Haslametrics.com

Automated Team Capsule for 2016-17 TCU 24-15 (0.615) | Big 12

All-Play Percentage: 0.903 (35^th)	Schedule Strength: 0.756 (18^th)	Record Quality: 0.287 (47^th)	Avg. Season Rank: 38.03 (39^th)
Pace: 68.63 (268^th)	Momentum: 3.46 (31^st)	Off. Momentum: 3.39 (31^st)	Def. Momentum: 0.07 (127^th)
Consistency: -8.57 (129^th)	Res. Consistency: -10.32 (107^th)	Away From Home: -1.59 (305^th)	Paper Tiger Factor: -3.59 (330^th)

NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category.
Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement.
Includes games through April 3, 2017. Data shown on this page is based on time-independent ratings.

OFFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

112.06

28.50

68.84

85.52

47.98

28.83

35.96

23.79

39.21

32.90

64.86

13.04

16.36

8.99

33.71

27.82

38.47

1.95

RANK:

36^th

130^th

231^st

24^th

31^st

201^st

139^th

169^th

58^th

33^rd

49^th

44^th

77^th

20^th

241^st

205^th

52^nd

58^th

DEFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

94.02

22.64

81.54

41.96

28.86

34.36

22.95

35.95

29.73

53.98

8.44

13.24

6.16

35.39

28.14

36.46

1.99

RANK:

43^rd

35^th

161^st

74^th

153^rd

111^th

143^rd

130^th

229^th

44^th

23^rd

82^nd

121^st

141^st

150^th

236^th

227^th

ANALYSIS:
TCU has a fairly solid squad that likely falls within the top quartile of all teams in college basketball this year. Haslametrics has them ranked 35th overall (out of 351) in All-Play Percentage, and the team holds a record of 24-15. They are also ranked by this site as the #8 team (out of 10) in the Big 12 (average ranking 27.6). Sporting a strength-of-schedule rating of 0.756 (the 18th-highest in the country), TCU has prepared themselves by challenging some of the best teams in the college game.

TCU succeeds primarily through their offense. They are ranked 36th in offensive efficiency and score in excess of 112 points every 100 possessions vs. AO. TCU does an outstanding job finishing any scoring chances they obtain from offensive rebounds. Against AO, the team successfully converts 9.0% of all second-chance opportunities (ranked 20th nationally). TCU also allows very few breakaway opportunities for the opposition, which typically translates to fewer turnovers. The team's rating vs. AO for potential breakaway points allowed off of steals is 8.44, which ranks #23 in the country. TCU is lastly one of the very best when it comes to maximizing field goal opportunities. The team is ranked 24th in the NCAA in offensive field goal attempt rate with a rating of 85.52 vs. AO. And when they do shoot, they make a fair portion of their shots. Ranked in the top-50 in field goal shooting percentage, the squad converts about 48.0% of their total attempts vs. AO.

TCU plays at roughly the same level defensively as they do offensively. The team ranks 43rd nationally in defensive efficiency, allowing about 94 points every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO. TCU does a pretty solid job avoiding careless fouls and minimizing opponents' opportunities from the free throw line. With a defensive free throw attempt rate of 22.64 vs. AO, they are currently rated 35th in the country in that category. TCU has also done a really good job this year to prevent opponents from making shots from the inside. They are ranked 44th in the country in defensive near-proximity percentage, allowing AO to make good on only 54.0% of their attempts from close-up.

TCU has been playing better basketball in their most recent outings, as evidenced by the team's #31 ranking in positive momentum. When playing on the road, TCU performs somewhat worse than they normally do on their home court. The club is nationally ranked 305th in our site's away-from-home metric.

SORTABLE SCHEDULE / RESULTS:


					ADJ. OFF. EFFICIENCY			ADJ. DEF. EFFICIENCY
Date	Opponent	Should	Did	Record	Should	Did	Diff.	Should	Did	Diff.	Rating
Fri 11/11/2016	vs St. Thomas (TX)	---	W 82-64	1-0	---	---	---	---	---	---	---
Mon 11/14/2016	vs Alabama State₃₄₅	W 86.30 - 52.97	W 98-62	2-0	122.51	131.83	▲ 9.32	78.75	60.91	▲ 17.84	▲ 27.16
Fri 11/18/2016	vs Jacksonville St.₁₇₀	W 75.20 - 59.91	W 79-60	3-0	112.25	128.69	▲ 16.44	93.03	96.86	▼ 3.83	▲ 12.61
Mon 11/21/2016	vs Illinois State₅₈	W 68.57 - 62.85	W 80-71	4-0	102.47	108.90	▲ 6.43	97.20	99.48	▼ 2.28	▲ 4.15
Fri 11/25/2016	@ UNLV₂₂₅	W 76.63 - 62.59	W 63-59	5-0	112.10	89.72	▼ 22.38	87.59	78.61	▲ 8.98	▼ 13.40
Sat 11/26/2016	vs Washington₁₆₇ *	W 81.29 - 68.32	W 93-80	6-0	114.01	117.11	▲ 3.10	95.89	96.05	▼ 0.16	▲ 2.94
Wed 11/30/2016	vs Washington₁₆₇	W 82.83 - 66.84	W 86-71	7-0	114.01	109.21	▼ 4.80	95.89	85.31	▲ 10.58	▲ 5.78
Sat 12/3/2016	vs Arkansas State₁₂₇	W 76.68 - 63.47	W 77-54	8-0	110.78	110.69	▼ 0.09	95.40	89.31	▲ 6.09	▲ 6.00
Wed 12/7/2016	@ SMU₁₅	L 64.22 - 72.13	L 59-74	8-1	102.59	97.04	▼ 5.55	109.56	116.43	▼ 6.87	▼ 12.42
Sat 12/10/2016	vs Wofford₁₃₄	W 79.31 - 64.95	W 72-63	9-1	114.95	105.25	▼ 9.70	97.46	97.67	▼ 0.21	▼ 9.91
Sun 12/18/2016	vs Texas Southern₂₂₆	W 81.50 - 61.73	W 96-59	10-1	116.84	132.48	▲ 15.64	91.93	75.13	▲ 16.80	▲ 32.44
Wed 12/21/2016	vs Bradley₂₄₁	W 77.43 - 57.37	W 74-42	11-1	111.49	106.88	▼ 4.61	85.82	69.49	▲ 16.33	▲ 11.72
Fri 12/30/2016	vs Kansas₆	L 72.92 - 78.04	L 80-86	11-2	102.47	103.05	▲ 0.58	113.49	118.43	▼ 4.94	▼ 4.36
Tue 1/3/2017	vs Oklahoma₅₉	W 74.08 - 67.66	W 60-57	12-2	103.60	84.74	▼ 18.86	98.20	84.82	▲ 13.38	▼ 5.48
Sat 1/7/2017	@ West Virginia₅	L 66.28 - 77.62	L 70-82	12-3	96.04	106.69	▲ 10.65	107.22	118.37	▼ 11.15	▼ 0.50
Wed 1/11/2017	@ Texas₆₅	W 67.92 - 66.86	W 64-61	13-3	102.04	89.89	▼ 12.15	95.75	79.12	▲ 16.63	▲ 4.48
Sat 1/14/2017	vs Iowa State₁₇	L 71.57 - 73.17	W 84-77	14-3	102.69	121.31	▲ 18.62	108.54	112.66	▼ 4.12	▲ 14.50
Wed 1/18/2017	@ Texas Tech₃₁	L 66.06 - 69.47	L 69-75	14-4	104.73	102.22	▼ 2.51	104.72	104.93	▼ 0.21	▼ 2.72
Sat 1/21/2017	vs Baylor₁₀	L 65.08 - 68.38	L 53-62	14-5	99.62	84.45	▼ 15.17	108.03	102.22	▲ 5.81	▼ 9.36
Mon 1/23/2017	@ Oklahoma State₂₀	L 75.71 - 83.56	L 76-89	14-6	108.34	105.25	▼ 3.09	113.86	124.65	▼ 10.79	▼ 13.88
Sat 1/28/2017	vs Auburn₇₆	W 82.49 - 72.89	L 80-88	14-7	109.87	88.59	▼ 21.28	100.57	103.36	▼ 2.79	▼ 24.07
Wed 2/1/2017	@ Kansas State₂₈	L 66.19 - 71.08	W 86-80 (OT)	15-7	102.32	108.01	▲ 5.69	104.41	105.14	▼ 0.73	▲ 4.96
Sat 2/4/2017	vs Texas₆₅	W 70.85 - 64.03	W 78-63	16-7	102.04	120.37	▲ 18.33	95.75	102.22	▼ 6.47	▲ 11.86
Tue 2/7/2017	vs Texas Tech₃₁	W 68.84 - 66.59	W 62-61	17-7	104.73	93.17	▼ 11.56	104.72	94.64	▲ 10.08	▼ 1.48
Sat 2/11/2017	@ Baylor₁₀	L 62.32 - 71.24	L 52-70	17-8	99.62	86.22	▼ 13.40	108.03	125.78	▼ 17.75	▼ 31.15
Wed 2/15/2017	vs Oklahoma State₂₀	L 78.78 - 80.24	L 68-71	17-9	108.34	111.12	▲ 2.78	113.86	118.61	▼ 4.75	▼ 1.97
Sat 2/18/2017	@ Iowa State₁₇	L 68.63 - 76.16	L 71-84	17-10	102.69	108.37	▲ 5.68	108.54	122.03	▼ 13.49	▼ 7.81
Wed 2/22/2017	@ Kansas₆	L 69.93 - 81.07	L 68-87	17-11	102.47	99.19	▼ 3.28	113.49	119.84	▼ 6.35	▼ 9.63
Sat 2/25/2017	vs West Virginia₅	L 69.31 - 74.54	L 60-61	17-12	96.04	87.34	▼ 8.70	107.22	91.92	▲ 15.30	▲ 6.60
Wed 3/1/2017	vs Kansas State₂₈	W 69.04 - 68.18	L 74-75	17-13	102.32	109.91	▲ 7.59	104.41	114.16	▼ 9.75	▼ 2.16
Sat 3/4/2017	@ Oklahoma₅₉	W 71.07 - 70.74	L 68-73	17-14	103.60	106.83	▲ 3.23	98.20	110.09	▼ 11.89	▼ 8.66
Wed 3/8/2017	vs Oklahoma₅₉ *	W 72.57 - 69.20	W 82-63	18-14	103.60	122.58	▲ 18.98	98.20	92.19	▲ 6.01	▲ 24.99
Thu 3/9/2017	vs Kansas₆ *	L 71.42 - 79.56	W 85-82	19-14	102.47	111.84	▲ 9.37	113.49	106.49	▲ 7.00	▲ 16.37
Fri 3/10/2017	vs Iowa State₁₇ *	L 70.10 - 74.67	L 63-84	19-15	102.69	88.89	▼ 13.80	108.54	137.04	▼ 28.50	▼ 42.30
Wed 3/15/2017	vs Fresno State₁₁₀	W 75.17 - 63.47	W 66-59	20-15	107.51	92.07	▼ 15.44	94.70	86.50	▲ 8.20	▼ 7.24
Sun 3/19/2017	@ Iowa₆₂	W 76.21 - 75.63	W 94-92 (OT)	21-15	109.03	120.53	▲ 11.50	103.31	117.78	▼ 14.47	▼ 2.97
Tue 3/21/2017	vs Richmond₈₄	W 76.60 - 67.01	W 86-68	22-15	109.07	133.99	▲ 24.92	99.49	102.22	▼ 2.73	▲ 22.19
Tue 3/28/2017	vs UCF₆₉ *	W 67.72 - 62.96	W 68-53	23-15	102.18	104.76	▲ 2.58	94.39	84.13	▲ 10.26	▲ 12.84
Thu 3/30/2017	vs Georgia Tech₇₅ *	W 68.83 - 63.01	W 88-56	24-15	101.16	121.31	▲ 20.15	92.26	80.33	▲ 11.93	▲ 32.08
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Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location.
Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.

CURIOUS TRENDS:

	When playing teams that convert well from outside the arc, TCU usually performs worse than average. TCU is more efficient than normal 19% of the time when facing clubs that have an offensive three-point field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 37.05%. In all other contests, TCU performs better than average 82% of the time.
	TCU is typically worse vs. teams that are typically efficient on offense. Against foes that have an offensive efficiency rating vs. AO greater than 104.61, TCU performs above their norm 25% of the time. Against the remaining opposition, the team performs above average 86% of the time.
	When facing teams that convert well from the charity stripe, TCU often performs worse than normal. TCU is more efficient than usual 33% of the time when facing teams that have an adjusted free throw percentage vs. AO greater than 67.48%. In their other contests, TCU performs better than the norm 82% of the time.

HASLAMETRICS ALL-PLAY PERCENTAGE RANKING BY DAY: Select data to plot:

HASLAMETRICS TEAM HISTORY: Select data to view:

SUMMARY	Rk	AP%	Rec (WinPct)		RQ	Conference	Pace	Con	SOS	PTF	AFH	ASR

OFFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

DEFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

SUMMARY	Rk		AP%		Rec (WinPct)		RQ		Conference		Pace		Con		SOS		PTF		AFH		ASR

OFFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox

DEFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox