Haslametrics.com

Automated Team Capsule for 2017-18 Tennessee St. 15-15 (0.500) | Ohio Valley

All-Play Percentage: 0.366 (223^rd)	Schedule Strength: 0.432 (244^th)	Record Quality: -0.103 (219^th)	Avg. Season Rank: 221.46 (220^th)
Pace: 67.90 (304^th)	Momentum: -3.26 (307^th)	Off. Momentum: -0.37 (223^rd)	Def. Momentum: -2.90 (304^th)
Consistency: -10.61 (321^st)	Res. Consistency: -14.51 (318^th)	Away From Home: -2.02 (308^th)	Paper Tiger Factor: -0.49 (134^th)

NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category.
Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement.
Includes games through April 2, 2018. Data shown on this page is based on time-independent ratings.

OFFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

94.73

26.27

75.27

76.69

41.91

31.14

34.29

19.20

36.36

26.36

54.94

11.51

13.18

5.73

40.60

25.03

34.37

2.06

RANK:

297^th

158^th

57^th

346^th

276^th

154^th

220^th

277^th

206^th

262^nd

298^th

131^st

237^th

250^th

90^th

250^th

186^th

244^th

DEFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

100.49

25.86

77.30

44.73

35.56

37.18

18.00

38.00

23.74

61.16

11.02

12.74

5.08

46.00

23.29

30.71

2.15

RANK:

126^th

163^rd

24^th

177^th

335^th

271^st

27^th

213^th

29^th

210^th

190^th

47^th

28^th

349^th

36^th

59^th

8^th

ANALYSIS:
While not an atrocious team by any means, Tennessee St. is not exactly one that should appear in many top-100 rankings either. Their record this season is 15-15, and the club is ranked 223rd overall (out of 351) in Haslametrics' most recent ratings. Of the 12 schools in the OVC (average ranking 219.8), they're currently ranked as our #6 team in the conference.

Tennessee St. will likely call on their defense to win a majority of their games. The team is ranked 126th in defensive efficiency and allows fewer than 101 points for every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO. Tennessee St. has extremely pesky defenders that ceaselessly attempt to deny opponents ample opportunity to shoot. The club is ranked 24th in Division I in defensive field goal attempt rate with a rating of 77.30 vs. AO. Tennessee St. is also one of the better teams when it comes to not allowing opponents to convert scoring chances off of offensive rebounds. The squad allows AO to convert only 5.1% of all second-chance opportunities (ranked 28th in the NCAA), and with a rating of 12.74, they're 47th in potential points allowed off of the offensive glass as well.

Unfortunately, Tennessee St. is not even remotely close to being as good on offense as they are on defense. The team is ranked 297th in offensive efficiency, scoring about 95 points every 100 possessions vs. AO. Tennessee St. happens to be one of the very worst in the game when it comes to maximizing the number of shot attempts they get off from the floor. The team is nationally ranked sixth from the bottom in offensive field goal attempt rate with a rating of only 76.69 vs. AO.

Tennessee St. has recently performed below their norm from an efficiency standpoint. The team is currently ranked 307th in the country in positive momentum. Tennessee St. has also been one of the more erratic teams in NCAA basketball this year (presently ranked 321st in the country in consistency), which makes forecasting the outcomes of their upcoming games tougher than most. When playing on the road, Tennessee St. performs somewhat worse than they normally do on their home court. The club is nationally ranked 308th in our site's away-from-home metric.

SORTABLE SCHEDULE / RESULTS:


					ADJ. OFF. EFFICIENCY			ADJ. DEF. EFFICIENCY
Date	Opponent	Should	Did	Record	Should	Did	Diff.	Should	Did	Diff.	Rating
Fri 11/10/2017	@ Kansas₇	L 57.30 - 81.87	L 56-92	0-1	86.91	63.14	▼ 23.77	117.73	141.21	▼ 23.48	▼ 47.25
Mon 11/13/2017	vs Reinhardt	---	W 92-53	1-1	---	---	---	---	---	---	---
Sat 11/18/2017	vs Mid Tennessee₅₂	L 58.86 - 69.61	L 65-75	1-2	86.76	95.29	▲ 8.53	106.65	113.98	▼ 7.33	▲ 1.20
Tue 11/21/2017	vs Canisius₁₂₂	L 65.64 - 69.50	W 60-52	2-2	93.53	88.64	▼ 4.89	103.29	77.65	▲ 25.64	▲ 20.75
Sat 11/25/2017	@ Kennesaw State₃₀₅	W 67.72 - 65.43	W 77-74 (OT)	3-2	101.91	98.10	▼ 3.81	93.93	92.25	▲ 1.68	▼ 2.13
Tue 11/28/2017	vs Fisk University	---	W 67-53	4-2	---	---	---	---	---	---	---
Sat 12/2/2017	vs Lipscomb₁₈₀	W 70.78 - 70.45	L 86-95 (OT)	4-3	94.07	100.40	▲ 6.33	97.85	104.94	▼ 7.09	▼ 0.76
Tue 12/12/2017	@ Alabama State₃₄₄	W 73.20 - 62.61	W 64-45	5-3	106.56	96.02	▼ 10.54	87.31	67.57	▲ 19.74	▲ 9.20
Fri 12/15/2017	@ NC A&T₃₂₀	W 68.55 - 64.88	L 54-64	5-4	102.31	84.81	▼ 17.50	92.38	97.73	▼ 5.35	▼ 22.85
Mon 12/18/2017	@ Texas₄₁	L 52.92 - 70.56	L 46-47	5-5	84.04	77.68	▼ 6.36	105.91	72.33	▲ 33.58	▲ 27.22
Thu 12/21/2017	@ Purdue₄	L 55.12 - 82.58	L 48-97	5-6	84.43	79.63	▼ 4.80	119.57	132.92	▼ 13.35	▼ 18.15
Thu 12/28/2017	@ UT Martin₂₈₇	W 63.98 - 62.89	L 60-63 (OT)	5-7	98.66	92.59	▼ 6.07	92.87	89.53	▲ 3.34	▼ 2.73
Sun 12/31/2017	@ SE Missouri St.₂₅₅	L 71.11 - 71.98	L 65-77	5-8	105.33	87.45	▼ 17.88	102.49	127.36	▼ 24.87	▼ 42.75
Thu 1/4/2018	vs Jacksonville St.₁₄₂	L 61.10 - 63.64	W 67-60	6-8	88.99	102.42	▲ 13.43	96.46	96.02	▲ 0.44	▲ 13.87
Sat 1/6/2018	vs Tenn. Tech₂₂₀	W 68.21 - 65.22	L 81-87 (OT)	6-9	94.72	103.53	▲ 8.81	94.51	108.07	▼ 13.56	▼ 4.75
Thu 1/11/2018	@ E. Illinois₂₆₁	L 62.44 - 63.01	W 69-65	7-9	97.52	96.79	▼ 0.73	93.47	85.57	▲ 7.90	▲ 7.17
Sat 1/13/2018	@ SIUE₃₀₉	W 68.86 - 65.98	L 79-82	7-10	102.51	107.60	▲ 5.09	93.74	107.06	▼ 13.32	▼ 8.23
Thu 1/18/2018	vs Austin Peay₁₈₉	W 67.57 - 67.06	W 70-56	8-10	96.17	114.68	▲ 18.51	99.03	87.52	▲ 11.51	▲ 30.02
Sat 1/20/2018	vs Murray State₆₇	L 62.07 - 70.94	L 57-76	8-11	91.08	89.40	▼ 1.68	108.38	123.94	▼ 15.56	▼ 17.24
Thu 1/25/2018	vs SIUE₃₀₉	W 71.97 - 62.95	W 85-57	9-11	102.51	113.60	▲ 11.09	93.74	78.46	▲ 15.28	▲ 26.37
Sat 1/27/2018	vs E. Illinois₂₆₁	W 65.41 - 60.14	W 50-47	10-11	97.52	81.06	▼ 16.46	93.47	81.93	▲ 11.54	▼ 4.92
Thu 2/1/2018	@ Morehead State₃₀₂	W 67.41 - 65.10	W 61-58	11-11	101.25	90.68	▼ 10.57	93.25	83.02	▲ 10.23	▼ 0.34
Sat 2/3/2018	@ E. Kentucky₃₀₄	W 69.45 - 67.06	W 73-60	12-11	103.82	111.79	▲ 7.97	95.90	89.79	▲ 6.11	▲ 14.08
Thu 2/8/2018	vs Belmont₇₈	L 63.58 - 71.71	W 64-56	13-11	93.30	97.73	▲ 4.43	109.69	89.77	▲ 19.92	▲ 24.35
Sat 2/10/2018	@ Jacksonville St.₁₄₂	L 58.07 - 66.62	W 65-47	14-11	88.99	102.27	▲ 13.28	96.46	69.16	▲ 27.30	▲ 40.58
Thu 2/15/2018	vs Morehead State₃₀₂	W 70.50 - 62.13	W 83-74	15-11	101.25	125.15	▲ 23.90	93.25	110.21	▼ 16.96	▲ 6.94
Sat 2/17/2018	vs E. Kentucky₃₀₄	W 72.55 - 64.01	L 59-72	15-12	103.82	86.62	▼ 17.20	95.90	108.15	▼ 12.25	▼ 29.45
Thu 2/22/2018	@ Tenn. Tech₂₂₀	L 65.03 - 68.28	L 64-69	15-13	94.72	86.05	▼ 8.67	94.51	92.25	▲ 2.26	▼ 6.41
Sat 2/24/2018	@ Belmont₇₈	L 60.57 - 74.69	L 59-84	15-14	93.30	78.27	▼ 15.03	109.69	133.73	▼ 24.04	▼ 39.07
Wed 2/28/2018	vs E. Illinois₂₆₁ *	W 63.93 - 61.57	L 71-73	15-15	97.52	100.00	▲ 2.48	93.47	101.39	▼ 7.92	▼ 5.44
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Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location.
Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.

CURIOUS TRENDS:

	When facing teams that allow more chances at the line, Tennessee St. often performs better than normal. Tennessee St. is more efficient than usual 88% of the time when facing teams that have a defensive free throw attempt rate vs. AO greater than 28.09. In their other contests, Tennessee St. performs better than the norm 35% of the time.
	Tennessee St. does worse vs. clubs that allow a greater number of field goal opportunities. When playing squads that have a defensive field goal attempt rate vs. AO greater than 80.02, Tennessee St. performs above average 27% of the time. Against all other opponents, the team performs better than the norm 77% of the time.
	Tennessee St. performs better against squads that effectively clean the offensive glass. When facing teams that have an offensive second-chance potential point rate vs. AO greater than 14.03, Tennessee St. is more efficient than normal 65% of the time. In their other contests, the team is more efficient 27% of the time.

HASLAMETRICS ALL-PLAY PERCENTAGE RANKING BY DAY: Select data to plot:

HASLAMETRICS TEAM HISTORY: Select data to view:

SUMMARY	Rk	AP%	Rec (WinPct)		RQ	Conference	Pace	Con	SOS	PTF	AFH	ASR

OFFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

DEFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

SUMMARY	Rk		AP%		Rec (WinPct)		RQ		Conference		Pace		Con		SOS		PTF		AFH		ASR

OFFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox

DEFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox