Haslametrics.com

Automated Team Capsule for 2016-17 Tennessee St. 17-13 (0.567) | Ohio Valley

All-Play Percentage: 0.620 (133^rd)	Schedule Strength: 0.465 (201^st)	Record Quality: 0.002 (172^nd)	Avg. Season Rank: 138.52 (136^th)
Pace: 69.66 (221^st)	Momentum: -0.30 (186^th)	Off. Momentum: -1.99 (302^nd)	Def. Momentum: 1.69 (39^th)
Consistency: -10.30 (320^th)	Res. Consistency: -12.79 (264^th)	Away From Home: 2.05 (11^th)	Paper Tiger Factor: 0.40 (69^th)

NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category.
Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement.
Includes games through April 3, 2017. Data shown on this page is based on time-independent ratings.

OFFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

97.81

28.84

70.34

80.44

42.95

25.67

32.85

21.03

30.76

33.74

58.22

9.81

19.03

9.07

31.91

26.14

41.94

1.90

RANK:

226^th

111^th

176^th

242^nd

217^th

297^th

283^rd

261^st

340^th

19^th

210^th

230^th

11^th

19^th

287^th

264^th

10^th

18^th

DEFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

96.36

35.03

74.54

41.32

30.47

35.07

20.82

32.27

23.24

57.62

10.18

13.83

5.36

40.88

27.94

31.18

2.10

RANK:

64^th

344^th

5^th

55^th

223^rd

145^th

67^th

23^rd

20^th

107^th

124^th

131^st

50^th

324^th

139^th

55^th

33^rd

ANALYSIS:
They may not cause sleepless nights for opponents, but Tennessee St., as a slightly above-average team, cannot be totally ignored. Carrying a record of 17-13, they are currently rated #133 overall (out of 351) in All-Play Percentage this season. They are also ranked by this site as the #2 team (out of 12) in the OVC (average ranking 212.4).

Tennessee St. will mainly try to find success through their defense. They are ranked 64th in defensive efficiency and allow fewer than 97 points every 100 possessions vs. AO. Tennessee St. has extremely pesky defenders that ceaselessly attempt to deny opponents ample opportunity to shoot. The club is ranked fifth in Division I in defensive field goal attempt rate with a rating of 74.54 vs. AO. Tennessee St. also does a bang-up job preventing the opposition from draining jumpers in between the three-point line and the low post. They're ranked 23rd in Division I in defensive mid-range field goal percentage, allowing AO to make good on only 32.3% of their attempts from that distance. If Tennessee St. does exhibit a noticeable weakness on the defensive end of the floor, it'd likely be the team's tendency to send opponents to the line too much by fouling. The squad has a rating of 35.03 in defensive free throw attempt rate vs. AO, which ranks eighth-worst in the country.

Unfortunately, Tennessee St. is not even remotely close to being as good on offense as they are on defense. The team is ranked 226th in offensive efficiency, scoring about 98 points every 100 possessions vs. AO. Tennessee St. is downright rotten when shooting the mid-range jumper. The team is ranked 340th in field goal percentage from that distance, making only 30.8% of their mid-range attempts vs. AO. If Tennessee St. does have a strength offensively, it would have to be the team's knack for obtaining second-chance opportunities from offensive rebounds. The squad has a rating of 19.03 in potential points off of second chances vs. AO, which ranks 11th in all of college hoops.

Tennessee St. has been one of the more erratic teams in NCAA basketball this year (presently ranked 320th in the country in consistency), which makes forecasting the outcomes of their upcoming games tougher than most. When playing on the road, Tennessee St. has played their best basketball this season. The team is currently ranked 11th in the country in the away-from-home metric our site tracks.

SORTABLE SCHEDULE / RESULTS:


					ADJ. OFF. EFFICIENCY			ADJ. DEF. EFFICIENCY
Date	Opponent	Should	Did	Record	Should	Did	Diff.	Should	Did	Diff.	Rating
Fri 11/11/2016	vs UC Davis₂₀₈ *	W 67.46 - 62.71	W 78-64	1-0	95.34	95.12	▼ 0.22	89.57	82.05	▲ 7.52	▲ 7.30
Sat 11/12/2016	vs N. Arizona₃₂₈ *	W 75.01 - 60.36	W 69-65	2-0	105.47	92.00	▼ 13.47	85.61	87.84	▼ 2.23	▼ 15.70
Sun 11/13/2016	@ Santa Clara₁₃₉	L 62.20 - 64.91	W 69-61	3-0	97.43	108.56	▲ 11.13	97.74	85.28	▲ 12.46	▲ 23.59
Sat 11/19/2016	@ Mid Tennessee₄₅	L 58.33 - 70.80	W 74-63	4-0	90.46	109.68	▲ 19.22	104.71	87.49	▲ 17.22	▲ 36.44
Wed 11/23/2016	@ Canisius₁₈₇	L 71.84 - 72.04	W 72-58	5-0	102.75	116.50	▲ 13.75	99.22	80.32	▲ 18.90	▲ 32.65
Sat 11/26/2016	vs Reinhardt	---	W 96-64	6-0	---	---	---	---	---	---	---
Tue 11/29/2016	@ Vanderbilt₃₉	L 59.31 - 73.24	L 59-83	6-1	90.11	87.67	▼ 2.44	106.30	132.97	▼ 26.67	▼ 29.11
Sat 12/3/2016	@ Lipscomb₁₇₁	L 73.80 - 75.20	W 72-71	7-1	99.78	100.85	▲ 1.07	97.68	97.78	▼ 0.10	▲ 0.97
Sat 12/10/2016	@ NC State₁₀₁	L 69.92 - 76.17	L 55-67 (OT)	7-2	99.25	82.86	▼ 16.39	104.13	77.15	▲ 26.98	▲ 10.59
Wed 12/14/2016	vs Alabama State₃₄₅	W 77.95 - 54.66	W 68-46	8-2	108.37	97.78	▼ 10.59	80.34	53.09	▲ 27.25	▲ 16.66
Mon 12/19/2016	@ Duke₁₁	L 60.68 - 82.17	L 55-65	8-3	89.17	82.81	▼ 6.36	115.50	97.78	▲ 17.72	▲ 11.36
Tue 12/27/2016	vs Covenant	---	W 81-50	9-3	---	---	---	---	---	---	---
Sat 12/31/2016	@ Murray State₁₉₄	W 70.86 - 70.84	L 83-92	9-4	102.21	105.97	▲ 3.76	97.49	109.98	▼ 12.49	▼ 8.73
Mon 1/2/2017	vs Kennesaw State₂₆₆	W 76.21 - 64.75	L 73-76	9-5	105.05	92.59	▼ 12.46	93.77	100.92	▼ 7.15	▼ 19.61
Thu 1/5/2017	vs SE Missouri St.₂₂₉	W 73.62 - 64.72	W 65-62	10-5	102.34	85.62	▼ 16.72	94.75	88.33	▲ 6.42	▼ 10.30
Sat 1/7/2017	vs UT Martin₂₂₄	W 74.45 - 65.51	W 76-65	11-5	102.46	109.55	▲ 7.09	94.35	99.23	▼ 4.88	▲ 2.21
Thu 1/12/2017	@ E. Kentucky₂₃₆	W 67.53 - 64.37	W 63-49	12-5	98.79	94.40	▼ 4.39	90.60	69.21	▲ 21.39	▲ 17.00
Sat 1/14/2017	@ Morehead State₂₀₄	W 70.98 - 69.91	L 85-87	12-6	103.64	118.65	▲ 15.01	98.48	118.62	▼ 20.14	▼ 5.13
Thu 1/19/2017	vs Tenn. Tech₂₅₃	W 72.08 - 61.79	L 74-80 (OT)	12-7	100.44	85.46	▼ 14.98	90.19	91.10	▼ 0.91	▼ 15.89
Sat 1/21/2017	vs Jacksonville St.₁₇₀	W 67.14 - 62.54	L 79-86	12-8	98.01	111.22	▲ 13.21	95.94	130.57	▼ 34.63	▼ 21.42
Wed 1/25/2017	@ SIUE₃₂₂	W 71.46 - 61.18	W 76-56	13-8	104.07	122.55	▲ 18.48	85.79	79.75	▲ 6.04	▲ 24.52
Sat 1/28/2017	vs Belmont₈₆	L 68.59 - 70.38	L 76-93	13-9	96.62	101.91	▲ 5.29	104.02	129.24	▼ 25.22	▼ 19.93
Thu 2/2/2017	vs E. Illinois₂₀₂	W 69.90 - 62.86	L 67-77 (OT)	13-10	97.04	96.17	▼ 0.87	91.82	99.04	▼ 7.22	▼ 8.09
Sat 2/4/2017	@ Austin Peay₂₉₆	W 77.59 - 69.84	W 70-66	14-10	111.35	106.69	▼ 4.66	96.70	97.78	▼ 1.08	▼ 5.74
Thu 2/9/2017	@ Tenn. Tech₂₅₃	W 69.03 - 64.83	W 72-59	15-10	100.44	115.12	▲ 14.68	90.19	86.31	▲ 3.88	▲ 18.56
Sat 2/11/2017	@ Jacksonville St.₁₇₀	L 64.23 - 65.47	L 57-63	15-11	98.01	81.38	▼ 16.63	95.94	81.78	▲ 14.16	▼ 2.47
Thu 2/16/2017	vs Morehead State₂₀₄	W 74.01 - 66.85	W 64-52	16-11	103.64	90.09	▼ 13.55	98.48	68.88	▲ 29.60	▲ 16.05
Sat 2/18/2017	vs E. Kentucky₂₃₆	W 70.56 - 61.36	W 68-66	17-11	98.79	99.28	▲ 0.49	90.60	100.72	▼ 10.12	▼ 9.63
Sat 2/25/2017	@ Belmont₈₆	L 65.58 - 73.56	L 63-68	17-12	96.62	102.22	▲ 5.60	104.02	105.72	▼ 1.70	▲ 3.90
Wed 3/1/2017	vs SE Missouri St.₂₂₉ *	W 72.09 - 66.27	L 75-78 (OT)	17-13	102.34	86.49	▼ 15.85	94.75	86.49	▲ 8.26	▼ 7.59
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Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location.
Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.

CURIOUS TRENDS:

	When playing teams that do not defend well on the perimeter, Tennessee St. usually performs worse than average. Tennessee St. is more efficient than normal 20% of the time when facing clubs that have a defensive three-point field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 37.14%. In all other contests, Tennessee St. performs better than average 61% of the time.
	Tennessee St. is typically worse vs. teams that prefer the outside shot. Against foes that have an offensive shooting proximity score vs. AO greater than 2.05, Tennessee St. performs above their norm 25% of the time. Against the remaining opposition, the team performs above average 63% of the time.
	When facing teams that convert more frequently off of offensive rebounds, Tennessee St. often performs better than normal. Tennessee St. is more efficient than usual 64% of the time when facing teams that have an offensive second-chance conversion percentage vs. AO greater than 6.09%. In their other contests, Tennessee St. performs better than the norm 29% of the time.

HASLAMETRICS ALL-PLAY PERCENTAGE RANKING BY DAY: Select data to plot:

HASLAMETRICS TEAM HISTORY: Select data to view:

SUMMARY	Rk	AP%	Rec (WinPct)		RQ	Conference	Pace	Con	SOS	PTF	AFH	ASR

OFFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

DEFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

SUMMARY	Rk		AP%		Rec (WinPct)		RQ		Conference		Pace		Con		SOS		PTF		AFH		ASR

OFFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox

DEFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox