Haslametrics.com

Automated Team Capsule for 2018-19 SMU 15-17 (0.469) | American

All-Play Percentage: 0.733 (95^th)	Schedule Strength: 0.610 (81^st)	Record Quality: 0.049 (149^th)	Avg. Season Rank: 106.20 (102^nd)
Pace: 65.54 (329^th)	Momentum: -0.54 (206^th)	Off. Momentum: -0.09 (215^th)	Def. Momentum: -0.45 (163^rd)
Consistency: -10.64 (288^th)	Res. Consistency: -14.17 (287^th)	Away From Home: -1.87 (324^th)	Paper Tiger Factor: -3.93 (345^th)

NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category.
Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement.
Includes games through April 8, 2019. Data shown on this page is based on time-independent ratings.

OFFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

111.39

23.61

72.25

90.19

45.58

35.13

34.54

25.45

39.90

29.61

63.54

12.61

17.49

6.56

38.95

28.22

32.84

2.06

RANK:

39^th

274^th

143^rd

4^th

100^th

86^th

170^th

46^th

33^rd

198^th

52^nd

103^rd

21^st

99^th

169^th

86^th

275^th

244^th

DEFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

105.44

23.12

88.02

42.69

37.37

35.32

21.54

32.89

29.11

59.40

9.86

16.63

7.24

42.46

24.47

33.07

2.09

RANK:

205^th

53^rd

339^th

105^th

339^th

224^th

219^th

52^nd

108^th

149^th

53^rd

333^rd

297^th

311^th

156^th

62^nd

45^th

ANALYSIS:
As an average to slightly above-average foe, SMU should probably not be discounted by opponents this year. Carrying a record of 15-17, they are currently rated #95 overall (out of 353) in All-Play Percentage this season. They are also ranked by this site as the #8 team (out of 12) in the AAC (average ranking 102.8).

SMU has a reasonably potent offensive attack. Occupying the #39 slot in our offensive efficiency rankings, they will score about 111 points for every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO. SMU is one of the very best when it comes to maximizing field goal opportunities. The team is ranked fourth in the NCAA in offensive field goal attempt rate with a rating of 90.19 vs. AO. And when they do shoot, they make a fair portion of their shots. Ranked in the top-100 in field goal shooting percentage, the squad converts about 45.6% of their total attempts vs. AO. SMU also appears to be one of the top-notch offensive rebounding teams you will find this year. Against AO, the squad has a rating of 17.49 in potential points scored off of second chances (ranked 21st in the NCAA).

Unfortunately, SMU is not even remotely close to being as good on defense as they are on offense. The team is ranked 205th in defensive efficiency, allowing about 105 points every 100 possessions vs. AO. SMU allows the opposition to get off far too many shots from the floor. The team is ranked 339th in the nation in defensive field goal attempt rate with a rating of 88.02 vs. AO. SMU also gives up far too many offensive rebounds and second chances to their opponents. The club has a rating of 16.63 vs. AO in potential points allowed off of second chances (333rd nationally).

When playing on the road, SMU performs somewhat worse than they normally do on their home court. The club is nationally ranked 324th in our site's away-from-home metric.

SORTABLE SCHEDULE / RESULTS:


					ADJ. OFF. EFFICIENCY			ADJ. DEF. EFFICIENCY
Date	Opponent	Should	Did	Record	Should	Did	Diff.	Should	Did	Diff.	Rating
Thu 11/8/2018	vs Northwestern St.₃₄₁	W 81.62 - 58.55	W 69-58	1-0	118.84	103.25	▼ 15.59	90.07	89.71	▲ 0.36	▼ 15.23
Sun 11/11/2018	vs Southern Miss₁₂₈	W 70.78 - 65.97	L 64-74	1-1	109.50	105.98	▼ 3.52	107.33	125.83	▼ 18.50	▼ 22.02
Wed 11/14/2018	vs W. Carolina₂₉₆	W 81.85 - 64.76	W 98-65	2-1	118.74	131.99	▲ 13.25	99.78	88.33	▲ 11.45	▲ 24.70
Sat 11/17/2018	vs Lipscomb₃₅	L 73.96 - 77.37	L 73-79	2-2	103.52	97.50	▼ 6.02	113.15	112.09	▲ 1.06	▼ 4.96
Tue 11/20/2018	vs Bradley₁₄₈ *	W 68.31 - 64.94	L 62-75	2-3	107.38	90.12	▼ 17.26	103.04	109.09	▼ 6.05	▼ 23.31
Wed 11/21/2018	vs Wright State₉₇ *	W 68.81 - 68.67	W 77-76	3-3	108.24	122.22	▲ 13.98	108.13	120.63	▼ 12.50	▲ 1.48
Tue 11/27/2018	vs Lamar₂₂₅	W 77.73 - 66.07	W 79-65	4-3	115.14	120.08	▲ 4.94	101.22	95.94	▲ 5.28	▲ 10.22
Thu 11/29/2018	vs McNeese₃₂₅	W 80.66 - 60.86	W 91-59	5-3	122.48	145.42	▲ 22.94	97.32	89.73	▲ 7.59	▲ 30.53
Sun 12/2/2018	vs Oral Roberts₂₈₈	W 79.99 - 64.45	W 79-67	6-3	119.63	137.95	▲ 18.32	102.25	121.95	▼ 19.70	▼ 1.38
Wed 12/5/2018	vs TCU₃₇	L 69.36 - 72.72	L 59-67	6-4	102.98	95.43	▼ 7.55	112.43	119.53	▼ 7.10	▼ 14.65
Sat 12/15/2018	@ Georgetown₉₈	L 73.58 - 76.77	W 81-73	7-4	110.01	122.94	▲ 12.93	109.46	98.89	▲ 10.57	▲ 23.50
Sat 12/22/2018	vs Cornell₂₁₀	W 75.37 - 64.21	W 81-53	8-4	112.02	118.56	▲ 6.54	100.95	76.63	▲ 24.32	▲ 30.86
Wed 1/2/2019	vs ECU₂₈₁	W 78.20 - 63.03	W 82-54	9-4	115.79	122.26	▲ 6.47	98.06	66.89	▲ 31.17	▲ 37.64
Fri 1/4/2019	@ Tulane₂₇₂	W 75.82 - 67.68	W 74-65	10-4	115.80	108.47	▼ 7.33	98.21	88.55	▲ 9.66	▲ 2.33
Thu 1/10/2019	@ UConn₈₃	L 70.03 - 74.37	L 64-76	10-5	108.35	108.93	▲ 0.58	110.56	124.00	▼ 13.44	▼ 12.86
Sat 1/12/2019	vs Tulsa₁₁₃	W 73.56 - 69.03	W 77-57	11-5	107.97	121.23	▲ 13.26	106.55	88.57	▲ 17.98	▲ 31.24
Wed 1/16/2019	vs Houston₁₃	L 64.90 - 73.02	L 58-69	11-6	99.30	100.62	▲ 1.32	116.52	123.02	▼ 6.50	▼ 5.18
Sat 1/19/2019	@ Memphis₅₇	L 72.53 - 79.73	L 61-83	11-7	105.66	72.14	▼ 33.52	110.94	116.62	▼ 5.68	▼ 39.20
Sat 1/26/2019	vs Tulane₂₇₂	W 79.15 - 64.39	W 85-75	12-7	115.80	123.26	▲ 7.46	98.21	109.37	▼ 11.16	▼ 3.70
Wed 1/30/2019	@ Wichita State₇₆	L 67.81 - 72.77	L 83-85	12-8	106.42	133.24	▲ 26.82	109.39	125.75	▼ 16.36	▲ 10.46
Sat 2/2/2019	@ Cincinnati₂₅	L 61.90 - 72.35	L 68-73	12-9	104.61	110.43	▲ 5.82	115.35	113.38	▲ 1.97	▲ 7.79
Thu 2/7/2019	vs USF₁₁₂	W 69.33 - 65.22	L 66-67	12-10	103.76	109.37	▲ 5.61	102.13	122.14	▼ 20.01	▼ 14.40
Sun 2/10/2019	vs UCF₃₆	L 66.48 - 69.69	L 65-71	12-11	104.31	100.68	▼ 3.63	112.99	117.01	▼ 4.02	▼ 7.65
Wed 2/13/2019	@ Temple₇₁	L 69.29 - 74.66	L 74-82	12-12	107.12	110.77	▲ 3.65	110.92	127.66	▼ 16.74	▼ 13.09
Thu 2/21/2019	vs UConn₈₃	W 73.32 - 71.17	W 77-59	13-12	108.35	115.51	▲ 7.16	110.56	94.92	▲ 15.64	▲ 22.80
Sun 2/24/2019	@ UCF₃₆	L 63.38 - 72.71	L 48-95	13-13	104.31	54.11	▼ 50.20	112.99	120.26	▼ 7.27	▼ 57.47
Wed 2/27/2019	vs Cincinnati₂₅	L 64.92 - 69.27	L 49-52	13-14	104.61	80.20	▼ 24.41	115.35	91.77	▲ 23.58	▼ 0.83
Sun 3/3/2019	vs Wichita State₇₆	W 71.05 - 69.48	L 55-67	13-15	106.42	81.63	▼ 24.79	109.39	105.57	▲ 3.82	▼ 20.97
Thu 3/7/2019	@ Houston₁₃	L 61.73 - 76.17	L 79-90	13-16	99.30	122.65	▲ 23.35	116.52	136.03	▼ 19.51	▲ 3.84
Sun 3/10/2019	@ USF₁₁₂	L 66.08 - 68.34	W 77-71	14-16	103.76	112.10	▲ 8.34	102.13	97.50	▲ 4.63	▲ 12.97
Thu 3/14/2019	vs Tulsa₁₁₃ *	W 71.90 - 70.65	W 74-65	15-16	107.97	104.23	▼ 3.74	106.55	92.53	▲ 14.02	▲ 10.28
Fri 3/15/2019	vs Cincinnati₂₅ *	L 63.41 - 70.81	L 74-82	15-17	104.61	123.61	▲ 19.00	115.35	145.78	▼ 30.43	▼ 11.43
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Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location.
Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.

CURIOUS TRENDS:

	SMU does better vs. clubs that have trouble defending the mid-range shot. When playing squads that have a defensive mid-range field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 36.71%, SMU performs above average 80% of the time. Against all other opponents, the team performs better than the norm 32% of the time.
	SMU performs worse against squads that are typically efficient on offense. When facing teams that have an offensive efficiency rating vs. AO greater than 108.81, SMU is more efficient than normal 18% of the time. In their other contests, the team is more efficient 62% of the time.
	When playing teams that aren't terribly skilled defensively, SMU usually performs better than average. SMU is more efficient than normal 65% of the time when facing clubs that have a defensive efficiency rating vs. AO greater than 98.39. In all other contests, SMU performs better than average 27% of the time.

LATEST NEWS ITEMS:

	Injured Whitt put forth warrior-like performance vs. Cincinnati (3/16/2019 2:27:00 PM) Jimmy Whitt was SMU’s best player in its final game of the 2018-19 season, scoring a career high 24 points and grabbing seven rebounds in the 82-74 loss to Cincinnati. Whitt took it to ...
	No. 24 Cincinnati squares off against Wichita St. in American semi (3/16/2019 11:13:00 AM) The second-seeded Bearcats had to work hard to get past short-handed and 10th-seeded SMU 82-74 in Friday's third quarterfinal. Cincinnati (26-6), led by AAC player of the year Jarron Cumberland's 26 points, and Tre Scott's 17 points and 12 rebounds ...
	Highlights: SMU takes down Tulsa, 74-65, in AAC Tournament (3/15/2019 12:05:00 AM) SMU opened the 2019 American Athletic Conference basketball tournament with a 74-65 win over Tulsa on Thursday night in Memphis. The Mustangs were led by big outings from Jahmal McMurray ...
	Cincinnati Bearcat basketball's path to AAC tournament title starts with SMU (3/14/2019 10:06:03 PM) Mick Cronin's No. 2-seeded 'Cats start with SMU The Mustangs defeated Tulsa Thursday night 74-65 ... Our guys are excited and we looking forward to playing tournament basketball. This is the reason we work so hard all year, for tournament time."
	McMurray comes up big as SMU knocks off Tulsa (3/14/2019 10:00:00 PM) SMU advanced in the AAC Tournament, topping Tulsa 74-65 in its first game. The Mustangs built an early lead and held off quite a few Tulsa runs to secure the win. Here's how it all went down.

HASLAMETRICS ALL-PLAY PERCENTAGE RANKING BY DAY: Select data to plot:

HASLAMETRICS TEAM HISTORY: Select data to view:

SUMMARY	Rk	AP%	Rec (WinPct)		RQ	Conference	Pace	Con	SOS	PTF	AFH	ASR

OFFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

DEFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

SUMMARY	Rk		AP%		Rec (WinPct)		RQ		Conference		Pace		Con		SOS		PTF		AFH		ASR

OFFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox

DEFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox