Haslametrics.com

Automated Team Capsule for 2020-21 North Dakota St. 15-12 (0.556) | Summit League

All-Play Percentage: 0.643 (128^th)	Schedule Strength: 0.517 (156^th)	Record Quality: 0.082 (136^th)	Avg. Season Rank: 160.31 (156^th)
Pace: 66.24 (335^th)	Momentum: 1.37 (111^th)	Off. Momentum: 3.79 (11^th)	Def. Momentum: -2.42 (296^th)
Consistency: -8.61 (113^th)	Res. Consistency: -9.71 (47^th)	Away From Home: -0.05 (194^th)	Paper Tiger Factor: -1.30 (211^th)

NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category.
Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement.
Includes games through April 5, 2021. Data shown on this page is based on time-independent ratings.

OFFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

101.76

24.84

76.47

83.29

43.49

30.94

33.37

23.25

40.15

29.10

56.92

6.37

13.81

4.73

37.15

27.91

34.94

2.02

RANK:

129^th

163^rd

37^th

113^th

187^th

168^th

214^th

175^th

105^th

124^th

232^nd

353^rd

123^rd

186^th

188^th

187^th

146^th

155^th

DEFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

98.55

20.97

85.98

42.95

31.03

31.68

28.69

41.69

26.25

57.65

11.27

10.19

3.93

36.10

33.37

30.53

2.06

RANK:

142^nd

47^th

329^th

125^th

193^rd

57^th

339^th

287^th

98^th

125^th

190^th

24^th

64^th

127^th

327^th

57^th

122^nd

ANALYSIS:
Per this website's calculations, North Dakota St. is somewhere between an average to slightly above-average D1 ball-club. They are ranked #128 (out of 357) in the most recent Haslametrics ratings and have a record of 15-12. They are also ranked by this site as the #3 team (out of nine) in the Summit League (average ranking 210.1).

If there is a strength for North Dakota St. this year, it's probably on the offensive end of the court. While favoring a more deliberate, half-court style of play (the 23rd-slowest pace in D1), the team is rated 129th in offensive efficiency, scoring more than 101 points every 100 possessions vs. AO. North Dakota St. does a really good job converting from the free throw line. Making 76.5% of their attempts from the stripe, they are ranked 37th nationally in free throw percentage.

North Dakota St. plays at roughly the same level defensively as they do offensively. The team ranks 142nd nationally in defensive efficiency, allowing about 99 points every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO. North Dakota St. does a super job to deny opponents offensive rebounds and second chances. They have a rating of 10.19 vs. AO in potential points allowed off of second chances (ranked 24th in the country). North Dakota St. also does a pretty solid job avoiding careless fouls and minimizing opponents' opportunities from the free throw line. With a defensive free throw attempt rate of 20.97 vs. AO, they are currently rated 47th in the country in that category. If North Dakota St. does exhibit a noticeable weakness on the defensive end of the floor, it'd likely be the team's unwillingness to take risks in order to score fast points off of the opposition's turnovers. The squad only has a rating of 6.37 in potential points scored off of steals vs. AO, which ranks fifth-worst in the college game.

SORTABLE SCHEDULE / RESULTS:


					ADJ. OFF. EFFICIENCY			ADJ. DEF. EFFICIENCY
Date	Opponent	Should	Did	Record	Should	Did	Diff.	Should	Did	Diff.	Rating
Wed 11/25/2020	vs Nevada₁₀₆ *	L 67.87 - 70.18	L 48-62	0-1	99.84	70.33	▼ 29.51	102.39	88.89	▲ 13.50	▼ 16.01
Sat 11/28/2020	@ Nebraska₁₁₀	L 63.83 - 69.18	L 57-79	0-2	94.26	78.70	▼ 15.56	97.86	105.44	▼ 7.58	▼ 23.14
Sun 11/29/2020	@ Creighton₁₄	L 60.27 - 75.77	L 58-69	0-3	92.64	76.71	▼ 15.93	111.14	113.38	▼ 2.24	▼ 18.17
Sat 12/5/2020	@ Kansas₂₅	L 58.43 - 72.53	L 61-65	0-4	90.87	93.18	▲ 2.31	107.19	93.45	▲ 13.74	▲ 16.05
Thu 12/10/2020	vs South Dakota St.₁₀₀ *	L 70.01 - 73.48	L 75-77	0-5	102.46	108.70	▲ 6.24	107.57	111.59	▼ 4.02	▲ 2.22
Fri 12/11/2020	vs South Dakota₁₃₃ *	W 69.76 - 69.20	W 74-67	1-5	104.50	110.45	▲ 5.95	103.23	101.52	▲ 1.71	▲ 7.66
Sat 12/12/2020	vs North Dakota₂₇₃ *	W 69.07 - 60.51	W 53-52	2-5	105.24	88.33	▼ 16.91	92.69	85.25	▲ 7.44	▼ 9.47
Tue 12/22/2020	@ TCU₁₄₀	L 64.44 - 66.52	L 82-89	2-6	102.05	114.47	▲ 12.42	100.77	117.04	▼ 16.27	▼ 3.85
Sat 1/2/2021	@ W. Illinois₃₀₃	W 74.58 - 65.52	W 68-50	3-6	109.27	108.39	▼ 0.88	92.05	72.47	▲ 19.58	▲ 18.70
Sun 1/3/2021	@ W. Illinois₃₀₃	W 74.58 - 65.52	W 78-67	4-6	109.27	124.01	▲ 14.74	92.05	104.21	▼ 12.16	▲ 2.58
Fri 1/8/2021	vs Omaha₃₀₁	W 75.57 - 61.56	W 71-69	5-6	107.51	102.27	▼ 5.24	91.76	102.14	▼ 10.38	▼ 15.62
Sat 1/9/2021	vs Omaha₃₀₁	W 75.57 - 61.56	W 80-66	6-6	107.51	119.26	▲ 11.75	91.76	95.98	▼ 4.22	▲ 7.53
Fri 1/15/2021	@ North Dakota₂₇₃	W 67.66 - 61.85	W 62-45	7-6	105.24	105.77	▲ 0.53	92.69	63.32	▲ 29.37	▲ 29.90
Sat 1/16/2021	@ North Dakota₂₇₃	W 67.66 - 61.85	L 78-82 (OT)	7-7	105.24	105.21	▼ 0.03	92.69	100.94	▼ 8.25	▼ 8.28
Fri 1/22/2021	vs Denver₃₃₉	W 77.84 - 59.04	W 70-58	8-7	111.86	114.53	▲ 2.67	89.08	98.75	▼ 9.67	▼ 7.00
Sat 1/23/2021	vs Denver₃₃₉	W 77.84 - 59.04	W 84-58	9-7	111.86	121.25	▲ 9.39	89.08	68.80	▲ 20.28	▲ 29.67
Fri 1/29/2021	@ UMKC₂₀₁	W 61.13 - 59.37	W 71-67	10-7	100.78	109.71	▲ 8.93	94.05	100.94	▼ 6.89	▲ 2.04
Sat 1/30/2021	@ UMKC₂₀₁	W 61.13 - 59.37	L 47-49	10-8	100.78	82.82	▼ 17.96	94.05	83.08	▲ 10.97	▼ 6.99
Fri 2/5/2021	vs Oral Roberts₁₁₃	W 71.80 - 70.52	W 61-54	11-8	102.82	91.71	▼ 11.11	105.39	84.90	▲ 20.49	▲ 9.38
Sat 2/6/2021	vs Oral Roberts₁₁₃	W 71.80 - 70.52	L 74-80	11-9	102.82	103.58	▲ 0.76	105.39	117.25	▼ 11.86	▼ 11.10
Fri 2/19/2021	vs South Dakota St.₁₀₀	L 71.47 - 72.05	L 67-68	11-10	102.46	100.94	▼ 1.52	107.57	106.75	▲ 0.82	▼ 0.70
Sat 2/20/2021	vs South Dakota St.₁₀₀	L 71.47 - 72.05	W 84-82	12-10	102.46	114.53	▲ 12.07	107.57	119.28	▼ 11.71	▲ 0.36
Sat 2/27/2021	@ South Dakota₁₃₃	L 68.32 - 70.66	L 71-80	12-11	104.50	93.05	▼ 11.45	103.23	105.22	▼ 1.99	▼ 13.44
Sun 2/28/2021	@ South Dakota₁₃₃	L 68.32 - 70.66	W 89-77	13-11	104.50	138.20	▲ 33.70	103.23	106.20	▼ 2.97	▲ 30.73
Sun 3/7/2021	vs UMKC₂₀₁ *	W 62.46 - 58.11	W 69-65	14-11	100.78	109.16	▲ 8.38	94.05	102.83	▼ 8.78	▼ 0.40
Mon 3/8/2021	vs South Dakota₁₃₃ *	W 69.76 - 69.20	W 79-75	15-11	104.50	121.07	▲ 16.57	103.23	108.81	▼ 5.58	▲ 10.99
Tue 3/9/2021	vs Oral Roberts₁₁₃ *	L 70.34 - 72.04	L 72-75	15-12	102.82	102.86	▲ 0.04	105.39	105.63	▼ 0.24	▼ 0.20
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---
		---			---	---	---	---	---	---	---

Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location.
Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.

CURIOUS TRENDS:

	When playing teams that tend to capitalize off breakaway opportunities, North Dakota St. usually performs worse than average. North Dakota St. is more efficient than normal 32% of the time when facing clubs that have a potential point rate off steals vs. AO greater than 7.52. In all other contests, North Dakota St. performs better than average 75% of the time.
	North Dakota St. is typically better vs. teams that convert well from the charity stripe. Against foes that have an adjusted free throw percentage vs. AO greater than 0.69%, North Dakota St. performs above their norm 56% of the time. Against the remaining opposition, the team performs above average 22% of the time.

LATEST NEWS ITEMS:

	Kreuser leads N. Dakota St. past S. Dakota 79-75 in Summit (3/9/2021 12:41:18 AM) SIOUX FALLS, S.D. (AP) — Rocky Kreuser had 20 points as third-seeded North Dakota State narrowly beat second-seeded South Dakota 79-75 in the Summit League Conference Tourney semifinals on Monday night.
	Griesel carries North Dakota St. over South Dakota 89-77 (2/28/2021 7:30:48 PM) VERMILLION, S.D. (AP) — Sam Griesel scored a career-high 26 points as North Dakota State defeated South Dakota 89-77 in the regular-season finale on Sunday.
	UPDATE: Reported COVID-19 fatalities remain high, as VDH continues to process post-holiday death certificates - Fauquier Times (2/28/2021 11:29:27 AM) Fauquier County reported four new COVID-related deaths Saturday morning, for a total of 51. Those fatalities did not necessarily occur within the last few days; the data shows when the
	SD State, NDSU meet in conference play (2/20/2021 6:30:50 AM) South Dakota State (13-5, 9-3) vs. North Dakota State (11-10, 11-5)
	Scheierman leads S. Dakota St. over North Dakota St. 68-67 (2/19/2021 11:24:54 PM) FARGO, N.D. (AP) — Baylor Scheierman had 16 points, six rebounds and six assists and Charlie Easley made a 3-pointer with 17.6 seconds left as South Dakota State edged past North Dakota State 68-67 on Friday night.

HASLAMETRICS ALL-PLAY PERCENTAGE RANKING BY DAY: Select data to plot:

HASLAMETRICS TEAM HISTORY: Select data to view:

SUMMARY	Rk	AP%	Rec (WinPct)		RQ	Conference	Pace	Con	SOS	PTF	AFH	ASR

OFFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

DEFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

SUMMARY	Rk		AP%		Rec (WinPct)		RQ		Conference		Pace		Con		SOS		PTF		AFH		ASR

OFFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox

DEFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox