Haslametrics.com

Automated Team Capsule for 2014-15 Saint Mary's 21-10 (0.677) | West Coast

All-Play Percentage: 0.791 (74^th)	Schedule Strength: 0.600 (93^rd)	Record Quality: 0.259 (49^th)	Avg. Season Rank: 69.24 (68^th)
Pace: 64.22 (261^st)	Momentum: -3.02 (301^st)	Off. Momentum: -1.89 (314^th)	Def. Momentum: -1.13 (204^th)
Consistency: -8.26 (64^th)	Res. Consistency: -11.72 (190^th)	Away From Home: -0.79 (255^th)	Paper Tiger Factor: -2.57 (293^rd)

NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category.
Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement.
Includes games through April 6, 2015. Data shown on this page is based on time-independent ratings.

OFFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

106.81

26.96

72.17

82.89

45.78

30.37

37.76

14.84

36.05

37.69

56.06

8.34

15.57

8.01

36.63

17.90

45.47

1.91

RANK:

61^st

249^th

82^nd

134^th

58^th

88^th

38^th

349^th

137^th

1^st

240^th

327^th

152^nd

52^nd

99^th

350^th

2^nd

41^st

DEFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

98.11

26.85

82.72

42.52

26.71

32.57

26.12

38.37

29.89

55.03

12.06

11.77

4.18

32.29

31.58

36.13

1.96

RANK:

113^th

95^th

199^th

130^th

115^th

72^nd

212^th

286^th

236^th

66^th

232^nd

9^th

4^th

108^th

203^rd

219^th

247^th

ANALYSIS:
While this site doesn't quite consider them to be in the national title hunt, Saint Mary's has the potential to be a formidable opponent for many in Division I. They have a record of 21-10 and are ranked 74th overall (out of 351) in the latest Haslametrics ratings. They are also ranked by this site as the #3 team (out of 10) in the WCC (average ranking 122.5).

The primary strength for Saint Mary's this year is offense. The team is ranked 61st in efficiency on that end of the floor, and they'll rack up more than 106 points for every 100 possessions vs. AO. Saint Mary's will routinely look to penetrate, pound the ball inside, and score from as short a distance as possible. The ball-club is second in the NCAA in ratio of near-proximity attempts to total field goal attempts. As far as converting those near-proximity shots goes, the team shoots 56.1% vs. AO, which falls somewhere in the middle of the pack of the rankings in that category. Saint Mary's is also one of the more accurate teams in the college game when it comes to shooting the three. They're ranked 38th nationally in three-point field goal percentage and make about 37.8% of their attempts from there vs. AO.

Saint Mary's is also a fairly decent team on the defensive end of the court. The team ranks 113th nationally in defensive efficiency, allowing about 98 points every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO. Saint Mary's does a fantastic job to prevent opposing teams from capitalizing on chances from offensive rebounds. The squad allows AO to convert only 4.2% of all second-chance opportunities (ranked fourth in the NCAA), and with a rating of 11.77, they're ninth in potential points allowed off of the offensive glass as well. Saint Mary's has also been pretty good preventing teams from hitting shots in the paint. They are ranked 66th in the country in defensive near-proximity percentage, allowing AO to make good on only 55.0% of their attempts from close-up. If Saint Mary's does exhibit a noticeable weakness on the defensive end of the floor, it'd likely be the team's unwillingness to take risks in order to score fast points off of the opposition's turnovers. The squad only has a rating of 8.34 in potential points scored off of steals vs. AO, which ranks 25th-worst in the college game.

SORTABLE SCHEDULE / RESULTS:


					ADJ. OFF. EFFICIENCY			ADJ. DEF. EFFICIENCY
Date	Opponent	Should	Did	Record	Should	Did	Diff.	Should	Did	Diff.	Rating
Fri 11/14/2014	vs Cal State-LA	---	W 77-67	1-0	---	---	---	---	---	---	---
Tue 11/18/2014	vs New Mexico St.₁₀₀	W 68.02 - 62.23	W 83-71	2-0	104.53	106.49	▲ 1.96	101.47	97.57	▲ 3.90	▲ 5.86
Thu 11/20/2014	vs Denver₂₁₆	W 67.37 - 55.00	W 78-62	3-0	112.29	113.95	▲ 1.66	97.22	96.91	▲ 0.31	▲ 1.97
Sun 11/23/2014	vs UC Irvine₉₅	W 66.54 - 60.88	W 72-69	4-0	102.26	102.91	▲ 0.65	99.91	104.44	▼ 4.53	▼ 3.88
Sat 11/29/2014	vs Cal Poly₁₃₅	W 63.75 - 56.11	W 82-56	5-0	104.98	124.30	▲ 19.32	97.89	81.15	▲ 16.74	▲ 36.06
Sat 12/6/2014	vs Boise State₅₀	W 64.92 - 63.88	L 71-82	5-1	101.09	107.97	▲ 6.88	105.30	127.97	▼ 22.67	▼ 15.79
Sat 12/13/2014	@ Creighton₈₅	L 64.09 - 66.47	W 71-67 (OT)	6-1	105.73	102.97	▼ 2.76	103.78	95.42	▲ 8.36	▲ 5.60
Tue 12/16/2014	vs N. Arizona₁₈₁	W 71.16 - 59.33	L 71-73	6-2	106.91	104.60	▼ 2.31	95.08	113.58	▼ 18.50	▼ 20.81
Fri 12/19/2014	@ St. John's₄₂	L 64.69 - 71.88	L 47-53	6-3	100.95	78.78	▼ 22.17	105.98	82.51	▲ 23.47	▲ 1.30
Mon 12/22/2014	vs Northeastern₈₉	W 67.84 - 62.56	W 72-68 (OT)	7-3	105.45	102.03	▼ 3.42	102.92	104.58	▼ 1.66	▼ 5.08
Sat 12/27/2014	vs Santa Clara₁₈₅	W 69.53 - 57.92	W 73-60	8-3	109.58	111.78	▲ 2.20	97.03	94.64	▲ 2.39	▲ 4.59
Mon 12/29/2014	vs San Francisco₁₃₄	W 71.85 - 63.35	W 69-56	9-3	106.60	109.10	▲ 2.50	99.13	87.18	▲ 11.95	▲ 14.45
Thu 1/1/2015	@ Pepperdine₁₂₇	W 63.03 - 62.97	W 68-59	10-3	102.21	112.65	▲ 10.44	96.21	92.19	▲ 4.02	▲ 14.46
Sat 1/3/2015	@ Loyola Marymount₂₄₁	W 68.72 - 61.68	W 72-63	11-3	111.84	125.78	▲ 13.94	95.36	100.60	▼ 5.24	▲ 8.70
Tue 1/6/2015	vs Morgan State₃₂₅	W 76.27 - 54.51	W 78-52	12-3	115.02	122.95	▲ 7.93	87.70	80.75	▲ 6.95	▲ 14.88
Sat 1/10/2015	@ Pacific₂₁₈	W 66.68 - 61.01	W 54-47	13-3	110.67	96.07	▼ 14.60	95.89	76.69	▲ 19.20	▲ 4.60
Thu 1/15/2015	vs San Diego₉₀	W 65.82 - 60.33	W 70-58	14-3	100.12	109.93	▲ 9.81	97.87	98.05	▼ 0.18	▲ 9.63
Sat 1/17/2015	vs BYU₂₄	L 74.32 - 75.97	W 82-77	15-3	104.31	116.52	▲ 12.21	112.03	114.17	▼ 2.14	▲ 10.07
Thu 1/22/2015	@ Gonzaga₇	L 59.54 - 75.42	L 47-68	15-4	96.97	72.20	▼ 24.77	115.49	108.35	▲ 7.14	▼ 17.63
Sat 1/24/2015	@ Portland₁₂₅	L 66.52 - 66.52	W 74-64	16-4	106.67	111.79	▲ 5.12	100.75	88.21	▲ 12.54	▲ 17.66
Thu 1/29/2015	vs Loyola Marymount₂₄₁	W 72.44 - 58.03	W 68-54	17-4	111.84	122.03	▲ 10.19	95.36	99.20	▼ 3.84	▲ 6.35
Sat 1/31/2015	vs Pepperdine₁₂₇	W 66.77 - 59.20	L 62-67	17-5	102.21	103.93	▲ 1.72	96.21	118.49	▼ 22.28	▼ 20.56
Sat 2/7/2015	vs Pacific₂₁₈	W 70.33 - 57.51	W 73-58	18-5	110.67	126.12	▲ 15.45	95.89	99.33	▼ 3.44	▲ 12.01
Thu 2/12/2015	@ BYU₂₄	L 70.25 - 80.16	L 60-82	18-6	104.31	90.21	▼ 14.10	112.03	142.86	▼ 30.83	▼ 44.93
Sat 2/14/2015	@ San Diego₉₀	L 62.07 - 63.99	W 69-62 (2OT)	19-6	100.12	96.30	▼ 3.82	97.87	91.94	▲ 5.93	▲ 2.11
Thu 2/19/2015	vs Portland₁₂₅	W 70.30 - 62.74	W 68-51	20-6	106.67	114.89	▲ 8.22	100.75	88.69	▲ 12.06	▲ 20.28
Sat 2/21/2015	vs Gonzaga₇	L 63.25 - 71.72	L 60-70	20-7	96.97	97.03	▲ 0.06	115.49	119.64	▼ 4.15	▼ 4.09
Thu 2/26/2015	@ San Francisco₁₃₄	W 68.00 - 67.02	W 84-53	21-7	106.60	133.48	▲ 26.88	99.13	84.75	▲ 14.38	▲ 41.26
Sat 2/28/2015	@ Santa Clara₁₈₅	W 65.89 - 61.58	L 70-71	21-8	109.58	104.42	▼ 5.16	97.03	103.00	▼ 5.97	▼ 11.13
Sat 3/7/2015	vs Portland₁₂₅ *	W 68.41 - 64.63	L 52-69	21-9	106.67	84.21	▼ 22.46	100.75	114.29	▼ 13.54	▼ 36.00
Wed 3/18/2015	vs Vanderbilt₃₉	W 66.76 - 66.54	L 64-75	21-10	103.38	89.34	▼ 14.04	108.73	113.91	▼ 5.18	▼ 19.22
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Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location.
Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.

CURIOUS TRENDS:

	When playing teams that convert well from outside the arc, Saint Mary's usually performs worse than average. Saint Mary's is more efficient than normal 27% of the time when facing clubs that have an offensive three-point field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 37.06%. In all other contests, Saint Mary's performs better than average 84% of the time.
	Saint Mary's is typically worse vs. teams that are more proficient at draining the mid-range shot. Against foes that have an offensive mid-range field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 34.23%, Saint Mary's performs above their norm 47% of the time. Against the remaining opposition, the team performs above average 91% of the time.
	When facing teams that are typically efficient on offense, Saint Mary's often performs worse than normal. Saint Mary's is more efficient than usual 33% of the time when facing teams that have an offensive efficiency rating vs. AO greater than 104.33. In their other contests, Saint Mary's performs better than the norm 76% of the time.

HASLAMETRICS ALL-PLAY PERCENTAGE RANKING BY DAY: Select data to plot:

HASLAMETRICS TEAM HISTORY: Select data to view:

SUMMARY	Rk	AP%	Rec (WinPct)		RQ	Conference	Pace	Con	SOS	PTF	AFH	ASR

OFFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

DEFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

SUMMARY	Rk		AP%		Rec (WinPct)		RQ		Conference		Pace		Con		SOS		PTF		AFH		ASR

OFFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox

DEFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox