Haslametrics.com

Automated Team Capsule for 2015-16 Saint Mary's 29-6 (0.829) | West Coast

All-Play Percentage: 0.903 (35^th)	Schedule Strength: 0.518 (154^th)	Record Quality: 0.358 (26^th)	Avg. Season Rank: 25.20 (23^rd)
Pace: 63.72 (348^th)	Momentum: -3.11 (309^th)	Off. Momentum: -0.97 (259^th)	Def. Momentum: -2.14 (275^th)
Consistency: -9.30 (233^rd)	Res. Consistency: -11.26 (153^rd)	Away From Home: -1.08 (276^th)	Paper Tiger Factor: -1.80 (252^nd)

NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category.
Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement.
Includes games through April 4, 2016. Data shown on this page is based on time-independent ratings.

OFFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

114.86

22.77

69.04

85.45

50.32

32.67

40.21

20.83

40.60

31.94

67.00

8.53

11.14

6.43

38.24

24.38

37.38

2.01

RANK:

17^th

342^nd

203^rd

42^nd

5^th

57^th

9^th

274^th

25^th

55^th

13^th

305^th

322^nd

197^th

86^th

302^nd

93^rd

194^th

DEFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

98.59

22.79

88.34

41.36

29.09

33.20

28.37

35.22

30.88

54.69

9.41

15.82

6.36

32.92

32.12

34.96

1.98

RANK:

99^th

23^rd

344^th

64^th

191^st

81^st

311^th

137^th

254^th

50^th

60^th

224^th

131^st

82^nd

274^th

167^th

225^th

ANALYSIS:
Saint Mary's has a fairly solid squad that likely falls within the top quartile of all teams in college basketball this year. They are ranked #35 (out of 351) in the most recent Haslametrics ratings and have a record of 29-6. Of the 10 schools in the WCC (average ranking 151.0), they're currently ranked as our #2 team in the conference.

Saint Mary's will create problems for opponents with their extremely prolific offense. Scoring roughly 115 points for every 100 possessions vs. AO and embracing an extremely deliberate pace (the fourth-slowest in D1), the squad is rated #17 in offensive efficiency. Saint Mary's is one of the most lethal teams in the country when it comes to shooting the basketball, ranking in the top-25 in each of our four major field goal categories. They make 40.2% of their three-pointers (ninth in the nation), 40.6% of their mid-range jumpers (25th), 67.0% of their near-proximity chances (13th), and 50.3% of their total shots from the field (fifth) vs. AO. Saint Mary's also has one of the better squads in the college game when it comes to maximizing opportunities to score. The team is ranked 42nd in the NCAA in offensive field goal attempt rate with a rating of 85.45 vs. AO. If Saint Mary's does have a glaring weakness offensively, it would have to be the team's inability to get to the free throw line. The squad has a free throw attempt rate of only 22.77 vs. AO, which ranks tenth-worst in the country.

Saint Mary's is also a fairly decent team on the defensive end of the court. The team ranks 99th nationally in defensive efficiency, allowing about 99 points every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO. Saint Mary's is a superior unit when it comes to preventing opponents from getting to the foul line. With a defensive free throw attempt rate of 22.79 vs. AO, they are currently rated 23rd in the country in that category. Saint Mary's has also done a really good job this year to prevent opponents from making shots from the inside. They are ranked 50th in the country in defensive near-proximity percentage, allowing AO to make good on only 54.7% of their attempts from close-up. If Saint Mary's does exhibit a noticeable weakness on the defensive end of the floor, it'd likely be the team's propensity to allow too many shot attempts per trip. The squad has a rating of 88.34 in defensive field goal attempt rate vs. AO, which ranks eighth-worst in college basketball.

Saint Mary's has recently performed below their norm from an efficiency standpoint. The team is currently ranked 309th in the country in positive momentum.

SORTABLE SCHEDULE / RESULTS:


					ADJ. OFF. EFFICIENCY			ADJ. DEF. EFFICIENCY
Date	Opponent	Should	Did	Record	Should	Did	Diff.	Should	Did	Diff.	Rating
Fri 11/13/2015	vs San Fran St	---	W 80-56	1-0	---	---	---	---	---	---	---
Mon 11/16/2015	vs Manhattan₂₄₅	W 76.43 - 56.71	W 89-63	2-0	116.58	129.43	▲ 12.85	92.11	95.80	▼ 3.69	▲ 9.16
Sun 11/22/2015	vs Stanford₁₀₈	W 70.52 - 60.70	W 78-61	3-0	112.35	122.94	▲ 10.59	101.93	101.16	▲ 0.77	▲ 11.36
Sun 11/29/2015	vs CSU Bakersfield₁₁₁	W 69.97 - 59.42	W 94-59	4-0	107.41	122.94	▲ 15.53	96.44	87.40	▲ 9.04	▲ 24.57
Fri 12/4/2015	vs UC Davis₂₂₂	W 70.98 - 53.50	W 81-67	5-0	110.91	117.05	▲ 6.14	89.39	101.28	▼ 11.89	▼ 5.75
Sun 12/6/2015	vs UC Irvine₇₉	W 68.57 - 60.90	W 70-60	6-0	107.26	118.14	▲ 10.88	100.38	105.80	▼ 5.42	▲ 5.46
Sat 12/12/2015	@ California₂₅	L 64.55 - 69.93	L 59-63	6-1	104.18	95.11	▼ 9.07	107.17	97.08	▲ 10.09	▲ 1.02
Mon 12/14/2015	vs Cal Poly₁₇₁	W 76.82 - 61.60	W 93-63	7-1	118.77	150.83	▲ 32.06	101.20	106.28	▼ 5.08	▲ 26.98
Wed 12/16/2015	vs Southern Utah₃₄₅	W 84.15 - 55.07	W 92-36	8-1	128.14	134.29	▲ 6.15	88.93	51.75	▲ 37.18	▲ 43.33
Mon 12/21/2015	vs San Francisco₂₀₁	W 80.78 - 63.32	W 74-52	9-1	120.66	117.68	▼ 2.98	99.66	86.86	▲ 12.80	▲ 9.82
Wed 12/23/2015	@ Santa Clara₂₀₇	W 71.17 - 60.90	W 81-59	10-1	117.74	138.10	▲ 20.36	95.65	102.64	▼ 6.99	▲ 13.37
Mon 12/28/2015	vs Utah Valley₂₉₁	W 85.61 - 60.78	W 65-50	11-1	119.12	94.39	▼ 24.73	89.93	76.93	▲ 13.00	▼ 11.73
Thu 12/31/2015	vs BYU₄₈	W 76.37 - 71.03	W 85-74	12-1	108.78	124.14	▲ 15.36	106.69	112.65	▼ 5.96	▲ 9.40
Sat 1/2/2016	vs San Diego₂₇₁	W 73.15 - 52.50	W 79-46	13-1	115.37	119.07	▲ 3.70	87.44	73.20	▲ 14.24	▲ 17.94
Thu 1/7/2016	@ Loyola Marymount₂₂₄	W 73.14 - 61.96	W 73-48	14-1	118.54	117.20	▼ 1.34	95.26	77.08	▲ 18.18	▲ 16.84
Sat 1/9/2016	@ Pepperdine₁₂₃	W 70.28 - 64.98	L 64-67	14-2	113.75	104.50	▼ 9.25	99.97	103.43	▼ 3.46	▼ 12.71
Thu 1/14/2016	vs Pacific₂₁₂	W 74.81 - 57.37	W 78-62	15-2	116.10	126.39	▲ 10.29	94.59	106.37	▼ 11.78	▼ 1.49
Thu 1/21/2016	vs Gonzaga₁₇	W 67.72 - 67.19	W 70-67	16-2	105.06	111.84	▲ 6.78	109.28	112.75	▼ 3.47	▲ 3.31
Sat 1/23/2016	vs Portland₁₇₂	W 82.34 - 65.86	W 89-74	17-2	119.57	134.01	▲ 14.44	101.14	115.90	▼ 14.76	▼ 0.32
Sat 1/30/2016	@ Pacific₂₁₂	W 71.26 - 60.85	W 68-65	18-2	116.10	105.95	▼ 10.15	94.59	97.08	▼ 2.49	▼ 12.64
Thu 2/4/2016	@ BYU₄₈	L 72.53 - 74.88	L 59-70	18-3	108.78	90.98	▼ 17.80	106.69	104.77	▲ 1.92	▼ 15.88
Sat 2/6/2016	@ San Diego₂₇₁	W 69.66 - 56.00	W 60-43	19-3	115.37	114.46	▼ 0.91	87.44	62.47	▲ 24.97	▲ 24.06
Thu 2/11/2016	vs Pepperdine₁₂₃	W 73.86 - 61.45	L 63-69	19-4	113.75	99.87	▼ 13.88	99.97	114.50	▼ 14.53	▼ 28.41
Sat 2/13/2016	vs Loyola Marymount₂₂₄	W 76.71 - 58.35	W 68-62	20-4	118.54	104.43	▼ 14.11	95.26	99.89	▼ 4.63	▼ 18.74
Thu 2/18/2016	@ Portland₁₇₂	W 78.54 - 69.75	W 74-72	21-4	119.57	113.37	▼ 6.20	101.14	102.96	▼ 1.82	▼ 8.02
Sat 2/20/2016	@ Gonzaga₁₇	L 64.19 - 70.90	W 63-58	22-4	105.06	101.36	▼ 3.70	109.28	86.31	▲ 22.97	▲ 19.27
Thu 2/25/2016	vs Santa Clara₂₀₇	W 74.67 - 57.35	W 75-50	23-4	117.74	130.39	▲ 12.65	95.65	91.00	▲ 4.65	▲ 17.30
Sat 2/27/2016	@ San Francisco₂₀₁	W 77.08 - 66.97	W 84-72	24-4	120.66	134.17	▲ 13.51	99.66	108.02	▼ 8.36	▲ 5.15
Tue 3/1/2016	vs Grand Canyon₁₃₁	W 74.45 - 61.46	W 73-64	25-4	112.61	106.53	▼ 6.08	98.29	97.99	▲ 0.30	▼ 5.78
Sat 3/5/2016	vs Loyola Marymount₂₂₄ *	W 74.93 - 60.16	W 60-48	26-4	118.54	107.41	▼ 11.13	95.26	84.91	▲ 10.35	▼ 0.78
Mon 3/7/2016	vs Pepperdine₁₂₃ *	W 72.07 - 63.21	W 81-66	27-4	113.75	139.22	▲ 25.47	99.97	105.88	▼ 5.91	▲ 19.56
Tue 3/8/2016	vs Gonzaga₁₇ *	L 65.95 - 69.04	L 75-85	27-5	105.06	126.32	▲ 21.26	109.28	143.10	▼ 33.82	▼ 12.56
Tue 3/15/2016	vs New Mexico St.₁₁₂	W 68.74 - 58.63	W 58-56	28-5	109.05	93.75	▼ 15.30	97.57	94.72	▲ 2.85	▼ 12.45
Sun 3/20/2016	vs Georgia₆₆	W 69.03 - 62.01	W 77-65	29-5	108.18	113.75	▲ 5.57	102.26	99.93	▲ 2.33	▲ 7.90
Tue 3/22/2016	@ Valparaiso₅₀	L 63.19 - 65.04	L 44-60	29-6	104.44	80.11	▼ 24.33	101.73	100.59	▲ 1.14	▼ 23.19
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Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location.
Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.

CURIOUS TRENDS:

	Saint Mary's performs worse against squads that are more proficient at draining the mid-range shot. When facing teams that have an offensive mid-range field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 35.97%, Saint Mary's is more efficient than normal 25% of the time. In their other contests, the team is more efficient 72% of the time.
	When playing teams that convert more frequently off of offensive rebounds, Saint Mary's usually performs worse than average. Saint Mary's is more efficient than normal 38% of the time when facing clubs that have an offensive second-chance conversion percentage vs. AO greater than 5.89%. In all other contests, Saint Mary's performs better than average 80% of the time.
	Saint Mary's is typically worse vs. teams that typically allow more than a fair share of breakaway opportunities. Against foes that have a potential point rate allowed off steals vs. AO greater than 10.06, Saint Mary's performs above their norm 38% of the time. Against the remaining opposition, the team performs above average 80% of the time.

HASLAMETRICS ALL-PLAY PERCENTAGE RANKING BY DAY: Select data to plot:

HASLAMETRICS TEAM HISTORY: Select data to view:

SUMMARY	Rk	AP%	Rec (WinPct)		RQ	Conference	Pace	Con	SOS	PTF	AFH	ASR

OFFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

DEFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

SUMMARY	Rk		AP%		Rec (WinPct)		RQ		Conference		Pace		Con		SOS		PTF		AFH		ASR

OFFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox

DEFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox