Haslametrics.com

Automated Team Capsule for 2022-23 N. Colorado 12-20 (0.375) | Big Sky

All-Play Percentage: 0.351 (236^th)	Schedule Strength: 0.462 (166^th)	Record Quality: -0.117 (237^th)	Avg. Season Rank: 233.99 (235^th)
Pace: 69.56 (79^th)	Momentum: -0.05 (178^th)	Off. Momentum: 2.47 (74^th)	Def. Momentum: -2.52 (285^th)
Consistency: -8.02 (35^th)	Res. Consistency: -11.21 (123^rd)	Away From Home: -0.83 (206^th)	Paper Tiger Factor: -2.84 (312^th)

NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category.
Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement.
Includes games through April 3, 2023. Data shown on this page is based on time-independent ratings.

OFFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

103.31

23.23

75.20

83.85

44.13

33.53

35.30

19.83

37.25

30.49

58.31

7.70

11.81

4.10

39.98

23.65

36.37

2.04

RANK:

159^th

275^th

60^th

209^th

160^th

94^th

107^th

306^th

206^th

128^th

190^th

334^th

284^th

306^th

82^nd

307^th

119^th

218^th

DEFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

109.49

25.08

87.95

46.38

27.88

34.42

28.66

41.58

31.41

61.37

11.40

14.43

5.62

31.70

32.59

35.72

1.96

RANK:

313^th

180^th

320^th

313^th

61^st

207^th

335^th

329^th

269^th

270^th

225^th

227^th

232^nd

27^th

324^th

215^th

300^th

ANALYSIS:
While not an atrocious team by any means, N. Colorado is not exactly one that should appear in many top-100 rankings either. They have a record of 12-20 and are ranked 236th overall (out of 363) in the latest Haslametrics ratings. They are also ranked by this site as the #7 team (out of 10) in the Big Sky (average ranking 208.8).

If there is a strength for N. Colorado this year, it's probably on the offensive end of the court. The team is rated 159th in offensive efficiency, scoring more than 103 points every 100 possessions vs. AO. N. Colorado converts a fair amount of its free throws. Making 75.2% of their attempts from the stripe, they are ranked 60th nationally in free throw percentage. Unfortunately, with a free throw attempt rate of just 23.23 vs. AO, they don't provide themselves a whole lot of opportunities at the foul line.

Unfortunately, N. Colorado is not even remotely close to being as good on defense as they are on offense. The team is ranked 313th in defensive efficiency, allowing about 109 points every 100 possessions vs. AO. N. Colorado does a pretty inadequate job to provide chances for themselves to score quickly off of steals. They're ranked #334 in potential points off of breakaway steals with a rating of only 7.70 vs. AO. N. Colorado has also done a lackluster job this year when defending the mid-range shot. The squad is ranked 329th nationally in defensive mid-range field goal percentage, allowing AO to make good on 41.6% of their attempts from those in-between spots on the floor. Making matters worse, AO will take advantage of that weakness and put up mid-range shots in abundance. Of AO's total field goals, a huge portion of them (32.6%) will be from those in-between locations.

N. Colorado is one of the more consistent teams in Division I (presently ranked 35th in consistency), so forecasting the outcomes of their future contests tends to be easier than the norm.

SORTABLE SCHEDULE / RESULTS:


					ADJ. OFF. EFFICIENCY			ADJ. DEF. EFFICIENCY
Date	Opponent	Should	Did	Record	Should	Did	Diff.	Should	Did	Diff.	Rating
Mon 11/7/2022	@ Houston₂	L 57.09 - 84.04	L 36-83	0-1	88.56	46.19	▼ 42.37	123.53	116.18	▲ 7.35	▼ 35.02
Fri 11/11/2022	vs Texas A&M-Comm.₃₀₈	W 77.25 - 70.28	W 80-77	1-1	110.98	109.11	▼ 1.87	105.05	108.95	▼ 3.90	▼ 5.77
Mon 11/14/2022	@ Baylor₁₇	L 66.29 - 87.61	L 62-95	1-2	98.57	65.94	▼ 32.63	124.83	111.11	▲ 13.72	▼ 18.91
Sat 11/19/2022	vs San Jose State₁₀₃	L 67.60 - 73.40	L 69-80	1-3	102.36	111.11	▲ 8.75	114.46	131.03	▼ 16.57	▼ 7.82
Tue 11/22/2022	vs CO Christian	---	L 69-70	1-4	---	---	---	---	---	---	---
Fri 11/25/2022	vs North Dakota St.₂₁₃ *	L 73.99 - 75.76	W 80-70	2-4	105.46	114.29	▲ 8.83	107.51	93.15	▲ 14.36	▲ 23.19
Sat 11/26/2022	vs Jacksonville St.₂₅₄ *	W 72.30 - 71.32	W 86-82 (OT)	3-4	106.02	107.81	▲ 1.79	104.61	107.81	▼ 3.20	▼ 1.41
Sun 11/27/2022	@ New Mexico₆₈	L 72.42 - 89.32	L 74-98	3-5	100.83	108.25	▲ 7.42	119.01	140.19	▼ 21.18	▼ 13.76
Sat 12/3/2022	@ Colorado State₁₀₅	L 68.75 - 80.36	W 88-83	4-5	101.98	125.95	▲ 23.97	114.44	116.57	▼ 2.13	▲ 21.84
Sat 12/10/2022	@ CSU Northridge₃₁₉	W 71.77 - 69.34	W 70-63	5-5	108.15	109.69	▲ 1.54	99.74	96.44	▲ 3.30	▲ 4.84
Sun 12/18/2022	@ Colorado₇₀	L 65.07 - 81.04	L 77-88	5-6	93.83	100.65	▲ 6.82	111.15	112.66	▼ 1.51	▲ 5.31
Tue 12/20/2022	vs Air Force₁₃₇	L 68.84 - 71.81	L 65-67	5-7	102.86	91.52	▼ 11.34	110.78	94.74	▲ 16.04	▲ 4.70
Thu 12/29/2022	@ Weber State₂₁₁	L 67.70 - 72.33	L 72-81	5-8	102.23	103.41	▲ 1.18	104.87	112.08	▼ 7.21	▼ 6.03
Sat 12/31/2022	@ Idaho State₂₄₆	L 69.94 - 72.12	L 83-90 (OT)	5-9	106.43	102.00	▼ 4.43	104.73	98.00	▲ 6.73	▲ 2.30
Thu 1/5/2023	vs Montana State₁₁₆	L 69.44 - 74.43	L 56-77	5-10	98.98	62.81	▼ 36.17	109.55	116.55	▼ 7.00	▼ 43.17
Sat 1/7/2023	vs Montana₁₅₉	L 71.85 - 73.26	L 74-79	5-11	106.17	97.66	▼ 8.51	112.85	110.97	▲ 1.88	▼ 6.63
Thu 1/12/2023	@ Sacramento St.₂₃₀	L 68.68 - 71.81	L 64-72	5-12	106.58	98.97	▼ 7.61	107.60	108.77	▼ 1.17	▼ 8.78
Sat 1/14/2023	@ Portland State₂₃₉	L 77.68 - 80.33	W 69-67	6-12	107.00	104.99	▼ 2.01	106.66	98.00	▲ 8.66	▲ 6.65
Thu 1/19/2023	vs E. Washington₁₂₉	L 75.08 - 79.31	L 75-83	6-13	105.00	102.16	▼ 2.84	114.58	118.90	▼ 4.32	▼ 7.16
Sat 1/21/2023	vs Idaho₃₀₀	W 77.88 - 71.55	W 73-67	7-13	111.58	101.91	▼ 9.67	105.84	97.72	▲ 8.12	▼ 1.55
Sat 1/28/2023	@ N. Arizona₂₂₂	L 74.44 - 78.21	L 73-83	7-14	108.44	104.82	▼ 3.62	109.46	114.90	▼ 5.44	▼ 9.06
Thu 2/2/2023	@ Montana₁₅₉	L 69.09 - 76.08	L 67-69	7-15	106.17	108.35	▲ 2.18	112.85	105.81	▲ 7.04	▲ 9.22
Sat 2/4/2023	@ Montana State₁₁₆	L 66.60 - 77.34	L 62-75	7-16	98.98	96.92	▼ 2.06	109.55	125.12	▼ 15.57	▼ 17.63
Mon 2/6/2023	vs Weber State₂₁₁	W 70.49 - 69.52	W 88-54	8-16	102.23	128.77	▲ 26.54	104.87	80.00	▲ 24.87	▲ 51.41
Thu 2/9/2023	vs Portland State₂₃₉	W 80.74 - 77.33	W 88-79	9-16	107.00	115.33	▲ 8.33	106.66	105.95	▲ 0.71	▲ 9.04
Sat 2/11/2023	vs Sacramento St.₂₃₀	W 71.40 - 69.17	W 70-54	10-16	106.58	113.74	▲ 7.16	107.60	78.04	▲ 29.56	▲ 36.72
Thu 2/16/2023	@ Idaho₃₀₀	W 75.04 - 74.42	L 82-84	10-17	111.58	122.59	▲ 11.01	105.84	118.00	▼ 12.16	▼ 1.15
Sat 2/18/2023	@ E. Washington₁₂₉	L 72.18 - 82.24	L 77-89	10-18	105.00	105.18	▲ 0.18	114.58	128.77	▼ 14.19	▼ 14.01
Sat 2/25/2023	vs N. Arizona₂₂₂	W 77.35 - 75.33	L 82-85	10-19	108.44	108.81	▲ 0.37	109.46	118.04	▼ 8.58	▼ 8.21
Mon 2/27/2023	vs Idaho State₂₄₆	W 72.72 - 69.36	W 87-72	11-19	106.43	121.19	▲ 14.76	104.73	107.88	▼ 3.15	▲ 11.61
Sat 3/4/2023	vs Portland State₂₃₉ *	W 79.21 - 78.83	W 84-80	12-19	107.00	110.53	▲ 3.53	106.66	103.90	▲ 2.76	▲ 6.29
Sun 3/5/2023	vs Montana State₁₁₆ *	L 68.02 - 75.89	L 73-84	12-20	98.98	96.97	▼ 2.01	109.55	121.21	▼ 11.66	▼ 13.67
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Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location.
Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.

CURIOUS TRENDS:

	When playing teams that do a nice job converting inside the paint, N. Colorado usually performs worse than average. N. Colorado is more efficient than normal 24% of the time when facing clubs that have an offensive near-proximity field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 57.99%. In all other contests, N. Colorado performs better than average 80% of the time.
	N. Colorado is typically worse vs. teams that have trouble defending the mid-range shot. Against foes that have a defensive mid-range field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 37.05%, N. Colorado performs above their norm 27% of the time. Against the remaining opposition, the team performs above average 78% of the time.
	When facing teams that fail to defend efficiently inside the paint, N. Colorado often performs better than normal. N. Colorado is more efficient than usual 70% of the time when facing teams that have a defensive near-proximity field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 61.49%. In their other contests, N. Colorado performs better than the norm 29% of the time.

HASLAMETRICS ALL-PLAY PERCENTAGE RANKING BY DAY: Select data to plot:

HASLAMETRICS TEAM HISTORY: Select data to view:

SUMMARY	Rk	AP%	Rec (WinPct)		RQ	Conference	Pace	Con	SOS	PTF	AFH	ASR

OFFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

DEFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

SUMMARY	Rk		AP%		Rec (WinPct)		RQ		Conference		Pace		Con		SOS		PTF		AFH		ASR

OFFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox

DEFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox