Automated Team Capsule for 2020-21 Portland State9-13 (0.409) | Big Sky
All-Play Percentage: 0.292 (253rd)
Schedule Strength: 0.406 (238th)
Record Quality: -0.232 (293rd)
Avg. Season Rank: 255.57 (261st)
Pace: 71.28 (95th)
Momentum: -2.84 (296th)
Off. Momentum: -1.56 (293rd)
Def. Momentum: -1.28 (227th)
Consistency: -9.17 (168th)
Res. Consistency: -15.11 (299th)
Away From Home: 1.71 (47th)
Paper Tiger Factor: -1.48 (224th)
NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category. Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement. Includes games through April 5, 2021. Data shown on this page is based on time-independent ratings.
OFFENSE
Eff
Upc
FTAR
FT%
FGAR
FGMR
FG%
3PAR
3PMR
3P%
MRAR
MRMR
MR%
NPAR
NPMR
NP%
PPSt
PPSC
SCC%
%3PA
%MRA
%NPA
Prox
RATING:
89.98
71.23
24.66
68.00
81.00
31.55
38.95
33.11
10.11
30.55
23.88
7.65
32.01
24.02
13.79
57.42
9.85
15.58
6.21
40.87
29.48
29.65
2.11
RANK:
320th
96th
173rd
272nd
222nd
337th
343rd
100th
202nd
314th
149th
265th
341st
315th
313th
223rd
238th
49th
61st
89th
137th
317th
304th
DEFENSE
Eff
Upc
FTAR
FT%
FGAR
FGMR
FG%
3PAR
3PMR
3P%
MRAR
MRMR
MR%
NPAR
NPMR
NP%
PPSt
PPSC
SCC%
%3PA
%MRA
%NPA
Prox
RATING:
97.40
71.32
28.90
--
75.94
34.14
44.95
25.40
9.28
36.54
22.16
8.19
36.94
28.38
16.67
58.74
12.18
12.74
4.45
33.45
29.18
37.37
1.96
RANK:
118th
261st
318th
--
9th
89th
233rd
12th
66th
308th
134th
110th
130th
188th
186th
168th
251st
180th
117th
48th
215th
290th
320th
ANALYSIS: Portland State has a squad that most likely falls somewhere in the bottom half of NCAA Division I teams this year. Carrying a record of 9-13, they are currently rated #253 overall (out of 357) in All-Play Percentage this season. They are also ranked by this site as the #7 team (out of 11) in the Big Sky (average ranking 220.3).
Portland State will likely call on their defense to win a majority of their games. The team is ranked 118th in defensive efficiency and allows fewer than 98 points for every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO. Portland State has extremely pesky defenders that ceaselessly attempt to deny opponents ample opportunity to shoot. The club is ranked ninth in Division I in defensive field goal attempt rate with a rating of 75.94 vs. AO. If Portland State does exhibit a weakness on the defensive end of the floor, it'd likely be the team's tendency to send opponents to the line too much by fouling. The squad has a rating of 28.90 in defensive free throw attempt rate vs. AO, which ranks 40th-worst in the country.
Unfortunately, Portland State is not even remotely close to being as good on offense as they are on defense. The team is ranked 320th in offensive efficiency, scoring about 90 points every 100 possessions vs. AO. Portland State struggles to drain shots consistently from most spots on the floor, ranking in the bottom-50 in three of the four primary field goal shooting categories. They are at their worst when shooting outside the paint, converting just 30.5% of their three-pointers (314th in the nation), 32.0% of their mid-range chances (341st), and 38.9% of their total shots from the field (343rd) vs. AO. If Portland State does have a strength offensively, it would have to be the team's knack for obtaining second-chance opportunities off of their frequent misses. The squad has a rating of 15.58 in potential points off of second chances vs. AO, which ranks 49th in all of college hoops.
On the road, Portland State performs somewhat better than their norm, as the squad is nationally ranked 47th in our away-from-home metric.
Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location. Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.
CURIOUS TRENDS:
Portland State performs better against squads that typically allow more than a fair share of breakaway opportunities. When facing teams that have a potential point rate allowed off steals vs. AO greater than 11.78, Portland State is more efficient than normal 78% of the time. In their other contests, the team is more efficient 33% of the time.
When playing teams that tend to capitalize off breakaway opportunities, Portland State usually performs worse than average. Portland State is more efficient than normal 40% of the time when facing clubs that have a potential point rate off steals vs. AO greater than 7.03. In all other contests, Portland State performs better than average 75% of the time.
Portland State is typically worse vs. teams that tend to allow more shots on the perimeter. Against foes that have a defensive shooting proximity score vs. AO greater than 1.98, Portland State performs above their norm 40% of the time. Against the remaining opposition, the team performs above average 75% of the time.
LATEST NEWS ITEMS:
Avdalovic lifts N. Arizona by Portland St. 77-66 in Big Sky (3/10/2021 4:55:06 PM) BOISE, Idaho (AP) — Luke Avdalovic had a career-high 26 points on 7-of-10 3-point shooting and 10th-seeded Northern Arizona topped seventh-seeded Portland State 77-66 in the first round of the Big Sky Conference tournament on Wednesday.
Knight leads Southern Utah over Portland State 73-54 (3/6/2021 5:42:52 PM) PORTLAND, Ore. (AP) — John Knight III matched his career high with 26 points as Southern Utah won its ninth straight game, defeating Portland State 73-54 on Saturday.
Defense shines as Portland St. routs Idaho 84-64 (2/19/2021 1:32:26 AM) PORTLAND, Ore. (AP) — James Scott had 14 points and seven assists as Portland State easily defeated Idaho 84-64 on Thursday night.
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