Haslametrics.com

Automated Team Capsule for 2014-15 Portland State 15-14 (0.517) | Big Sky

All-Play Percentage: 0.229 (272^nd)	Schedule Strength: 0.411 (262^nd)	Record Quality: -0.095 (223^rd)	Avg. Season Rank: 283.98 (292^nd)
Pace: 66.62 (116^th)	Momentum: 0.96 (116^th)	Off. Momentum: -0.47 (253^rd)	Def. Momentum: 1.43 (49^th)
Consistency: -10.68 (310^th)	Res. Consistency: -13.88 (298^th)	Away From Home: 0.30 (132^nd)	Paper Tiger Factor: -2.63 (297^th)

NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category.
Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement.
Includes games through April 6, 2015. Data shown on this page is based on time-independent ratings.

OFFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

97.26

26.59

74.14

83.55

40.73

25.56

37.15

35.07

33.10

22.91

56.38

11.93

13.93

6.35

30.60

41.98

27.43

2.03

RANK:

227^th

265^th

41^st

103^rd

273^rd

252^nd

53^rd

4^th

273^rd

342^nd

227^th

126^th

241^st

203^rd

272^nd

4^th

344^th

243^rd

DEFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

108.68

26.96

85.08

46.17

28.86

36.15

29.18

41.33

27.04

62.09

12.55

15.98

8.67

33.92

34.30

31.78

2.02

RANK:

317^th

99^th

301^st

293^rd

219^th

258^th

320^th

343^rd

114^th

268^th

270^th

236^th

321^st

166^th

291^st

79^th

119^th

ANALYSIS:
Despite having a win percentage north of .500, Portland State is definitely a below-average ball-club in college hoops this year. Ranked 272nd overall (out of 351) in our most recent ratings, they presently have a record of 15-14. Of the 12 schools in the Big Sky (average ranking 243.3), they're currently ranked as our #8 team in the conference.

Portland State will certainly not be one of the stingier defenses opponents will encounter. Allowing more than 108 points for every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO, they are ranked down at #317 in defensive efficiency. Portland State performs really badly when attempting to stop opponents from making mid-range jumpers. The squad is ranked ninth from the bottom nationally in defensive mid-range field goal percentage, allowing AO to make good on 41.3% of their attempts from those in-between spots on the floor. Portland State also gives up too many chances to easily score off of offensive rebounds. The team allows AO to convert 8.7% of all second-chance opportunities (321st nationally).

Though they rate better on offense than they do on defense, Portland State still isn't one of the more capable offensive teams in college hoops. Scoring roughly 97 points for every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO, they are ranked #227 in the nation in offensive efficiency. Portland State would not consider converting field goal attempts to be a strength. The team is rated #273 in the country in field goal percentage, making good on a meager 40.7% of their attempts vs. AO. If Portland State does have a strength offensively, it would have to be the team's outstanding shooting at the charity stripe. The squad makes 74.1% of their free throw attempts, which ranks #41 in Division I.

Portland State has been one of the more erratic teams in NCAA basketball this year (presently ranked 310th in the country in consistency), which makes forecasting the outcomes of their upcoming games tougher than most.

SORTABLE SCHEDULE / RESULTS:


					ADJ. OFF. EFFICIENCY			ADJ. DEF. EFFICIENCY
Date	Opponent	Should	Did	Record	Should	Did	Diff.	Should	Did	Diff.	Rating
Sat 11/15/2014	@ USC₁₄₈	L 63.40 - 75.46	W 76-68	1-0	93.89	110.22	▲ 16.33	105.88	91.06	▲ 14.82	▲ 31.15
Tue 11/18/2014	vs Willamette	---	W 84-63	2-0	---	---	---	---	---	---	---
Mon 11/24/2014	vs SIUE₂₅₉	W 70.29 - 67.28	W 90-87 (OT)	3-0	99.24	121.27	▲ 22.03	100.62	127.21	▼ 26.59	▼ 4.56
Wed 11/26/2014	@ CSU Northridge₂₃₉	L 66.80 - 72.83	W 63-55	4-0	101.91	92.97	▼ 8.94	104.71	77.91	▲ 26.80	▲ 17.86
Sun 11/30/2014	@ Oregon₄₉	L 62.77 - 83.34	L 59-81	4-1	94.64	78.38	▼ 16.26	119.04	116.70	▲ 2.34	▼ 13.92
Wed 12/3/2014	@ Portland₁₂₅	L 62.52 - 75.83	L 71-83	4-2	97.11	86.30	▼ 10.81	110.77	127.94	▼ 17.17	▼ 27.98
Sat 12/6/2014	@ UC Riverside₂₂₃	L 63.37 - 70.39	L 62-88	4-3	96.54	89.64	▼ 6.90	101.24	119.98	▼ 18.74	▼ 25.64
Sat 12/13/2014	vs CSU Bakersfield₂₄₅	W 65.03 - 62.93	W 65-59	5-3	99.14	97.22	▼ 1.92	101.97	92.93	▲ 9.04	▲ 7.12
Thu 12/18/2014	@ San Francisco₁₃₄	L 63.86 - 76.45	L 40-77	5-4	97.06	65.19	▼ 31.87	109.15	129.64	▼ 20.49	▼ 52.36
Mon 12/22/2014	vs Walla Walla	---	W 94-52	6-4	---	---	---	---	---	---	---
Thu 1/1/2015	vs Southern Utah₃₁₄	W 75.49 - 67.85	W 71-68	7-4	105.89	101.44	▼ 4.45	100.65	101.52	▼ 0.87	▼ 5.32
Sat 1/3/2015	vs N. Arizona₁₈₁	L 67.28 - 68.38	L 60-73	7-5	97.37	91.67	▼ 5.70	105.11	125.78	▼ 20.67	▼ 26.37
Thu 1/8/2015	@ N. Colorado₂₆₂	L 70.37 - 74.41	L 85-90	7-6	110.86	129.37	▲ 18.51	111.45	131.93	▼ 20.48	▼ 1.97
Sat 1/10/2015	@ North Dakota₂₉₇	L 69.24 - 71.24	W 82-75	8-6	103.61	112.30	▲ 8.69	100.65	99.77	▲ 0.88	▲ 9.57
Thu 1/15/2015	vs E. Washington₁₁₇	L 72.46 - 78.38	L 85-92	8-7	101.46	115.08	▲ 13.62	115.28	130.75	▼ 15.47	▼ 1.85
Sat 1/17/2015	vs Idaho₂₂₅	W 75.88 - 74.76	W 85-73	9-7	106.93	105.03	▼ 1.90	110.82	94.86	▲ 15.96	▲ 14.06
Thu 1/22/2015	@ Weber State₂₆₄	L 64.79 - 69.21	W 69-63	10-7	100.72	109.12	▲ 8.40	101.55	97.03	▲ 4.52	▲ 12.92
Sat 1/24/2015	@ Idaho State₃₀₁	L 66.48 - 68.39	L 76-80	10-8	103.79	108.53	▲ 4.74	100.93	106.62	▼ 5.69	▼ 0.95
Thu 1/29/2015	vs Montana₁₅₃	L 65.44 - 68.62	L 54-73	10-9	98.89	77.42	▼ 21.47	109.79	125.61	▼ 15.82	▼ 37.29
Sat 1/31/2015	vs Montana State₃₂₀	W 73.15 - 64.44	W 80-62	11-9	104.72	124.90	▲ 20.18	97.93	98.05	▼ 0.12	▲ 20.06
Sat 2/7/2015	@ Sacramento St.₂₁₄	L 66.56 - 73.71	L 60-64	11-10	105.50	96.72	▼ 8.78	110.71	98.10	▲ 12.61	▲ 3.83
Thu 2/12/2015	@ Idaho₂₂₅	L 71.78 - 78.79	L 76-87	11-11	106.93	111.32	▲ 4.39	110.82	122.17	▼ 11.35	▼ 6.96
Sat 2/14/2015	@ E. Washington₁₁₇	L 68.34 - 82.51	W 68-66	12-11	101.46	110.91	▲ 9.45	115.28	98.57	▲ 16.71	▲ 26.16
Thu 2/19/2015	vs North Dakota₂₉₇	W 73.31 - 67.28	W 80-70	13-11	103.61	108.14	▲ 4.53	100.65	102.97	▼ 2.32	▲ 2.21
Sat 2/21/2015	vs N. Colorado₂₆₂	W 74.26 - 70.73	W 91-75	14-11	110.86	139.10	▲ 28.24	111.45	119.12	▼ 7.67	▲ 20.57
Sat 2/28/2015	vs Sacramento St.₂₁₄	W 70.42 - 69.85	L 60-73	14-12	105.50	88.70	▼ 16.80	110.71	116.09	▼ 5.38	▼ 22.18
Thu 3/5/2015	@ N. Arizona₁₈₁	L 63.30 - 72.39	L 51-58	14-13	97.37	77.97	▼ 19.40	105.11	83.60	▲ 21.51	▲ 2.11
Sat 3/7/2015	@ Southern Utah₃₁₄	L 71.37 - 71.74	W 86-73	15-13	105.89	124.55	▲ 18.66	100.65	101.19	▼ 0.54	▲ 18.12
Thu 3/12/2015	vs Sacramento St.₂₁₄ *	L 68.49 - 71.77	L 60-70	15-14	105.50	95.24	▼ 10.26	110.71	114.75	▼ 4.04	▼ 14.30
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Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location.
Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.

CURIOUS TRENDS:

	When playing teams that aren't terribly skilled defensively, Portland State usually performs better than average. Portland State is more efficient than normal 77% of the time when facing clubs that have a defensive efficiency rating vs. AO greater than 102.81. In all other contests, Portland State performs better than average 30% of the time.
	Portland State is typically better vs. teams that do not defend well on the perimeter. Against foes that have a defensive three-point field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 34.73%, Portland State performs above their norm 79% of the time. Against the remaining opposition, the team performs above average 39% of the time.
	When facing teams that are more proficient at draining the mid-range shot, Portland State often performs worse than normal. Portland State is more efficient than usual 33% of the time when facing teams that have an offensive mid-range field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 34.32%. In their other contests, Portland State performs better than the norm 72% of the time.

HASLAMETRICS ALL-PLAY PERCENTAGE RANKING BY DAY: Select data to plot:

HASLAMETRICS TEAM HISTORY: Select data to view:

SUMMARY	Rk	AP%	Rec (WinPct)		RQ	Conference	Pace	Con	SOS	PTF	AFH	ASR

OFFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

DEFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

SUMMARY	Rk		AP%		Rec (WinPct)		RQ		Conference		Pace		Con		SOS		PTF		AFH		ASR

OFFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox

DEFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox