Haslametrics.com

Automated Team Capsule for 2016-17 Providence 20-13 (0.606) | Big East

All-Play Percentage: 0.823 (63^rd)	Schedule Strength: 0.692 (52^nd)	Record Quality: 0.263 (51^st)	Avg. Season Rank: 58.99 (57^th)
Pace: 68.73 (262^nd)	Momentum: 1.15 (114^th)	Off. Momentum: 0.23 (195^th)	Def. Momentum: 0.93 (66^th)
Consistency: -8.69 (150^th)	Res. Consistency: -12.88 (273^rd)	Away From Home: -1.80 (313^th)	Paper Tiger Factor: 0.26 (80^th)

NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category.
Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement.
Includes games through April 3, 2017. Data shown on this page is based on time-independent ratings.

OFFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

105.79

29.62

69.62

80.54

45.81

28.84

39.48

23.55

34.41

28.14

61.84

11.21

12.99

6.45

35.81

29.24

34.95

2.01

RANK:

93^rd

80^th

197^th

238^th

90^th

200^th

21^st

179^th

270^th

194^th

98^th

142^nd

257^th

186^th

163^rd

169^th

178^th

DEFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

93.16

23.46

81.53

41.91

28.20

31.59

23.93

35.58

29.41

56.95

8.29

14.35

5.74

34.58

29.34

36.07

1.99

RANK:

35^th

44^th

160^th

71^st

110^th

22^nd

187^th

110^th

215^th

89^th

21^st

173^rd

77^th

107^th

196^th

223^rd

233^rd

ANALYSIS:
Providence is a moderately good team, capable of testing many an opponent that they'll encounter. They are ranked #63 (out of 351) in the most recent Haslametrics ratings and have a record of 20-13. Of the 10 schools in the Big East (average ranking 56.5), they're currently ranked as our #8 team in the conference.

Providence will mainly try to find success through their defense. They are ranked 35th in defensive efficiency and allow fewer than 94 points every 100 possessions vs. AO. Providence does an outstanding job shutting down the opposition from behind the arc. They rank 22nd in the NCAA in defensive three-point percentage, allowing AO to make just 31.6% of their attempts from afar. Providence also does a pretty solid job avoiding careless fouls and minimizing opponents' opportunities from the free throw line. With a defensive free throw attempt rate of 23.46 vs. AO, they are currently rated 44th in the country in that category.

Providence is also a fairly decent team on the offensive end of the court. The team ranks 93rd nationally in offensive efficiency, scoring about 106 points every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO. Providence is one of the most accurate teams when shooting from long-distance. They're ranked 21st nationally in three-point field goal percentage and make about 39.5% of their attempts from there vs. AO. Providence also allows very few breakaway opportunities for the opposition, which typically translates to fewer turnovers. The team's rating vs. AO for potential breakaway points allowed off of steals is 8.29, which ranks #21 in the country.

When playing on the road, Providence performs somewhat worse than they normally do on their home court. The club is nationally ranked 313th in our site's away-from-home metric.

SORTABLE SCHEDULE / RESULTS:


					ADJ. OFF. EFFICIENCY			ADJ. DEF. EFFICIENCY
Date	Opponent	Should	Did	Record	Should	Did	Diff.	Should	Did	Diff.	Rating
Mon 11/14/2016	vs Vermont₆₄	W 67.75 - 64.65	W 80-58	1-0	100.82	113.41	▲ 12.59	100.06	85.03	▲ 15.03	▲ 27.62
Thu 11/17/2016	@ Ohio State₇₂	L 68.84 - 70.25	L 67-72	1-1	102.24	99.32	▼ 2.92	100.10	103.67	▼ 3.57	▼ 6.49
Sat 11/19/2016	vs Grambling₃₃₇	W 80.42 - 54.48	W 71-54	2-1	116.23	102.33	▼ 13.90	82.54	84.03	▼ 1.49	▼ 15.39
Mon 11/21/2016	vs St. Francis (BKN)₃₄₇	W 80.46 - 49.88	W 64-48	3-1	115.10	99.37	▼ 15.73	75.32	73.64	▲ 1.68	▼ 14.05
Fri 11/25/2016	vs Memphis₁₀₀ *	W 71.21 - 66.86	W 60-51	4-1	103.49	89.86	▼ 13.63	97.00	76.81	▲ 20.19	▲ 6.56
Sat 11/26/2016	vs Virginia₉ *	L 53.86 - 62.99	L 52-63	4-2	88.39	89.66	▲ 1.27	103.67	108.62	▼ 4.95	▼ 3.68
Wed 11/30/2016	vs UNH₁₈₆	W 72.20 - 59.22	W 76-62	5-2	107.18	110.28	▲ 3.10	91.74	92.98	▼ 1.24	▲ 1.86
Sat 12/3/2016	vs URI₄₄	L 66.85 - 66.86	W 63-60	6-2	97.48	96.22	▼ 1.26	101.54	94.52	▲ 7.02	▲ 5.76
Tue 12/6/2016	vs Brown₂₇₂	W 83.90 - 63.96	W 95-57	7-2	115.36	139.25	▲ 23.89	91.96	54.72	▲ 37.24	▲ 61.13
Sat 12/10/2016	vs UMass₁₅₀	W 75.54 - 63.98	W 75-69	8-2	101.62	92.72	▼ 8.90	90.20	91.83	▼ 1.63	▼ 10.53
Sat 12/17/2016	vs Wagner₂₄₈	W 71.93 - 55.72	W 76-54	9-2	109.70	123.78	▲ 14.08	88.94	67.52	▲ 21.42	▲ 35.50
Tue 12/20/2016	vs Maine₃₃₃	W 79.38 - 53.61	W 79-59	10-2	113.56	108.23	▼ 5.33	80.11	81.63	▼ 1.52	▼ 6.85
Fri 12/23/2016	@ Boston College₁₃₇	W 72.47 - 67.73	L 67-79	10-3	104.00	79.14	▼ 24.86	93.67	108.90	▼ 15.23	▼ 40.09
Wed 12/28/2016	@ Xavier₃₈	L 66.62 - 72.85	L 56-82	10-4	99.90	89.49	▼ 10.41	104.74	129.93	▼ 25.19	▼ 35.60
Sun 1/1/2017	@ Butler₂₅	L 63.72 - 72.91	L 61-78	10-5	98.69	95.87	▼ 2.82	107.86	113.17	▼ 5.31	▼ 8.13
Wed 1/4/2017	vs Georgetown₆₀	W 70.36 - 67.58	W 76-70	11-5	99.18	109.55	▲ 10.37	99.29	102.22	▼ 2.93	▲ 7.44
Sat 1/7/2017	vs Creighton₂₉	L 71.40 - 74.04	L 64-78	11-6	98.26	94.51	▼ 3.75	105.93	126.81	▼ 20.88	▼ 24.63
Tue 1/10/2017	@ DePaul₁₇₄	W 70.36 - 63.77	L 63-64	11-7	104.76	89.36	▼ 15.40	91.49	91.90	▼ 0.41	▼ 15.81
Sat 1/14/2017	vs Seton Hall₅₃	W 68.05 - 66.63	W 65-61	12-7	97.47	99.35	▲ 1.88	99.82	99.04	▲ 0.78	▲ 2.66
Mon 1/16/2017	@ Georgetown₆₀	L 67.36 - 70.68	W 74-56	13-7	99.18	108.67	▲ 9.49	99.29	68.75	▲ 30.54	▲ 40.03
Sat 1/21/2017	@ Villanova₁	L 58.65 - 74.71	L 68-78	13-8	92.77	102.22	▲ 9.45	112.47	128.82	▼ 16.35	▼ 6.90
Wed 1/25/2017	vs St. John's₉₀	W 77.16 - 70.15	L 86-91	13-9	103.72	109.47	▲ 5.75	98.52	121.95	▼ 23.43	▼ 17.68
Sat 1/28/2017	@ Marquette₃₂	L 71.29 - 78.35	W 79-78	14-9	103.86	115.07	▲ 11.21	109.47	109.21	▲ 0.26	▲ 11.47
Wed 2/1/2017	vs Villanova₁	L 61.44 - 71.71	L 57-66	14-10	92.77	86.85	▼ 5.92	112.47	105.34	▲ 7.13	▲ 1.21
Wed 2/8/2017	@ Seton Hall₅₃	L 65.11 - 69.48	L 70-72 (OT)	14-11	97.47	94.64	▼ 2.83	99.82	88.83	▲ 10.99	▲ 8.16
Sat 2/11/2017	vs Butler₂₅	L 66.57 - 69.93	W 71-65	15-11	98.69	108.72	▲ 10.03	107.86	102.22	▲ 5.64	▲ 15.67
Wed 2/15/2017	vs Xavier₃₈	L 69.57 - 69.91	W 75-63	16-11	99.90	116.83	▲ 16.93	104.74	94.28	▲ 10.46	▲ 27.39
Wed 2/22/2017	@ Creighton₂₉	L 68.34 - 77.12	W 68-66	17-11	98.26	108.47	▲ 10.21	105.93	99.32	▲ 6.61	▲ 16.82
Sat 2/25/2017	vs Marquette₃₂	L 74.32 - 75.14	W 73-69	18-11	103.86	102.13	▼ 1.73	109.47	103.69	▲ 5.78	▲ 4.05
Tue 2/28/2017	vs DePaul₁₇₄	W 73.33 - 60.77	W 73-64	19-11	104.76	97.78	▼ 6.98	91.49	82.22	▲ 9.27	▲ 2.29
Sat 3/4/2017	@ St. John's₉₀	W 74.01 - 73.37	W 86-75	20-11	103.72	111.31	▲ 7.59	98.52	95.19	▲ 3.33	▲ 10.92
Thu 3/9/2017	vs Creighton₂₉ *	L 69.87 - 75.58	L 58-70	20-12	98.26	74.67	▼ 23.59	105.93	92.11	▲ 13.82	▼ 9.77
Wed 3/15/2017	vs USC₅₇ *	L 70.31 - 71.01	L 71-75	20-13	102.51	116.39	▲ 13.88	103.24	125.00	▼ 21.76	▼ 7.88
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Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location.
Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.

CURIOUS TRENDS:

	When playing teams that allow a higher number of conversions off of the offensive glass, Providence usually performs better than average. Providence is more efficient than normal 61% of the time when facing clubs that have a defensive second-chance conversion percentage vs. AO greater than 5.68%. In all other contests, Providence performs better than average 20% of the time.
	Providence is typically worse vs. teams that allow a greater number of field goal opportunities. Against foes that have a defensive field goal attempt rate vs. AO greater than 82.76, Providence performs above their norm 20% of the time. Against the remaining opposition, the team performs above average 61% of the time.
	When facing teams that find ways to get to the free throw line, Providence often performs better than normal. Providence is more efficient than usual 73% of the time when facing teams that have an offensive free throw attempt rate vs. AO greater than 30.89. In their other contests, Providence performs better than the norm 36% of the time.

HASLAMETRICS ALL-PLAY PERCENTAGE RANKING BY DAY: Select data to plot:

HASLAMETRICS TEAM HISTORY: Select data to view:

SUMMARY	Rk	AP%	Rec (WinPct)		RQ	Conference	Pace	Con	SOS	PTF	AFH	ASR

OFFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

DEFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

SUMMARY	Rk		AP%		Rec (WinPct)		RQ		Conference		Pace		Con		SOS		PTF		AFH		ASR

OFFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox

DEFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox