Haslametrics.com

Automated Team Capsule for 2014-15 Northern Iowa 31-4 (0.886) | Missouri Valley

All-Play Percentage: 0.949 (19^th)	Schedule Strength: 0.557 (119^th)	Record Quality: 0.443 (12^th)	Avg. Season Rank: 25.89 (25^th)
Pace: 60.44 (347^th)	Momentum: 1.07 (112^th)	Off. Momentum: 3.84 (20^th)	Def. Momentum: -2.77 (292^nd)
Consistency: -9.86 (260^th)	Res. Consistency: -10.03 (69^th)	Away From Home: 1.06 (62^nd)	Paper Tiger Factor: 0.43 (70^th)

NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category.
Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement.
Includes games through April 6, 2015. Data shown on this page is based on time-independent ratings.

OFFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

113.03

30.78

74.64

80.78

48.04

31.47

39.52

19.15

40.15

30.17

61.93

10.79

10.03

5.33

38.96

23.70

37.34

2.02

RANK:

17^th

95^th

32^nd

225^th

17^th

56^th

13^th

326^th

16^th

94^th

73^rd

197^th

348^th

297^th

47^th

325^th

74^th

219^th

DEFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

92.97

21.98

84.32

39.76

32.01

32.35

27.53

33.08

24.78

56.74

9.39

13.32

4.70

37.96

32.65

29.39

2.09

RANK:

42^nd

9^th

273^rd

41^st

319^th

56^th

262^nd

68^th

42^nd

109^th

37^th

43^rd

15^th

301^st

242^nd

27^th

29^th

ANALYSIS:
A top-25 caliber adversary, Northern Iowa will likely be a stiff test for any team in Division I. Haslametrics has them ranked 19th overall (out of 351) in All-Play Percentage, and the team holds a record of 31-4. They are also ranked by this site as the #2 team (out of 10) in the MVC (average ranking 149.4).

Northern Iowa showcases one of the country's most efficient offenses. Racking up about 113 points for every 100 possessions vs. AO and promoting an extremely deliberate pace (the fifth-slowest in D1), the team is nationally rated 17th in efficiency on that end of the floor. Northern Iowa is a very dangerous team when it comes to shooting the rock, ranking in the top-25 in three of our four major field goal categories. They can be considered sharpshooters out on the perimeter, converting 39.5% of their three-pointers (13th in the nation), 40.2% of their mid-range chances (16th), and 48.0% of their total shots from the field (17th) vs. AO. Northern Iowa also does a really good job converting from the free throw line. Making 74.6% of their attempts from the stripe, they are ranked 32nd nationally in free throw percentage. Moreover, they get ample opportunity to beat you from the line, as the ball-club falls in the top-100 in free throw attempt rate with a rating of 30.78 vs. AO. If Northern Iowa does have a glaring weakness offensively, it would have to be the team's difficulties obtaining second-chance opportunities from offensive rebounds. The squad only has a rating of 10.03 vs. AO in potential points off of second chances, which ranks fourth-worst in college hoops.

Northern Iowa plays at roughly the same level defensively as they do offensively. The team ranks 42nd nationally in defensive efficiency, allowing about 93 points every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO. Northern Iowa is a superior unit when it comes to preventing opponents from getting to the foul line. With a defensive free throw attempt rate of 21.98 vs. AO, they are currently rated ninth in the country in that category. Northern Iowa also does a fantastic job to prevent opposing teams from capitalizing on chances from offensive rebounds. The squad allows AO to convert only 4.7% of all second-chance opportunities (ranked 15th in the NCAA), and with a rating of 13.32, they're 43rd in potential points allowed off of the offensive glass as well.

SORTABLE SCHEDULE / RESULTS:


					ADJ. OFF. EFFICIENCY			ADJ. DEF. EFFICIENCY
Date	Opponent	Should	Did	Record	Should	Did	Diff.	Should	Did	Diff.	Rating
Sat 11/15/2014	vs North Dakota₂₉₇	W 76.77 - 51.74	W 64-52	1-0	119.40	100.25	▼ 19.15	85.63	82.34	▲ 3.29	▼ 15.86
Tue 11/18/2014	@ Stephen F. Austin₆₀	W 65.77 - 63.70	W 79-77 (OT)	2-0	108.46	119.58	▲ 11.12	99.51	111.71	▼ 12.20	▼ 1.08
Thu 11/20/2014	vs Morgan State₃₂₅	W 75.66 - 48.43	W 73-53	3-0	121.34	114.57	▼ 6.77	82.93	92.06	▼ 9.13	▼ 15.90
Sat 11/22/2014	vs North Florida₁₅₉	W 74.97 - 57.86	W 66-49	4-0	115.85	100.54	▼ 15.31	94.53	69.04	▲ 25.49	▲ 10.18
Tue 11/25/2014	vs Virginia Tech₁₈₂ *	W 69.57 - 56.04	W 73-54	5-0	118.08	124.47	▲ 6.39	95.20	92.07	▲ 3.13	▲ 9.52
Wed 11/26/2014	vs Northwestern₁₁₉ *	W 63.59 - 53.88	W 61-42	6-0	112.31	110.56	▼ 1.75	95.43	76.12	▲ 19.31	▲ 17.56
Sun 11/30/2014	vs Richmond₆₁	W 62.96 - 54.43	W 55-50	7-0	106.04	94.72	▼ 11.32	97.20	90.79	▲ 6.41	▼ 4.91
Sat 12/6/2014	vs George Mason₁₇₄	W 70.59 - 53.21	W 71-65 (OT)	8-0	113.74	91.99	▼ 21.75	90.85	88.92	▲ 1.93	▼ 19.82
Wed 12/10/2014	@ Denver₂₁₆	W 63.20 - 51.81	W 65-55	9-0	118.64	126.05	▲ 7.41	91.83	95.07	▼ 3.24	▲ 4.17
Sat 12/13/2014	@ VCU₃₂	L 62.93 - 64.07	L 87-93 (2OT)	9-1	104.69	117.03	▲ 12.34	100.30	109.34	▼ 9.04	▲ 3.30
Sat 12/20/2014	vs Iowa₂₁ *	W 62.19 - 60.84	W 56-44	10-1	103.55	94.83	▼ 8.72	101.43	74.14	▲ 27.29	▲ 18.57
Sun 12/28/2014	vs South Dakota St.₁₀₇	W 71.66 - 58.28	W 74-63	11-1	113.36	118.34	▲ 4.98	97.34	106.25	▼ 8.91	▼ 3.93
Thu 1/1/2015	@ Evansville₁₂₆	W 66.88 - 59.84	L 49-52	11-2	110.69	88.94	▼ 21.75	93.42	86.68	▲ 6.74	▼ 15.01
Sun 1/4/2015	vs Loyola-Chicago₁₄₅	W 66.22 - 51.89	W 67-58	12-2	113.10	100.11	▼ 12.99	94.13	93.60	▲ 0.53	▼ 12.46
Wed 1/7/2015	vs S. Illinois₁₉₆	W 67.98 - 49.85	W 55-39	13-2	112.03	107.03	▼ 5.00	87.39	75.52	▲ 11.87	▲ 6.87
Sat 1/10/2015	@ Drake₂₆₇	W 67.05 - 52.86	W 64-40	14-2	122.86	146.87	▲ 24.01	91.84	74.53	▲ 17.31	▲ 41.32
Tue 1/13/2015	@ Bradley₂₄₇	W 63.42 - 50.13	W 63-52	15-2	111.14	111.59	▲ 0.45	83.32	91.57	▼ 8.25	▼ 7.80
Sun 1/18/2015	vs Missouri State₂₄₂	W 69.15 - 48.95	W 60-46	16-2	115.53	117.03	▲ 1.50	87.23	90.97	▼ 3.74	▼ 2.24
Wed 1/21/2015	vs Indiana State₁₆₉	W 71.78 - 54.10	W 66-60	17-2	111.71	107.03	▼ 4.68	89.72	102.97	▼ 13.25	▼ 17.93
Sun 1/25/2015	@ Illinois State₆₉	W 63.59 - 60.37	W 54-53	18-2	107.38	92.97	▼ 14.41	96.48	82.51	▲ 13.97	▼ 0.44
Wed 1/28/2015	@ S. Illinois₁₉₆	W 64.44 - 53.28	W 59-52	19-2	112.03	104.70	▼ 7.33	87.39	85.16	▲ 2.23	▼ 5.10
Sat 1/31/2015	vs Wichita State₁₄	W 61.60 - 59.11	W 70-54	20-2	102.74	114.57	▲ 11.83	103.95	87.18	▲ 16.77	▲ 28.60
Tue 2/3/2015	@ Indiana State₁₆₉	W 68.03 - 57.72	W 61-51	21-2	111.71	99.80	▼ 11.91	89.72	75.72	▲ 14.00	▲ 2.09
Sat 2/7/2015	vs Drake₂₆₇	W 70.42 - 49.49	W 69-53	22-2	122.86	149.30	▲ 26.44	91.84	111.86	▼ 20.02	▲ 6.42
Wed 2/11/2015	vs Illinois State₆₉	W 67.23 - 56.83	W 83-64	23-2	107.38	153.63	▲ 46.25	96.48	114.51	▼ 18.03	▲ 28.22
Sun 2/15/2015	@ Missouri State₂₄₂	W 65.64 - 52.41	W 68-57	24-2	115.53	131.27	▲ 15.74	87.23	95.18	▼ 7.95	▲ 7.79
Wed 2/18/2015	@ Loyola-Chicago₁₄₅	W 62.80 - 55.16	W 58-39	25-2	113.10	112.23	▼ 0.87	94.13	80.05	▲ 14.08	▲ 13.21
Sat 2/21/2015	vs Bradley₂₄₇	W 66.94 - 46.82	W 56-39	26-2	111.14	98.95	▼ 12.19	83.32	67.68	▲ 15.64	▲ 3.45
Wed 2/25/2015	vs Evansville₁₂₆	W 70.59 - 56.16	W 68-57	27-2	110.69	107.20	▼ 3.49	93.42	80.94	▲ 12.48	▲ 8.99
Sat 2/28/2015	@ Wichita State₁₄	L 58.12 - 62.53	L 60-74	27-3	102.74	112.06	▲ 9.32	103.95	127.94	▼ 23.99	▼ 14.67
Fri 3/6/2015	vs Bradley₂₄₇ *	W 65.18 - 48.47	W 71-46	28-3	111.14	129.41	▲ 18.27	83.32	82.00	▲ 1.32	▲ 19.59
Sat 3/7/2015	vs Loyola-Chicago₁₄₅ *	W 64.51 - 53.52	W 63-49	29-3	113.10	121.15	▲ 8.05	94.13	90.38	▲ 3.75	▲ 11.80
Sun 3/8/2015	vs Illinois State₆₉ *	W 65.40 - 58.60	W 69-60	30-3	107.38	116.95	▲ 9.57	96.48	96.67	▼ 0.19	▲ 9.38
Fri 3/20/2015	vs Wyoming₁₀₁ *	W 59.87 - 51.86	W 71-54	31-3	108.03	125.93	▲ 17.90	93.95	98.11	▼ 4.16	▲ 13.74
Sun 3/22/2015	vs Louisville₁₇ *	L 59.81 - 60.48	L 53-66	31-4	98.62	100.00	▲ 1.38	99.68	123.08	▼ 23.40	▼ 22.02
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Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location.
Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.

CURIOUS TRENDS:

	When playing teams that allow a greater number of field goal opportunities, Northern Iowa usually performs better than average. Northern Iowa is more efficient than normal 83% of the time when facing clubs that have a defensive field goal attempt rate vs. AO greater than 83.30. In all other contests, Northern Iowa performs better than average 39% of the time.
	Northern Iowa is typically better vs. teams that tend to allow more shots on the perimeter. Against foes that have a defensive shooting proximity score vs. AO greater than 2.02, Northern Iowa performs above their norm 72% of the time. Against the remaining opposition, the team performs above average 35% of the time.
	When facing teams that favor a faster tempo, Northern Iowa often performs worse than normal. Northern Iowa is more efficient than usual 33% of the time when facing teams that have a pace vs. AO greater than 65.20. In their other contests, Northern Iowa performs better than the norm 70% of the time.

HASLAMETRICS ALL-PLAY PERCENTAGE RANKING BY DAY: Select data to plot:

HASLAMETRICS TEAM HISTORY: Select data to view:

SUMMARY	Rk	AP%	Rec (WinPct)		RQ	Conference	Pace	Con	SOS	PTF	AFH	ASR

OFFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

DEFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

SUMMARY	Rk		AP%		Rec (WinPct)		RQ		Conference		Pace		Con		SOS		PTF		AFH		ASR

OFFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox

DEFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox