Haslametrics.com

Automated Team Capsule for 2016-17 Northwestern St. 13-16 (0.448) | Southland

All-Play Percentage: 0.129 (306^th)	Schedule Strength: 0.364 (308^th)	Record Quality: -0.275 (306^th)	Avg. Season Rank: 308.94 (313^th)
Pace: 73.59 (28^th)	Momentum: 0.46 (149^th)	Off. Momentum: 2.33 (74^th)	Def. Momentum: -1.87 (260^th)
Consistency: -8.80 (167^th)	Res. Consistency: -11.88 (218^th)	Away From Home: 1.31 (40^th)	Paper Tiger Factor: -1.81 (257^th)

NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category.
Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement.
Includes games through April 3, 2017. Data shown on this page is based on time-independent ratings.

OFFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

96.47

28.93

69.37

78.48

43.00

25.59

34.83

24.67

36.50

28.21

56.10

12.23

15.62

7.20

32.61

31.44

35.95

1.97

RANK:

256^th

108^th

208^th

309^th

214^th

300^th

191^st

139^th

175^th

188^th

268^th

77^th

114^th

120^th

270^th

103^rd

128^th

79^th

DEFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

110.12

30.00

81.28

48.45

29.04

38.79

18.25

34.02

33.99

64.45

11.53

16.87

8.23

35.73

22.45

41.82

1.94

RANK:

305^th

266^th

143^rd

329^th

160^th

320^th

14^th

68^th

337^th

292^nd

234^th

314^th

298^th

158^th

8^th

341^st

316^th

ANALYSIS:
Northwestern St. presently has one of the below-average teams in college basketball. Their record this season is 13-16, and the club is ranked 306th overall (out of 351) in Haslametrics' most recent ratings. They are also ranked by this site as the #10 team (out of 13) in the Southland (average ranking 265.5).

Northwestern St. will certainly not be one of the stingier defenses opponents will encounter. Allowing more than 110 points for every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO, they are ranked down at #305 in defensive efficiency. Northwestern St. is one of the very worst teams in the country in terms of overall defensive field goal percentage. The ball-club ranks #329 nationally in field goal percentage allowed, as AO will convert approximately 48.4% of their total attempts from the floor. Northwestern St. also does a very lackluster job preventing opponents from draining threes. They rank 320th nationally in defensive three-point percentage, allowing AO to make 38.8% of their attempts from afar.

Northwestern St. doesn't rate much better on offense than they do on defense. Scoring roughly 96 points for every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO, they are ranked #256 in the nation in offensive efficiency. Northwestern St. is one of the more inferior teams in the college game when it comes to maximizing opportunities to score on offense. The team is nationally ranked 309th in offensive field goal attempt rate with a rating of only 78.48 vs. AO.

On the road, Northwestern St. performs somewhat better than their norm, as the squad is nationally ranked 40th in our away-from-home metric.

SORTABLE SCHEDULE / RESULTS:


					ADJ. OFF. EFFICIENCY			ADJ. DEF. EFFICIENCY
Date	Opponent	Should	Did	Record	Should	Did	Diff.	Should	Did	Diff.	Rating
Fri 11/11/2016	@ Texas A&M₅₆	L 60.65 - 83.24	L 44-72	0-1	88.75	59.36	▼ 29.39	116.22	120.23	▼ 4.01	▼ 33.40
Sun 11/13/2016	@ Oklahoma₅₉	L 64.39 - 88.56	L 61-97	0-2	87.99	82.86	▼ 5.13	115.19	118.10	▼ 2.91	▼ 8.04
Fri 11/18/2016	vs LeTourneau	---	W 92-87	1-2	---	---	---	---	---	---	---
Tue 11/22/2016	vs LSU-Alexandria	---	W 82-69	2-2	---	---	---	---	---	---	---
Sat 11/26/2016	@ Missouri₁₅₅	L 67.47 - 81.83	L 60-84	2-3	93.15	74.09	▼ 19.06	108.26	110.09	▼ 1.83	▼ 20.89
Mon 11/28/2016	@ Miss. State₉₂	L 66.30 - 85.72	L 59-65	2-4	91.64	91.61	▼ 0.03	112.95	94.80	▲ 18.15	▲ 18.12
Thu 12/1/2016	vs LSU Shreveport	---	W 88-74	3-4	---	---	---	---	---	---	---
Sat 12/3/2016	@ UTEP₂₁₁	L 67.90 - 77.58	W 79-67	4-4	96.49	112.07	▲ 15.58	105.42	90.64	▲ 14.78	▲ 30.36
Sat 12/17/2016	vs UL Monroe₂₆₅ *	L 70.38 - 73.83	W 68-64	5-4	99.57	97.14	▼ 2.43	104.60	92.75	▲ 11.85	▲ 9.42
Mon 12/19/2016	@ Rice₁₆₃	L 74.85 - 89.46	L 93-100	5-5	99.06	114.56	▲ 15.50	113.06	121.24	▼ 8.18	▲ 7.32
Wed 12/28/2016	vs Louisiana Coll.	---	W 86-66	6-5	---	---	---	---	---	---	---
Sat 12/31/2016	vs McNeese₃₁₈	W 79.40 - 74.71	L 72-79 (OT)	6-6	103.69	83.50	▼ 20.19	101.98	89.06	▲ 12.92	▼ 7.27
Thu 1/5/2017	@ Incarnate Word₂₉₄	L 78.66 - 83.00	L 80-84	6-7	104.84	95.24	▼ 9.60	106.33	95.46	▲ 10.87	▲ 1.27
Sat 1/7/2017	@ Texas A&M-CC₁₈₉	L 70.33 - 82.45	L 82-99	6-8	97.06	102.22	▲ 5.16	108.79	122.14	▼ 13.35	▼ 8.19
Thu 1/12/2017	vs Nicholls₃₁₁	W 81.82 - 77.91	W 86-81	7-8	107.00	103.13	▼ 3.87	105.96	101.09	▲ 4.87	▲ 1.00
Sat 1/14/2017	vs Sam Houston₂₄₄	L 74.63 - 76.41	L 68-77	7-9	95.97	94.93	▼ 1.04	102.39	106.38	▼ 3.99	▼ 5.03
Sat 1/21/2017	@ McNeese₃₁₈	L 76.17 - 77.95	W 78-65	8-9	103.69	114.34	▲ 10.65	101.98	87.02	▲ 14.96	▲ 25.61
Wed 1/25/2017	@ SE Louisiana₂₄₇	L 69.38 - 77.23	W 85-71	9-9	96.48	114.38	▲ 17.90	103.07	96.36	▲ 6.71	▲ 24.61
Sat 1/28/2017	@ Lamar₂₄₂	L 72.91 - 81.20	L 64-85	9-10	101.33	85.03	▼ 16.30	108.19	118.10	▼ 9.91	▼ 26.21
Thu 2/2/2017	@ Cent. Arkansas₃₁₀	L 81.04 - 84.00	L 97-107	9-11	107.34	119.50	▲ 12.16	107.09	127.41	▼ 20.32	▼ 8.16
Sat 2/4/2017	vs Stephen F. Austin₂₅₉	L 71.78 - 72.57	L 73-75 (OT)	9-12	97.02	90.64	▼ 6.38	102.63	97.80	▲ 4.83	▼ 1.55
Thu 2/9/2017	vs Houston Baptist₂₂₂	L 77.68 - 80.73	L 69-86	9-13	101.55	96.31	▼ 5.24	110.01	123.95	▼ 13.94	▼ 19.18
Sat 2/11/2017	@ Abil. Christian₃₀₃	L 71.94 - 75.12	L 72-76	9-14	101.84	98.22	▼ 3.62	102.08	99.12	▲ 2.96	▼ 0.66
Thu 2/16/2017	vs SE Louisiana₂₄₇	L 72.54 - 74.10	L 66-73	9-15	96.48	90.64	▼ 5.84	103.07	108.01	▼ 4.94	▼ 10.78
Sat 2/18/2017	@ Nicholls₃₁₁	L 78.59 - 81.24	W 80-78	10-15	107.00	114.89	▲ 7.89	105.96	107.64	▼ 1.68	▲ 6.21
Wed 2/22/2017	vs Lamar₂₄₂	L 76.07 - 78.05	L 68-88	10-16	101.33	83.72	▼ 17.61	108.19	125.29	▼ 17.10	▼ 34.71
Sat 2/25/2017	vs New Orleans₂₀₇	L 70.36 - 74.32	W 83-82	11-16	96.55	109.95	▲ 13.40	106.41	111.55	▼ 5.14	▲ 8.26
Thu 3/2/2017	@ Stephen F. Austin₂₅₉	L 68.67 - 75.71	W 72-67	12-16	97.02	103.62	▲ 6.60	102.63	90.84	▲ 11.79	▲ 18.39
Sat 3/4/2017	vs Cent. Arkansas₃₁₀	W 84.36 - 80.62	W 97-83	13-16	107.34	127.12	▲ 19.78	107.09	112.88	▼ 5.79	▲ 13.99
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Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location.
Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.

CURIOUS TRENDS:

	Northwestern St. performs better against squads that prefer the outside shot. When facing teams that have an offensive shooting proximity score vs. AO greater than 1.95, Northwestern St. is more efficient than normal 73% of the time. In their other contests, the team is more efficient 20% of the time.
	When playing teams that tend to get off more shots, Northwestern St. usually performs worse than average. Northwestern St. is more efficient than normal 29% of the time when facing clubs that have an offensive field goal attempt rate vs. AO greater than 79.82. In all other contests, Northwestern St. performs better than average 82% of the time.
	Northwestern St. is typically worse vs. teams that find ways to get to the free throw line. Against foes that have an offensive free throw attempt rate vs. AO greater than 26.17, Northwestern St. performs above their norm 35% of the time. Against the remaining opposition, the team performs above average 88% of the time.

HASLAMETRICS ALL-PLAY PERCENTAGE RANKING BY DAY: Select data to plot:

HASLAMETRICS TEAM HISTORY: Select data to view:

SUMMARY	Rk	AP%	Rec (WinPct)		RQ	Conference	Pace	Con	SOS	PTF	AFH	ASR

OFFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

DEFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

SUMMARY	Rk		AP%		Rec (WinPct)		RQ		Conference		Pace		Con		SOS		PTF		AFH		ASR

OFFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox

DEFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox