Haslametrics.com

Automated Team Capsule for 2017-18 Northern Iowa 16-16 (0.500) | Missouri Valley

All-Play Percentage: 0.646 (125^th)	Schedule Strength: 0.625 (82^nd)	Record Quality: 0.070 (134^th)	Avg. Season Rank: 108.64 (104^th)
Pace: 65.43 (347^th)	Momentum: 3.96 (24^th)	Off. Momentum: 4.12 (16^th)	Def. Momentum: -0.16 (152^nd)
Consistency: -8.39 (95^th)	Res. Consistency: -10.48 (92^nd)	Away From Home: -1.98 (305^th)	Paper Tiger Factor: -1.96 (269^th)

NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category.
Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement.
Includes games through April 2, 2018. Data shown on this page is based on time-independent ratings.

OFFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

99.56

25.17

71.63

81.37

43.50

30.54

35.13

24.21

38.77

26.63

57.42

7.14

11.88

4.98

37.52

29.76

32.72

2.05

RANK:

206^th

209^th

175^th

201^st

210^th

174^th

167^th

117^th

100^th

255^th

241^st

338^th

296^th

301^st

162^nd

111^th

250^th

213^th

DEFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

96.53

21.31

84.06

41.43

33.06

35.00

24.77

35.81

26.23

54.85

11.01

12.96

4.84

39.33

29.47

31.21

2.08

RANK:

60^th

29^th

259^th

43^rd

280^th

149^th

266^th

108^th

89^th

38^th

187^th

54^th

15^th

260^th

250^th

71^st

78^th

ANALYSIS:
Northern Iowa is a fairly decent basketball team that, while likely better than average, isn't quite good enough to crack any top-25 rankings this year. Ranked 125th overall (out of 351) in our most recent ratings, they presently have a record of 16-16. Of the 10 schools in the MVC (average ranking 135.8), they're currently ranked as our #3 team in the conference.

While favoring an extremely deliberate pace (the fifth-slowest in D1), the primary strength for Northern Iowa is defense. The team is ranked 60th in efficiency, allowing fewer than 97 points for every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO. Northern Iowa does a fantastic job to prevent opposing teams from capitalizing on chances from offensive rebounds. The squad allows AO to convert only 4.8% of all second-chance opportunities (ranked 15th in the NCAA). Northern Iowa also does a pretty solid job avoiding careless fouls and minimizing opponents' opportunities from the free throw line. With a defensive free throw attempt rate of 21.31 vs. AO, they are currently rated 29th in the country in that category. If Northern Iowa does exhibit a noticeable weakness on the defensive end of the floor, it'd likely be the team's unwillingness to take risks in order to score fast points off of the opposition's turnovers. The squad only has a rating of 7.14 in potential points scored off of steals vs. AO, which ranks 14th-worst in the college game.

The offense for Northern Iowa, on the other hand, isn't nearly as efficient as the defense is. The team is ranked 206th in offensive efficiency, scoring about 100 points every 100 possessions vs. AO. Northern Iowa doesn't quite measure up to the rest of the field in scoring points off of offensive rebounds. Against AO, the team converts only 5.0% of all second-chance opportunities (301st nationally).

Northern Iowa has been playing some of its most efficient basketball of the season recently and is presently ranked 24th in positive momentum. When playing on the road, Northern Iowa performs somewhat worse than they normally do on their home court. The club is nationally ranked 305th in our site's away-from-home metric.

SORTABLE SCHEDULE / RESULTS:


					ADJ. OFF. EFFICIENCY			ADJ. DEF. EFFICIENCY
Date	Opponent	Should	Did	Record	Should	Did	Diff.	Should	Did	Diff.	Rating
Fri 11/10/2017	@ North Carolina₈	L 60.47 - 77.76	L 69-86	0-1	91.89	84.41	▼ 7.48	113.12	129.87	▼ 16.75	▼ 24.23
Mon 11/13/2017	vs Alcorn State₃₄₀	W 74.59 - 54.19	W 73-45	1-1	111.31	122.73	▲ 11.42	85.42	73.42	▲ 12.00	▲ 23.42
Wed 11/15/2017	vs Wartburg	---	W 72-43	2-1	---	---	---	---	---	---	---
Sat 11/18/2017	vs Chicago State₃₄₇	W 80.33 - 56.30	W 82-44	3-1	114.03	114.09	▲ 0.06	84.73	66.42	▲ 18.31	▲ 18.37
Wed 11/22/2017	vs SMU₈₃ *	L 58.54 - 62.26	W 61-58	4-1	94.64	93.85	▼ 0.79	101.20	89.23	▲ 11.97	▲ 11.18
Thu 11/23/2017	vs NC State₅₃ *	L 65.90 - 73.22	W 64-60	5-1	96.93	98.46	▲ 1.53	108.22	92.31	▲ 15.91	▲ 17.44
Fri 11/24/2017	vs Villanova₁ *	L 56.55 - 78.43	L 50-64	5-2	87.60	83.93	▼ 3.67	120.70	110.71	▲ 9.99	▲ 6.32
Wed 11/29/2017	vs UNLV₈₄	L 68.98 - 70.00	W 77-68 (OT)	6-2	96.79	81.29	▼ 15.50	102.82	89.41	▲ 13.41	▼ 2.09
Thu 12/7/2017	vs UT Arlington₁₂₁	W 68.85 - 66.14	W 62-58	7-2	96.46	91.67	▼ 4.79	97.16	90.15	▲ 7.01	▲ 2.22
Sun 12/10/2017	vs Dubuque	---	W 80-47	8-2	---	---	---	---	---	---	---
Sat 12/16/2017	vs Iowa State₉₆ *	L 64.74 - 67.20	L 65-76	8-3	98.52	92.82	▼ 5.70	102.25	108.53	▼ 6.28	▼ 11.98
Fri 12/22/2017	vs Xavier₁₂	L 63.30 - 73.23	L 67-77	8-4	92.59	94.83	▲ 2.24	111.44	112.56	▼ 1.12	▲ 1.12
Thu 12/28/2017	vs S. Illinois₁₃₈	W 64.24 - 60.44	L 53-56	8-5	97.73	84.62	▼ 13.11	95.63	92.59	▲ 3.04	▼ 10.07
Sun 12/31/2017	@ Bradley₁₃₂	L 59.35 - 61.56	L 53-72	8-6	94.73	88.71	▼ 6.02	94.54	114.40	▼ 19.86	▼ 25.88
Thu 1/4/2018	@ Missouri State₁₂₀	L 61.09 - 64.20	L 55-62	8-7	98.24	86.88	▼ 11.36	98.75	91.67	▲ 7.08	▼ 4.28
Sun 1/7/2018	vs Loyola-Chicago₅₀	L 59.38 - 63.51	L 50-56	8-8	92.68	83.94	▼ 8.74	103.57	98.82	▲ 4.75	▼ 3.99
Wed 1/10/2018	@ Indiana State₁₃₇	L 63.71 - 65.69	L 67-69	8-9	97.41	100.80	▲ 3.39	96.26	100.72	▼ 4.46	▼ 1.07
Sat 1/13/2018	vs Valparaiso₁₇₂	W 66.16 - 60.18	W 81-76	9-9	97.53	108.69	▲ 11.16	93.11	102.27	▼ 9.16	▲ 2.00
Tue 1/16/2018	vs Drake₁₅₉	W 67.41 - 61.75	W 68-54	10-9	100.55	102.49	▲ 1.94	96.54	78.83	▲ 17.71	▲ 19.65
Sun 1/21/2018	@ S. Illinois₁₃₈	L 61.39 - 63.28	L 53-64	10-10	97.73	76.46	▼ 21.27	95.63	94.50	▲ 1.13	▼ 20.14
Wed 1/24/2018	vs Illinois State₁₆₉	W 67.13 - 61.39	W 83-72	11-10	98.38	114.63	▲ 16.25	94.42	102.27	▼ 7.85	▲ 8.40
Sun 1/28/2018	@ Loyola-Chicago₅₀	L 56.61 - 66.31	L 47-70	11-11	92.68	82.63	▼ 10.05	103.57	110.23	▼ 6.66	▼ 16.71
Wed 1/31/2018	@ Evansville₁₅₆	L 58.20 - 58.69	L 49-57	11-12	93.98	77.68	▼ 16.30	90.33	89.67	▲ 0.66	▼ 15.64
Sat 2/3/2018	vs Indiana State₁₃₇	W 66.67 - 62.76	L 66-77	11-13	97.41	93.04	▼ 4.37	96.26	119.46	▼ 23.20	▼ 27.57
Wed 2/7/2018	vs Bradley₁₃₂	W 62.19 - 58.76	W 74-65	12-13	94.73	111.79	▲ 17.06	94.54	100.71	▼ 6.17	▲ 10.89
Sat 2/10/2018	@ Drake₁₅₉	L 64.51 - 64.76	L 64-71	12-14	100.55	93.70	▼ 6.85	96.54	102.14	▼ 5.60	▼ 12.45
Tue 2/13/2018	vs Evansville₁₅₆	W 61.00 - 55.77	W 47-41	13-14	93.98	84.77	▼ 9.21	90.33	78.20	▲ 12.13	▲ 2.92
Sat 2/17/2018	@ Illinois State₁₆₉	L 64.18 - 64.26	L 75-79	13-15	98.38	115.64	▲ 17.26	94.42	117.96	▼ 23.54	▼ 6.28
Tue 2/20/2018	@ Valparaiso₁₇₂	W 63.23 - 63.10	W 68-63	14-15	97.53	115.60	▲ 18.07	93.11	101.01	▼ 7.90	▲ 10.17
Sat 2/24/2018	vs Missouri State₁₂₀	W 63.91 - 61.39	W 71-56	15-15	98.24	121.37	▲ 23.13	98.75	98.70	▲ 0.05	▲ 23.18
Thu 3/1/2018	vs Evansville₁₅₆ *	W 59.60 - 57.23	W 60-50	16-15	93.98	100.00	▲ 6.02	90.33	80.36	▲ 9.97	▲ 15.99
Fri 3/2/2018	vs Loyola-Chicago₅₀ *	L 58.00 - 64.91	L 50-54	16-16	92.68	84.75	▼ 7.93	103.57	91.53	▲ 12.04	▲ 4.11
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Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location.
Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.

CURIOUS TRENDS:

	Northern Iowa performs worse against squads that allow a greater number of field goal opportunities. When facing teams that have a defensive field goal attempt rate vs. AO greater than 82.98, Northern Iowa is more efficient than normal 30% of the time. In their other contests, the team is more efficient 65% of the time.
	When playing teams that allow a higher number of conversions off of the offensive glass, Northern Iowa usually performs better than average. Northern Iowa is more efficient than normal 78% of the time when facing clubs that have a defensive second-chance conversion percentage vs. AO greater than 7.27%. In all other contests, Northern Iowa performs better than average 43% of the time.
	Northern Iowa is typically worse vs. teams that are typically efficient on offense. Against foes that have an offensive efficiency rating vs. AO greater than 100.08, Northern Iowa performs above their norm 43% of the time. Against the remaining opposition, the team performs above average 78% of the time.

HASLAMETRICS ALL-PLAY PERCENTAGE RANKING BY DAY: Select data to plot:

HASLAMETRICS TEAM HISTORY: Select data to view:

SUMMARY	Rk	AP%	Rec (WinPct)		RQ	Conference	Pace	Con	SOS	PTF	AFH	ASR

OFFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

DEFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

SUMMARY	Rk		AP%		Rec (WinPct)		RQ		Conference		Pace		Con		SOS		PTF		AFH		ASR

OFFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox

DEFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox