Haslametrics.com

Automated Team Capsule for 2014-15 N. Arizona 23-15 (0.605) | Big Sky

All-Play Percentage: 0.486 (181^st)	Schedule Strength: 0.416 (254^th)	Record Quality: 0.025 (160^th)	Avg. Season Rank: 209.39 (211^th)
Pace: 66.00 (148^th)	Momentum: 2.17 (64^th)	Off. Momentum: 0.50 (189^th)	Def. Momentum: 1.66 (36^th)
Consistency: -9.19 (179^th)	Res. Consistency: -9.23 (33^rd)	Away From Home: 0.29 (134^th)	Paper Tiger Factor: -0.07 (111^th)

NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category.
Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement.
Includes games through April 6, 2015. Data shown on this page is based on time-independent ratings.

OFFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

98.01

28.94

75.81

85.23

38.98

27.98

34.38

24.35

29.33

32.90

50.04

10.35

19.94

7.84

32.83

28.57

38.60

1.94

RANK:

212^th

173^rd

15^th

44^th

322^nd

182^nd

173^rd

211^th

341^st

22^nd

338^th

235^th

14^th

61^st

220^th

251^st

51^st

82^nd

DEFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

101.26

29.56

82.44

43.25

28.06

31.09

24.17

38.07

30.21

58.69

11.15

14.12

6.91

34.04

29.31

36.64

1.97

RANK:

174^th

195^th

186^th

160^th

184^th

24^th

125^th

271^st

246^th

172^nd

149^th

95^th

188^th

173^rd

118^th

239^th

219^th

ANALYSIS:
Regardless of what the win percentage says, N. Arizona isn't a very good team this year. Haslametrics has them ranked 181st overall (out of 351) in All-Play Percentage, and the team holds a record of 23-15. Of the 12 schools in the Big Sky (average ranking 243.3), they're currently ranked as our #3 team in the conference.

Based on their performances this year, N. Arizona will likely find more success on defense than they will on offense. Allowing about 101 points for every 100 possessions vs. AO, they currently occupy the #174 slot in the ratings for defensive efficiency. N. Arizona does an outstanding job shutting down the opposition from behind the arc. They rank 24th in the NCAA in defensive three-point percentage, allowing AO to make just 31.1% of their attempts from afar.

N. Arizona is not quite as good on the offensive end of the floor. The team is ranked 212th in offensive efficiency, scoring about 98 points every 100 possessions vs. AO. N. Arizona struggles to drain shots consistently from most spots on the floor, ranking in the bottom-50 in three of the four primary field goal shooting categories. They are worse off shooting inside the three-point stripe, making good on just 29.3% of their mid-range jumpers (341st in the nation), 50.0% of their near-proximity chances (338th), and 39.0% of their total shots from the field (322nd) vs. AO. If N. Arizona does have a strength offensively, it would have to be the team's knack for obtaining second-chance opportunities off of their frequent misses. The squad has a rating of 19.94 in potential points off of second chances vs. AO, which ranks 14th in all of college hoops.

SORTABLE SCHEDULE / RESULTS:


					ADJ. OFF. EFFICIENCY			ADJ. DEF. EFFICIENCY
Date	Opponent	Should	Did	Record	Should	Did	Diff.	Should	Did	Diff.	Rating
Fri 11/14/2014	@ Xavier₂₂	L 59.18 - 77.35	L 60-93	0-1	92.21	85.37	▼ 6.84	113.27	126.07	▼ 12.80	▼ 19.64
Sun 11/16/2014	@ Toledo₇₇	L 63.32 - 75.57	L 58-71	0-2	96.46	73.94	▼ 22.52	108.12	97.03	▲ 11.09	▼ 11.43
Thu 11/20/2014	vs Fresno State₁₈₉	W 67.65 - 63.04	W 73-52	1-2	99.22	121.59	▲ 22.37	98.10	90.69	▲ 7.41	▲ 29.78
Sun 11/23/2014	@ Ole Miss₄₆	L 61.58 - 77.18	L 74-80	1-3	93.74	100.63	▲ 6.89	110.56	103.68	▲ 6.88	▲ 13.77
Tue 11/25/2014	@ Mid Tennessee₁₇₀	L 59.60 - 63.85	L 53-65	1-4	96.96	92.80	▼ 4.16	97.46	103.59	▼ 6.13	▼ 10.29
Fri 11/28/2014	vs Southern₂₉₉ *	W 66.88 - 59.51	W 70-63 (OT)	2-4	99.97	106.91	▲ 6.94	88.33	96.22	▼ 7.89	▼ 0.95
Sat 11/29/2014	vs NC Central₁₂₈ *	L 58.71 - 62.51	L 36-40	2-5	95.04	65.45	▼ 29.59	100.75	71.43	▲ 29.32	▼ 0.27
Wed 12/3/2014	vs UTSA₁₉₀	W 70.89 - 66.60	L 83-88 (OT)	2-6	102.96	98.44	▼ 4.52	101.90	102.97	▼ 1.07	▼ 5.59
Sat 12/13/2014	vs Loyola Marymount₂₄₁	W 68.60 - 61.72	W 71-69	3-6	103.01	95.64	▼ 7.37	98.28	100.15	▼ 1.87	▼ 9.24
Tue 12/16/2014	@ Saint Mary's₇₄	L 59.33 - 71.16	W 73-71	4-6	95.08	113.58	▲ 18.50	106.91	104.60	▲ 2.31	▲ 20.81
Fri 12/19/2014	@ Norfolk State₂₀₀	L 65.01 - 67.63	L 62-81	4-7	102.35	83.67	▼ 18.68	100.16	119.44	▼ 19.28	▼ 37.96
Sun 12/21/2014	@ Hampton₂₅₇	W 67.41 - 66.87	L 66-75	4-8	99.45	82.42	▼ 17.03	92.94	97.03	▼ 4.09	▼ 21.12
Sun 12/28/2014	vs SD Christian	---	W 71-45	5-8	---	---	---	---	---	---	---
Thu 1/1/2015	@ Sacramento St.₂₁₄	L 66.33 - 68.54	L 73-78	5-9	106.24	117.03	▲ 10.79	103.69	118.90	▼ 15.21	▼ 4.42
Sat 1/3/2015	@ Portland State₂₇₂	W 68.38 - 67.28	W 73-60	6-9	105.11	125.78	▲ 20.67	97.37	91.67	▲ 5.70	▲ 26.37
Sat 1/10/2015	vs Southern Utah₃₁₄	W 75.39 - 62.30	W 70-67	7-9	106.78	99.97	▼ 6.81	93.38	93.11	▲ 0.27	▼ 6.54
Thu 1/15/2015	vs Weber State₂₆₄	W 68.52 - 60.11	L 65-74	7-10	101.45	88.58	▼ 12.87	94.55	107.20	▼ 12.65	▼ 25.52
Sat 1/17/2015	vs Idaho State₃₀₁	W 70.20 - 59.37	W 72-69	8-10	104.53	102.91	▼ 1.62	93.68	104.44	▼ 10.76	▼ 12.38
Thu 1/22/2015	@ Montana₁₅₃	L 61.47 - 67.28	L 57-64	8-11	99.69	92.03	▼ 7.66	102.74	95.49	▲ 7.25	▼ 0.41
Sat 1/24/2015	@ Montana State₃₂₀	W 68.98 - 62.97	W 71-64	9-11	105.55	121.30	▲ 15.75	90.79	101.95	▼ 11.16	▲ 4.59
Sat 1/31/2015	@ Southern Utah₃₁₄	W 71.28 - 66.15	W 81-60	10-11	106.78	132.05	▲ 25.27	93.38	93.55	▼ 0.17	▲ 25.10
Thu 2/5/2015	vs N. Colorado₂₆₂	W 74.04 - 65.42	W 65-60	11-11	111.67	97.03	▼ 14.64	104.19	98.21	▲ 5.98	▼ 8.66
Sat 2/7/2015	vs North Dakota₂₉₇	W 73.19 - 61.84	W 88-63	12-11	104.43	118.90	▲ 14.47	93.50	88.91	▲ 4.59	▲ 19.06
Thu 2/12/2015	@ Idaho State₃₀₁	W 66.28 - 63.05	L 66-80	12-12	104.53	102.97	▼ 1.56	93.68	114.68	▼ 21.00	▼ 22.56
Sat 2/14/2015	@ Weber State₂₆₄	W 64.59 - 64.02	W 61-54	13-12	101.45	95.40	▼ 6.05	94.55	77.63	▲ 16.92	▲ 10.87
Thu 2/19/2015	vs Idaho₂₂₅	W 75.73 - 69.25	W 72-65	14-12	107.75	102.91	▼ 4.84	103.69	98.56	▲ 5.13	▲ 0.29
Sat 2/21/2015	vs E. Washington₁₁₇	L 72.30 - 72.86	W 73-69	15-12	102.21	98.42	▼ 3.79	108.24	101.54	▲ 6.70	▲ 2.91
Thu 2/26/2015	@ North Dakota₂₉₇	W 69.11 - 65.76	W 85-75	16-12	104.43	129.84	▲ 25.41	93.50	105.98	▼ 12.48	▲ 12.93
Sat 2/28/2015	@ N. Colorado₂₆₂	W 70.16 - 69.07	L 74-76	16-13	111.67	128.49	▲ 16.82	104.19	126.99	▼ 22.80	▼ 5.98
Thu 3/5/2015	vs Portland State₂₇₂	W 72.39 - 63.30	W 58-51	17-13	105.11	83.60	▼ 21.51	97.37	77.97	▲ 19.40	▼ 2.11
Sat 3/7/2015	vs Sacramento St.₂₁₄	W 70.18 - 64.72	W 70-68	18-13	106.24	119.84	▲ 13.60	103.69	120.21	▼ 16.52	▼ 2.92
Thu 3/12/2015	vs N. Colorado₂₆₂ *	W 72.10 - 67.24	W 63-57	19-13	111.67	103.28	▼ 8.39	104.19	95.00	▲ 9.19	▲ 0.80
Fri 3/13/2015	vs Montana₁₅₃ *	L 63.38 - 65.40	L 59-61	19-14	99.69	98.33	▼ 1.36	102.74	103.39	▼ 0.65	▼ 2.01
Wed 3/18/2015	@ Grand Canyon₂₅₄	W 68.97 - 68.89	W 75-70	20-14	107.04	102.97	▼ 4.07	100.67	91.62	▲ 9.05	▲ 4.98
Sat 3/21/2015	@ Sacramento St.₂₁₄	L 66.33 - 68.54	W 78-73	21-14	106.24	121.15	▲ 14.91	103.69	107.64	▼ 3.95	▲ 10.96
Fri 3/27/2015	vs Kent State₁₂₉	W 63.61 - 63.42	W 74-73 (OT)	22-14	97.60	90.88	▼ 6.72	102.61	96.82	▲ 5.79	▼ 0.93
Tue 3/31/2015	vs NJIT₁₆₀	W 69.31 - 66.74	W 68-61	23-14	99.15	98.52	▼ 0.63	101.17	94.02	▲ 7.15	▲ 6.52
Thu 4/2/2015	@ Evansville₁₂₆	L 62.54 - 70.92	L 65-71	23-15	95.64	98.56	▲ 2.92	101.65	101.44	▲ 0.21	▲ 3.13
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Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location.
Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.

CURIOUS TRENDS:

	N. Arizona performs better against squads that convert well from the charity stripe. When facing teams that have an adjusted free throw percentage vs. AO greater than 67.36%, N. Arizona is more efficient than normal 64% of the time. In their other contests, the team is more efficient 17% of the time.
	When playing teams that effectively clean the offensive glass, N. Arizona usually performs worse than average. N. Arizona is more efficient than normal 18% of the time when facing clubs that have an offensive second-chance potential point rate vs. AO greater than 15.57. In all other contests, N. Arizona performs better than average 62% of the time.
	N. Arizona is typically better vs. teams that favor a faster tempo. Against foes that have a pace vs. AO greater than 66.75, N. Arizona performs above their norm 75% of the time. Against the remaining opposition, the team performs above average 36% of the time.

HASLAMETRICS ALL-PLAY PERCENTAGE RANKING BY DAY: Select data to plot:

HASLAMETRICS TEAM HISTORY: Select data to view:

SUMMARY	Rk	AP%	Rec (WinPct)		RQ	Conference	Pace	Con	SOS	PTF	AFH	ASR

OFFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

DEFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

SUMMARY	Rk		AP%		Rec (WinPct)		RQ		Conference		Pace		Con		SOS		PTF		AFH		ASR

OFFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox

DEFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox