Haslametrics.com

Automated Team Capsule for 2018-19 Purdue 26-10 (0.722) | Big Ten

All-Play Percentage: 0.986 (6^th)	Schedule Strength: 0.801 (5^th)	Record Quality: 0.476 (16^th)	Avg. Season Rank: 8.74 (8^th)
Pace: 66.06 (317^th)	Momentum: 4.82 (11^th)	Off. Momentum: 3.59 (27^th)	Def. Momentum: 1.23 (83^rd)
Consistency: -11.46 (333^rd)	Res. Consistency: -14.08 (279^th)	Away From Home: -2.20 (335^th)	Paper Tiger Factor: -1.19 (199^th)

NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category.
Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement.
Includes games through April 8, 2019. Data shown on this page is based on time-independent ratings.

OFFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

123.74

26.89

74.30

91.67

47.62

42.80

38.45

15.99

36.32

32.88

65.03

12.68

18.87

8.09

46.69

17.44

35.87

2.11

RANK:

1^st

135^th

78^th

1^st

26^th

5^th

23^rd

311^th

154^th

70^th

33^rd

98^th

6^th

19^th

11^th

334^th

174^th

309^th

DEFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

95.05

22.46

83.06

39.89

35.64

33.73

21.48

30.36

25.94

56.24

9.55

14.19

5.47

42.91

25.86

31.23

2.12

RANK:

36^th

38^th

145^th

27^th

310^th

121^st

217^th

11^th

37^th

67^th

41^st

218^th

105^th

318^th

225^th

35^th

21^st

ANALYSIS:
Purdue is one of the most elite and successful teams in college basketball this year. They have a record of 26-10 and are ranked sixth overall (out of 353) in the latest Haslametrics ratings. They are also ranked by this site as the #2 team (out of 14) in the Big Ten (average ranking 36.2). Sporting a strength-of-schedule rating of 0.801 (the fifth-highest in the country), Purdue has prepared themselves by challenging some of the best teams in the college game.

Purdue is undoubtedly one of the best in the business on offense. The team is rated first in offensive efficiency, scoring more than 123 points every 100 possessions vs. AO. Purdue is one of the very best when it comes to maximizing field goal opportunities. The team is ranked first in the NCAA in offensive field goal attempt rate with a rating of 91.67 vs. AO. And when they do shoot, they make a fair portion of their shots. Ranked in the top-50 in field goal shooting percentage, the squad converts about 47.6% of their total attempts vs. AO. Purdue also appears to be one of the top-notch offensive rebounding teams you will find this year. Against AO, the squad has a rating of 18.87 in potential points scored off of second chances (ranked sixth in the NCAA), and they convert 8.1% of their second-chance opportunities (ranked 19th) as well. Purdue lastly lives and dies by the three-ball and will launch from long-distance early and often. The team ranks 11th in ratio of three-point attempts to total field goal attempts. And they'll absolutely kill you if you let them shoot from behind the arc. The squad makes 38.5% of its attempts from long-distance vs. AO, 23rd-best in the nation.

Purdue plays at roughly the same level defensively as they do offensively. The team ranks 36th nationally in defensive efficiency, allowing about 95 points every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO. Purdue does a bang-up job preventing the opposition from draining jumpers in between the three-point line and the low post. They're ranked 11th in Division I in defensive mid-range field goal percentage, allowing AO to make good on only 30.4% of their attempts from that distance. Purdue also boasts one of the better overall defensive field goal percentages in the country. The team ranks #27 nationally in field goal percentage allowed, as AO only makes good on about 39.9% of their total attempts from the floor.

Purdue has been playing some of its most efficient basketball of the season recently and is presently ranked 11th in positive momentum. Purdue has also been one of the most erratic teams in college basketball this year (currently ranked 333rd overall in consistency), which makes the outcomes of their future games far more difficult to predict. On the road, Purdue performs noticeably worse than they do at home. The team is currently ranked 335th in the country in the away-from-home metric we track.

SORTABLE SCHEDULE / RESULTS:


					ADJ. OFF. EFFICIENCY			ADJ. DEF. EFFICIENCY
Date	Opponent	Should	Did	Record	Should	Did	Diff.	Should	Did	Diff.	Rating
Tue 11/6/2018	vs Fairfield₂₇₉	W 87.30 - 56.12	W 90-57	1-0	128.16	130.26	▲ 2.10	87.89	97.32	▼ 9.43	▼ 7.33
Sat 11/10/2018	vs Ball State₁₁₆	W 83.14 - 62.15	W 84-75	2-0	118.50	124.84	▲ 6.34	93.43	115.10	▼ 21.67	▼ 15.33
Thu 11/15/2018	vs Appalachian St.₁₉₃ *	W 89.71 - 65.91	W 92-70	3-0	127.84	132.26	▲ 4.42	95.59	93.55	▲ 2.04	▲ 6.46
Fri 11/16/2018	vs Davidson₈₅ *	W 76.57 - 62.27	W 79-58	4-0	118.51	121.05	▲ 2.54	97.55	82.76	▲ 14.79	▲ 17.33
Sun 11/18/2018	vs Virginia Tech₁₁ *	W 70.27 - 67.76	L 83-89	4-1	112.59	120.29	▲ 7.70	108.92	127.14	▼ 18.22	▼ 10.52
Fri 11/23/2018	vs Robert Morris₂₆₀	W 83.18 - 53.54	W 84-46	5-1	124.16	119.15	▼ 5.01	85.34	59.64	▲ 25.70	▲ 20.69
Wed 11/28/2018	@ Florida State₁₇	W 72.07 - 69.52	L 72-73	5-2	111.29	101.13	▼ 10.16	102.07	97.50	▲ 4.57	▼ 5.59
Sat 12/1/2018	@ Michigan₇	L 65.44 - 68.36	L 57-76	5-3	106.38	91.77	▼ 14.61	106.39	121.11	▼ 14.72	▼ 29.33
Thu 12/6/2018	vs Maryland₁₆	W 74.31 - 66.24	W 62-60	6-3	113.91	95.56	▼ 18.35	105.66	94.68	▲ 10.98	▼ 7.37
Sun 12/9/2018	@ Texas₂₂	W 70.20 - 66.69	L 68-72	6-4	112.72	108.33	▼ 4.39	102.31	103.39	▼ 1.08	▼ 5.47
Sat 12/15/2018	vs Notre Dame₈₆ *	W 77.16 - 63.16	L 80-88	6-5	121.16	110.34	▼ 10.82	99.96	126.16	▼ 26.20	▼ 37.02
Thu 12/20/2018	vs Ohio₁₈₀	W 83.72 - 58.65	W 95-67	7-5	122.46	142.04	▲ 19.58	90.22	89.45	▲ 0.77	▲ 20.35
Sat 12/29/2018	vs Belmont₅₁	W 86.15 - 71.03	W 73-62	8-5	120.68	106.18	▼ 14.50	104.83	94.45	▲ 10.38	▼ 4.12
Thu 1/3/2019	vs Iowa₄₁	W 83.23 - 70.06	W 86-70	9-5	120.61	145.92	▲ 25.31	106.87	107.66	▼ 0.79	▲ 24.52
Tue 1/8/2019	@ Michigan State₃	L 69.47 - 75.18	L 59-77	9-6	109.71	100.39	▼ 9.32	113.22	124.62	▼ 11.40	▼ 20.72
Fri 1/11/2019	@ Wisconsin₁₅	W 66.81 - 65.31	W 84-80 (OT)	10-6	110.06	128.99	▲ 18.93	102.39	121.99	▼ 19.60	▼ 0.67
Tue 1/15/2019	vs Rutgers₈₉	W 78.96 - 61.32	W 89-54	11-6	119.62	142.18	▲ 22.56	96.87	86.37	▲ 10.50	▲ 33.06
Sat 1/19/2019	vs Indiana₄₉	W 77.52 - 63.78	W 70-55	12-6	115.64	107.74	▼ 7.90	100.68	97.58	▲ 3.10	▼ 4.80
Wed 1/23/2019	@ Ohio State₃₃	W 71.19 - 65.80	W 79-67	13-6	113.97	122.05	▲ 8.08	100.54	101.72	▼ 1.18	▲ 6.90
Sun 1/27/2019	vs Michigan State₃	W 72.73 - 71.84	W 73-63	14-6	109.71	116.69	▲ 6.98	113.22	101.68	▲ 11.54	▲ 18.52
Thu 1/31/2019	@ Penn State₃₉	W 73.30 - 67.33	W 99-90 (OT)	15-6	113.26	133.27	▲ 20.01	99.73	126.29	▼ 26.56	▼ 6.55
Sun 2/3/2019	vs Minnesota₅₂	W 78.38 - 64.30	W 73-63	16-6	118.48	113.38	▼ 5.10	101.26	104.59	▼ 3.33	▼ 8.43
Sat 2/9/2019	vs Nebraska₂₈	W 77.29 - 65.92	W 81-62	17-6	116.86	132.02	▲ 15.16	105.58	106.07	▼ 0.49	▲ 14.67
Tue 2/12/2019	@ Maryland₁₆	W 71.09 - 69.52	L 56-70	17-7	113.91	94.68	▼ 19.23	105.66	106.74	▼ 1.08	▼ 20.31
Sat 2/16/2019	vs Penn State₃₉	W 76.64 - 64.12	W 76-64	18-7	113.26	104.75	▼ 8.51	99.73	90.90	▲ 8.83	▲ 0.32
Tue 2/19/2019	@ Indiana₄₉	W 74.21 - 66.90	W 48-46	19-7	115.64	86.79	▼ 28.85	100.68	74.24	▲ 26.44	▼ 2.41
Sat 2/23/2019	@ Nebraska₂₈	W 74.02 - 69.08	W 75-72	20-7	116.86	117.00	▲ 0.14	105.58	118.17	▼ 12.59	▼ 12.45
Wed 2/27/2019	vs Illinois₅₉	W 83.26 - 66.76	W 73-56	21-7	120.54	110.41	▼ 10.13	101.96	100.31	▲ 1.65	▼ 8.48
Sat 3/2/2019	vs Ohio State₃₃	W 74.41 - 62.58	W 86-51	22-7	113.97	173.97	▲ 60.00	100.54	76.34	▲ 24.20	▲ 84.20
Tue 3/5/2019	@ Minnesota₅₂	W 75.10 - 67.47	L 69-73	22-8	118.48	98.00	▼ 20.48	101.26	101.42	▼ 0.16	▼ 20.64
Sat 3/9/2019	@ Northwestern₇₀	W 72.69 - 62.73	W 70-57	23-8	114.60	114.95	▲ 0.35	95.13	93.71	▲ 1.42	▲ 1.77
Fri 3/15/2019	vs Minnesota₅₂ *	W 76.74 - 65.88	L 73-75	23-9	118.48	117.74	▼ 0.74	101.26	118.11	▼ 16.85	▼ 17.59
Thu 3/21/2019	vs Old Dominion₁₂₆ *	W 74.56 - 57.95	W 61-48	24-9	117.13	99.17	▼ 17.96	91.26	74.80	▲ 16.46	▼ 1.50
Sat 3/23/2019	vs Villanova₃₈ *	W 73.94 - 65.27	W 87-61	25-9	119.50	155.26	▲ 35.76	105.90	63.16	▲ 42.74	▲ 78.50
Thu 3/28/2019	vs Tennessee₁₀ *	W 76.39 - 74.01	W 99-94 (OT)	26-9	116.78	132.78	▲ 16.00	112.77	121.48	▼ 8.71	▲ 7.29
Sat 3/30/2019	vs Virginia₂ *	L 63.82 - 66.52	L 75-80 (OT)	26-10	109.38	139.30	▲ 29.92	114.07	133.33	▼ 19.26	▲ 10.66
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Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location.
Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.

CURIOUS TRENDS:

	Purdue performs better against squads that fail to defend efficiently inside the paint. When facing teams that have a defensive near-proximity field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 55.90%, Purdue is more efficient than normal 73% of the time. In their other contests, the team is more efficient 20% of the time.
	When playing teams that allow a greater number of field goal opportunities, Purdue usually performs worse than average. Purdue is more efficient than normal 8% of the time when facing clubs that have a defensive field goal attempt rate vs. AO greater than 84.63. In all other contests, Purdue performs better than average 50% of the time.
	Purdue is typically better vs. teams that allow more chances at the line. Against foes that have a defensive free throw attempt rate vs. AO greater than 23.43, Purdue performs above their norm 53% of the time. Against the remaining opposition, the team performs above average 18% of the time.

LATEST NEWS ITEMS:

	Doyel: Purdue's Carsen Edwards and a 'performance for the ages' (3/31/2019 11:55:00 PM) LOUISVILLE – Carsen Edwards issued his warning in black ink. Before Purdue’s 80-75 overtime loss to Virginia in the Elite Eight on Saturday night, he wrapped his left wrist in white tape. He found a black Sharpie. And he wrote a handful of phrases that ...
	Virginia Outlasts Purdue, Carsen Edwards in OT to Win Craziest Game of 2019 NCAA Tournament (3/31/2019 10:21:00 AM) Virginia prevailed over Purdue and standout guard Carsen Edwards 80–75 in overtime on Saturday night to advace to the Hoos' first Final Four since 1984, and the first of coach Tony Bennett's career. The instant classic featured Edwards exploding for 42 ...
	Scouting Purdue basketball vs. Virginia in South Region championship (3/29/2019 5:23:00 PM) The Boilermakers seek their third Final Four trip ... Contact Journal & Courier Purdue men's basketball insider Nathan Baird at nbaird@jconline.com or 765-420-5234. Follow him on Twitter: @nbairdjc
	Final Four or Bust: A look at Purdue's last four Elite Eight trips (3/29/2019 2:46:00 PM) Gonzaga. The only thing between the Boilermakers and the Final Four was No. 8 Wisconsin, which split with the Boilers during the season. Purdue was a two-point favorite. Finally, it looked like Gene Keady was going to reach college basketball’s promised ...
	Three takeaways from Tennessee’s Sweet 16 loss to Purdue (3/29/2019 11:22:00 AM) Tennessee escaped Colgate and Iowa despite playing one half of good basketball, but Purdue made the Vols pay for their inconsistency. The Boilermakers got just about everything they wanted out of the offensive sets early in the game, as their motion and ...

HASLAMETRICS ALL-PLAY PERCENTAGE RANKING BY DAY: Select data to plot:

HASLAMETRICS TEAM HISTORY: Select data to view:

SUMMARY	Rk	AP%	Rec (WinPct)		RQ	Conference	Pace	Con	SOS	PTF	AFH	ASR

OFFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

DEFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

SUMMARY	Rk		AP%		Rec (WinPct)		RQ		Conference		Pace		Con		SOS		PTF		AFH		ASR

OFFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox

DEFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox