Haslametrics.com

Automated Team Capsule for 2015-16 Purdue 26-9 (0.743) | Big Ten

All-Play Percentage: 0.980 (8^th)	Schedule Strength: 0.672 (55^th)	Record Quality: 0.401 (19^th)	Avg. Season Rank: 5.83 (6^th)
Pace: 69.30 (201^st)	Momentum: 2.63 (54^th)	Off. Momentum: 2.98 (44^th)	Def. Momentum: -0.35 (168^th)
Consistency: -10.90 (345^th)	Res. Consistency: -13.88 (306^th)	Away From Home: -0.26 (202^nd)	Paper Tiger Factor: -5.15 (346^th)

NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category.
Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement.
Includes games through April 4, 2016. Data shown on this page is based on time-independent ratings.

OFFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

116.44

30.44

75.49

84.94

48.34

30.18

37.60

28.47

39.78

26.29

69.93

9.55

14.27

7.27

35.53

33.52

30.95

2.05

RANK:

11^th

99^th

26^th

55^th

19^th

129^th

46^th

52^nd

36^th

287^th

2^nd

247^th

214^th

116^th

162^nd

69^th

314^th

264^th

DEFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

90.51

23.99

85.13

38.37

27.74

30.02

31.33

31.88

26.07

55.05

9.55

10.77

3.88

32.58

36.80

30.62

2.02

RANK:

9^th

39^th

297^th

9^th

125^th

6^th

343^rd

28^th

63^rd

52^nd

69^th

8^th

3^rd

71^st

341^st

37^th

128^th

ANALYSIS:
When you talk about the elite teams in college basketball this year, Purdue most definitely is in the conversation. They are ranked #8 (out of 351) in the most recent Haslametrics ratings and have a record of 26-9. Of the 14 schools in the Big Ten (average ranking 80.5), they're currently ranked as our #2 team in the conference.

Purdue is one of the most menacing defensive teams in the country. Ranked ninth in defensive efficiency, they will allow fewer than 91 points every 100 possessions vs. AO. Purdue does a fantastic job to prevent opposing teams from capitalizing on chances from offensive rebounds. The squad allows AO to convert only 3.9% of all second-chance opportunities (ranked third in the NCAA), and with a rating of 10.77, they're eighth in potential points allowed off of the offensive glass as well. Purdue will also take a bite out of many opponents' shooting percentages, based on the fact that the team ranks in the top-50 in three of our four primary defensive field goal categories. They'll inflict the most harm on the outside, allowing AO to convert just 30.0% of their three-pointers (sixth in the nation), 31.9% of their mid-range chances (28th), and 38.4% of their total shots from the field (ninth).

Purdue plays at about the same level on offense as they do on defense. The team ranks 11th nationally in offensive efficiency, scoring about 116 points every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO. Purdue is an outstanding shooting team, capable of converting from a variety of locations on the floor and ranking in the top-50 in each of our four most noteworthy field goal categories. While hitting from inside is their primary strength (69.9% from near-proximity vs. AO, second in the country), the team also converts 37.6% of their three-pointers (46th), 39.8% of their mid-range jumpers (36th), and 48.3% of their total shots from the field (19th) vs. AO. Purdue also does a really good job converting from the free throw line. Making 75.5% of their attempts from the stripe, they are ranked 26th nationally in free throw percentage. Moreover, they get ample opportunity to beat you from the line, as the ball-club falls in the top-100 in free throw attempt rate with a rating of 30.44 vs. AO.

Purdue has been one of the most erratic teams in college basketball this year (currently ranked seventh from the bottom overall in consistency), which makes the outcomes of their future games far more difficult to predict.

SORTABLE SCHEDULE / RESULTS:


					ADJ. OFF. EFFICIENCY			ADJ. DEF. EFFICIENCY
Date	Opponent	Should	Did	Record	Should	Did	Diff.	Should	Did	Diff.	Rating
Fri 11/13/2015	vs NC A&T₃₄₃	W 90.61 - 53.22	W 81-40	1-0	129.10	127.31	▼ 1.79	80.47	49.43	▲ 31.04	▲ 29.25
Sun 11/15/2015	vs Vermont₁₄₇	W 84.15 - 62.51	W 107-79	2-0	119.56	147.08	▲ 27.52	94.28	111.11	▼ 16.83	▲ 10.69
Wed 11/18/2015	vs Incarnate Word₂₉₈	W 87.59 - 55.46	W 96-61	3-0	123.48	139.30	▲ 15.82	83.46	62.01	▲ 21.45	▲ 37.27
Sat 11/21/2015	vs Old Dominion₁₀₄ *	W 70.35 - 58.07	W 61-39	4-0	110.91	98.21	▼ 12.70	91.53	61.40	▲ 30.13	▲ 17.43
Sun 11/22/2015	vs Florida₃₉ *	W 74.33 - 67.41	W 85-70	5-0	105.91	127.69	▲ 21.78	95.77	96.92	▼ 1.15	▲ 20.63
Sat 11/28/2015	vs Lehigh₁₈₈	W 83.85 - 59.78	W 77-55	6-0	118.71	101.70	▼ 17.01	89.26	75.64	▲ 13.62	▼ 3.39
Tue 12/1/2015	@ Pittsburgh₃₂	W 71.14 - 69.06	W 72-59	7-0	109.96	119.05	▲ 9.09	100.51	93.80	▲ 6.71	▲ 15.80
Sat 12/5/2015	vs New Mexico₁₀₆	W 83.89 - 65.64	W 70-58	8-0	114.57	86.56	▼ 28.01	94.79	75.64	▲ 19.15	▼ 8.86
Mon 12/7/2015	vs IUPUI₂₀₅	W 83.86 - 57.83	W 80-53	9-0	117.12	122.54	▲ 5.42	86.11	77.92	▲ 8.19	▲ 13.61
Wed 12/9/2015	vs Howard₃₂₆	W 89.53 - 53.57	W 93-55	10-0	123.29	159.58	▲ 36.29	78.50	72.15	▲ 6.35	▲ 42.64
Sat 12/12/2015	vs Youngstown St.₂₉₇	W 94.31 - 60.98	W 95-64	11-0	126.77	123.64	▼ 3.13	87.06	93.69	▼ 6.63	▼ 9.76
Sat 12/19/2015	vs Butler₂₆ *	W 76.74 - 71.89	L 68-74	11-1	111.99	91.89	▼ 20.10	104.83	100.00	▲ 4.83	▼ 15.27
Tue 12/22/2015	vs Vanderbilt₂₀	W 74.65 - 67.27	W 68-55	12-1	106.20	97.08	▼ 9.12	101.04	84.74	▲ 16.30	▲ 7.18
Tue 12/29/2015	@ Wisconsin₄₂	W 67.37 - 64.21	W 61-55	13-1	106.56	104.61	▼ 1.95	95.47	82.08	▲ 13.39	▲ 11.44
Sat 1/2/2016	vs Iowa₂₃	W 76.94 - 69.21	L 63-70	13-2	107.14	88.13	▼ 19.01	101.52	107.46	▼ 5.94	▼ 24.95
Thu 1/7/2016	vs Michigan₄₇	W 76.33 - 64.88	W 87-70	14-2	111.93	120.89	▲ 8.96	100.58	99.69	▲ 0.89	▲ 9.85
Sun 1/10/2016	@ Illinois₁₃₃	W 77.27 - 64.82	L 70-84	14-3	115.51	101.43	▼ 14.08	91.36	114.73	▼ 23.37	▼ 37.45
Wed 1/13/2016	vs Penn State₁₄₄	W 79.54 - 58.27	W 74-57	15-3	114.88	108.02	▼ 6.86	89.24	88.86	▲ 0.38	▼ 6.48
Mon 1/18/2016	@ Rutgers₂₉₀	W 84.93 - 61.42	W 107-57	16-3	122.84	165.71	▲ 42.87	84.13	76.63	▲ 7.50	▲ 50.37
Thu 1/21/2016	vs Ohio State₉₀	W 77.64 - 61.46	W 75-64	17-3	109.77	116.13	▲ 6.36	92.15	106.14	▼ 13.99	▼ 7.63
Sun 1/24/2016	@ Iowa₂₃	L 72.86 - 73.21	L 71-83	17-4	107.14	96.16	▼ 10.98	101.52	107.89	▼ 6.37	▼ 17.35
Wed 1/27/2016	@ Minnesota₁₇₅	W 77.96 - 62.38	W 68-64	18-4	114.89	101.47	▼ 13.42	87.01	88.51	▼ 1.50	▼ 14.92
Sat 1/30/2016	vs Nebraska₆₈	W 78.70 - 64.08	W 89-74	19-4	111.57	122.08	▲ 10.51	95.98	105.86	▼ 9.88	▲ 0.63
Sat 2/6/2016	@ Maryland₂₁	L 71.23 - 71.87	L 61-72	19-5	107.12	88.42	▼ 18.70	101.93	98.53	▲ 3.40	▼ 15.30
Tue 2/9/2016	vs Michigan State₄	W 72.96 - 71.14	W 82-81 (OT)	20-5	105.70	104.55	▼ 1.15	107.91	110.38	▼ 2.47	▼ 3.62
Sat 2/13/2016	@ Michigan₄₇	W 72.44 - 68.72	L 56-61	20-6	111.93	93.24	▼ 18.69	100.58	93.91	▲ 6.67	▼ 12.02
Tue 2/16/2016	vs Northwestern₇₁	W 74.21 - 60.67	W 71-61	21-6	110.70	115.42	▲ 4.72	95.90	102.92	▼ 7.02	▼ 2.30
Sat 2/20/2016	@ Indiana₁₁	L 74.09 - 76.63	L 73-77	21-7	109.88	118.79	▲ 8.91	107.48	121.28	▼ 13.80	▼ 4.89
Sat 2/27/2016	vs Maryland₂₁	W 75.22 - 67.84	W 83-79	22-7	107.12	120.96	▲ 13.84	101.93	120.83	▼ 18.90	▼ 5.06
Tue 3/1/2016	@ Nebraska₆₈	W 74.69 - 68.05	W 81-62	23-7	111.57	128.72	▲ 17.15	95.98	93.86	▲ 2.12	▲ 19.27
Sun 3/6/2016	vs Wisconsin₄₂	W 71.17 - 60.54	W 91-80	24-7	106.56	137.08	▲ 30.52	95.47	119.58	▼ 24.11	▲ 6.41
Fri 3/11/2016	vs Illinois₁₃₃ *	W 79.28 - 62.84	W 89-58	25-7	115.51	150.00	▲ 34.49	91.36	69.77	▲ 21.59	▲ 56.08
Sat 3/12/2016	vs Michigan₄₇ *	W 74.38 - 66.80	W 76-59	26-7	111.93	112.50	▲ 0.57	100.58	87.69	▲ 12.89	▲ 13.46
Sun 3/13/2016	vs Michigan State₄ *	L 70.99 - 73.07	L 62-66	26-8	105.70	96.88	▼ 8.82	107.91	104.76	▲ 3.15	▼ 5.67
Thu 3/17/2016	vs Little Rock₅₉ *	W 70.69 - 61.57	L 83-85 (2OT)	26-9	109.06	102.94	▼ 6.12	94.36	102.94	▼ 8.58	▼ 14.70
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Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location.
Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.

CURIOUS TRENDS:

	Purdue does worse vs. clubs that convert well from the charity stripe. When playing squads that have an adjusted free throw percentage vs. AO greater than 70.45%, Purdue performs above average 29% of the time. Against all other opponents, the team performs better than the norm 82% of the time.
	Purdue performs better against squads that do not defend well on the perimeter. When facing teams that have a defensive three-point field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 32.99%, Purdue is more efficient than normal 60% of the time. In their other contests, the team is more efficient 10% of the time.
	When playing teams that convert more frequently off of offensive rebounds, Purdue usually performs worse than average. Purdue is more efficient than normal 20% of the time when facing clubs that have an offensive second-chance conversion percentage vs. AO greater than 6.76%. In all other contests, Purdue performs better than average 65% of the time.

HASLAMETRICS ALL-PLAY PERCENTAGE RANKING BY DAY: Select data to plot:

HASLAMETRICS TEAM HISTORY: Select data to view:

SUMMARY	Rk	AP%	Rec (WinPct)		RQ	Conference	Pace	Con	SOS	PTF	AFH	ASR

OFFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

DEFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

SUMMARY	Rk		AP%		Rec (WinPct)		RQ		Conference		Pace		Con		SOS		PTF		AFH		ASR

OFFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox

DEFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox