Haslametrics.com

Automated Team Capsule for 2018-19 Missouri State 16-16 (0.500) | Missouri Valley

All-Play Percentage: 0.449 (195^th)	Schedule Strength: 0.497 (168^th)	Record Quality: -0.022 (182^nd)	Avg. Season Rank: 213.06 (214^th)
Pace: 67.81 (228^th)	Momentum: -1.93 (255^th)	Off. Momentum: -1.57 (298^th)	Def. Momentum: -0.36 (159^th)
Consistency: -10.00 (239^th)	Res. Consistency: -14.25 (293^rd)	Away From Home: -1.04 (276^th)	Paper Tiger Factor: -0.04 (87^th)

NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category.
Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement.
Includes games through April 8, 2019. Data shown on this page is based on time-independent ratings.

OFFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

100.16

28.11

67.01

79.12

44.68

30.05

35.35

25.81

39.68

23.26

62.27

11.90

12.80

5.27

37.98

32.62

29.40

2.09

RANK:

219^th

87^th

306^th

327^th

138^th

248^th

130^th

41^st

42^nd

343^rd

87^th

145^th

216^th

251^st

192^nd

22^nd

339^th

282^nd

DEFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

104.18

26.14

79.83

45.87

29.84

39.83

29.24

39.95

20.75

62.90

12.80

13.92

6.60

37.38

36.63

25.99

2.11

RANK:

174^th

185^th

37^th

252^nd

69^th

351^st

352^nd

321^st

1^st

266^th

196^th

247^th

138^th

352^nd

1^st

23^rd

ANALYSIS:
While not an atrocious team by any means, Missouri State is not exactly one that should appear in many top-100 rankings either. Ranked 195th overall (out of 353) in our most recent ratings, they presently have a record of 16-16. They are also ranked by this site as the #7 team (out of 10) in the MVC (average ranking 178.4).

Missouri State will likely call on their defense to win a majority of their games. The team is ranked 174th in defensive efficiency and allows fewer than 105 points for every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO. Missouri State does a really good job to prevent opponents from getting off shots from the field. The club is ranked 37th in Division I in defensive field goal attempt rate with a rating of 79.83 vs. AO. If Missouri State does exhibit a noticeable weakness on the defensive end of the floor, it'd likely be the team's inability to stop opponents from sinking threes. AO will convert 39.8% of their three-point attempts, and the team ranks third-worst in that category because of it.

Missouri State is not quite as good on the offensive end of the floor. The team is ranked 219th in offensive efficiency, scoring about 100 points every 100 possessions vs. AO. Missouri State is one of the more inferior teams in the college game when it comes to maximizing opportunities to score on offense. The team is nationally ranked 327th in offensive field goal attempt rate with a rating of only 79.12 vs. AO. Missouri State is also not one of the better teams when it comes to sinking foul shots. Converting just 67.0% of their attempts, the squad is ranked #306 overall in free throw percentage. If Missouri State does have a strength offensively, it would have to be the team's ability to successfully hit from mid-range locations on the court. The team makes 39.7% of their in-between field goal attempts vs. AO, which ranks 42nd in the NCAA.

SORTABLE SCHEDULE / RESULTS:


					ADJ. OFF. EFFICIENCY			ADJ. DEF. EFFICIENCY
Date	Opponent	Should	Did	Record	Should	Did	Diff.	Should	Did	Diff.	Rating
Tue 11/6/2018	vs Oral Roberts₂₈₈	W 74.89 - 66.12	W 84-50	1-0	108.30	107.03	▼ 1.27	101.17	69.16	▲ 32.01	▲ 30.74
Fri 11/9/2018	vs Robert Morris₂₆₀	W 68.92 - 61.58	W 74-60	2-0	100.42	92.24	▼ 8.18	94.75	82.50	▲ 12.25	▲ 4.07
Sun 11/11/2018	vs Stetson₃₃₄	W 77.92 - 63.28	W 83-70	3-0	110.34	106.36	▼ 3.98	94.15	93.41	▲ 0.74	▼ 3.24
Mon 11/19/2018	vs Nebraska₂₈ *	L 61.79 - 75.99	L 62-85	3-1	93.45	88.89	▼ 4.56	115.04	120.00	▼ 4.96	▼ 9.52
Tue 11/20/2018	vs USC₈₄ *	L 67.33 - 75.39	L 80-99	3-2	98.47	104.69	▲ 6.22	109.82	136.92	▼ 27.10	▼ 20.88
Sat 11/24/2018	@ Murray State₅₀	L 63.79 - 79.55	L 66-77	3-3	95.59	90.17	▼ 5.42	112.81	105.31	▲ 7.50	▲ 2.08
Wed 11/28/2018	@ Air Force₂₄₅	W 68.11 - 68.10	L 69-88	3-4	103.70	104.08	▲ 0.38	98.94	134.60	▼ 35.66	▼ 35.28
Sat 12/1/2018	@ Oregon State₉₂	L 63.52 - 74.31	L 77-101	3-5	99.89	95.22	▼ 4.67	110.94	142.96	▼ 32.02	▼ 36.69
Wed 12/5/2018	vs W. Kentucky₁₃₀	L 67.23 - 69.05	W 84-78	4-5	96.78	119.24	▲ 22.46	104.03	113.92	▼ 9.89	▲ 12.57
Sat 12/15/2018	@ North Dakota St.₂₀₅	L 68.38 - 70.94	L 67-74	4-6	106.47	95.55	▼ 10.92	105.05	96.17	▲ 8.88	▼ 2.04
Tue 12/18/2018	@ Arkansas State₂₂₉	L 69.78 - 71.29	L 63-71	4-7	105.42	89.22	▼ 16.20	102.72	95.64	▲ 7.08	▼ 9.12
Sat 12/22/2018	vs AR-Pine Bluff₃₂₄	W 72.81 - 59.71	W 93-72	5-7	105.99	115.56	▲ 9.57	90.98	91.38	▼ 0.40	▲ 9.17
Sun 12/30/2018	vs William Woods	---	W 110-56	6-7	---	---	---	---	---	---	---
Wed 1/2/2019	@ S. Illinois₁₅₉	L 64.01 - 69.44	L 70-75	6-8	98.39	99.72	▲ 1.33	102.10	103.14	▼ 1.04	▲ 0.29
Sat 1/5/2019	vs Valparaiso₂₃₃	W 68.01 - 62.54	L 66-82	6-9	102.75	87.50	▼ 15.25	97.87	132.50	▼ 34.63	▼ 49.88
Tue 1/8/2019	@ Indiana State₂₀₀	L 67.57 - 70.58	W 72-57	7-9	101.62	99.72	▼ 1.90	100.21	82.90	▲ 17.31	▲ 15.41
Sat 1/12/2019	@ Bradley₁₄₈	L 61.61 - 68.29	W 69-64	8-9	96.08	112.02	▲ 15.94	101.93	97.50	▲ 4.43	▲ 20.37
Wed 1/16/2019	vs Evansville₂₃₀	W 72.04 - 66.57	L 64-70	8-10	100.82	90.26	▼ 10.56	98.16	106.97	▼ 8.81	▼ 19.37
Sun 1/20/2019	@ Drake₁₃₅	L 66.97 - 75.29	L 63-74	8-11	99.73	87.57	▼ 12.16	106.51	103.00	▲ 3.51	▼ 8.65
Wed 1/23/2019	vs Loyola-Chicago₁₀₆	L 62.43 - 65.31	W 70-35	9-11	94.88	136.53	▲ 41.65	103.91	81.44	▲ 22.47	▲ 64.12
Sat 1/26/2019	vs Bradley₁₄₈	L 64.76 - 65.09	W 55-37	10-11	96.08	93.73	▼ 2.35	101.93	64.76	▲ 37.17	▲ 34.82
Tue 1/29/2019	@ Valparaiso₂₃₃	L 64.90 - 65.72	W 55-54 (OT)	11-11	102.75	89.61	▼ 13.14	97.87	80.20	▲ 17.67	▲ 4.53
Sat 2/2/2019	@ Northern Iowa₁₈₄	L 63.09 - 66.93	L 59-64	11-12	99.43	107.85	▲ 8.42	100.49	109.29	▼ 8.80	▼ 0.38
Wed 2/6/2019	vs S. Illinois₁₅₉	W 67.21 - 66.21	W 65-59	12-12	98.39	109.57	▲ 11.18	102.10	102.50	▼ 0.40	▲ 10.78
Sun 2/10/2019	vs Illinois State₁₉₄	W 69.82 - 66.53	W 66-65	13-12	101.16	107.05	▲ 5.89	101.52	112.20	▼ 10.68	▼ 4.79
Wed 2/13/2019	@ Evansville₂₃₀	L 68.69 - 70.02	W 68-56	14-12	100.82	115.58	▲ 14.76	98.16	89.07	▲ 9.09	▲ 23.85
Sun 2/17/2019	@ Loyola-Chicago₁₀₆	L 59.34 - 68.41	W 65-61	15-12	94.88	112.67	▲ 17.79	103.91	104.52	▼ 0.61	▲ 17.18
Wed 2/20/2019	vs Northern Iowa₁₈₄	W 66.22 - 63.64	L 43-63	15-13	99.43	65.84	▼ 33.59	100.49	95.94	▲ 4.55	▼ 29.04
Sat 2/23/2019	vs Indiana State₂₀₀	W 70.84 - 67.14	W 67-61	16-13	101.62	103.43	▲ 1.81	100.21	94.92	▲ 5.29	▲ 7.10
Wed 2/27/2019	@ Illinois State₁₉₄	L 66.58 - 69.85	L 57-65	16-14	101.16	91.56	▼ 9.60	101.52	97.50	▲ 4.02	▼ 5.58
Sat 3/2/2019	vs Drake₁₃₅	L 70.28 - 71.78	L 62-73	16-15	99.73	86.39	▼ 13.34	106.51	116.78	▼ 10.27	▼ 23.61
Fri 3/8/2019	vs Bradley₁₄₈ *	L 63.18 - 66.69	L 58-61	16-16	96.08	101.75	▲ 5.67	101.93	108.93	▼ 7.00	▼ 1.33
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Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location.
Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.

CURIOUS TRENDS:

	When playing teams that prefer the outside shot, Missouri State usually performs worse than average. Missouri State is more efficient than normal 30% of the time when facing clubs that have an offensive shooting proximity score vs. AO greater than 1.95. In all other contests, Missouri State performs better than average 82% of the time.
	Missouri State is typically worse vs. teams that are more proficient at draining the mid-range shot. Against foes that have an offensive mid-range field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 36.09%, Missouri State performs above their norm 17% of the time. Against the remaining opposition, the team performs above average 68% of the time.
	When facing teams that aren't terribly skilled defensively, Missouri State often performs worse than normal. Missouri State is more efficient than usual 33% of the time when facing teams that have a defensive efficiency rating vs. AO greater than 101.06. In their other contests, Missouri State performs better than the norm 80% of the time.

LATEST NEWS ITEMS:

	What to watch when Bradley faces Loyola in an MVC semifinal (3/9/2019 1:58:00 PM) NOTEWORTHY: Bradley leads series 35-27 ... the Ramblers whipped Valparaiso 67-54 behind Cameron Krutwig’s 18 points and the Braves edged Missouri State 61-58 behind Darrell Brown’s 20 points. … Loyola won this semifinal matchup last year 62-54 ...
	Missouri Valley Conference: Loyola and a patched-together Drake roster set their sights on the final (3/9/2019 1:12:00 PM) The Ramblers led 40-18 at the half and idled their way to win No. 20. Fifth-seeded Bradley edged fourth-seeded Missouri State, 61-58. It is never shocking when a 5 seed defeats a 4, but the Bears defeated Bradley twice during the regular season.
	Bears lose at Illinois State, stay in fight for first (2/27/2019 9:45:00 PM) The Missouri State men’s basketball team remains in the battle for the Missouri ... Juniors Keandre Cook and Tulio Da Silva led the way for the Bears at halftime with eight points apiece. “I was extremely proud of our effort going into halftime ...
	A rejuvenated Southeast Missouri State assistant’s legend grows, dunk by dunk (2/26/2019 5:21:00 PM) As a basketball player, that’s simply part of who the former Missouri State guard is: a high-level athlete that ... As a freshman in 2009-10, Pickens was a frequent starter for a 24-win Bears team before being shut down with a meniscus injury late ...
	Missouri State tops Indiana State, clinches first Valley winning record since 2011 (2/24/2019 12:11:00 AM) SPRINGFIELD, Mo. -- Missouri State's 67-61 win over Indiana State on Saturday clinched the Bears' first winning conference record since the 2011-2012 season. The win came in large part thanks to another stellar performance from transfer Tulio Da Silva.

HASLAMETRICS ALL-PLAY PERCENTAGE RANKING BY DAY: Select data to plot:

HASLAMETRICS TEAM HISTORY: Select data to view:

SUMMARY	Rk	AP%	Rec (WinPct)		RQ	Conference	Pace	Con	SOS	PTF	AFH	ASR

OFFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

DEFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

SUMMARY	Rk		AP%		Rec (WinPct)		RQ		Conference		Pace		Con		SOS		PTF		AFH		ASR

OFFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox

DEFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox