Haslametrics.com

Automated Team Capsule for 2022-23 Southern 15-17 (0.469) | SWAC

All-Play Percentage: 0.210 (287^th)	Schedule Strength: 0.292 (324^th)	Record Quality: -0.207 (287^th)	Avg. Season Rank: 233.26 (234^th)
Pace: 70.68 (35^th)	Momentum: -4.52 (342^nd)	Off. Momentum: -4.08 (357^th)	Def. Momentum: -0.44 (160^th)
Consistency: -9.34 (200^th)	Res. Consistency: -12.38 (198^th)	Away From Home: -1.16 (244^th)	Paper Tiger Factor: -0.18 (109^th)

NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category.
Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement.
Includes games through April 3, 2023. Data shown on this page is based on time-independent ratings.

OFFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

94.56

23.88

71.90

82.22

41.25

29.86

32.03

26.31

37.03

26.05

56.07

12.54

10.23

3.81

36.32

32.01

31.68

2.05

RANK:

323^rd

239^th

172^nd

291^st

305^th

243^rd

288^th

104^th

221^st

319^th

264^th

80^th

339^th

329^th

206^th

79^th

298^th

240^th

DEFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

103.62

28.99

77.50

46.11

34.85

34.99

18.48

42.98

24.16

64.53

9.08

13.98

6.60

44.97

23.85

31.18

2.14

RANK:

197^th

321^st

8^th

302^nd

329^th

241^st

10^th

351^st

11^th

342^nd

51^st

192^nd

321^st

355^th

28^th

47^th

14^th

ANALYSIS:
Southern is not one of the better teams in Division I this year. Their record this season is 15-17, and the club is ranked 287th overall (out of 363) in Haslametrics' most recent ratings. They are also ranked by this site as the #4 team (out of 12) in the SWAC (average ranking 307.3).

Southern is not one of the most productive teams on offense. Scoring fewer than 95 points for every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO, they are rated at #323 in offensive efficiency. Southern poses no threat whatsoever to grab rebounds off their own misses. Against AO, the ball-club has a rating of 10.23 in potential points scored off of second chances (339th nationally), and they convert just 3.8% of their second-chance opportunities (ranked 329th) as well.

Even though the team ranks considerably higher in defensive efficiency, Southern isn't a powerhouse on that end of the floor either. Allowing roughly 104 points for every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO, they are ranked #197 in the nation in defensive efficiency. Southern performs really badly when attempting to stop opponents from making mid-range jumpers. The squad is ranked 351st nationally in defensive mid-range field goal percentage, allowing AO to make good on 43.0% of their attempts from those in-between spots on the floor. Thankfully, AO will take nowhere near as many mid-range shots vs. Southern as they typically would, as only 23.9% of their field goal attempts will come from in-between locations. Southern also fares terribly when attempting to stop opponents from converting from the inside. The team is ranked 342nd in the country in defensive near-proximity percentage, allowing AO to make good on 64.5% of their attempts from close-up. On a positive note, AO will take nowhere near as many inside shots as they typically would and, as a result, only 31.2% of AO's field goal attempts will come from short-distance. If Southern does have a bright spot on defense, it would have to be their ability to limit the number of shot attempts by the opposition. The team has a defensive field goal attempt rate of 77.50 vs. AO, which ranks eighth-best in college basketball.

Southern has been playing some of their worst basketball of the season as of late, and they're presently ranked 342nd in positive momentum because of it.

SORTABLE SCHEDULE / RESULTS:


					ADJ. OFF. EFFICIENCY			ADJ. DEF. EFFICIENCY
Date	Opponent	Should	Did	Record	Should	Did	Diff.	Should	Did	Diff.	Rating
Mon 11/7/2022	@ UNLV₉₀	L 62.69 - 79.57	L 56-66	0-1	88.63	72.89	▼ 15.74	107.28	81.54	▲ 25.74	▲ 10.00
Fri 11/11/2022	@ Arizona₁₂	L 62.32 - 90.24	L 78-95	0-2	85.62	73.11	▼ 12.51	117.68	109.59	▲ 8.09	▼ 4.42
Wed 11/16/2022	@ Saint Mary's₁₁	L 50.89 - 75.37	L 54-72	0-3	79.95	87.97	▲ 8.02	111.75	115.24	▼ 3.49	▲ 4.53
Fri 11/18/2022	@ California₂₆₂	L 62.22 - 66.32	W 74-66	1-3	94.46	114.12	▲ 19.66	96.06	97.62	▼ 1.56	▲ 18.10
Fri 11/25/2022	vs Loyola (MD)₃₃₇ *	W 71.38 - 67.07	W 76-58	2-3	103.05	104.48	▲ 1.43	96.40	71.21	▲ 25.19	▲ 26.62
Sat 11/26/2022	vs Omaha₃₁₄ *	W 72.77 - 70.94	L 78-88	2-4	101.63	100.00	▼ 1.63	99.36	113.13	▼ 13.77	▼ 15.40
Mon 11/28/2022	vs Champ. Christ.	---	W 112-52	3-4	---	---	---	---	---	---	---
Fri 12/2/2022	@ LA Tech₁₈₆	L 66.08 - 75.22	L 59-74	3-5	96.03	83.69	▼ 12.34	104.29	95.29	▲ 9.00	▼ 3.34
Sat 12/10/2022	vs LSU Alexandria	---	W 98-76	4-5	---	---	---	---	---	---	---
Tue 12/13/2022	@ Xavier₁₆	L 62.92 - 88.53	L 59-79	4-6	87.84	62.76	▼ 25.08	117.77	103.00	▲ 14.77	▼ 10.31
Fri 12/16/2022	@ Youngstown St.₁₂₀	L 67.89 - 81.86	L 81-85	4-7	97.82	107.20	▲ 9.38	112.66	104.41	▲ 8.25	▲ 17.63
Sun 12/18/2022	@ UAB₅₆	L 63.83 - 84.82	L 66-92	4-8	88.53	75.69	▼ 12.84	111.89	126.81	▼ 14.92	▼ 27.76
Wed 12/21/2022	@ SE Louisiana₂₆₉	L 71.48 - 75.31	L 62-80	4-9	100.89	93.18	▼ 7.71	102.48	111.23	▼ 8.75	▼ 16.46
Mon 1/2/2023	@ Texas Southern₂₉₃	L 67.90 - 70.49	W 77-76 (OT)	5-9	95.43	89.50	▼ 5.93	94.84	84.30	▲ 10.54	▲ 4.61
Wed 1/4/2023	@ PV A&M₂₈₃	L 64.93 - 67.88	W 66-62	6-9	93.25	88.84	▼ 4.41	93.46	80.39	▲ 13.07	▲ 8.66
Sat 1/7/2023	vs Florida A&M₃₅₉	W 71.69 - 59.83	W 84-66	7-9	102.54	122.19	▲ 19.65	89.00	98.72	▼ 9.72	▲ 9.93
Mon 1/9/2023	vs Bethune-Cookman₃₅₀	W 76.65 - 66.44	W 102-75	8-9	103.97	125.27	▲ 21.30	94.15	91.23	▲ 2.92	▲ 24.22
Sat 1/14/2023	vs Grambling₂₀₃	L 65.53 - 67.61	W 81-73	9-9	91.75	101.84	▲ 10.09	98.21	94.41	▲ 3.80	▲ 13.89
Sat 1/21/2023	@ AR-Pine Bluff₃₁₂	L 69.11 - 70.44	L 55-62	9-10	95.54	80.57	▼ 14.97	93.63	86.57	▲ 7.06	▼ 7.91
Mon 1/23/2023	@ Miss. Valley St.₃₅₈	W 71.93 - 65.63	W 84-70	10-10	103.74	115.50	▲ 11.76	90.84	93.89	▼ 3.05	▲ 8.71
Sat 1/28/2023	vs Alcorn State₂₆₈	W 71.43 - 69.65	W 80-68	11-10	98.71	103.40	▲ 4.69	100.45	93.58	▲ 6.87	▲ 11.56
Mon 1/30/2023	vs Jackson State₃₁₀	W 72.34 - 68.10	W 73-62	12-10	99.50	105.93	▲ 6.43	97.32	93.04	▲ 4.28	▲ 10.71
Sat 2/4/2023	@ Alabama A&M₃₁₃	L 68.31 - 69.38	L 61-82	12-11	97.48	94.19	▼ 3.29	95.37	118.31	▼ 22.94	▼ 26.23
Mon 2/6/2023	@ Alabama State₃₅₁	W 70.26 - 65.88	L 66-73	12-12	101.73	95.95	▼ 5.78	91.54	100.85	▼ 9.31	▼ 15.09
Sat 2/11/2023	vs PV A&M₂₈₃	W 67.81 - 65.09	W 79-65	13-12	93.25	116.46	▲ 23.21	93.46	98.93	▼ 5.47	▲ 17.74
Mon 2/13/2023	vs Texas Southern₂₉₃	W 70.84 - 67.64	L 68-79	13-13	95.43	82.12	▼ 13.31	94.84	116.06	▼ 21.22	▼ 34.53
Sat 2/18/2023	vs Grambling₂₀₃ *	L 64.12 - 68.97	L 64-69 (OT)	13-14	91.75	93.94	▲ 2.19	98.21	93.94	▲ 4.27	▲ 6.46
Sat 2/25/2023	@ Bethune-Cookman₃₅₀	W 73.71 - 69.33	L 53-60	13-15	103.97	81.11	▼ 22.86	94.15	86.23	▲ 7.92	▼ 14.94
Mon 2/27/2023	@ Florida A&M₃₅₉	W 68.90 - 62.58	W 60-58	14-15	102.54	85.34	▼ 17.20	89.00	77.45	▲ 11.55	▼ 5.65
Thu 3/2/2023	vs Alabama State₃₅₁	W 73.12 - 63.07	W 66-52	15-15	101.73	90.75	▼ 10.98	91.54	78.47	▲ 13.07	▲ 2.09
Sat 3/4/2023	vs Alabama A&M₃₁₃	W 71.21 - 66.63	L 65-68	15-16	97.48	91.86	▼ 5.62	95.37	103.50	▼ 8.13	▼ 13.75
Thu 3/9/2023	vs Alabama A&M₃₁₃ *	W 69.76 - 68.00	L 63-77	15-17	97.48	85.00	▼ 12.48	95.37	111.86	▼ 16.49	▼ 28.97
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Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location.
Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.

CURIOUS TRENDS:

	Southern does worse vs. clubs that favor a faster tempo. When playing squads that have a pace vs. AO greater than 68.48, Southern performs above average 21% of the time. Against all other opponents, the team performs better than the norm 81% of the time.
	Southern performs better against squads that allow a higher number of conversions off of the offensive glass. When facing teams that have a defensive second-chance conversion percentage vs. AO greater than 4.96%, Southern is more efficient than normal 73% of the time. In their other contests, the team is more efficient 33% of the time.
	When playing teams that prefer the outside shot, Southern usually performs worse than average. Southern is more efficient than normal 39% of the time when facing clubs that have an offensive shooting proximity score vs. AO greater than 1.95. In all other contests, Southern performs better than average 75% of the time.

HASLAMETRICS ALL-PLAY PERCENTAGE RANKING BY DAY: Select data to plot:

HASLAMETRICS TEAM HISTORY: Select data to view:

SUMMARY	Rk	AP%	Rec (WinPct)		RQ	Conference	Pace	Con	SOS	PTF	AFH	ASR

OFFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

DEFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

SUMMARY	Rk		AP%		Rec (WinPct)		RQ		Conference		Pace		Con		SOS		PTF		AFH		ASR

OFFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox

DEFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox