Haslametrics.com

Automated Team Capsule for 2017-18 SMU 17-16 (0.515) | American

All-Play Percentage: 0.766 (83^rd)	Schedule Strength: 0.566 (111^th)	Record Quality: 0.073 (133^rd)	Avg. Season Rank: 48.61 (49^th)
Pace: 66.49 (339^th)	Momentum: -6.22 (344^th)	Off. Momentum: -3.23 (337^th)	Def. Momentum: -2.99 (309^th)
Consistency: -11.15 (341^st)	Res. Consistency: -16.78 (347^th)	Away From Home: -3.36 (347^th)	Paper Tiger Factor: -4.69 (346^th)

NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category.
Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement.
Includes games through April 2, 2018. Data shown on this page is based on time-independent ratings.

OFFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

106.92

25.89

69.44

84.77

45.15

32.80

37.78

24.58

38.66

27.39

59.80

12.95

18.32

7.75

38.70

28.99

32.31

2.06

RANK:

87^th

171^st

265^th

48^th

125^th

107^th

60^th

108^th

102^nd

220^th

168^th

56^th

30^th

95^th

132^nd

127^th

264^th

247^th

DEFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

96.94

22.97

81.90

41.71

37.26

33.88

22.69

34.99

21.96

61.96

10.23

13.02

5.69

45.49

27.70

26.81

2.19

RANK:

69^th

65^th

163^rd

51^st

346^th

87^th

188^th

76^th

9^th

230^th

121^st

62^nd

64^th

347^th

196^th

8^th

2^nd

ANALYSIS:
Despite what their win percentage might indicate, SMU is a good team that can cause more than enough trouble for most opponents. They have a record of 17-16 and are ranked 83rd overall (out of 351) in the latest Haslametrics ratings. Of the 12 schools in the AAC (average ranking 128.8), they're currently ranked as our #4 team in the conference.

Demonstrating a preference for a more deliberate, half-court style of play (the 13th-slowest pace in D1), SMU will mainly try to find success through their defense. They are ranked 69th in defensive efficiency and allow fewer than 97 points every 100 possessions vs. AO. SMU has had some success this season preventing opponents from converting many of their overall field goal attempts. The team ranks #51 nationally in field goal percentage allowed, as AO only makes good on about 41.7% of their total attempts from the floor. SMU will also look to secure a relatively healthy number of easy scoring opportunities off of steals. They're ranked 56th in potential points off of breakaway steals vs. AO with a rating of 12.95.

SMU plays at about the same level on offense as they do on defense. The team ranks 87th nationally in offensive efficiency, scoring about 107 points every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO. SMU has established itself as a team that cleans the offensive glass quite well. Against AO, the squad has a rating of 18.32 in potential points scored off of second chances (ranked 30th in the NCAA). SMU also has one of the better squads in the college game when it comes to maximizing opportunities to score. The team is ranked 48th in the NCAA in offensive field goal attempt rate with a rating of 84.77 vs. AO. As far as making those field goal attempts goes, the team is somewhat middle-of-the-road, converting about 45.2% of them vs. AO.

SMU has definitely not been as efficient as of late compared to earlier in the season and, consequently, the team is nationally ranked eighth from the bottom in positive momentum. SMU has also been one of the most erratic teams in college basketball this year (currently ranked 341st overall in consistency), which makes the outcomes of their future games far more difficult to predict. On the road, SMU performs noticeably worse than they do at home. The team is currently ranked fifth from the bottom in the country in the away-from-home metric we track.

SORTABLE SCHEDULE / RESULTS:


					ADJ. OFF. EFFICIENCY			ADJ. DEF. EFFICIENCY
Date	Opponent	Should	Did	Record	Should	Did	Diff.	Should	Did	Diff.	Rating
Fri 11/10/2017	vs UMBC₁₉₀	W 72.30 - 61.25	W 78-67	1-0	106.99	119.61	▲ 12.62	94.33	106.96	▼ 12.63	▼ 0.01
Sun 11/12/2017	vs UL Monroe₂₂₂	W 71.79 - 58.67	W 83-65	2-0	109.17	122.73	▲ 13.56	93.05	97.65	▼ 4.60	▲ 8.96
Wed 11/15/2017	vs Northwestern St.₃₄₅	W 80.08 - 53.50	W 81-35	3-0	115.07	121.41	▲ 6.34	80.33	28.59	▲ 51.74	▲ 58.08
Sat 11/18/2017	vs AR-Pine Bluff₃₂₉	W 76.51 - 54.72	W 72-37	4-0	111.18	103.73	▼ 7.45	83.47	48.27	▲ 35.20	▲ 27.75
Wed 11/22/2017	vs Northern Iowa₁₂₅ *	W 62.26 - 58.54	L 58-61	4-1	101.20	89.23	▼ 11.97	94.64	93.85	▲ 0.79	▼ 11.18
Thu 11/23/2017	vs Arizona₂₇ *	L 66.62 - 72.44	W 66-60	5-1	102.63	98.51	▼ 4.12	110.83	88.24	▲ 22.59	▲ 18.47
Fri 11/24/2017	vs W. Kentucky₅₆ *	L 67.63 - 70.31	L 61-63	5-2	102.38	88.41	▼ 13.97	105.75	90.00	▲ 15.75	▲ 1.78
Tue 11/28/2017	vs UT Rio Grande₂₆₄	W 80.71 - 63.33	W 95-64	6-2	110.77	135.91	▲ 25.14	90.80	93.01	▼ 2.21	▲ 22.93
Sat 12/2/2017	vs USC₄₇	L 68.39 - 68.83	W 72-55	7-2	102.50	111.29	▲ 8.79	107.43	88.23	▲ 19.20	▲ 27.99
Tue 12/5/2017	@ TCU₂₆	L 66.66 - 75.49	L 83-94	7-3	102.47	114.77	▲ 12.30	110.59	125.51	▼ 14.92	▼ 2.62
Wed 12/13/2017	vs New Orleans₂₅₂	W 72.52 - 57.63	W 79-66	8-3	109.80	119.27	▲ 9.47	90.73	100.73	▼ 10.00	▼ 0.53
Mon 12/18/2017	vs Boise State₃₇	L 66.34 - 67.93	W 86-63	9-3	97.28	115.59	▲ 18.31	103.50	74.20	▲ 29.30	▲ 47.61
Tue 12/19/2017	vs Cal Poly₃₁₂	W 75.07 - 56.11	W 84-64	10-3	114.30	139.73	▲ 25.43	89.52	86.27	▲ 3.25	▲ 28.68
Wed 12/27/2017	vs UCF₁₀₇	W 62.35 - 57.60	W 56-51	11-3	96.97	86.62	▼ 10.35	93.61	85.88	▲ 7.73	▼ 2.62
Sun 12/31/2017	vs USF₂₈₆	W 72.20 - 55.53	W 79-39	12-3	111.92	104.11	▼ 7.81	89.83	38.44	▲ 51.39	▲ 43.58
Thu 1/4/2018	@ Tulane₁₆₈	W 71.40 - 67.48	L 70-73	12-4	108.52	108.33	▼ 0.19	97.86	108.34	▼ 10.48	▼ 10.67
Sun 1/7/2018	@ Cincinnati₅	L 55.91 - 69.60	L 56-76	12-5	90.46	82.60	▼ 7.86	106.99	110.63	▼ 3.64	▼ 11.50
Wed 1/10/2018	vs Temple₉₅	W 68.56 - 64.56	L 64-66	12-6	103.33	99.32	▼ 4.01	101.06	107.03	▼ 5.97	▼ 9.98
Wed 1/17/2018	@ Wichita State₁₃	L 65.59 - 77.36	W 83-78	13-6	101.12	142.95	▲ 41.83	113.64	127.73	▼ 14.09	▲ 27.74
Sat 1/20/2018	vs Tulane₁₆₈	W 74.33 - 64.49	W 73-62	14-6	108.52	113.60	▲ 5.08	97.86	97.58	▲ 0.28	▲ 5.36
Thu 1/25/2018	@ UConn₁₇₈	W 69.01 - 64.49	L 52-63	14-7	107.91	86.48	▼ 21.43	96.92	108.64	▼ 11.72	▼ 33.15
Sun 1/28/2018	vs ECU₃₂₆	W 78.16 - 57.34	W 86-61	15-7	113.14	141.96	▲ 28.82	86.75	90.73	▼ 3.98	▲ 24.84
Thu 2/1/2018	@ Tulsa₁₁₅	W 68.10 - 67.78	L 67-76	15-8	105.03	105.44	▲ 0.41	99.82	113.36	▼ 13.54	▼ 13.13
Thu 2/8/2018	@ Houston₁₉	L 62.39 - 73.56	L 58-67	15-9	96.25	102.27	▲ 6.02	107.92	111.29	▼ 3.37	▲ 2.65
Sun 2/11/2018	vs Cincinnati₅	L 58.67 - 66.81	L 51-76	15-10	90.46	49.81	▼ 40.65	106.99	121.02	▼ 14.03	▼ 54.68
Wed 2/14/2018	vs Memphis₁₅₁	W 71.34 - 62.84	L 67-70	15-11	108.88	105.79	▼ 3.09	99.90	117.02	▼ 17.12	▼ 20.21
Sat 2/17/2018	@ UCF₁₀₇	L 59.61 - 60.26	L 37-52	15-12	96.97	66.98	▼ 29.99	93.61	97.73	▼ 4.12	▼ 34.11
Wed 2/21/2018	@ ECU₃₂₆	W 75.20 - 60.25	W 77-58	16-12	113.14	121.32	▲ 8.18	86.75	84.83	▲ 1.92	▲ 10.10
Sat 2/24/2018	vs Wichita State₁₃	L 68.48 - 74.36	L 78-84	16-13	101.12	107.90	▲ 6.78	113.64	136.70	▼ 23.06	▼ 16.28
Wed 2/28/2018	vs Houston₁₉	L 65.28 - 70.58	L 56-69	16-14	96.25	79.99	▼ 16.26	107.92	108.62	▼ 0.70	▼ 16.96
Sun 3/4/2018	@ USF₂₈₆	W 69.43 - 58.35	L 54-65	16-15	111.92	87.27	▼ 24.65	89.83	104.29	▼ 14.46	▼ 39.11
Thu 3/8/2018	vs UConn₁₇₈ *	W 70.44 - 63.02	W 80-73	17-15	107.91	115.94	▲ 8.03	96.92	102.90	▼ 5.98	▲ 2.05
Fri 3/9/2018	vs Cincinnati₅ *	L 57.29 - 68.20	L 51-61	17-16	90.46	84.48	▼ 5.98	106.99	101.67	▲ 5.32	▼ 0.66
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Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location.
Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.

CURIOUS TRENDS:

	When facing teams that shoot the ball well from the field, SMU often performs worse than normal. SMU is more efficient than usual 26% of the time when facing teams that have an offensive field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 42.79%. In their other contests, SMU performs better than the norm 80% of the time.
	SMU does better vs. clubs that aren't terribly skilled defensively. When playing squads that have a defensive efficiency rating vs. AO greater than 103.97, SMU performs above average 80% of the time. Against all other opponents, the team performs better than the norm 26% of the time.
	SMU performs worse against squads that are typically efficient on offense. When facing teams that have an offensive efficiency rating vs. AO greater than 97.98, SMU is more efficient than normal 26% of the time. In their other contests, the team is more efficient 80% of the time.

HASLAMETRICS ALL-PLAY PERCENTAGE RANKING BY DAY: Select data to plot:

HASLAMETRICS TEAM HISTORY: Select data to view:

SUMMARY	Rk	AP%	Rec (WinPct)		RQ	Conference	Pace	Con	SOS	PTF	AFH	ASR

OFFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

DEFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

SUMMARY	Rk		AP%		Rec (WinPct)		RQ		Conference		Pace		Con		SOS		PTF		AFH		ASR

OFFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox

DEFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox