Haslametrics.com

Automated Team Capsule for 2014-15 N. Colorado 14-15 (0.483) | Big Sky

All-Play Percentage: 0.251 (262^nd)	Schedule Strength: 0.383 (301^st)	Record Quality: -0.110 (228^th)	Avg. Season Rank: 232.86 (231^st)
Pace: 64.17 (268^th)	Momentum: -1.86 (267^th)	Off. Momentum: -1.42 (295^th)	Def. Momentum: -0.44 (150^th)
Consistency: -9.84 (256^th)	Res. Consistency: -8.06 (4^th)	Away From Home: -1.16 (290^th)	Paper Tiger Factor: -1.49 (229^th)

NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category.
Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement.
Includes games through April 6, 2015. Data shown on this page is based on time-independent ratings.

OFFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

104.14

28.05

65.06

85.70

44.26

27.70

36.20

27.91

36.92

30.10

58.47

11.13

16.92

7.12

32.32

32.57

35.12

1.97

RANK:

92^nd

200^th

302^nd

30^th

117^th

195^th

91^st

103^rd

99^th

176^th

184^th

85^th

121^st

231^st

138^th

157^th

130^th

DEFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

115.84

32.63

82.12

48.32

31.10

38.26

22.03

37.32

28.99

67.46

11.07

16.70

8.09

37.87

26.83

35.30

2.03

RANK:

348^th

292^nd

174^th

336^th

294^th

330^th

42^nd

244^th

198^th

345^th

140^th

277^th

287^th

297^th

37^th

195^th

108^th

ANALYSIS:
They're far from the worst of the worst, but N. Colorado should not be a terribly frightening opponent for most clubs. Carrying a record of 14-15, they are currently rated #262 overall (out of 351) in All-Play Percentage this season. Of the 12 schools in the Big Sky (average ranking 243.3), they're currently ranked as our #6 team in the conference.

N. Colorado succeeds primarily through their offense. They are ranked 92nd in offensive efficiency and score in excess of 104 points every 100 possessions vs. AO. N. Colorado has one of the better squads in the college game when it comes to maximizing opportunities to score. The team is ranked 30th in the NCAA in offensive field goal attempt rate with a rating of 85.70 vs. AO. As far as making those field goal attempts goes, the team is somewhat middle-of-the-road, converting about 44.3% of them vs. AO. If N. Colorado does have a weakness offensively, it would have to be the team's poor shooting at the line. The squad makes just 65.1% of their free throw attempts, which ranks 50th-worst in Division I.

Sadly for N. Colorado, the drop-off from offensive efficiency to defensive efficiency is massive. The team is ranked fourth from the bottom in defensive efficiency, allowing about 116 points every 100 possessions vs. AO. N. Colorado allows the opposition far too many easy shots from the floor and ranks in the bottom-25 in three of our four major defensive field goal shooting categories. AO will convert a healthy 38.3% of their three-pointers (330th in the nation), 67.5% of their near-proximity attempts (seventh from the bottom), and 48.3% of their total shots from the field (336th).

SORTABLE SCHEDULE / RESULTS:


					ADJ. OFF. EFFICIENCY			ADJ. DEF. EFFICIENCY
Date	Opponent	Should	Did	Record	Should	Did	Diff.	Should	Did	Diff.	Rating
Sun 11/16/2014	@ Wyoming₁₀₁	L 57.19 - 69.96	L 70-78	0-1	99.81	112.65	▲ 12.84	115.44	124.90	▼ 9.46	▲ 3.38
Wed 11/19/2014	@ New Mexico St.₁₀₀	L 62.60 - 76.46	L 65-86	0-2	102.12	100.90	▼ 1.22	117.85	127.80	▼ 9.95	▼ 11.17
Mon 11/24/2014	vs CO Christian	---	W 93-58	1-2	---	---	---	---	---	---	---
Fri 11/28/2014	vs Stetson₃₃₈	W 77.63 - 65.98	W 82-62	2-2	115.55	135.42	▲ 19.87	103.62	106.70	▼ 3.08	▲ 16.79
Sun 11/30/2014	vs Florida A&M₃₅₀	W 79.34 - 59.01	W 95-56	3-2	119.27	131.23	▲ 11.96	93.66	81.26	▲ 12.40	▲ 24.36
Sun 12/7/2014	@ Colorado State₆₂	L 65.47 - 83.41	L 58-66	3-3	102.75	88.47	▼ 14.28	124.13	95.43	▲ 28.70	▲ 14.42
Sat 12/13/2014	@ Colorado₉₇	L 62.54 - 76.58	L 68-93	3-4	100.60	113.69	▲ 13.09	116.44	142.64	▼ 26.20	▼ 13.11
Wed 12/17/2014	@ Omaha₂₄₈	L 77.75 - 83.28	L 82-92	3-5	110.09	119.01	▲ 8.92	112.08	128.32	▼ 16.24	▼ 7.32
Sat 12/20/2014	vs Jacksonville St.₃₁₈	W 70.87 - 63.40	W 69-60	4-5	109.16	113.93	▲ 4.77	102.98	103.65	▼ 0.67	▲ 4.10
Mon 12/22/2014	vs UC Davis₁₁₁	L 68.32 - 74.06	L 63-73	4-6	106.68	101.77	▼ 4.91	120.53	123.21	▼ 2.68	▼ 7.59
Thu 1/1/2015	@ Montana₁₅₃	L 63.39 - 73.68	L 48-66	4-7	105.52	80.75	▼ 24.77	116.18	115.55	▲ 0.63	▼ 24.14
Sat 1/3/2015	@ Montana State₃₂₀	W 70.86 - 70.00	W 62-54	5-7	111.15	113.69	▲ 2.54	104.14	93.46	▲ 10.68	▲ 13.22
Thu 1/8/2015	vs Portland State₂₇₂	W 74.41 - 70.37	W 90-85	6-7	111.45	131.93	▲ 20.48	110.86	129.37	▼ 18.51	▲ 1.97
Sat 1/10/2015	vs Sacramento St.₂₁₄	W 71.97 - 71.30	W 84-73	7-7	112.50	126.48	▲ 13.98	117.18	114.50	▲ 2.68	▲ 16.66
Sat 1/17/2015	@ North Dakota₂₉₇	L 71.09 - 72.86	W 88-78 (OT)	8-7	110.09	104.44	▼ 5.65	106.83	98.50	▲ 8.33	▲ 2.68
Thu 1/22/2015	@ E. Washington₁₁₇	L 70.56 - 84.01	L 85-95	8-8	108.34	118.91	▲ 10.57	121.70	131.81	▼ 10.11	▲ 0.46
Sat 1/24/2015	@ Idaho₂₂₅	L 73.59 - 80.24	L 79-83	8-9	113.43	126.04	▲ 12.61	117.06	127.39	▼ 10.33	▲ 2.28
Thu 1/29/2015	vs Idaho State₃₀₁	W 72.01 - 66.11	W 79-76	9-9	110.70	118.71	▲ 8.01	106.90	119.02	▼ 12.12	▼ 4.11
Sat 1/31/2015	vs Weber State₂₆₄	W 70.51 - 67.06	W 71-57	10-9	107.77	119.36	▲ 11.59	108.07	100.24	▲ 7.83	▲ 19.42
Thu 2/5/2015	@ N. Arizona₁₈₁	L 65.42 - 74.04	L 60-65	10-10	104.19	98.21	▼ 5.98	111.67	97.03	▲ 14.64	▲ 8.66
Sat 2/7/2015	@ Southern Utah₃₁₄	L 72.96 - 73.24	W 84-80	11-10	112.00	112.30	▲ 0.30	106.58	93.03	▲ 13.55	▲ 13.85
Thu 2/12/2015	vs Montana State₃₂₀	W 74.55 - 66.21	L 87-90	11-11	111.15	121.26	▲ 10.11	104.14	130.43	▼ 26.29	▼ 16.18
Sat 2/14/2015	vs Montana₁₅₃	L 66.88 - 70.01	L 81-83 (3OT)	11-12	105.52	93.28	▼ 12.24	116.18	100.55	▲ 15.63	▲ 3.39
Thu 2/19/2015	@ Sacramento St.₂₁₄	L 68.43 - 75.03	L 59-66	11-13	112.50	96.62	▼ 15.88	117.18	100.15	▲ 17.03	▲ 1.15
Sat 2/21/2015	@ Portland State₂₇₂	L 70.73 - 74.26	L 75-91	11-14	111.45	119.12	▲ 7.67	110.86	139.10	▼ 28.24	▼ 20.57
Thu 2/26/2015	vs Southern Utah₃₁₄	W 76.74 - 69.47	W 77-67	12-14	112.00	107.47	▼ 4.53	106.58	98.10	▲ 8.48	▲ 3.95
Sat 2/28/2015	vs N. Arizona₁₈₁	L 69.07 - 70.16	W 76-74	13-14	104.19	126.99	▲ 22.80	111.67	128.49	▼ 16.82	▲ 5.98
Sat 3/7/2015	vs North Dakota₂₉₇	W 74.84 - 69.03	W 72-71	14-14	110.09	110.42	▲ 0.33	106.83	113.76	▼ 6.93	▼ 6.60
Thu 3/12/2015	vs N. Arizona₁₈₁ *	L 67.24 - 72.10	L 57-63	14-15	104.19	95.00	▼ 9.19	111.67	103.28	▲ 8.39	▼ 0.80
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Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location.
Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.

CURIOUS TRENDS:

	N. Colorado is typically worse vs. teams that tend to capitalize off breakaway opportunities. Against foes that have a potential point rate off steals vs. AO greater than 10.48, N. Colorado performs above their norm 22% of the time. Against the remaining opposition, the team performs above average 74% of the time.
	When facing teams that convert more frequently off of offensive rebounds, N. Colorado often performs worse than normal. N. Colorado is more efficient than usual 40% of the time when facing teams that have an offensive second-chance conversion percentage vs. AO greater than 5.52%. In their other contests, N. Colorado performs better than the norm 77% of the time.

HASLAMETRICS ALL-PLAY PERCENTAGE RANKING BY DAY: Select data to plot:

HASLAMETRICS TEAM HISTORY: Select data to view:

SUMMARY	Rk	AP%	Rec (WinPct)		RQ	Conference	Pace	Con	SOS	PTF	AFH	ASR

OFFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

DEFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

SUMMARY	Rk		AP%		Rec (WinPct)		RQ		Conference		Pace		Con		SOS		PTF		AFH		ASR

OFFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox

DEFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox