Haslametrics.com

Automated Team Capsule for 2016-17 Missouri State 17-16 (0.515) | Missouri Valley

All-Play Percentage: 0.631 (130^th)	Schedule Strength: 0.528 (127^th)	Record Quality: 0.004 (167^th)	Avg. Season Rank: 117.18 (115^th)
Pace: 69.39 (229^th)	Momentum: -1.74 (255^th)	Off. Momentum: 1.83 (98^th)	Def. Momentum: -3.58 (325^th)
Consistency: -8.44 (116^th)	Res. Consistency: -8.60 (26^th)	Away From Home: -0.46 (202^nd)	Paper Tiger Factor: -0.79 (153^rd)

NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category.
Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement.
Includes games through April 3, 2017. Data shown on this page is based on time-independent ratings.

OFFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

103.23

27.00

70.04

82.83

44.18

31.01

35.86

33.02

39.36

18.80

66.39

9.87

16.06

7.57

37.44

39.86

22.70

2.15

RANK:

131^st

192^nd

185^th

106^th

162^nd

126^th

143^rd

5^th

52^nd

351^st

33^rd

228^th

92^nd

82^nd

136^th

5^th

351^st

335^th

DEFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

103.82

26.05

81.86

44.87

29.76

35.45

32.07

38.26

20.03

69.44

10.62

13.14

6.80

36.36

39.17

24.46

2.12

RANK:

204^th

116^th

179^th

193^rd

200^th

173^rd

350^th

245^th

3^rd

345^th

158^th

75^th

186^th

183^rd

350^th

3^rd

17^th

ANALYSIS:
Per this website's calculations, Missouri State is somewhere between an average to slightly above-average D1 ball-club. Their record this season is 17-16, and the club is ranked 130th overall (out of 351) in Haslametrics' most recent ratings. They are also ranked by this site as the #4 team (out of 10) in the MVC (average ranking 146.9).

If there is a strength for Missouri State this year, it's probably on the offensive end of the court. The team is rated 131st in offensive efficiency, scoring more than 103 points every 100 possessions vs. AO. Missouri State loves taking the mid-range two, far more so than most other teams. The club is ranked fifth in ratio of mid-range attempts to total field goal attempts. If you do allow them to take that in-between shot, they can certainly make it, too. Currently rated in the top-75 in mid-range shooting percentage, they make roughly 39.4% of their attempts from that distance vs. AO. Missouri State also has the potential to make you pay if you let them get close to the rim. The team is ranked 33rd in the country in near-proximity field goal percentage, making approximately 66.4% of their attempts from up-close vs. AO.

Missouri State doesn't perform as well defensively as they do offensively. The team is ranked 204th in defensive efficiency, allowing about 104 points every 100 possessions vs. AO. Missouri State fares terribly when attempting to stop opponents from converting from the inside. The team is ranked seventh from the bottom in the country in defensive near-proximity percentage, allowing AO to make good on 69.4% of their attempts from close-up. On a positive note, AO will take nowhere near as many inside shots as they typically would and, as a result, only 24.5% of AO's field goal attempts will come from short-distance.

SORTABLE SCHEDULE / RESULTS:


					ADJ. OFF. EFFICIENCY			ADJ. DEF. EFFICIENCY
Date	Opponent	Should	Did	Record	Should	Did	Diff.	Should	Did	Diff.	Rating
Fri 11/11/2016	vs Alabama A&M₃₅₁	W 83.20 - 57.13	W 96-62	1-0	122.81	144.84	▲ 22.03	89.14	96.22	▼ 7.08	▲ 14.95
Sun 11/13/2016	vs Jacksonville St.₁₇₀	W 70.60 - 65.64	W 91-65	2-0	103.43	121.98	▲ 18.55	101.15	87.70	▲ 13.45	▲ 32.00
Thu 11/17/2016	vs Fontbonne College	---	W 100-27	3-0	---	---	---	---	---	---	---
Wed 11/23/2016	@ DePaul₁₇₄	L 69.48 - 70.11	L 66-68	3-1	102.20	93.88	▼ 8.32	100.15	90.94	▲ 9.21	▲ 0.89
Sun 11/27/2016	vs North Dakota St.₁₈₃	W 72.79 - 66.95	W 64-50	4-1	104.08	102.70	▼ 1.38	100.46	80.55	▲ 19.91	▲ 18.53
Sat 12/3/2016	@ Air Force₂₁₈	W 72.55 - 70.19	L 70-83	4-2	107.30	109.91	▲ 2.61	101.12	126.36	▼ 25.24	▼ 22.63
Wed 12/7/2016	@ SE Missouri St.₂₂₉	W 74.20 - 71.00	W 79-71	5-2	107.76	119.14	▲ 11.38	99.83	94.80	▲ 5.03	▲ 16.41
Sat 12/10/2016	vs Valparaiso₉₇	W 69.85 - 69.69	L 81-84	5-3	98.92	104.36	▲ 5.44	103.67	118.88	▼ 15.21	▼ 9.77
Wed 12/14/2016	vs Oral Roberts₂₀₃	W 78.38 - 70.54	W 86-76	6-3	109.08	120.64	▲ 11.56	103.32	110.79	▼ 7.47	▲ 4.09
Sat 12/17/2016	vs SE Missouri St.₂₂₉	W 77.26 - 67.91	W 71-66	7-3	107.76	87.66	▼ 20.10	99.83	85.76	▲ 14.07	▼ 6.03
Mon 12/19/2016	vs Chicago State₃₃₄	W 78.92 - 59.99	W 66-46	8-3	111.74	101.06	▼ 10.68	89.55	77.63	▲ 11.92	▲ 1.24
Thu 12/22/2016	vs USC₅₇ *	L 69.41 - 77.47	L 75-83	8-4	99.92	100.00	▲ 0.08	111.92	116.18	▼ 4.26	▼ 4.18
Fri 12/23/2016	vs DePaul₁₇₄ *	W 70.99 - 68.59	W 69-58	9-4	102.20	75.82	▼ 26.38	100.15	73.42	▲ 26.73	▲ 0.35
Wed 12/28/2016	@ Northern Iowa₁₅₃	L 61.29 - 63.15	W 68-64	10-4	96.78	103.71	▲ 6.93	95.40	93.31	▲ 2.09	▲ 9.02
Sat 12/31/2016	vs Indiana State₁₉₈	W 74.09 - 67.21	W 81-75 (OT)	11-4	101.24	99.19	▼ 2.05	96.64	103.62	▼ 6.98	▼ 9.03
Wed 1/4/2017	@ Illinois State₅₈	L 60.98 - 71.32	L 71-74 (OT)	11-5	93.62	96.33	▲ 2.71	105.13	93.31	▲ 11.82	▲ 14.53
Sat 1/7/2017	vs S. Illinois₁₉₃	W 72.28 - 66.03	L 67-75	11-6	104.32	97.78	▼ 6.54	99.69	114.16	▼ 14.47	▼ 21.01
Wed 1/11/2017	vs Evansville₁₄₈	W 71.50 - 67.73	W 55-51	12-6	102.10	83.72	▼ 18.38	101.30	81.90	▲ 19.40	▲ 1.02
Sun 1/15/2017	@ Loyola-Chicago₈₉	L 66.32 - 72.81	L 71-77	12-7	100.73	116.73	▲ 16.00	106.34	116.25	▼ 9.91	▲ 6.09
Wed 1/18/2017	@ Indiana State₁₉₈	W 70.99 - 70.23	W 73-68	13-7	101.24	106.50	▲ 5.26	96.64	94.93	▲ 1.71	▲ 6.97
Sat 1/21/2017	vs Bradley₂₄₁	W 72.64 - 63.16	W 76-62	14-7	102.71	106.88	▲ 4.17	93.77	85.80	▲ 7.97	▲ 12.14
Tue 1/24/2017	vs Drake₂₅₁	W 79.25 - 68.44	L 71-72 (OT)	14-8	110.04	86.67	▼ 23.37	99.72	92.36	▲ 7.36	▼ 16.01
Sat 1/28/2017	@ S. Illinois₁₉₃	W 69.33 - 68.93	L 84-85 (OT)	14-9	104.32	119.13	▲ 14.81	99.69	116.45	▼ 16.76	▼ 1.95
Tue 1/31/2017	vs Loyola-Chicago₈₉	L 69.24 - 69.84	W 82-81 (OT)	15-9	100.73	103.75	▲ 3.02	106.34	109.79	▼ 3.45	▼ 0.43
Sat 2/4/2017	@ Evansville₁₄₈	L 68.53 - 70.71	L 66-74	15-10	102.10	102.22	▲ 0.12	101.30	113.41	▼ 12.11	▼ 11.99
Thu 2/9/2017	@ Wichita State₈	L 61.19 - 82.93	L 62-80	15-11	89.93	64.22	▼ 25.71	116.44	123.27	▼ 6.83	▼ 32.54
Sun 2/12/2017	vs Northern Iowa₁₅₃	W 64.10 - 60.27	L 52-55	15-12	96.78	84.45	▼ 12.33	95.40	92.38	▲ 3.02	▼ 9.31
Wed 2/15/2017	vs Illinois State₅₈	L 63.86 - 68.49	L 66-67	15-13	93.62	102.55	▲ 8.93	105.13	108.56	▼ 3.43	▲ 5.50
Sat 2/18/2017	@ Drake₂₅₁	W 76.18 - 71.61	W 76-73	16-13	110.04	109.26	▼ 0.78	99.72	102.07	▼ 2.35	▼ 3.13
Wed 2/22/2017	@ Bradley₂₄₁	W 69.64 - 66.08	L 68-77	16-14	102.71	103.71	▲ 1.00	93.77	112.71	▼ 18.94	▼ 17.94
Sat 2/25/2017	vs Wichita State₈	L 64.20 - 79.79	L 67-86	16-15	89.93	101.06	▲ 11.13	116.44	134.47	▼ 18.03	▼ 6.90
Fri 3/3/2017	vs Northern Iowa₁₅₃ *	W 62.70 - 61.71	W 70-64	17-15	96.78	104.48	▲ 7.70	95.40	96.97	▼ 1.57	▲ 6.13
Sat 3/4/2017	vs Wichita State₈ *	L 62.69 - 81.36	L 63-78	17-16	89.93	95.24	▲ 5.31	116.44	121.88	▼ 5.44	▼ 0.13
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Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location.
Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.

CURIOUS TRENDS:

	When facing teams that find ways to get to the free throw line, Missouri State often performs worse than normal. Missouri State is more efficient than usual 30% of the time when facing teams that have an offensive free throw attempt rate vs. AO greater than 28.05. In their other contests, Missouri State performs better than the norm 68% of the time.
	Missouri State does worse vs. clubs that effectively clean the offensive glass. When playing squads that have an offensive second-chance potential point rate vs. AO greater than 15.08, Missouri State performs above average 30% of the time. Against all other opponents, the team performs better than the norm 68% of the time.
	Missouri State performs worse against squads that tend to capitalize off breakaway opportunities. When facing teams that have a potential point rate off steals vs. AO greater than 10.09, Missouri State is more efficient than normal 46% of the time. In their other contests, the team is more efficient 80% of the time.

HASLAMETRICS ALL-PLAY PERCENTAGE RANKING BY DAY: Select data to plot:

HASLAMETRICS TEAM HISTORY: Select data to view:

SUMMARY	Rk	AP%	Rec (WinPct)		RQ	Conference	Pace	Con	SOS	PTF	AFH	ASR

OFFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

DEFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

SUMMARY	Rk		AP%		Rec (WinPct)		RQ		Conference		Pace		Con		SOS		PTF		AFH		ASR

OFFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox

DEFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox