆₂	L 68.39 - 68.84	W 70-64	9-21	101.52	109.91	▲ 8.39	97.94	96.25	▲ 1.69	▲ 10.08
Sat 2/25/2017	vs Hofstra₁₉₅	W 69.67 - 68.84	L 66-71	9-22	102.46	93.44	▼ 9.02	105.11	103.64	▲ 1.47	▼ 7.55
Fri 3/3/2017	vs Drexel₂₆₂ *	W 69.91 - 67.39	W 80-70	10-22	101.52	104.23	▲ 2.71	97.94	83.33	▲ 14.61	▲ 17.32
Sat 3/4/2017	vs Charleston₁₀₇ *	L 57.92 - 65.02	L 62-67	10-23	91.26	98.41	▲ 7.15	102.07	106.35	▼ 4.28	▲ 2.87
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Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location.
Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.

CURIOUS TRENDS:

	When playing teams that allow a higher number of conversions off of the offensive glass, JMU usually performs worse than average. JMU is more efficient than normal 18% of the time when facing clubs that have a defensive second-chance conversion percentage vs. AO greater than 7.37%. In all other contests, JMU performs better than average 71% of the time.
	JMU is typically worse vs. teams that fail to defend efficiently inside the paint. Against foes that have a defensive near-proximity field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 61.05%, JMU performs above their norm 27% of the time. Against the remaining opposition, the team performs above average 77% of the time.
	When facing teams that allow a greater number of field goal opportunities, JMU often performs better than normal. JMU is more efficient than usual 83% of the time when facing teams that have a defensive field goal attempt rate vs. AO greater than 82.44. In their other contests, JMU performs better than the norm 35% of the time.

HASLAMETRICS ALL-PLAY PERCENTAGE RANKING BY DAY: Select data to plot:

HASLAMETRICS TEAM HISTORY: Select data to view:

SUMMARY	Rk	AP%	Rec (WinPct)		RQ	Conference	Pace	Con	SOS	PTF	AFH	ASR

OFFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

DEFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

SUMMARY	Rk		AP%		Rec (WinPct)		RQ		Conference		Pace		Con		SOS		PTF		AFH		ASR

OFFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox

DEFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox