Haslametrics.com

Automated Team Capsule for 2018-19 Northern Iowa 16-18 (0.471) | Missouri Valley

All-Play Percentage: 0.483 (184^th)	Schedule Strength: 0.545 (118^th)	Record Quality: -0.025 (185^th)	Avg. Season Rank: 211.51 (212^th)
Pace: 65.91 (322^nd)	Momentum: 1.65 (96^th)	Off. Momentum: -2.92 (329^th)	Def. Momentum: 4.57 (4^th)
Consistency: -9.20 (133^rd)	Res. Consistency: -10.31 (67^th)	Away From Home: 0.78 (73^rd)	Paper Tiger Factor: -0.97 (175^th)

NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category.
Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement.
Includes games through April 8, 2019. Data shown on this page is based on time-independent ratings.

OFFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

99.90

22.92

75.33

82.48

42.49

34.96

35.89

25.25

36.88

22.28

59.20

7.79

9.40

4.06

42.38

30.61

27.01

2.15

RANK:

225^th

294^th

42^nd

222^nd

237^th

89^th

98^th

48^th

127^th

350^th

188^th

339^th

348^th

338^th

76^th

46^th

351^st

343^rd

DEFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

102.63

24.73

83.41

44.18

32.40

34.14

25.61

37.44

25.40

63.78

12.05

11.19

4.63

38.84

30.70

30.46

2.08

RANK:

147^th

111^th

166^th

164^th

194^th

141^st

328^th

234^th

27^th

288^th

212^th

24^th

39^th

191^st

332^nd

25^th

53^rd

ANALYSIS:
While not an atrocious team by any means, Northern Iowa is not exactly one that should appear in many top-100 rankings either. Ranked 184th overall (out of 353) in our most recent ratings, they presently have a record of 16-18. Of the 10 schools in the MVC (average ranking 178.4), they're currently ranked as our #5 team in the conference.

If there is a strength for Northern Iowa this year, it's probably on the defensive end of the court. The team is rated 147th in defensive efficiency, allowing fewer than 103 points for every 100 possessions vs. AO. Northern Iowa does a super job to deny opponents offensive rebounds and second chances. They have a rating of 11.19 vs. AO in potential points allowed off of second chances (ranked 24th in the country), and they allow AO to convert just 4.6% of their second-chance opportunities (ranked 39th) as well. If Northern Iowa does exhibit a noticeable weakness on the defensive end of the floor, it'd likely be the team's unwillingness to take risks in order to score fast points off of the opposition's turnovers. The squad only has a rating of 7.79 in potential points scored off of steals vs. AO, which ranks 15th-worst in the college game.

Northern Iowa doesn't perform as well offensively as they do defensively. The team is ranked 225th in offensive efficiency, scoring about 100 points every 100 possessions vs. AO. Northern Iowa poses no threat whatsoever to grab rebounds off their own misses. Against AO, the ball-club has a rating of 9.40 in potential points scored off of second chances (sixth from the bottom nationally), and they convert just 4.1% of their second-chance opportunities (ranked 338th) as well. If Northern Iowa does have a strength offensively, it would have to be the team's outstanding shooting at the charity stripe. The squad makes 75.3% of their free throw attempts, which ranks #42 in Division I.

SORTABLE SCHEDULE / RESULTS:


					ADJ. OFF. EFFICIENCY			ADJ. DEF. EFFICIENCY
Date	Opponent	Should	Did	Record	Should	Did	Diff.	Should	Did	Diff.	Rating
Tue 11/6/2018	vs Bemidji State	---	W 97-51	1-0	---	---	---	---	---	---	---
Sat 11/10/2018	@ UT Arlington₁₅₇	L 60.92 - 65.79	L 65-74	1-1	97.32	100.37	▲ 3.05	99.38	100.55	▼ 1.17	▲ 1.88
Fri 11/16/2018	vs Penn₁₂₄ *	L 63.00 - 67.78	L 71-78	1-2	96.49	101.47	▲ 4.98	102.62	119.40	▼ 16.78	▼ 11.80
Sat 11/17/2018	vs E. Kentucky₂₃₂ *	W 76.44 - 72.89	W 90-85	2-2	101.98	113.92	▲ 11.94	97.08	104.94	▼ 7.86	▲ 4.08
Mon 11/19/2018	vs Old Dominion₁₂₆ *	L 58.88 - 63.28	W 54-53	3-2	93.30	84.38	▼ 8.92	99.26	84.13	▲ 15.13	▲ 6.21
Fri 11/23/2018	@ Old Dominion₁₂₆	L 57.29 - 64.82	L 65-72	3-3	93.30	102.50	▲ 9.20	99.26	104.97	▼ 5.71	▲ 3.49
Wed 11/28/2018	@ Utah State₄₆	L 59.82 - 74.97	L 52-71	3-4	93.25	77.50	▼ 15.75	109.27	97.50	▲ 11.77	▼ 3.98
Sat 12/1/2018	vs South Dakota St.₉₁ *	L 69.77 - 77.18	L 50-82	3-5	99.92	77.97	▼ 21.95	110.97	123.21	▼ 12.24	▼ 34.19
Sat 12/8/2018	vs Dubuque	---	W 75-67	4-5	---	---	---	---	---	---	---
Sat 12/15/2018	vs Iowa₄₁ *	L 64.86 - 77.51	L 54-77	4-6	96.75	64.39	▼ 32.36	115.04	119.23	▼ 4.19	▼ 36.55
Wed 12/19/2018	vs Grand Canyon₁₀₈	L 65.90 - 68.25	L 62-73	4-7	98.24	98.32	▲ 0.08	104.97	122.00	▼ 17.03	▼ 16.95
Sat 12/22/2018	vs North Dakota₂₃₅	W 70.11 - 63.41	W 64-62	5-7	99.83	95.97	▼ 3.86	95.46	100.91	▼ 5.45	▼ 9.31
Sat 12/29/2018	vs Stony Brook₁₈₂	W 67.80 - 64.40	L 63-73	5-8	97.96	86.73	▼ 11.23	97.12	113.27	▼ 16.15	▼ 27.38
Wed 1/2/2019	@ Bradley₁₄₈	L 59.64 - 65.48	W 65-47	6-8	95.94	111.27	▲ 15.33	100.57	75.69	▲ 24.88	▲ 40.21
Sat 1/5/2019	vs S. Illinois₁₅₉	W 64.97 - 63.48	L 51-58	6-9	97.79	82.50	▼ 15.29	100.76	99.16	▲ 1.60	▼ 13.69
Tue 1/8/2019	@ Illinois State₁₉₄	L 64.42 - 67.01	L 69-70	6-10	100.89	108.65	▲ 7.76	100.15	106.88	▼ 6.73	▲ 1.03
Sun 1/13/2019	vs Drake₁₃₅	L 68.09 - 68.86	W 57-54	7-10	99.26	94.11	▼ 5.15	105.06	92.50	▲ 12.56	▲ 7.41
Wed 1/16/2019	vs Indiana State₂₀₀	W 68.87 - 64.37	W 69-64	8-10	101.54	98.97	▼ 2.57	98.80	97.66	▲ 1.14	▼ 1.43
Sat 1/19/2019	@ Valparaiso₂₃₃	L 62.66 - 63.00	L 66-75	8-11	102.38	113.89	▲ 11.51	96.54	120.45	▼ 23.91	▼ 12.40
Wed 1/23/2019	@ S. Illinois₁₅₉	L 61.70 - 66.62	L 62-70	8-12	97.79	81.91	▼ 15.88	100.76	96.03	▲ 4.73	▼ 11.15
Sat 1/26/2019	vs Evansville₂₃₀	W 70.11 - 63.85	W 81-74	9-12	100.78	111.59	▲ 10.81	96.77	110.92	▼ 14.15	▼ 3.34
Wed 1/30/2019	@ Loyola-Chicago₁₀₆	L 56.89 - 65.61	L 60-61	9-13	93.92	104.19	▲ 10.27	102.60	100.89	▲ 1.71	▲ 11.98
Sat 2/2/2019	vs Missouri State₁₉₅	W 66.93 - 63.09	W 64-59	10-13	100.49	109.29	▲ 8.80	99.43	107.85	▼ 8.42	▲ 0.38
Wed 2/6/2019	vs Bradley₁₄₈	W 62.86 - 62.37	L 71-79	10-14	95.94	103.66	▲ 7.72	100.57	122.19	▼ 21.62	▼ 13.90
Sat 2/9/2019	@ Drake₁₃₅	L 64.71 - 72.29	L 77-83	10-15	99.26	110.53	▲ 11.27	105.06	115.23	▼ 10.17	▲ 1.10
Wed 2/13/2019	vs Illinois State₁₉₄	W 67.73 - 63.78	W 77-64	11-15	100.89	114.96	▲ 14.07	100.15	96.15	▲ 4.00	▲ 18.07
Sun 2/17/2019	@ Evansville₂₃₀	L 66.68 - 67.20	W 73-58	12-15	100.78	112.02	▲ 11.24	96.77	86.39	▲ 10.38	▲ 21.62
Wed 2/20/2019	@ Missouri State₁₉₅	L 63.64 - 66.22	W 63-43	13-15	100.49	95.94	▼ 4.55	99.43	65.84	▲ 33.59	▲ 29.04
Sat 2/23/2019	vs Valparaiso₂₃₃	W 65.83 - 59.91	W 64-53	14-15	102.38	97.50	▼ 4.88	96.54	86.62	▲ 9.92	▲ 5.04
Wed 2/27/2019	vs Loyola-Chicago₁₀₆	L 60.04 - 62.60	L 55-56	14-16	93.92	88.79	▼ 5.13	102.60	91.38	▲ 11.22	▲ 6.09
Sat 3/2/2019	@ Indiana State₂₀₀	L 65.52 - 67.72	L 54-71	14-17	101.54	88.90	▼ 12.64	98.80	103.66	▼ 4.86	▼ 17.50
Fri 3/8/2019	vs S. Illinois₁₅₉ *	L 63.33 - 65.05	W 61-58	15-17	97.79	95.31	▼ 2.48	100.76	89.23	▲ 11.53	▲ 9.05
Sat 3/9/2019	vs Drake₁₃₅ *	L 66.40 - 70.57	W 60-58	16-17	99.26	92.31	▼ 6.95	105.06	87.88	▲ 17.18	▲ 10.23
Sun 3/10/2019	vs Bradley₁₄₈ *	L 61.25 - 63.92	L 54-57	16-18	95.94	87.10	▼ 8.84	100.57	93.44	▲ 7.13	▼ 1.71
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Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location.
Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.

CURIOUS TRENDS:

	Northern Iowa performs better against squads that have trouble defending the mid-range shot. When facing teams that have a defensive mid-range field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 36.53%, Northern Iowa is more efficient than normal 77% of the time. In their other contests, the team is more efficient 37% of the time.
	When playing teams that are more proficient at draining the mid-range shot, Northern Iowa usually performs better than average. Northern Iowa is more efficient than normal 73% of the time when facing clubs that have an offensive mid-range field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 36.09%. In all other contests, Northern Iowa performs better than average 35% of the time.
	Northern Iowa is typically worse vs. teams that favor a faster tempo. Against foes that have a pace vs. AO greater than 68.21, Northern Iowa performs above their norm 33% of the time. Against the remaining opposition, the team performs above average 71% of the time.

LATEST NEWS ITEMS:

	NCAA Live Stream Reddit for Northern Iowa vs Bradley in Missouri Valley Conference Championship Game (3/10/2019 1:41:44 PM) Meanwhile, Northern Iowa stunned Drake in a 60-58 victory to earn their trip to the championship game. Bradley went 9-9 in conference play and 19-14 outright on route to the MCV Tournament's No. 5 seed. Northern Iowa was also 9-9 against MVC opponents ...
	Barry Hinson steps down from Southern Illinois after seven seasons (3/9/2019 11:10:00 AM) Barry Hinson stepped down from Southern Illinois following the Salukis’ 61-58 loss to Northern Iowa in the Missouri Valley Tournament quarterfinals on Friday night. In typical Hinson fashion, he did so in a candid and interesting way. Full quote from ...
	UNI Panthers defeat Missouri State (2/21/2019 12:13:00 PM) You will have immediate access upon completion of your purchase. SPRINGFIELD, MO (AP) — Wyatt Lohaus had 22 points as Northern Iowa easily defeated Missouri State 63-43 on Wednesday night. Isaiah Brown had 15 points and six rebounds for Northern Iowa (13 ...
	Berhow scores 20 to carry N. Iowa over Illinois St. 77-64 (2/13/2019 11:20:00 PM) The Panthers leveled the season series against the Redbirds with the win. Illinois State defeated Northern Iowa 70-69 on Jan. 8 ... For more AP college basketball coverage: https://apnews.com/Collegebasketball and http://twitter.com/AP-Top25 This was ...
	Loyola edges UNI (1/31/2019 11:49:00 AM) Cameron Krutwig hit his first 3-pointer of the season for a five-point lead with 48 seconds left and Loyola-Chicago held off Northern Iowa 61-60 on Wednesday night for its seventh straight home win. AJ Green nailed a long 3-pointer just before the final ...

HASLAMETRICS ALL-PLAY PERCENTAGE RANKING BY DAY: Select data to plot:

HASLAMETRICS TEAM HISTORY: Select data to view:

SUMMARY	Rk	AP%	Rec (WinPct)		RQ	Conference	Pace	Con	SOS	PTF	AFH	ASR

OFFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

DEFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

SUMMARY	Rk		AP%		Rec (WinPct)		RQ		Conference		Pace		Con		SOS		PTF		AFH		ASR

OFFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox

DEFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox