Haslametrics.com

Automated Team Capsule for 2017-18 Northwestern St. 4-25 (0.138) | Southland

All-Play Percentage: 0.017 (345^th)	Schedule Strength: 0.434 (243^rd)	Record Quality: -0.512 (346^th)	Avg. Season Rank: 343.20 (344^th)
Pace: 72.05 (72^nd)	Momentum: 1.78 (92^nd)	Off. Momentum: -0.01 (194^th)	Def. Momentum: 1.79 (56^th)
Consistency: -9.04 (181^st)	Res. Consistency: -15.94 (343^rd)	Away From Home: 0.06 (129^th)	Paper Tiger Factor: -2.59 (304^th)

NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category.
Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement.
Includes games through April 2, 2018. Data shown on this page is based on time-independent ratings.

OFFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

84.90

24.14

60.16

80.47

40.27

20.43

27.23

27.68

33.56

32.36

54.24

8.16

18.49

8.95

25.39

34.40

40.21

1.85

RANK:

349^th

249^th

350^th

248^th

326^th

350^th

351^st

43^rd

306^th

47^th

309^th

314^th

28^th

32^nd

350^th

36^th

31^st

1^st

DEFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

110.08

31.20

79.48

48.17

29.74

39.21

17.02

37.91

32.72

61.66

14.52

14.43

6.82

37.42

21.41

41.17

1.96

RANK:

315^th

326^th

65^th

315^th

129^th

332^nd

10^th

207^th

305^th

222^nd

348^th

160^th

175^th

176^th

12^th

326^th

298^th

ANALYSIS:
Northwestern St. is a poor basketball team, arguably one of the very worst in all of college hoops. Carrying a record of 4-25, they are currently rated #345 overall (out of 351) in All-Play Percentage this season. Of the 13 schools in the Southland (average ranking 251.2), they're currently ranked as the worst team in the conference.

Northwestern St. has a very tough time coming by points on offense. Scoring about 85 points for every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO, they are woefully ranked #349 in offensive efficiency. Northwestern St. is a lousy shooting team, incapable of converting efficiently from anyplace on the floor and ranking in the bottom-50 in each of our four most noteworthy field goal shooting categories. They make just 27.2% of their three-pointers (ranking last nationally), 33.6% of their mid-range attempts (306th), 54.2% of their near-proximity chances (309th), and 40.3% of their total shots from the field (326th) vs. AO. Northwestern St. also has had serious struggles making their free throws this year. Converting just 60.2% of their attempts, the squad is ranked #350 overall in free throw percentage. Northwestern St. lastly tends to be very careless with the ball and allows far too many breakaway opportunities off of their own turnovers. The team's rating for potential breakaway points allowed off of steals vs. AO is 14.52, which ranks fourth from the bottom in D1. If Northwestern St. does have a strength offensively, it would have to be the team's knack for obtaining second-chance opportunities off of their frequent misses. The squad has a rating of 18.49 in potential points off of second chances vs. AO, which ranks 28th in all of college hoops.

Northwestern St. doesn't rate much better on defense than they do on offense. Allowing roughly 110 points for every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO, they are ranked #315 in the nation in defensive efficiency. Northwestern St. does an extremely poor job to deny the opposition behind the arc. They rank 332nd nationally in defensive three-point percentage, allowing AO to make 39.2% of their attempts from afar. Northwestern St. also commits too many fouls, which leads to plentiful free throw attempts for the opposition. With a defensive free throw attempt rate of 31.20 vs. AO, the squad is ranked #326 in the country in that category.

SORTABLE SCHEDULE / RESULTS:


					ADJ. OFF. EFFICIENCY			ADJ. DEF. EFFICIENCY
Date	Opponent	Should	Did	Record	Should	Did	Diff.	Should	Did	Diff.	Rating
Fri 11/10/2017	@ Texas₄₁	L 50.34 - 81.48	L 59-105	0-1	75.03	67.49	▼ 7.54	115.35	139.40	▼ 24.05	▼ 31.59
Sun 11/12/2017	vs LeTourneau	---	L 84-99	0-2	---	---	---	---	---	---	---
Wed 11/15/2017	@ SMU₈₃	L 53.50 - 80.08	L 35-81	0-3	80.33	28.59	▼ 51.74	115.07	121.41	▼ 6.34	▼ 58.08
Fri 11/17/2017	vs Rice₂₈₉	L 66.24 - 72.15	L 65-87	0-4	90.78	80.15	▼ 10.63	103.48	111.65	▼ 8.17	▼ 18.80
Tue 11/21/2017	@ UL Monroe₂₂₂	L 59.67 - 76.08	W 76-61	1-4	87.21	121.02	▲ 33.81	106.26	82.11	▲ 24.15	▲ 57.96
Fri 11/24/2017	@ Colorado State₂₀₅	L 63.05 - 81.70	L 60-72	1-5	88.26	83.43	▼ 4.83	109.72	102.08	▲ 7.64	▲ 2.81
Wed 11/29/2017	vs Lyon	---	W 67-56	2-5	---	---	---	---	---	---	---
Sat 12/9/2017	vs Louisiana College *	---	W 88-58	3-5	---	---	---	---	---	---	---
Sat 12/16/2017	vs LSU-Shreveport *	---	L 84-85	3-6	---	---	---	---	---	---	---
Tue 12/19/2017	@ Oklahoma₄₈	L 62.06 - 96.75	L 68-105	3-7	81.35	90.15	▲ 8.80	121.29	128.03	▼ 6.74	▲ 2.06
Wed 12/20/2017	@ Utah₆₁	L 54.14 - 83.74	L 62-84	3-8	79.83	83.96	▲ 4.13	117.42	107.73	▲ 9.69	▲ 13.82
Thu 12/28/2017	@ Nicholls₁₈₇	L 64.31 - 85.89	L 46-87	3-9	85.10	58.27	▼ 26.83	108.71	121.26	▼ 12.55	▼ 39.38
Sat 12/30/2017	@ McNeese₃₀₀	L 66.23 - 78.11	L 63-72	3-10	92.44	102.27	▲ 9.83	104.45	113.86	▼ 9.41	▲ 0.42
Wed 1/3/2018	@ Texas A&M-CC₃₀₇	L 61.86 - 73.42	L 65-67	3-11	88.40	95.13	▲ 6.73	100.44	94.83	▲ 5.61	▲ 12.34
Sat 1/6/2018	vs Stephen F. Austin₁₀₉	L 60.53 - 81.03	L 56-64	3-12	79.59	76.60	▼ 2.99	111.07	92.41	▲ 18.66	▲ 15.67
Sat 1/13/2018	vs Abil. Christian₂₆₈	L 64.63 - 72.74	L 58-69	3-13	87.31	80.59	▼ 6.72	102.44	98.10	▲ 4.34	▼ 2.38
Wed 1/17/2018	@ Sam Houston₂₁₈	L 59.84 - 77.16	L 52-75	3-14	86.26	78.83	▼ 7.43	106.52	107.41	▼ 0.89	▼ 8.32
Sat 1/20/2018	@ SE Louisiana₁₉₉	L 59.15 - 76.72	L 58-85	3-15	86.14	80.39	▼ 5.75	106.96	111.37	▼ 4.41	▼ 10.16
Wed 1/24/2018	vs New Orleans₂₅₂	L 63.06 - 71.56	L 67-73	3-16	87.62	93.44	▲ 5.82	103.51	106.62	▼ 3.11	▲ 2.71
Sat 1/27/2018	vs Cent. Arkansas₂₁₅	L 70.10 - 82.39	L 78-95	3-17	90.05	92.47	▲ 2.42	110.41	120.94	▼ 10.53	▼ 8.11
Wed 1/31/2018	@ New Orleans₂₅₂	L 60.19 - 74.58	L 64-82	3-18	87.62	84.36	▼ 3.26	103.51	103.44	▲ 0.07	▼ 3.19
Sat 2/3/2018	vs McNeese₃₀₀	L 69.21 - 74.89	L 62-75	3-19	92.44	93.12	▲ 0.68	104.45	117.65	▼ 13.20	▼ 12.52
Wed 2/7/2018	vs Lamar₂₁₆	L 62.97 - 74.29	L 75-79	3-20	85.64	97.73	▲ 12.09	105.38	107.60	▼ 2.22	▲ 9.87
Sat 2/10/2018	@ Stephen F. Austin₁₀₉	L 57.52 - 84.30	L 50-97	3-21	79.59	60.81	▼ 18.78	111.07	142.97	▼ 31.90	▼ 50.68
Wed 2/14/2018	vs Houston Baptist₃₁₆	L 72.95 - 77.45	L 70-77	3-22	92.97	88.64	▼ 4.33	102.94	102.27	▲ 0.67	▼ 3.66
Wed 2/21/2018	@ Incarnate Word₃₃₄	L 68.13 - 75.24	W 66-54	4-22	94.76	93.94	▼ 0.82	99.72	72.73	▲ 26.99	▲ 26.17
Sat 2/24/2018	vs SE Louisiana₁₉₉	L 62.01 - 73.73	L 62-86	4-23	86.14	76.30	▼ 9.84	106.96	135.00	▼ 28.04	▼ 37.88
Wed 2/28/2018	vs Nicholls₁₈₇	L 67.45 - 82.46	L 70-73	4-24	85.10	89.84	▲ 4.74	108.71	98.22	▲ 10.49	▲ 15.23
Sat 3/3/2018	@ Cent. Arkansas₂₁₅	L 67.01 - 85.81	L 58-61	4-25	90.05	90.15	▲ 0.10	110.41	90.15	▲ 20.26	▲ 20.36
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Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location.
Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.

CURIOUS TRENDS:

	Northwestern St. is typically better vs. teams that allow opponents to shoot well from the field. Against foes that have a defensive field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 45.94%, Northwestern St. performs above their norm 89% of the time. Against the remaining opposition, the team performs above average 44% of the time.
	When facing teams that allow more chances at the line, Northwestern St. often performs better than normal. Northwestern St. is more efficient than usual 75% of the time when facing teams that have a defensive free throw attempt rate vs. AO greater than 25.36. In their other contests, Northwestern St. performs better than the norm 33% of the time.
	Northwestern St. does worse vs. clubs that prefer the outside shot. When playing squads that have an offensive shooting proximity score vs. AO greater than 2.02, Northwestern St. performs above average 33% of the time. Against all other opponents, the team performs better than the norm 75% of the time.

HASLAMETRICS ALL-PLAY PERCENTAGE RANKING BY DAY: Select data to plot:

HASLAMETRICS TEAM HISTORY: Select data to view:

SUMMARY	Rk	AP%	Rec (WinPct)		RQ	Conference	Pace	Con	SOS	PTF	AFH	ASR

OFFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

DEFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

SUMMARY	Rk		AP%		Rec (WinPct)		RQ		Conference		Pace		Con		SOS		PTF		AFH		ASR

OFFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox

DEFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox