Haslametrics.com

Automated Team Capsule for 2016-17 Memphis 19-13 (0.594) | American

All-Play Percentage: 0.717 (100^th)	Schedule Strength: 0.567 (107^th)	Record Quality: 0.165 (85^th)	Avg. Season Rank: 84.33 (81^st)
Pace: 70.34 (168^th)	Momentum: -6.91 (348^th)	Off. Momentum: -1.58 (286^th)	Def. Momentum: -5.34 (347^th)
Consistency: -10.27 (318^th)	Res. Consistency: -12.46 (251^st)	Away From Home: -2.36 (331^st)	Paper Tiger Factor: -2.09 (275^th)

NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category.
Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement.
Includes games through April 3, 2017. Data shown on this page is based on time-independent ratings.

OFFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

105.00

31.10

67.80

83.43

45.85

24.44

30.30

25.54

36.12

33.44

64.65

12.36

15.82

7.93

29.30

30.62

40.08

1.89

RANK:

102^nd

53^rd

269^th

73^rd

88^th

326^th

334^th

108^th

186^th

22^nd

50^th

70^th

100^th

58^th

332^nd

123^rd

33^rd

15^th

DEFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

99.03

25.72

82.76

42.47

32.39

34.43

21.38

36.82

28.99

55.61

10.63

13.86

6.04

39.14

25.83

35.03

2.04

RANK:

104^th

102^nd

225^th

90^th

297^th

112^th

90^th

169^th

199^th

59^th

159^th

133^rd

109^th

288^th

67^th

182^nd

111^th

ANALYSIS:
They may not cause sleepless nights for opponents, but Memphis, as a slightly above-average team, cannot be totally ignored. Carrying a record of 19-13, they are currently rated #100 overall (out of 351) in All-Play Percentage this season. They are also ranked by this site as the #6 team (out of 11) in the AAC (average ranking 117.5).

If there is a strength for Memphis this year, it's probably on the offensive end of the court. The team is rated 102nd in offensive efficiency, scoring more than 105 points every 100 possessions vs. AO. Memphis will make a strong effort to get off as many field goals close to the basket as they can. The ball-club is 33rd in the NCAA in ratio of near-proximity attempts to total field goal attempts. If you do allow them to get to the inside, they are undoubtedly capable of making you pay. Presently rated in the top-50 in near-proximity shooting percentage, they make roughly 64.7% of their attempts from short-distance vs. AO. Memphis also acquires a fair amount of chances from the free throw line. With a free throw attempt rate of 31.10 vs. AO, they are ranked 53rd in the nation at getting to the charity stripe. Unfortunately, they don't convert a ton of their free throws and make just 67.8% of their attempts. If Memphis does have a glaring weakness offensively, it would have to be the team's ability (or lack thereof) to sink threes. The squad converts just 30.3% of their three-point attempts vs. AO, which ranks 18th-worst in the nation.

Memphis plays at roughly the same level defensively as they do offensively. The team ranks 104th nationally in defensive efficiency, allowing about 99 points every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO. Memphis has been pretty good preventing teams from hitting shots in the paint. They are ranked 59th in the country in defensive near-proximity percentage, allowing AO to make good on only 55.6% of their attempts from close-up. Memphis will also look to secure a relatively healthy number of easy scoring opportunities off of steals. They're ranked 70th in potential points off of breakaway steals vs. AO with a rating of 12.36.

Memphis has definitely not been as efficient as of late compared to earlier in the season and, consequently, the team is nationally ranked fourth from the bottom in positive momentum. Memphis has also been one of the more erratic teams in NCAA basketball this year (presently ranked 318th in the country in consistency), which makes forecasting the outcomes of their upcoming games tougher than most. On the road, Memphis performs noticeably worse than they do at home. The team is currently ranked 331st in the country in the away-from-home metric we track.

SORTABLE SCHEDULE / RESULTS:


					ADJ. OFF. EFFICIENCY			ADJ. DEF. EFFICIENCY
Date	Opponent	Should	Did	Record	Should	Did	Diff.	Should	Did	Diff.	Rating
Mon 11/14/2016	vs UT Rio Grande₃₀₀	W 88.67 - 69.79	W 94-75	1-0	113.79	109.32	▼ 4.47	93.88	85.33	▲ 8.55	▲ 4.08
Wed 11/16/2016	vs Milwaukee₂₆₄	W 72.92 - 59.88	W 68-54	2-0	109.80	113.57	▲ 3.77	94.69	96.76	▼ 2.07	▲ 1.70
Sat 11/19/2016	vs Savannah State₃₁₉	W 96.57 - 74.69	W 99-86	3-0	115.36	111.04	▼ 4.32	93.20	96.12	▼ 2.92	▼ 7.24
Tue 11/22/2016	vs McNeese₃₁₈	W 82.32 - 62.97	W 104-65	4-0	112.18	131.75	▲ 19.57	90.39	75.29	▲ 15.10	▲ 34.67
Fri 11/25/2016	vs Providence₆₃ *	L 66.86 - 71.21	L 51-60	4-1	97.00	76.81	▼ 20.19	103.49	89.86	▲ 13.63	▼ 6.56
Sat 11/26/2016	vs Iowa₆₂ *	L 74.73 - 79.46	W 100-92	5-1	102.03	125.00	▲ 22.97	108.51	113.58	▼ 5.07	▲ 17.90
Wed 11/30/2016	vs Jackson State₃₃₂	W 76.47 - 56.24	W 84-69	6-1	111.96	125.48	▲ 13.52	86.61	100.65	▼ 14.04	▼ 0.52
Sat 12/3/2016	@ Ole Miss₇₁	L 72.89 - 79.33	L 77-85	6-2	100.68	103.53	▲ 2.85	105.28	111.12	▼ 5.84	▼ 2.99
Sat 12/10/2016	vs UAB₁₇₉	W 74.21 - 65.65	W 62-55	7-2	105.70	90.32	▼ 15.38	97.76	85.55	▲ 12.21	▼ 3.17
Tue 12/13/2016	vs Monmouth₉₁	W 77.47 - 75.00	L 79-82	7-3	102.10	107.51	▲ 5.41	103.53	117.71	▼ 14.18	▼ 8.77
Sat 12/17/2016	@ Oklahoma₅₉	L 67.99 - 76.09	W 99-94 (OT)	8-3	96.58	123.95	▲ 27.37	103.53	121.31	▼ 17.78	▲ 9.59
Wed 12/21/2016	vs Incarnate Word₂₉₄	W 84.98 - 67.67	W 95-71	9-3	113.34	126.36	▲ 13.02	94.79	89.52	▲ 5.27	▲ 18.29
Tue 12/27/2016	vs SMU₁₅	L 64.39 - 74.40	L 54-58	9-4	95.63	88.11	▼ 7.52	114.80	95.76	▲ 19.04	▲ 11.52
Fri 12/30/2016	vs South Carolina₂₆	L 64.43 - 72.77	W 70-54	10-4	89.36	104.03	▲ 14.67	105.25	86.59	▲ 18.66	▲ 33.33
Thu 1/5/2017	vs UConn₈₀	W 68.61 - 67.12	W 70-61	11-4	99.34	105.48	▲ 6.14	101.42	92.98	▲ 8.44	▲ 14.58
Sun 1/8/2017	@ Tulane₂₄₃	W 78.61 - 71.55	W 80-59	12-4	110.42	109.46	▼ 0.96	96.80	71.70	▲ 25.10	▲ 24.14
Wed 1/11/2017	@ Tulsa₁₄₆	W 71.96 - 71.41	L 71-81	12-5	104.47	95.46	▼ 9.01	100.09	107.51	▼ 7.42	▼ 16.43
Sat 1/14/2017	vs USF₂₈₉	W 78.85 - 63.20	W 62-56	13-5	109.27	81.57	▼ 27.70	92.05	76.88	▲ 15.17	▼ 12.53
Thu 1/19/2017	@ Houston₄₇	L 65.64 - 75.16	W 70-67 (OT)	14-5	98.65	99.19	▲ 0.54	108.43	93.31	▲ 15.12	▲ 15.66
Sun 1/22/2017	vs UCF₆₉	L 66.39 - 66.44	W 70-65	15-5	95.21	102.26	▲ 7.05	99.51	100.70	▼ 1.19	▲ 5.86
Wed 1/25/2017	@ Temple₁₀₈	L 70.67 - 72.74	L 66-77	15-6	104.01	102.22	▼ 1.79	102.66	116.25	▼ 13.59	▼ 15.38
Sat 1/28/2017	vs ECU₁₈₀	W 71.25 - 62.59	W 57-50	16-6	99.72	80.39	▼ 19.33	91.83	74.68	▲ 17.15	▼ 2.18
Thu 2/2/2017	@ USF₂₈₉	W 75.82 - 66.14	W 85-75	17-6	109.27	122.53	▲ 13.26	92.05	91.63	▲ 0.42	▲ 13.68
Sat 2/4/2017	@ UCF₆₉	L 63.49 - 69.31	L 57-72	17-7	95.21	84.82	▼ 10.39	99.51	99.23	▲ 0.28	▼ 10.11
Tue 2/7/2017	vs Tulsa₁₄₆	W 74.96 - 68.33	W 66-44	18-7	104.47	101.12	▼ 3.35	100.09	73.40	▲ 26.69	▲ 23.34
Sun 2/12/2017	vs Temple₁₀₈	W 73.63 - 69.68	L 62-74	18-8	104.01	94.66	▼ 9.35	102.66	116.06	▼ 13.40	▼ 22.75
Thu 2/16/2017	@ UConn₈₀	L 65.72 - 70.10	L 62-65	18-9	99.34	100.63	▲ 1.29	101.42	99.35	▲ 2.07	▲ 3.36
Thu 2/23/2017	@ Cincinnati₁₆	L 59.98 - 75.32	L 74-87	18-10	92.80	116.50	▲ 23.70	111.36	133.72	▼ 22.36	▲ 1.34
Sun 2/26/2017	vs Houston₄₇	L 68.55 - 72.15	L 71-72	18-11	98.65	97.78	▼ 0.87	108.43	105.07	▲ 3.36	▲ 2.49
Thu 3/2/2017	vs Tulane₂₄₃	W 81.71 - 68.40	W 92-70	19-11	110.42	124.26	▲ 13.84	96.80	94.86	▲ 1.94	▲ 15.78
Sat 3/4/2017	@ SMU₁₅	L 61.58 - 77.27	L 62-103	19-12	95.63	67.22	▼ 28.41	114.80	155.28	▼ 40.48	▼ 68.89
Fri 3/10/2017	vs UCF₆₉ *	L 64.94 - 67.87	L 54-84	19-13	95.21	75.93	▼ 19.28	99.51	119.64	▼ 20.13	▼ 39.41
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Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location.
Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.

CURIOUS TRENDS:

	When playing teams that convert more frequently off of offensive rebounds, Memphis usually performs better than average. Memphis is more efficient than normal 68% of the time when facing clubs that have an offensive second-chance conversion percentage vs. AO greater than 6.45%. In all other contests, Memphis performs better than average 30% of the time.
	Memphis is typically worse vs. teams that allow a greater number of field goal opportunities. Against foes that have a defensive field goal attempt rate vs. AO greater than 84.65, Memphis performs above their norm 33% of the time. Against the remaining opposition, the team performs above average 70% of the time.

HASLAMETRICS ALL-PLAY PERCENTAGE RANKING BY DAY: Select data to plot:

HASLAMETRICS TEAM HISTORY: Select data to view:

SUMMARY	Rk	AP%	Rec (WinPct)		RQ	Conference	Pace	Con	SOS	PTF	AFH	ASR

OFFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

DEFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

SUMMARY	Rk		AP%		Rec (WinPct)		RQ		Conference		Pace		Con		SOS		PTF		AFH		ASR

OFFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox

DEFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox