Haslametrics.com

Automated Team Capsule for 2015-16 N. Colorado 10-21 (0.323) | Big Sky

All-Play Percentage: 0.126 (307^th)	Schedule Strength: 0.380 (287^th)	Record Quality: -0.324 (312^th)	Avg. Season Rank: 321.97 (323^rd)
Pace: 70.76 (117^th)	Momentum: 3.22 (37^th)	Off. Momentum: 0.97 (140^th)	Def. Momentum: 2.25 (29^th)
Consistency: -8.94 (178^th)	Res. Consistency: -12.52 (244^th)	Away From Home: 1.26 (64^th)	Paper Tiger Factor: -1.11 (193^rd)

NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category.
Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement.
Includes games through April 4, 2016. Data shown on this page is based on time-independent ratings.

OFFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

96.36

29.45

71.43

77.67

42.60

25.35

36.09

23.98

33.22

28.35

56.34

10.35

13.93

5.52

32.63

30.87

36.50

1.96

RANK:

257^th

138^th

120^th

332^nd

222^nd

282^nd

104^th

176^th

287^th

193^rd

248^th

198^th

226^th

287^th

249^th

134^th

117^th

98^th

DEFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

114.12

35.53

79.85

47.40

30.57

38.20

21.01

37.97

28.28

64.36

11.32

15.79

7.79

38.28

26.31

35.41

2.03

RANK:

344^th

342^nd

76^th

317^th

252^nd

326^th

65^th

267^th

158^th

312^th

215^th

221^st

253^rd

281^st

77^th

181^st

118^th

ANALYSIS:
N. Colorado is not one of the better teams in Division I this year. They are ranked #307 (out of 351) in the most recent Haslametrics ratings and have a record of 10-21. Of the 12 schools in the Big Sky (average ranking 255.4), they're currently ranked as our #10 team in the conference.

N. Colorado has one of the most inept defenses in the NCAA. Allowing about 114 points for every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO, they're ranked way down at #344 in defensive efficiency. N. Colorado fouls far too much and sends the opposition to the line way too often. With a defensive free throw attempt rate of 35.53 vs. AO, the squad is ranked #342 in the country in that category. N. Colorado also allows opposing teams far too many easy chances from the floor, ranking in the bottom-50 in three of the four main defensive field goal shooting categories. AO will convert a healthy 38.2% of their three-pointers (326th in the nation), 64.4% of their near-proximity attempts (312th), and 47.4% of their total shots from the field (317th).

Though they rate better on offense than they do on defense, N. Colorado still isn't one of the more capable offensive teams in college hoops. Scoring roughly 96 points for every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO, they are ranked #257 in the nation in offensive efficiency. N. Colorado happens to be one of the very worst in the game when it comes to maximizing the number of shot attempts they get off from the floor. The team is nationally ranked 332nd in offensive field goal attempt rate with a rating of only 77.67 vs. AO.

N. Colorado has been playing better basketball in their most recent outings, as evidenced by the team's #37 ranking in positive momentum.

SORTABLE SCHEDULE / RESULTS:


					ADJ. OFF. EFFICIENCY			ADJ. DEF. EFFICIENCY
Date	Opponent	Should	Did	Record	Should	Did	Diff.	Should	Did	Diff.	Rating
Fri 11/13/2015	@ Kansas₂	L 56.57 - 94.02	L 72-109	0-1	82.63	85.37	▲ 2.74	128.05	139.94	▼ 11.89	▼ 9.15
Tue 11/17/2015	vs CO Christian	---	W 85-70	1-1	---	---	---	---	---	---	---
Sat 11/21/2015	vs UMBC₃₁₅	W 79.76 - 75.26	L 72-81	1-2	108.09	108.13	▲ 0.04	107.61	126.85	▼ 19.24	▼ 19.20
Sun 11/22/2015	vs Austin Peay₂₅₃	L 75.54 - 76.64	L 76-91	1-3	102.02	117.03	▲ 15.01	108.61	145.50	▼ 36.89	▼ 21.88
Wed 11/25/2015	vs Omaha₁₂₂	L 78.05 - 88.69	L 85-105	1-4	98.20	79.77	▼ 18.43	117.09	146.55	▼ 29.46	▼ 47.89
Sun 11/29/2015	@ Colorado₆₀	L 61.22 - 85.87	L 52-82	1-5	88.33	58.69	▼ 29.64	115.99	108.40	▲ 7.59	▼ 22.05
Thu 12/3/2015	@ UC Riverside₂₀₀	L 66.30 - 78.64	L 66-77	1-6	97.47	95.78	▼ 1.69	108.77	106.45	▲ 2.32	▲ 0.63
Wed 12/9/2015	vs York	---	W 91-58	2-6	---	---	---	---	---	---	---
Sun 12/13/2015	vs Colorado State₁₄₁	L 72.98 - 81.57	W 73-64	3-6	100.54	101.37	▲ 0.83	117.30	94.35	▲ 22.95	▲ 23.78
Wed 12/16/2015	vs Denver₁₈₄	L 64.26 - 69.56	L 77-81	3-7	96.63	112.01	▲ 15.38	110.47	120.31	▼ 9.84	▲ 5.54
Mon 12/21/2015	@ Jacksonville St.₂₇₇	L 68.12 - 75.03	L 76-79	3-8	102.86	116.35	▲ 13.49	107.36	113.26	▼ 5.90	▲ 7.59
Wed 12/23/2015	vs Miss. State₈₃ *	L 66.11 - 84.30	L 69-93	3-9	92.82	85.00	▼ 7.82	117.32	131.67	▼ 14.35	▼ 22.17
Thu 12/31/2015	vs E. Washington₁₉₉	L 76.76 - 81.08	W 96-90	4-9	105.69	129.48	▲ 23.79	117.20	121.23	▼ 4.03	▲ 19.76
Sat 1/2/2016	vs Idaho₂₂₀	L 68.16 - 71.13	L 70-75	4-10	96.86	94.30	▼ 2.56	106.50	107.08	▼ 0.58	▼ 3.14
Thu 1/7/2016	@ Idaho State₂₈₃	L 72.02 - 78.96	L 78-83	4-11	102.39	104.22	▲ 1.83	106.36	107.75	▼ 1.39	▲ 0.44
Sat 1/9/2016	@ Weber State₁₆₂	L 63.90 - 78.30	L 68-85	4-12	94.73	94.22	▼ 0.51	108.87	114.73	▼ 5.86	▼ 6.37
Thu 1/14/2016	vs Montana₁₅₁	L 68.08 - 75.46	L 66-73	4-13	96.71	92.73	▼ 3.98	112.68	108.71	▲ 3.97	▼ 0.01
Sat 1/16/2016	vs Montana State₂₅₁	L 77.08 - 78.17	W 78-76	5-13	106.30	113.43	▲ 7.13	112.75	115.35	▼ 2.60	▲ 4.53
Thu 1/21/2016	@ Southern Utah₃₄₅	W 75.93 - 75.10	W 90-80	6-13	109.74	115.08	▲ 5.34	102.59	91.53	▲ 11.06	▲ 16.40
Sat 1/23/2016	@ N. Arizona₃₄₈	W 75.01 - 72.86	W 84-79	7-13	105.81	113.96	▲ 8.15	97.54	102.43	▼ 4.89	▲ 3.26
Sat 1/30/2016	vs North Dakota₂₄₉	L 73.71 - 75.05	W 71-70	8-13	97.70	93.03	▼ 4.67	104.73	97.51	▲ 7.22	▲ 2.55
Thu 2/4/2016	vs Weber State₁₆₂	L 67.85 - 74.40	L 54-64	8-14	94.73	72.08	▼ 22.65	108.87	96.86	▲ 12.01	▼ 10.64
Sat 2/6/2016	vs Idaho State₂₈₃	W 76.14 - 74.81	L 57-90	8-15	102.39	62.99	▼ 39.40	106.36	142.92	▼ 36.56	▼ 75.96
Thu 2/11/2016	@ Idaho₂₂₀	L 64.27 - 75.05	L 67-73	8-16	96.86	107.61	▲ 10.75	106.50	111.14	▼ 4.64	▲ 6.11
Sat 2/13/2016	@ E. Washington₁₉₉	L 72.73 - 85.04	L 80-97	8-17	105.69	94.09	▼ 11.60	117.20	117.08	▲ 0.12	▼ 11.48
Sat 2/20/2016	@ North Dakota₂₄₉	L 69.55 - 79.16	L 73-74	8-18	97.70	98.97	▲ 1.27	104.73	90.75	▲ 13.98	▲ 15.25
Thu 2/25/2016	vs Sacramento St.₂₈₁	W 74.96 - 73.60	W 72-67	9-18	102.86	98.49	▼ 4.37	106.25	97.28	▲ 8.97	▲ 4.60
Sat 2/27/2016	vs Portland State₂₆₉	W 78.18 - 77.91	L 86-89	9-19	102.72	110.24	▲ 7.52	108.02	117.58	▼ 9.56	▼ 2.04
Thu 3/3/2016	@ Montana State₂₅₁	L 73.06 - 82.17	L 63-81	9-20	106.30	99.58	▼ 6.72	112.75	118.05	▼ 5.30	▼ 12.02
Sat 3/5/2016	@ Montana₁₅₁	L 64.19 - 79.32	W 78-72	10-20	96.71	122.92	▲ 26.21	112.68	104.89	▲ 7.79	▲ 34.00
Tue 3/8/2016	vs Portland State₂₆₉ *	L 76.07 - 79.94	L 67-74	10-21	102.72	93.06	▼ 9.66	108.02	104.23	▲ 3.79	▼ 5.87
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Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location.
Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.

CURIOUS TRENDS:

	N. Colorado performs better against squads that allow more chances at the line. When facing teams that have a defensive free throw attempt rate vs. AO greater than 29.82, N. Colorado is more efficient than normal 91% of the time. In their other contests, the team is more efficient 39% of the time.
	When playing teams that are typically efficient on offense, N. Colorado usually performs worse than average. N. Colorado is more efficient than normal 42% of the time when facing clubs that have an offensive efficiency rating vs. AO greater than 96.72. In all other contests, N. Colorado performs better than average 90% of the time.
	N. Colorado is typically worse vs. teams that shoot the ball well from the field. Against foes that have an offensive field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 43.10%, N. Colorado performs above their norm 36% of the time. Against the remaining opposition, the team performs above average 80% of the time.

HASLAMETRICS ALL-PLAY PERCENTAGE RANKING BY DAY: Select data to plot:

HASLAMETRICS TEAM HISTORY: Select data to view:

SUMMARY	Rk	AP%	Rec (WinPct)		RQ	Conference	Pace	Con	SOS	PTF	AFH	ASR

OFFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

DEFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

SUMMARY	Rk		AP%		Rec (WinPct)		RQ		Conference		Pace		Con		SOS		PTF		AFH		ASR

OFFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox

DEFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox