Automated Team Capsule for 2015-16 Oregon31-7 (0.816) | Pac-12
All-Play Percentage: 0.957 (16th)
Schedule Strength: 0.717 (21st)
Record Quality: 0.528 (4th)
Avg. Season Rank: 27.29 (26th)
Pace: 69.65 (171st)
Momentum: 5.71 (8th)
Off. Momentum: 2.16 (76th)
Def. Momentum: 3.55 (7th)
Consistency: -8.50 (119th)
Res. Consistency: -11.22 (151st)
Away From Home: -0.04 (178th)
Paper Tiger Factor: -0.43 (128th)
NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category. Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement. Includes games through April 4, 2016. Data shown on this page is based on time-independent ratings.
OFFENSE
Eff
Upc
FTAR
FT%
FGAR
FGMR
FG%
3PAR
3PMR
3P%
MRAR
MRMR
MR%
NPAR
NPMR
NP%
PPSt
PPSC
SCC%
%3PA
%MRA
%NPA
Prox
RATING:
114.85
69.96
33.79
72.08
82.98
40.18
48.42
28.72
10.14
35.28
20.85
8.02
38.49
33.41
22.02
65.92
13.21
18.85
10.51
34.62
25.12
40.26
1.94
RANK:
18th
154th
15th
96th
130th
23rd
17th
182nd
168th
150th
273rd
218th
62nd
30th
5th
21st
45th
20th
6th
192nd
291st
32nd
65th
DEFENSE
Eff
Upc
FTAR
FT%
FGAR
FGMR
FG%
3PAR
3PMR
3P%
MRAR
MRMR
MR%
NPAR
NPMR
NP%
PPSt
PPSC
SCC%
%3PA
%MRA
%NPA
Prox
RATING:
93.61
69.34
23.91
--
82.21
33.51
40.76
28.87
9.88
34.24
23.26
7.51
32.31
30.09
16.11
53.54
7.69
13.91
5.86
35.12
28.29
36.60
1.99
RANK:
33rd
154th
37th
--
176th
60th
47th
179th
143rd
126th
146th
55th
35th
229th
119th
31st
6th
104th
86th
176th
142nd
230th
213th
ANALYSIS: Oregon is a top-25 caliber squad that should be able to remain competitive with most, if not all, teams in the country. Their record this season is 31-7, and the club is ranked 16th overall (out of 351) in Haslametrics' most recent ratings. They are also ranked by this site as the best team (out of 12) in the Pac-12 (average ranking 65.8). Sporting a strength-of-schedule rating of 0.717 (the 21st-highest in the country), Oregon has prepared themselves by challenging some of the best teams in the college game.
Oregon is undoubtedly one of the best in the business on offense. The team is rated 18th in offensive efficiency, scoring more than 114 points every 100 possessions vs. AO. Oregon allows very few breakaway opportunities for the opposition, which typically translates to fewer turnovers. The team's rating vs. AO for potential breakaway points allowed off of steals is 7.69, which ranks #6 in the country. Oregon also does an outstanding job finishing any scoring chances they obtain from offensive rebounds. Against AO, the team successfully converts 10.5% of all second-chance opportunities (ranked sixth nationally), and with a rating of 18.85, they're 20th in potential points scored off of the offensive glass as well. Oregon lastly does a super job in their efforts to get to the free throw line. With a free throw attempt rate of 33.79 vs. AO, they are ranked 15th in the nation at getting to the charity stripe. In addition, the team is in the top-100 in free throw shooting, converting a solid 72.1% of their attempts.
Oregon plays at roughly the same level defensively as they do offensively. The team ranks 33rd nationally in defensive efficiency, allowing about 94 points every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO. Oregon will take a bite out of many opponents' shooting percentages, based on the fact that the team ranks in the top-50 in three of our four primary defensive field goal categories. They're most likely to shut you down inside the three-point arc, considering the team limits AO to converting just 32.3% of their mid-range jumpers (35th in the nation), 53.5% of their near-proximity chances (31st), and 40.8% of their total shots from the field (47th). Oregon also does a pretty solid job avoiding careless fouls and minimizing opponents' opportunities from the free throw line. With a defensive free throw attempt rate of 23.91 vs. AO, they are currently rated 37th in the country in that category.
Oregon has been playing some of its most efficient basketball of the season recently and is presently ranked eighth in positive momentum.
Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location. Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.
CURIOUS TRENDS:
When facing teams that are more proficient at draining the mid-range shot, Oregon often performs better than normal. Oregon is more efficient than usual 75% of the time when facing teams that have an offensive mid-range field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 38.08%. In their other contests, Oregon performs better than the norm 28% of the time.
Oregon does better vs. clubs that allow a greater number of field goal opportunities. When playing squads that have a defensive field goal attempt rate vs. AO greater than 85.29, Oregon performs above average 73% of the time. Against all other opponents, the team performs better than the norm 31% of the time.
Oregon performs better against squads that typically allow more than a fair share of breakaway opportunities. When facing teams that have a potential point rate allowed off steals vs. AO greater than 10.92, Oregon is more efficient than normal 73% of the time. In their other contests, the team is more efficient 31% of the time.
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