Haslametrics.com

Automated Team Capsule for 2014-15 North Florida 23-12 (0.657) | Atlantic Sun

All-Play Percentage: 0.549 (159^th)	Schedule Strength: 0.366 (319^th)	Record Quality: 0.055 (137^th)	Avg. Season Rank: 158.35 (156^th)
Pace: 68.30 (37^th)	Momentum: -1.26 (241^st)	Off. Momentum: -1.03 (281^st)	Def. Momentum: -0.23 (140^th)
Consistency: -7.80 (35^th)	Res. Consistency: -11.27 (160^th)	Away From Home: -0.27 (201^st)	Paper Tiger Factor: -2.23 (272^nd)

NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category.
Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement.
Includes games through April 6, 2015. Data shown on this page is based on time-independent ratings.

OFFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

102.55

28.45

72.23

78.97

44.59

31.13

37.16

21.31

34.83

26.53

61.15

10.93

11.64

5.65

39.42

26.99

33.59

2.06

RANK:

121^st

186^th

79^th

300^th

105^th

60^th

52^nd

297^th

193^rd

266^th

96^th

193^rd

326^th

266^th

41^st

292^nd

217^th

287^th

DEFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

102.87

29.48

84.49

44.26

23.43

34.24

28.58

37.91

32.49

57.06

12.35

15.21

7.09

27.73

33.82

38.45

1.89

RANK:

204^th

190^th

280^th

205^th

25^th

147^th

299^th

267^th

315^th

115^th

251^st

172^nd

216^th

12^th

270^th

300^th

323^rd

ANALYSIS:
North Florida is a fairly decent basketball team that, while likely better than average, isn't quite good enough to crack any top-25 rankings this year. Haslametrics has them ranked 159th overall (out of 351) in All-Play Percentage, and the team holds a record of 23-12. Of the eight schools in the Atlantic Sun (average ranking 260.8), they're currently ranked as the best team in the conference.

If there is a strength for North Florida this year, it's probably on the offensive end of the court. The team is rated 121st in offensive efficiency, scoring more than 102 points every 100 possessions vs. AO. North Florida will make a concerted effort to fire off quite a few three-pointers each game. The team ranks 41st in ratio of three-point attempts to total field goal attempts. If you do allow them to shoot from long, they have the ability to punish you for it, too. Ranked in the top-75 in three-point shooting percentage, they make approximately 37.2% of their three-point attempts vs. AO. If North Florida does have a weakness offensively, it would have to be the team's difficulties obtaining second-chance opportunities from offensive rebounds. The squad only has a rating of 11.64 vs. AO in potential points off of second chances, which ranks 26th-worst in college hoops.

North Florida doesn't perform as well defensively as they do offensively. The team is ranked 204th in defensive efficiency, allowing about 103 points every 100 possessions vs. AO. North Florida will allow opponents more chances to shoot than the norm. The team is ranked 280th in the nation in defensive field goal attempt rate with a rating of 84.49 vs. AO.

North Florida is one of the more consistent teams in Division I (presently ranked 35th in consistency), so forecasting the outcomes of their future contests tends to be easier than the norm.

SORTABLE SCHEDULE / RESULTS:


					ADJ. OFF. EFFICIENCY			ADJ. DEF. EFFICIENCY
Date	Opponent	Should	Did	Record	Should	Did	Diff.	Should	Did	Diff.	Rating
Fri 11/14/2014	@ South Carolina₅₁	L 61.27 - 74.47	L 56-81	0-1	93.61	76.56	▼ 17.05	107.16	125.33	▼ 18.17	▼ 35.22
Mon 11/17/2014	vs Webber Int.	---	W 79-55	1-1	---	---	---	---	---	---	---
Thu 11/20/2014	@ Northwestern₁₁₉	L 63.83 - 70.39	L 67-69	1-2	101.87	106.05	▲ 4.18	106.53	101.57	▲ 4.96	▲ 9.14
Sat 11/22/2014	@ Northern Iowa₁₉	L 57.86 - 74.97	L 49-66	1-3	94.53	69.04	▼ 25.49	115.85	100.54	▲ 15.31	▼ 10.18
Tue 11/25/2014	vs Liberty₃₂₉ *	W 74.86 - 61.51	W 77-57	2-3	108.65	112.68	▲ 4.03	89.75	83.41	▲ 6.34	▲ 10.37
Wed 11/26/2014	vs Elon₂₇₀ *	W 75.89 - 68.69	W 72-65	3-3	105.79	104.42	▼ 1.37	96.47	94.27	▲ 2.20	▲ 0.83
Mon 12/1/2014	vs Edward Waters	---	W 97-65	4-3	---	---	---	---	---	---	---
Wed 12/3/2014	@ Bethune-Cookman₃₂₇	W 68.89 - 60.30	W 63-56	5-3	108.66	94.28	▼ 14.38	89.92	79.38	▲ 10.54	▼ 3.84
Sat 12/6/2014	@ Purdue₃₃	L 62.23 - 77.31	W 73-70	6-3	94.50	102.97	▲ 8.47	111.30	94.25	▲ 17.05	▲ 25.52
Mon 12/15/2014	vs Tenn. Tech₂₃₇	W 78.30 - 69.40	L 80-82	6-4	108.79	95.79	▼ 13.00	102.56	108.10	▼ 5.54	▼ 18.54
Wed 12/17/2014	@ Florida State₉₉	L 66.24 - 74.63	L 77-93	6-5	98.21	97.78	▼ 0.43	104.91	114.13	▼ 9.22	▼ 9.65
Fri 12/19/2014	@ Florida A&M₃₅₀	W 79.58 - 59.21	W 83-65	7-5	117.76	116.40	▼ 1.36	83.21	80.61	▲ 2.60	▲ 1.24
Mon 12/22/2014	@ Iowa₂₁	L 61.32 - 78.25	L 70-80	7-6	93.16	98.86	▲ 5.70	112.44	105.14	▲ 7.30	▲ 13.00
Mon 12/29/2014	@ Tenn. Tech₂₃₇	W 74.18 - 73.40	L 84-87	7-7	108.79	121.28	▲ 12.49	102.56	121.31	▼ 18.75	▼ 6.26
Wed 12/31/2014	@ Austin Peay₃₁₀	W 73.87 - 67.90	L 60-65	7-8	107.60	95.28	▼ 12.32	93.85	95.51	▼ 1.66	▼ 13.98
Fri 1/2/2015	@ Alabama₅₈	L 63.02 - 75.26	L 61-76	7-9	97.68	93.29	▼ 4.39	110.46	117.66	▼ 7.20	▼ 11.59
Tue 1/6/2015	vs Trinity Baptist	---	W 106-60	8-9	---	---	---	---	---	---	---
Sat 1/10/2015	@ Jacksonville₃₄₀	W 76.29 - 64.80	W 86-63	9-9	115.88	131.75	▲ 15.87	93.42	92.27	▲ 1.15	▲ 17.02
Wed 1/14/2015	vs FGCU₁₉₄	W 72.70 - 66.28	W 80-64	10-9	102.86	118.57	▲ 15.71	99.97	101.38	▼ 1.41	▲ 14.30
Sat 1/17/2015	@ Stetson₃₃₈	W 77.60 - 66.56	W 80-65	11-9	113.92	116.40	▲ 2.48	93.15	81.88	▲ 11.27	▲ 13.75
Thu 1/22/2015	@ N. Kentucky₂₃₄	W 70.44 - 69.81	W 74-66	12-9	108.16	111.78	▲ 3.62	101.58	95.05	▲ 6.53	▲ 10.15
Sat 1/24/2015	@ Lipscomb₃₀₀	W 77.40 - 71.94	W 75-66	13-9	111.03	122.33	▲ 11.30	98.20	100.25	▼ 2.05	▲ 9.25
Thu 1/29/2015	vs Kennesaw State₃₄₅	W 81.19 - 60.25	W 86-67	14-9	112.89	128.06	▲ 15.17	89.40	92.63	▼ 3.23	▲ 11.94
Sat 1/31/2015	vs USC Upstate₁₇₆	W 71.90 - 66.74	L 74-79	14-10	104.05	99.81	▼ 4.24	102.32	112.69	▼ 10.37	▼ 14.61
Fri 2/6/2015	vs Jacksonville₃₄₀	W 80.27 - 61.02	W 77-50	15-10	115.88	135.67	▲ 19.79	93.42	80.24	▲ 13.18	▲ 32.97
Thu 2/12/2015	@ USC Upstate₁₇₆	L 67.95 - 70.54	L 63-80	15-11	104.05	96.30	▼ 7.75	102.32	122.03	▼ 19.71	▼ 27.46
Sat 2/14/2015	@ Kennesaw State₃₄₅	W 77.07 - 64.32	W 67-51	16-11	112.89	113.50	▲ 0.61	89.40	71.57	▲ 17.83	▲ 18.44
Thu 2/19/2015	vs Lipscomb₃₀₀	W 81.60 - 67.82	W 93-78	17-11	111.03	116.77	▲ 5.74	98.20	108.53	▼ 10.33	▼ 4.59
Sat 2/21/2015	vs N. Kentucky₂₃₄	W 74.38 - 66.04	W 88-69	18-11	108.16	133.70	▲ 25.54	101.58	106.15	▼ 4.57	▲ 20.97
Wed 2/25/2015	@ FGCU₁₉₄	L 68.67 - 70.15	W 76-62	19-11	102.86	115.15	▲ 12.29	99.97	89.48	▲ 10.49	▲ 22.78
Sat 2/28/2015	vs Stetson₃₃₈	W 81.71 - 62.68	W 86-71	20-11	113.92	122.40	▲ 8.48	93.15	102.97	▼ 9.82	▼ 1.34
Tue 3/3/2015	vs Stetson₃₃₈	W 81.71 - 62.68	W 81-67	21-11	113.92	108.30	▼ 5.62	93.15	95.83	▼ 2.68	▼ 8.30
Thu 3/5/2015	vs Lipscomb₃₀₀	W 81.60 - 67.82	W 71-57	22-11	111.03	103.18	▼ 7.85	98.20	89.33	▲ 8.87	▲ 1.02
Sun 3/8/2015	vs USC Upstate₁₇₆	W 71.90 - 66.74	W 63-57	23-11	104.05	93.95	▼ 10.10	102.32	89.33	▲ 12.99	▲ 2.89
Wed 3/18/2015	vs Robert Morris₂₂₇ *	W 73.64 - 69.47	L 77-81	23-12	105.89	106.94	▲ 1.05	100.37	115.71	▼ 15.34	▼ 14.29
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Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location.
Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.

CURIOUS TRENDS:

	When playing teams that allow a greater number of field goal opportunities, North Florida usually performs better than average. North Florida is more efficient than normal 64% of the time when facing clubs that have a defensive field goal attempt rate vs. AO greater than 80.43. In all other contests, North Florida performs better than average 10% of the time.
	North Florida is typically worse vs. teams that find ways to get to the free throw line. Against foes that have an offensive free throw attempt rate vs. AO greater than 26.54, North Florida performs above their norm 33% of the time. Against the remaining opposition, the team performs above average 73% of the time.
	When facing teams that convert well from outside the arc, North Florida often performs better than normal. North Florida is more efficient than usual 59% of the time when facing teams that have an offensive three-point field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 32.05%. In their other contests, North Florida performs better than the norm 20% of the time.

HASLAMETRICS ALL-PLAY PERCENTAGE RANKING BY DAY: Select data to plot:

HASLAMETRICS TEAM HISTORY: Select data to view:

SUMMARY	Rk	AP%	Rec (WinPct)		RQ	Conference	Pace	Con	SOS	PTF	AFH	ASR

OFFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

DEFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

SUMMARY	Rk		AP%		Rec (WinPct)		RQ		Conference		Pace		Con		SOS		PTF		AFH		ASR

OFFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox

DEFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox