Haslametrics.com

Automated Team Capsule for 2014-15 N. Illinois 14-16 (0.467) | Mid-American

All-Play Percentage: 0.409 (207^th)	Schedule Strength: 0.539 (130^th)	Record Quality: -0.015 (180^th)	Avg. Season Rank: 231.03 (228^th)
Pace: 63.89 (283^rd)	Momentum: 1.28 (102^nd)	Off. Momentum: 1.38 (125^th)	Def. Momentum: -0.10 (130^th)
Consistency: -9.82 (252^nd)	Res. Consistency: -12.72 (248^th)	Away From Home: -0.49 (221^st)	Paper Tiger Factor: -0.31 (135^th)

NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category.
Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement.
Includes games through April 6, 2015. Data shown on this page is based on time-independent ratings.

OFFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

97.27

33.64

66.54

80.05

41.78

24.68

32.39

22.85

31.04

32.52

56.46

12.20

17.57

7.94

30.84

28.54

40.62

1.90

RANK:

226^th

30^th

261^st

256^th

233^rd

283^rd

263^rd

265^th

321^st

27^th

222^nd

113^th

54^th

266^th

253^rd

18^th

34^th

DEFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

102.53

31.79

78.03

44.64

30.92

33.91

19.66

39.41

27.46

60.48

12.27

13.27

5.26

39.63

25.19

35.18

2.04

RANK:

198^th

266^th

34^th

225^th

292^nd

127^th

10^th

316^th

136^th

220^th

243^rd

41^st

37^th

328^th

14^th

193^rd

72^nd

ANALYSIS:
N. Illinois has a squad that most likely falls somewhere in the bottom half of NCAA Division I teams this year. Haslametrics has them ranked 207th overall (out of 351) in All-Play Percentage, and the team holds a record of 14-16. Of the 12 schools in the MAC (average ranking 147.5), they're currently ranked as our #9 team in the conference.

Offensively, N. Illinois finds itself in the lower half of the rankings. The team is rated 226th in offensive efficiency and scores fewer than 98 points for every 100 possessions vs. AO. N. Illinois needs improvement when it comes to draining the mid-range shot. The team is ranked 321st in field goal percentage from that distance, making only 31.0% of their mid-range attempts vs. AO. If N. Illinois does have a strength offensively, it would have to be the team's ability to get to the free throw line. The squad has a free throw attempt rate of 33.64 vs. AO, which ranks 30th in the country.

N. Illinois doesn't rate much better on defense than they do on offense. Allowing roughly 103 points for every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO, they are ranked #198 in the nation in defensive efficiency. N. Illinois has done a lackluster job this year when defending the mid-range shot. The squad is ranked 316th nationally in defensive mid-range field goal percentage, allowing AO to make good on 39.4% of their attempts from those in-between spots on the floor. Thankfully, AO will take nowhere near as many mid-range shots vs. N. Illinois as they typically would, as only 25.2% of their field goal attempts will come from in-between locations. If N. Illinois does have a bright spot on defense, it would have to be their ability to limit the number of shot attempts by the opposition. The team has a defensive field goal attempt rate of 78.03 vs. AO, which ranks 34th-best in college basketball.

SORTABLE SCHEDULE / RESULTS:


					ADJ. OFF. EFFICIENCY			ADJ. DEF. EFFICIENCY
Date	Opponent	Should	Did	Record	Should	Did	Diff.	Should	Did	Diff.	Rating
Sat 11/15/2014	vs Aurora	---	W 86-56	1-0	---	---	---	---	---	---	---
Thu 11/20/2014	vs Idaho₂₂₅	W 72.63 - 68.16	W 78-67	2-0	106.62	111.95	▲ 5.33	105.38	99.99	▲ 5.39	▲ 10.72
Wed 11/26/2014	@ Iowa₂₁	L 54.09 - 72.71	L 49-70	2-1	88.11	75.19	▼ 12.92	111.51	109.99	▲ 1.52	▼ 11.40
Sun 11/30/2014	vs Maine₃₃₉	W 73.19 - 58.25	W 61-56	3-1	109.15	82.94	▼ 26.21	92.40	82.97	▲ 9.43	▼ 16.78
Tue 12/2/2014	@ DePaul₁₄₃	L 63.50 - 71.58	L 67-78	3-2	99.40	98.43	▼ 0.97	105.49	115.21	▼ 9.72	▼ 10.69
Sat 12/13/2014	@ E. Illinois₂₄₀	L 60.41 - 62.43	L 55-59	3-3	98.17	97.80	▼ 0.37	95.75	95.36	▲ 0.39	▲ 0.02
Tue 12/16/2014	vs Miss. Valley St.₃₄₉	W 80.42 - 57.41	W 71-64	4-3	113.72	101.44	▼ 12.28	86.16	94.02	▼ 7.86	▼ 20.14
Fri 12/19/2014	@ Dartmouth₁₇₅	L 58.98 - 64.24	L 55-58 (OT)	4-4	96.20	83.67	▼ 12.53	98.74	80.67	▲ 18.07	▲ 5.54
Mon 12/22/2014	@ Notre Dame₁₁	L 56.83 - 79.12	L 66-91	4-5	94.09	102.97	▲ 8.88	123.64	144.20	▼ 20.56	▼ 11.68
Mon 12/29/2014	vs Hampton₂₅₇	W 68.59 - 62.04	W 83-51	5-5	98.25	107.97	▲ 9.72	94.52	80.39	▲ 14.13	▲ 23.85
Fri 1/2/2015	vs UC Riverside₂₂₃	W 64.46 - 60.19	W 72-67 (OT)	6-5	96.32	84.91	▼ 11.41	95.67	95.03	▲ 0.64	▼ 10.77
Wed 1/7/2015	@ Ohio₂₂₀	L 64.20 - 67.46	W 70-60	7-5	100.70	110.91	▲ 10.21	99.76	86.26	▲ 13.50	▲ 23.71
Sat 1/10/2015	vs Kent State₁₂₉	L 60.89 - 62.19	L 65-67	7-6	96.64	98.59	▲ 1.95	104.18	104.49	▼ 0.31	▲ 1.64
Wed 1/14/2015	@ Buffalo₆₅	L 60.91 - 75.22	L 63-82	7-7	93.67	83.67	▼ 10.00	108.93	125.60	▼ 16.67	▼ 26.67
Sat 1/17/2015	@ E. Michigan₁₄₄	L 58.59 - 66.43	L 46-54	7-8	92.62	77.16	▼ 15.46	98.95	82.74	▲ 16.21	▲ 0.75
Wed 1/21/2015	vs Akron₁₀₄	L 61.44 - 64.44	W 64-61	8-8	94.15	97.96	▲ 3.81	104.54	98.16	▲ 6.38	▲ 10.19
Sat 1/24/2015	vs Miami (OH)₂₁₇	W 66.17 - 62.19	L 55-60	8-9	100.73	90.25	▼ 10.48	99.94	102.97	▼ 3.03	▼ 13.51
Tue 1/27/2015	@ Bowling Green₁₀₉	L 57.81 - 67.68	L 46-56	8-10	94.65	79.24	▼ 15.41	104.44	91.94	▲ 12.50	▼ 2.91
Sat 1/31/2015	vs Toledo₇₇	L 64.97 - 70.38	L 69-80	8-11	96.04	94.13	▼ 1.91	109.91	118.91	▼ 9.00	▼ 10.91
Wed 2/4/2015	@ Miami (OH)₂₁₇	L 62.54 - 65.93	W 69-67	9-11	100.73	121.94	▲ 21.21	99.94	110.59	▼ 10.65	▲ 10.56
Sat 2/7/2015	vs Bowling Green₁₀₉	L 61.39 - 63.97	L 65-69	9-12	94.65	99.91	▲ 5.26	104.44	111.11	▼ 6.67	▼ 1.41
Tue 2/10/2015	vs Ball State₂₅₆	W 65.78 - 59.65	W 75-63	10-12	100.81	121.31	▲ 20.50	96.89	106.41	▼ 9.52	▲ 10.98
Sat 2/14/2015	@ W. Michigan₁₅₆	L 63.07 - 70.00	L 65-69	10-13	101.29	104.53	▲ 3.24	105.99	103.18	▲ 2.81	▲ 6.05
Wed 2/18/2015	@ Cent. Michigan₈₆	L 62.02 - 73.49	L 66-68	10-14	100.83	107.21	▲ 6.38	113.36	105.48	▲ 7.88	▲ 14.26
Sat 2/21/2015	vs E. Michigan₁₄₄	L 62.29 - 62.62	L 65-73	10-15	92.62	85.60	▼ 7.02	98.95	105.87	▼ 6.92	▼ 13.94
Wed 2/25/2015	@ Toledo₇₇	L 61.24 - 74.32	W 84-82	11-15	96.04	134.22	▲ 38.18	109.91	123.18	▼ 13.27	▲ 24.91
Sat 2/28/2015	vs Cent. Michigan₈₆	L 65.62 - 69.73	W 73-55	12-15	100.83	128.40	▲ 27.57	113.36	89.25	▲ 24.11	▲ 51.68
Tue 3/3/2015	vs W. Michigan₁₅₆	W 66.71 - 66.22	W 65-63	13-15	101.29	98.59	▼ 2.70	105.99	99.89	▲ 6.10	▲ 3.40
Fri 3/6/2015	@ Ball State₂₅₆	L 62.17 - 63.27	W 71-67 (OT)	14-15	100.81	90.66	▼ 10.15	96.89	83.39	▲ 13.50	▲ 3.35
Mon 3/9/2015	@ Akron₁₀₄	L 57.84 - 68.07	L 52-76	14-16	94.15	76.30	▼ 17.85	104.54	144.76	▼ 40.22	▼ 58.07
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Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location.
Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.

CURIOUS TRENDS:

	N. Illinois is typically worse vs. teams that tend to capitalize off breakaway opportunities. Against foes that have a potential point rate off steals vs. AO greater than 12.43, N. Illinois performs above their norm 17% of the time. Against the remaining opposition, the team performs above average 82% of the time.
	When facing teams that do not defend well on the perimeter, N. Illinois often performs better than normal. N. Illinois is more efficient than usual 74% of the time when facing teams that have a defensive three-point field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 32.80%. In their other contests, N. Illinois performs better than the norm 20% of the time.
	N. Illinois does better vs. clubs that aren't terribly skilled defensively. When playing squads that have a defensive efficiency rating vs. AO greater than 97.69, N. Illinois performs above average 70% of the time. Against all other opponents, the team performs better than the norm 22% of the time.

HASLAMETRICS ALL-PLAY PERCENTAGE RANKING BY DAY: Select data to plot:

HASLAMETRICS TEAM HISTORY: Select data to view:

SUMMARY	Rk	AP%	Rec (WinPct)		RQ	Conference	Pace	Con	SOS	PTF	AFH	ASR

OFFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

DEFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

SUMMARY	Rk		AP%		Rec (WinPct)		RQ		Conference		Pace		Con		SOS		PTF		AFH		ASR

OFFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox

DEFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox