Haslametrics.com

Automated Team Capsule for 2020-21 Northwestern St. 11-18 (0.379) | Southland

All-Play Percentage: 0.169 (297^th)	Schedule Strength: 0.403 (243^rd)	Record Quality: -0.215 (276^th)	Avg. Season Rank: 307.90 (313^th)
Pace: 72.79 (38^th)	Momentum: 1.46 (107^th)	Off. Momentum: 2.66 (42^nd)	Def. Momentum: -1.20 (222^nd)
Consistency: -8.01 (65^th)	Res. Consistency: -10.84 (103^rd)	Away From Home: -0.37 (222^nd)	Paper Tiger Factor: -2.10 (255^th)

NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category.
Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement.
Includes games through April 5, 2021. Data shown on this page is based on time-independent ratings.

OFFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

94.37

22.88

68.21

82.43

42.14

27.17

34.20

28.46

38.09

26.80

54.48

10.62

13.08

3.90

32.96

34.52

32.52

2.00

RANK:

267^th

248^th

264^th

154^th

250^th

291^st

166^th

49^th

175^th

230^th

286^th

195^th

164^th

283^rd

296^th

44^th

236^th

120^th

DEFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

106.80

27.69

83.46

46.47

31.03

32.68

21.78

43.78

30.65

62.35

13.20

15.72

6.95

37.18

26.10

36.72

2.00

RANK:

307^th

285^th

241^st

294^th

192^nd

107^th

117^th

325^th

283^rd

293^rd

306^th

334^th

339^th

168^th

96^th

268^th

238^th

ANALYSIS:
If you're looking for a squad in the bottom quartile of all Division I basketball teams this year, Northwestern St. likely fits the bill. Carrying a record of 11-18, they are currently rated #297 overall (out of 357) in All-Play Percentage this season. Of the 13 schools in the Southland (average ranking 267.5), they're currently ranked as our #6 team in the conference.

Northwestern St. will certainly not be one of the stingier defenses opponents will encounter. Allowing more than 106 points for every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO, they are ranked down at #307 in defensive efficiency. Northwestern St. is one of the very worst teams in the game when it comes to preventing opponents from scoring off of offensive rebounds. The team allows AO to convert 7.0% of all second-chance opportunities (339th nationally), and with a rating of 15.72, they're 334th in potential points surrendered off of the offensive boards as well. Northwestern St. has also done a lackluster job this year when defending the mid-range shot. The squad is ranked 325th nationally in defensive mid-range field goal percentage, allowing AO to make good on 43.8% of their attempts from those in-between spots on the floor.

Northwestern St. doesn't rate much better on offense than they do on defense. Scoring roughly 94 points for every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO, they are ranked #267 in the nation in offensive efficiency. Northwestern St. isn't the greatest at protecting the ball on offense and, as a result, opponents tend to score more quick points off of steals than they normally would. The team's rating for potential breakaway points allowed off of steals vs. AO is 13.20, which ranks 306th in D1.

SORTABLE SCHEDULE / RESULTS:


					ADJ. OFF. EFFICIENCY			ADJ. DEF. EFFICIENCY
Date	Opponent	Should	Did	Record	Should	Did	Diff.	Should	Did	Diff.	Rating
Wed 11/25/2020	@ Texas Tech₁₃	L 57.50 - 85.12	L 58-101	0-1	84.08	67.44	▼ 16.64	119.31	137.96	▼ 18.65	▼ 35.29
Sat 11/28/2020	vs UT Arlington₂₃₇ *	L 72.51 - 76.93	L 71-80	0-2	97.85	85.54	▼ 12.31	104.51	99.69	▲ 4.82	▼ 7.49
Sun 11/29/2020	@ LA Tech₇₆	L 63.07 - 82.88	L 77-107	0-3	87.57	102.66	▲ 15.09	109.82	138.93	▼ 29.11	▼ 14.02
Thu 12/3/2020	@ TCU₁₄₀	L 65.92 - 79.27	L 68-74	0-4	94.67	95.29	▲ 0.62	109.39	99.93	▲ 9.46	▲ 10.08
Sun 12/6/2020	vs UL Monroe₂₉₈	W 71.99 - 69.04	L 83-92 (OT)	0-5	98.19	99.53	▲ 1.34	98.12	104.15	▼ 6.03	▼ 4.69
Sat 12/12/2020	vs Champ. Christ.	---	W 77-44	1-5	---	---	---	---	---	---	---
Fri 12/18/2020	@ Tulsa₁₂₄	L 62.89 - 77.49	L 55-82	1-6	91.41	71.63	▼ 19.78	108.20	116.83	▼ 8.63	▼ 28.41
Sat 12/19/2020	@ Missouri State₁₁₁	L 65.73 - 82.71	L 67-94	1-7	91.80	86.17	▼ 5.63	110.64	126.73	▼ 16.09	▼ 21.72
Mon 12/21/2020	@ Gonzaga₁	L 61.29 - 104.04	L 57-95	1-8	81.77	83.59	▲ 1.82	132.05	126.43	▲ 5.62	▲ 7.44
Tue 12/22/2020	@ Gonzaga₁	L 61.29 - 104.04	L 78-95	1-9	81.77	95.29	▲ 13.52	132.05	118.41	▲ 13.64	▲ 27.16
Wed 12/23/2020	@ Washington St.₈₈	L 61.47 - 80.35	L 52-62	1-10	86.70	71.15	▼ 15.55	108.17	82.37	▲ 25.80	▲ 10.25
Sat 1/2/2021	@ Houston Baptist₃₄₅	W 78.74 - 74.72	L 93-99 (OT)	1-11	105.51	107.47	▲ 1.96	95.71	98.46	▼ 2.75	▼ 0.79
Wed 1/6/2021	vs Incarnate Word₃₃₄	W 74.64 - 67.56	L 67-75	1-12	104.10	89.64	▼ 14.46	98.02	103.49	▼ 5.47	▼ 19.93
Sat 1/9/2021	@ McNeese₃₄₀	W 76.85 - 74.20	W 78-75	2-12	106.93	111.61	▲ 4.68	99.65	103.13	▼ 3.48	▲ 1.20
Wed 1/13/2021	vs Nicholls₂₁₃	L 74.75 - 77.69	L 66-76	2-13	95.89	84.42	▼ 11.47	104.47	100.84	▲ 3.63	▼ 7.84
Wed 1/20/2021	@ Stephen F. Austin₁₃₀	L 67.17 - 81.93	L 74-86	2-14	92.99	100.67	▲ 7.68	108.72	121.39	▼ 12.67	▼ 4.99
Sat 1/23/2021	@ SE Louisiana₃₄₁	W 74.72 - 71.91	W 73-68	3-14	103.06	96.94	▼ 6.12	95.18	87.34	▲ 7.84	▲ 1.72
Wed 1/27/2021	vs New Orleans₂₇₆	W 77.39 - 76.08	W 81-73	4-14	99.70	99.14	▼ 0.56	102.50	91.88	▲ 10.62	▲ 10.06
Sat 1/30/2021	@ Cent. Arkansas₃₀₀	L 75.75 - 78.66	W 81-77	5-14	102.08	111.60	▲ 9.52	102.33	101.57	▲ 0.76	▲ 10.28
Wed 2/10/2021	@ Incarnate Word₃₃₄	W 71.77 - 70.47	W 68-67	6-14	104.10	103.63	▼ 0.47	98.02	97.86	▲ 0.16	▼ 0.31
Sat 2/13/2021	vs McNeese₃₄₀	W 79.84 - 71.18	W 69-66	7-14	106.93	99.33	▼ 7.60	99.65	100.65	▼ 1.00	▼ 8.60
Mon 2/22/2021	vs Houston Baptist₃₄₅	W 81.85 - 71.51	W 86-80	8-14	105.51	113.61	▲ 8.10	95.71	96.34	▼ 0.63	▲ 7.47
Wed 2/24/2021	vs Stephen F. Austin₁₃₀	L 70.18 - 78.92	L 57-83	8-15	92.99	72.47	▼ 20.52	108.72	118.27	▼ 9.55	▼ 30.07
Sat 2/27/2021	vs SE Louisiana₃₄₁	W 77.74 - 68.90	W 79-61	9-15	103.06	123.32	▲ 20.26	95.18	72.18	▲ 23.00	▲ 43.26
Mon 3/1/2021	@ Nicholls₂₁₃	L 71.64 - 80.76	L 71-87	9-16	95.89	81.59	▼ 14.30	104.47	107.32	▼ 2.85	▼ 17.15
Wed 3/3/2021	@ New Orleans₂₇₆	L 74.30 - 79.28	L 83-92	9-17	99.70	112.44	▲ 12.74	102.50	116.28	▼ 13.78	▼ 1.04
Sat 3/6/2021	vs Cent. Arkansas₃₀₀	W 78.83 - 75.52	W 79-70	10-17	102.08	115.77	▲ 13.69	102.33	106.62	▼ 4.29	▲ 9.40
Thu 3/11/2021	vs New Orleans₂₇₆ *	L 75.84 - 77.68	W 82-79	11-17	99.70	103.80	▲ 4.10	102.50	101.28	▲ 1.22	▲ 5.32
Fri 3/12/2021	vs Nicholls₂₁₃ *	L 73.19 - 79.22	L 76-88	11-18	95.89	96.20	▲ 0.31	104.47	112.82	▼ 8.35	▼ 8.04
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Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location.
Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.

CURIOUS TRENDS:

	Northwestern St. is typically better vs. teams that typically allow more than a fair share of breakaway opportunities. Against foes that have a potential point rate allowed off steals vs. AO greater than 11.11, Northwestern St. performs above their norm 86% of the time. Against the remaining opposition, the team performs above average 21% of the time.
	When facing teams that aren't terribly skilled defensively, Northwestern St. often performs better than normal. Northwestern St. is more efficient than usual 85% of the time when facing teams that have a defensive efficiency rating vs. AO greater than 104.02. In their other contests, Northwestern St. performs better than the norm 27% of the time.
	Northwestern St. does worse vs. clubs that tend to get off more shots. When playing squads that have an offensive field goal attempt rate vs. AO greater than 81.51, Northwestern St. performs above average 20% of the time. Against all other opponents, the team performs better than the norm 72% of the time.

LATEST NEWS ITEMS:

	Nicholls St. tops Northwestern St. 88-76 in Southland semi (3/12/2021 9:46:13 PM) KATY, Texas (AP) — Kevin Johnson scored a season-high 23 points as Nicholls State defeated Northwestern State 88-76 in the semifinals of the Southland Conference Tournament on Friday.
	Massner carries Northwestern St. past New Orleans 82-79 (3/11/2021 9:36:09 PM) KATY Texas (AP) — Trenton Massner had 20 points, including two free throws with 43 seconds left, as Northwestern State edged New Orleans 82-79 in the quarterfinals of the Southland Conference Tourney on Thursday.
	Massner lifts Northwestern State past Cent. Arkansas 79-70 (3/6/2021 5:35:15 PM) NATCHITOCHES, La. (AP) — Trenton Massner had 20 points as Northwestern State beat Central Arkansas 79-70 on Saturday.
	Massner carries Northwestern St. past SE Louisiana 79-61 (2/27/2021 8:04:46 PM) NATCHITOCHES, La. (AP) — Trenton Massner registered 15 points and eight rebounds as Northwestern State got past Southeastern Louisiana 79-61 on Saturday.
	Teasett leads Northwestern St. past Houston Baptist 86-80 (2/22/2021 11:13:06 PM) NATCHITOCHES, La. (AP) — Carvell Teasett had a career-high 25 points as Northwestern State beat Houston Baptist 86-80 on Monday night.

HASLAMETRICS ALL-PLAY PERCENTAGE RANKING BY DAY: Select data to plot:

HASLAMETRICS TEAM HISTORY: Select data to view:

SUMMARY	Rk	AP%	Rec (WinPct)		RQ	Conference	Pace	Con	SOS	PTF	AFH	ASR

OFFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

DEFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

SUMMARY	Rk		AP%		Rec (WinPct)		RQ		Conference		Pace		Con		SOS		PTF		AFH		ASR

OFFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox

DEFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox