Haslametrics.com

Automated Team Capsule for 2021-22 TCU 21-13 (0.618) | Big 12

All-Play Percentage: 0.894 (38^th)	Schedule Strength: 0.720 (12^th)	Record Quality: 0.304 (48^th)	Avg. Season Rank: 81.28 (77^th)
Pace: 67.44 (252^nd)	Momentum: 3.93 (26^th)	Off. Momentum: 1.35 (118^th)	Def. Momentum: 2.58 (28^th)
Consistency: -8.04 (44^th)	Res. Consistency: -9.75 (50^th)	Away From Home: 1.34 (64^th)	Paper Tiger Factor: 1.51 (26^th)

NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category.
Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement.
Includes games through April 4, 2022. Data shown on this page is based on time-independent ratings.

OFFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

107.23

26.09

67.74

87.34

46.19

27.21

32.55

25.90

37.61

34.23

63.53

12.53

16.71

7.10

31.15

29.65

39.20

1.92

RANK:

65^th

83^rd

304^th

33^rd

57^th

295^th

248^th

93^rd

179^th

18^th

54^th

90^th

33^rd

18^th

324^th

130^th

42^nd

20^th

DEFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

90.92

21.76

82.00

40.33

30.34

30.80

24.00

34.58

27.65

55.77

10.23

11.36

3.95

37.00

29.27

33.73

2.03

RANK:

24^th

84^th

100^th

44^th

135^th

41^st

221^st

60^th

125^th

77^th

104^th

58^th

70^th

164^th

250^th

143^rd

179^th

ANALYSIS:
TCU is a moderately good team, capable of testing many an opponent that they'll encounter. They have a record of 21-13 and are ranked 38th overall (out of 358) in the latest Haslametrics ratings. Of the 10 schools in the Big 12 (average ranking 30.2), they're currently ranked as our #6 team in the conference. With a strength-of-schedule rating of 0.720 (which ranks 12th nationally), TCU is one of the more battle-tested teams in the college game.

TCU is one of the most menacing defensive teams in the country. Ranked 24th in defensive efficiency, they will allow fewer than 91 points every 100 possessions vs. AO. TCU has done a very good job to prevent opponents from draining threes this year. They rank 41st in the NCAA in defensive three-point percentage, allowing AO to make just 30.8% of their attempts from afar. TCU also boasts one of the better overall defensive field goal percentages in the country. The team ranks #44 nationally in field goal percentage allowed, as AO only makes good on about 40.3% of their total attempts from the floor.

TCU plays at about the same level on offense as they do on defense. The team ranks 65th nationally in offensive efficiency, scoring about 107 points every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO. TCU does an outstanding job finishing any scoring chances they obtain from offensive rebounds. Against AO, the team successfully converts 7.1% of all second-chance opportunities (ranked 18th nationally), and with a rating of 16.71, they're 33rd in potential points scored off of the offensive glass as well. TCU also has one of the better squads in the college game when it comes to maximizing opportunities to score. The team is ranked 33rd in the NCAA in offensive field goal attempt rate with a rating of 87.34 vs. AO. And when they do shoot, they make a fair portion of their shots. Ranked in the top-75 in field goal shooting percentage, the squad converts about 46.2% of their total attempts vs. AO.

TCU has been playing better basketball in their most recent outings, as evidenced by the team's #26 ranking in positive momentum. TCU is also one of the more consistent teams in Division I (presently ranked 44th in consistency), so forecasting the outcomes of their future contests tends to be easier than the norm.

SORTABLE SCHEDULE / RESULTS:


					ADJ. OFF. EFFICIENCY			ADJ. DEF. EFFICIENCY
Date	Opponent	Should	Did	Record	Should	Did	Diff.	Should	Did	Diff.	Rating
Thu 11/11/2021	vs McNeese₃₀₉	W 82.05 - 57.60	W 77-61	1-0	113.33	100.11	▼ 13.22	83.98	77.32	▲ 6.66	▼ 6.56
Mon 11/15/2021	vs Southern Miss₃₃₅	W 80.37 - 54.04	W 83-51	2-0	114.95	101.54	▼ 13.41	82.11	70.36	▲ 11.75	▼ 1.66
Thu 11/18/2021	vs Nicholls₂₀₄	W 77.68 - 61.16	W 63-50	3-0	107.75	94.15	▼ 13.60	89.50	80.49	▲ 9.01	▼ 4.59
Mon 11/22/2021	vs Santa Clara₇₆ *	W 74.39 - 70.96	L 66-85	3-1	104.58	90.16	▼ 14.42	99.84	124.59	▼ 24.75	▼ 39.17
Wed 11/24/2021	vs Pepperdine₂₆₀ *	W 78.22 - 60.95	W 73-64	4-1	110.21	110.19	▼ 0.02	86.15	96.97	▼ 10.82	▼ 10.84
Mon 11/29/2021	vs Austin Peay₃₀₂	W 75.42 - 52.96	W 68-51	5-1	110.88	117.33	▲ 6.45	82.18	83.03	▼ 0.85	▲ 5.60
Thu 12/2/2021	vs Oral Roberts₁₆₆	W 81.24 - 66.14	W 71-63	6-1	112.19	101.87	▼ 10.32	96.15	99.22	▼ 3.07	▼ 13.39
Wed 12/8/2021	vs Utah₁₁₈ *	W 71.57 - 63.60	W 76-62	7-1	106.47	110.45	▲ 3.98	94.07	91.18	▲ 2.89	▲ 6.87
Sat 12/11/2021	vs Texas A&M₄₆ *	W 66.69 - 66.01	W 68-64	8-1	98.44	98.55	▲ 0.11	97.00	92.75	▲ 4.25	▲ 4.36
Sat 12/18/2021	@ Georgetown₁₆₉	W 75.45 - 67.56	W 80-73	9-1	110.09	112.26	▲ 2.17	93.59	97.33	▼ 3.74	▼ 1.57
Tue 12/21/2021	vs Grambling₃₀₇	W 79.99 - 55.62	W 90-55	10-1	111.20	119.36	▲ 8.16	81.96	85.08	▼ 3.12	▲ 5.04
Sat 1/8/2022	vs Baylor₃	L 66.10 - 70.99	L 64-76	10-2	94.65	95.74	▲ 1.09	105.92	121.42	▼ 15.50	▼ 14.41
Wed 1/12/2022	@ Kansas State₆₁	L 66.40 - 68.00	W 60-57	11-2	100.53	89.63	▼ 10.90	97.66	78.47	▲ 19.19	▲ 8.29
Sat 1/15/2022	vs Oklahoma₂₅	W 65.86 - 63.84	W 59-58 (OT)	12-2	97.14	73.09	▼ 24.05	98.91	79.60	▲ 19.31	▼ 4.74
Wed 1/19/2022	@ Oklahoma State₄₁	L 62.23 - 65.71	L 56-57	12-3	92.45	86.25	▼ 6.20	92.38	83.37	▲ 9.01	▲ 2.81
Sat 1/22/2022	@ Iowa State₄₄	L 61.00 - 64.05	W 59-44	13-3	92.86	94.61	▲ 1.75	92.15	60.23	▲ 31.92	▲ 33.67
Tue 1/25/2022	vs Texas₁₆	L 63.27 - 63.88	L 50-73	13-4	94.33	74.75	▼ 19.58	100.60	112.22	▼ 11.62	▼ 31.20
Sat 1/29/2022	vs LSU₁₉	W 65.48 - 64.87	W 77-68	14-4	92.27	112.25	▲ 19.98	96.04	105.70	▼ 9.66	▲ 10.32
Mon 1/31/2022	@ Oklahoma₂₅	L 62.50 - 67.36	W 72-63	15-4	97.14	118.80	▲ 21.66	98.91	100.61	▼ 1.70	▲ 19.96
Sat 2/5/2022	vs Kansas State₆₁	W 69.85 - 64.45	L 63-75	15-5	100.53	94.15	▼ 6.38	97.66	116.96	▼ 19.30	▼ 25.68
Tue 2/8/2022	vs Oklahoma State₄₁	W 65.74 - 62.23	W 77-73	16-5	92.45	109.74	▲ 17.29	92.38	108.47	▼ 16.09	▲ 1.20
Sat 2/12/2022	@ Texas Tech₈	L 59.63 - 70.10	L 69-82	16-6	90.82	93.72	▲ 2.90	101.24	114.98	▼ 13.74	▼ 10.84
Tue 2/15/2022	vs Iowa State₄₄	W 64.43 - 60.61	L 51-54	16-7	92.86	85.26	▼ 7.60	92.15	92.67	▼ 0.52	▼ 8.12
Sat 2/19/2022	@ Baylor₃	L 62.65 - 74.58	L 62-72	16-8	94.65	95.21	▲ 0.56	105.92	101.68	▲ 4.24	▲ 4.80
Mon 2/21/2022	vs West Virginia₆₄	W 70.59 - 64.80	W 77-67	17-8	99.68	105.78	▲ 6.10	96.57	98.39	▼ 1.82	▲ 4.28
Wed 2/23/2022	@ Texas₁₆	L 59.94 - 67.34	L 66-75	17-9	94.33	105.90	▲ 11.57	100.60	114.52	▼ 13.92	▼ 2.35
Sat 2/26/2022	vs Texas Tech₈	L 63.06 - 66.62	W 69-66	18-9	90.82	101.87	▲ 11.05	101.24	101.18	▲ 0.06	▲ 11.11
Tue 3/1/2022	vs Kansas₂	L 68.15 - 73.40	W 74-64	19-9	95.22	116.68	▲ 21.46	107.84	105.90	▲ 1.94	▲ 23.40
Thu 3/3/2022	@ Kansas₂	L 64.61 - 77.05	L 68-72	19-10	95.22	99.47	▲ 4.25	107.84	100.19	▲ 7.65	▲ 11.90
Sat 3/5/2022	@ West Virginia₆₄	L 67.07 - 68.41	L 64-70	19-11	99.68	91.56	▼ 8.12	96.57	94.55	▲ 2.02	▼ 6.10
Thu 3/10/2022	vs Texas₁₆ *	L 61.60 - 65.61	W 65-60	20-11	94.33	103.17	▲ 8.84	100.60	95.24	▲ 5.36	▲ 14.20
Fri 3/11/2022	@ Kansas₂	L 64.61 - 77.05	L 62-75	20-12	95.22	88.16	▼ 7.06	107.84	120.28	▼ 12.44	▼ 19.50
Fri 3/18/2022	vs Seton Hall₄₀ *	W 66.17 - 66.10	W 69-42	21-12	96.89	101.64	▲ 4.75	96.57	70.00	▲ 26.57	▲ 31.32
Sun 3/20/2022	vs Arizona₅ *	L 68.84 - 77.14	L 80-85 (OT)	21-13	96.01	101.35	▲ 5.34	106.46	100.00	▲ 6.46	▲ 11.80
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Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location.
Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.

CURIOUS TRENDS:

	When facing teams that are likely to allow more second chances off of offensive rebounds, TCU often performs worse than normal. TCU is more efficient than usual 27% of the time when facing teams that have a defensive second-chance potential point rate vs. AO greater than 12.84. In their other contests, TCU performs better than the norm 65% of the time.
	TCU does better vs. clubs that effectively clean the offensive glass. When playing squads that have an offensive second-chance potential point rate vs. AO greater than 13.57, TCU performs above average 68% of the time. Against all other opponents, the team performs better than the norm 33% of the time.
	TCU performs worse against squads that fail to defend efficiently inside the paint. When facing teams that have a defensive near-proximity field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 57.00%, TCU is more efficient than normal 33% of the time. In their other contests, the team is more efficient 68% of the time.

LATEST NEWS ITEMS:

	No. 6 Kansas slips past TCU to remain tied atop Big 12 (3/4/2022 5:10:23 AM) Kansas coach Bill Self called point guard Dajuan Harris something unfit for print after his scoreless performance at TCU earlier this week served as a microcosm of the Jayhawks' entire listless performance.
	No. 6 Kansas slips past TCU 72-68 to remain tied atop Big 12 (3/3/2022 10:20:37 PM) LAWRENCE, Kan. (AP) Ochai Agbaji scored 22 points, Dajuan Harris blocked Mike Miles' shot in the final seconds and sixth-ranked Kansas avenged a loss to TCU two days earlier with a 72-68 victory Thursday night that kept the Jayhawks tied atop the Big 12 headi…
	'Our kids are watching': How school board meetings became the frontline for political battles in Texas and beyond (2/23/2022 7:07:54 PM) School board meetings have become increasingly hostile in recent years thanks to public debates over everything from COVID-19 to culture. How did we get here?

HASLAMETRICS ALL-PLAY PERCENTAGE RANKING BY DAY: Select data to plot:

HASLAMETRICS TEAM HISTORY: Select data to view:

SUMMARY	Rk	AP%	Rec (WinPct)		RQ	Conference	Pace	Con	SOS	PTF	AFH	ASR

OFFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

DEFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

SUMMARY	Rk		AP%		Rec (WinPct)		RQ		Conference		Pace		Con		SOS		PTF		AFH		ASR

OFFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox

DEFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox