Haslametrics.com

Automated Team Capsule for 2015-16 TCU 12-21 (0.364) | Big 12

All-Play Percentage: 0.637 (129^th)	Schedule Strength: 0.691 (39^th)	Record Quality: -0.022 (179^th)	Avg. Season Rank: 143.93 (142^nd)
Pace: 70.99 (105^th)	Momentum: -0.21 (176^th)	Off. Momentum: 3.24 (35^th)	Def. Momentum: -3.44 (321^st)
Consistency: -10.45 (330^th)	Res. Consistency: -11.53 (177^th)	Away From Home: -2.43 (339^th)	Paper Tiger Factor: -2.85 (308^th)

NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category.
Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement.
Includes games through April 4, 2016. Data shown on this page is based on time-independent ratings.

OFFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

98.76

33.04

67.37

79.75

42.51

24.53

35.42

25.67

33.37

29.55

56.34

10.75

17.14

7.59

30.76

32.19

37.05

1.94

RANK:

206^th

27^th

269^th

280^th

226^th

304^th

149^th

123^rd

278^th

129^th

249^th

168^th

60^th

92^nd

289^th

98^th

103^rd

59^th

DEFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

97.26

28.97

77.08

43.25

28.78

33.79

20.25

37.26

28.05

57.28

11.76

12.99

6.08

37.33

26.28

36.39

2.01

RANK:

74^th

180^th

19^th

141^st

174^th

110^th

44^th

225^th

145^th

109^th

256^th

49^th

102^nd

261^st

76^th

224^th

154^th

ANALYSIS:
As an average to slightly above-average foe, TCU should probably not be discounted by opponents this year. They have a record of 12-21 and are ranked 129th overall (out of 351) in the latest Haslametrics ratings. Of the 10 schools in the Big 12 (average ranking 44.4), they're currently ranked as the worst team in the conference.

TCU will mainly try to find success through their defense. They are ranked 74th in defensive efficiency and allow fewer than 98 points every 100 possessions vs. AO. TCU has extremely pesky defenders that ceaselessly attempt to deny opponents ample opportunity to shoot. The club is ranked 19th in Division I in defensive field goal attempt rate with a rating of 77.08 vs. AO. TCU is also a solid rebounding team that will deny the opposition chances to score off of offensive rebounds. They have a rating of 12.99 vs. AO in potential points allowed off of second chances (ranked 49th in the country).

The offense for TCU, on the other hand, isn't nearly as efficient as the defense is. The team is ranked 206th in offensive efficiency, scoring about 99 points every 100 possessions vs. AO. TCU doesn't do a great job maximizing opportunities to score when in possession. The team is nationally ranked 280th in offensive field goal attempt rate with a rating of only 79.75 vs. AO. If TCU does have a strength offensively, it would have to be the team's ability to get to the free throw line. The squad has a free throw attempt rate of 33.04 vs. AO, which ranks 27th in the country.

TCU has been one of the most erratic teams in college basketball this year (currently ranked 330th overall in consistency), which makes the outcomes of their future games far more difficult to predict. On the road, TCU performs noticeably worse than they do at home. The team is currently ranked 339th in the country in the away-from-home metric we track.

SORTABLE SCHEDULE / RESULTS:


					ADJ. OFF. EFFICIENCY			ADJ. DEF. EFFICIENCY
Date	Opponent	Should	Did	Record	Should	Did	Diff.	Should	Did	Diff.	Rating
Fri 11/13/2015	vs SE Louisiana₃₂₅	W 78.97 - 60.40	W 90-77	1-0	108.30	114.42	▲ 6.12	88.21	98.86	▼ 10.65	▼ 4.53
Thu 11/19/2015	vs Houston Baptist₂₉₅	W 79.93 - 64.07	W 90-63	2-0	105.96	122.49	▲ 16.53	90.76	89.90	▲ 0.86	▲ 17.39
Sat 11/21/2015	vs South Dakota St.₇₀	L 70.14 - 72.28	L 67-76	2-1	95.91	82.98	▼ 12.93	104.72	99.12	▲ 5.60	▼ 7.33
Tue 11/24/2015	vs URI₇₆ *	L 63.14 - 68.44	L 60-66	2-2	92.42	89.55	▼ 2.87	100.28	100.00	▲ 0.28	▼ 2.59
Wed 11/25/2015	vs Illinois State₁₃₅ *	W 67.03 - 66.64	W 71-60	3-2	95.46	101.50	▲ 6.04	95.05	85.78	▲ 9.27	▲ 15.31
Wed 12/2/2015	vs SMU₁₉	L 65.57 - 74.42	L 70-75	3-3	92.66	92.97	▲ 0.31	111.00	105.66	▲ 5.34	▲ 5.65
Sat 12/5/2015	vs Colgate₂₅₄	W 73.89 - 62.36	W 76-49	4-3	105.03	108.95	▲ 3.92	94.27	74.85	▲ 19.42	▲ 23.34
Tue 12/8/2015	@ Washington₆₂	L 71.34 - 83.22	L 67-92	4-4	93.43	62.92	▼ 30.51	102.71	127.85	▼ 25.14	▼ 55.65
Fri 12/11/2015	vs PV A&M₃₂₈	W 74.51 - 55.29	W 73-55	5-4	101.55	94.10	▼ 7.45	80.59	64.11	▲ 16.48	▲ 9.03
Sun 12/20/2015	vs Abil. Christian₃₂₄	W 77.64 - 59.44	W 80-69	6-4	107.27	109.76	▲ 2.49	87.75	101.49	▼ 13.74	▼ 11.25
Wed 12/23/2015	@ Bradley₃₃₁	W 69.89 - 58.43	W 53-49	7-4	101.23	79.73	▼ 21.50	79.89	68.10	▲ 11.79	▼ 9.71
Mon 12/28/2015	vs Delaware State₃₅₁	W 77.30 - 52.00	W 75-47	8-4	110.14	124.74	▲ 14.60	79.11	66.75	▲ 12.36	▲ 26.96
Sat 1/2/2016	@ Oklahoma State₁₀₀	L 61.18 - 68.46	L 48-69	8-5	93.71	74.85	▼ 18.86	98.59	103.98	▼ 5.39	▼ 24.25
Mon 1/4/2016	vs West Virginia₁₀	L 63.05 - 75.65	L 87-95	8-6	84.08	102.02	▲ 17.94	106.42	118.77	▼ 12.35	▲ 5.59
Sat 1/9/2016	vs Texas₄₁	L 64.50 - 69.75	W 58-57	9-6	91.85	81.14	▼ 10.71	105.16	86.74	▲ 18.42	▲ 7.71
Wed 1/13/2016	@ Baylor₃₁	L 63.28 - 77.48	L 54-82	9-7	95.18	80.92	▼ 14.26	110.13	133.08	▼ 22.95	▼ 37.21
Sat 1/16/2016	@ Kansas₂	L 58.72 - 82.77	L 63-70	9-8	85.10	86.79	▲ 1.69	112.35	106.61	▲ 5.74	▲ 7.43
Mon 1/18/2016	vs Texas Tech₄₆	L 66.10 - 70.67	L 69-76	9-9	93.60	101.63	▲ 8.03	105.86	118.07	▼ 12.21	▼ 4.18
Sat 1/23/2016	vs Iowa State₂₄	L 71.80 - 80.24	L 60-73	9-10	95.07	75.75	▼ 19.32	111.91	97.58	▲ 14.33	▼ 4.99
Tue 1/26/2016	@ Texas₄₁	L 60.72 - 73.53	L 54-71	9-11	91.85	74.56	▼ 17.29	105.16	100.11	▲ 5.05	▼ 12.24
Sat 1/30/2016	vs Tennessee₉₇	W 71.47 - 71.13	W 75-63	10-11	96.58	99.82	▲ 3.24	101.63	90.42	▲ 11.21	▲ 14.45
Tue 2/2/2016	@ Oklahoma₉	L 62.02 - 82.42	L 72-95	10-12	88.97	92.11	▲ 3.14	111.03	117.92	▼ 6.89	▼ 3.75
Sat 2/6/2016	vs Kansas₂	L 62.66 - 78.67	L 56-75	10-13	85.10	82.08	▼ 3.02	112.35	119.31	▼ 6.96	▼ 9.98
Mon 2/8/2016	vs Oklahoma State₁₀₀	W 64.91 - 64.56	W 63-56	11-13	93.71	95.50	▲ 1.79	98.59	85.46	▲ 13.13	▲ 14.92
Sat 2/13/2016	@ West Virginia₁₀	L 59.04 - 79.69	L 42-73	11-14	84.08	61.74	▼ 22.34	106.42	88.26	▲ 18.16	▼ 4.18
Tue 2/16/2016	vs Kansas State₅₂	L 64.69 - 68.51	L 49-63	11-15	90.25	70.52	▼ 19.73	100.86	98.23	▲ 2.63	▼ 17.10
Sat 2/20/2016	@ Iowa State₂₄	L 67.74 - 84.39	L 83-92	11-16	95.07	116.62	▲ 21.55	111.91	123.11	▼ 11.20	▲ 10.35
Tue 2/23/2016	@ Texas Tech₄₆	L 62.30 - 74.64	L 79-83	11-17	93.60	128.31	▲ 34.71	105.86	128.83	▼ 22.97	▲ 11.74
Sat 2/27/2016	vs Baylor₃₁	L 67.08 - 73.56	L 71-86	11-18	95.18	97.08	▲ 1.90	110.13	122.92	▼ 12.79	▼ 10.89
Wed 3/2/2016	@ Kansas State₅₂	L 60.84 - 72.42	L 54-79	11-19	90.25	70.16	▼ 20.09	100.86	112.60	▼ 11.74	▼ 31.83
Sat 3/5/2016	vs Oklahoma₉	L 66.00 - 78.25	L 67-75	11-20	88.97	92.80	▲ 3.83	111.03	110.06	▲ 0.97	▲ 4.80
Wed 3/9/2016	vs Texas Tech₄₆ *	L 64.20 - 72.65	W 67-62	12-20	93.60	106.35	▲ 12.75	105.86	96.88	▲ 8.98	▲ 21.73
Thu 3/10/2016	vs West Virginia₁₀ *	L 61.05 - 77.67	L 66-86	12-21	84.08	98.39	▲ 14.31	106.42	126.56	▼ 20.14	▼ 5.83
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Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location.
Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.

CURIOUS TRENDS:

	When facing teams that allow a greater number of field goal opportunities, TCU often performs better than normal. TCU is more efficient than usual 62% of the time when facing teams that have a defensive field goal attempt rate vs. AO greater than 79.93. In their other contests, TCU performs better than the norm 17% of the time.
	TCU does better vs. clubs that typically allow more than a fair share of breakaway opportunities. When playing squads that have a potential point rate allowed off steals vs. AO greater than 9.98, TCU performs above average 60% of the time. Against all other opponents, the team performs better than the norm 23% of the time.
	TCU performs worse against squads that find ways to get to the free throw line. When facing teams that have an offensive free throw attempt rate vs. AO greater than 30.24, TCU is more efficient than normal 27% of the time. In their other contests, the team is more efficient 61% of the time.

HASLAMETRICS ALL-PLAY PERCENTAGE RANKING BY DAY: Select data to plot:

HASLAMETRICS TEAM HISTORY: Select data to view:

SUMMARY	Rk	AP%	Rec (WinPct)		RQ	Conference	Pace	Con	SOS	PTF	AFH	ASR

OFFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

DEFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

SUMMARY	Rk		AP%		Rec (WinPct)		RQ		Conference		Pace		Con		SOS		PTF		AFH		ASR

OFFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox

DEFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox