Haslametrics.com

Automated Team Capsule for 2022-23 Cal Poly 8-25 (0.242) | Big West

All-Play Percentage: 0.218 (285^th)	Schedule Strength: 0.461 (167^th)	Record Quality: -0.286 (323^rd)	Avg. Season Rank: 273.47 (277^th)
Pace: 65.16 (328^th)	Momentum: 3.95 (28^th)	Off. Momentum: 0.48 (184^th)	Def. Momentum: 3.46 (9^th)
Consistency: -10.64 (325^th)	Res. Consistency: -14.51 (314^th)	Away From Home: 0.38 (69^th)	Paper Tiger Factor: 0.35 (75^th)

NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category.
Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement.
Includes games through April 3, 2023. Data shown on this page is based on time-independent ratings.

OFFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

93.08

22.86

74.24

81.67

41.19

29.51

29.93

25.22

37.17

26.95

57.28

7.82

11.65

4.09

36.13

30.88

32.99

2.03

RANK:

339^th

290^th

97^th

315^th

310^th

254^th

350^th

136^th

214^th

290^th

221^st

328^th

296^th

307^th

219^th

108^th

254^th

208^th

DEFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

102.85

31.05

79.16

44.21

29.01

35.64

23.46

38.20

26.70

58.80

9.50

10.95

3.48

36.64

29.63

33.73

2.03

RANK:

178^th

349^th

20^th

190^th

98^th

273^rd

176^th

198^th

64^th

176^th

73^rd

14^th

8^th

179^th

243^rd

127^th

156^th

ANALYSIS:
Cal Poly presently has one of the below-average teams in college basketball. They have a record of 8-25 and are ranked 285th overall (out of 363) in the latest Haslametrics ratings. Of the 11 schools in the Big West (average ranking 189.9), they're currently ranked as our #9 team in the conference.

If there is a strength for Cal Poly this year, it's probably on the defensive end of the court. The team is rated 178th in defensive efficiency, allowing fewer than 103 points for every 100 possessions vs. AO. Cal Poly does a fantastic job to prevent opposing teams from capitalizing on chances from offensive rebounds. The squad allows AO to convert only 3.5% of all second-chance opportunities (ranked eighth in the NCAA), and with a rating of 10.95, they're 14th in potential points allowed off of the offensive glass as well. Cal Poly also has extremely pesky defenders that ceaselessly attempt to deny opponents ample opportunity to shoot. The club is ranked 20th in Division I in defensive field goal attempt rate with a rating of 79.16 vs. AO. If Cal Poly does exhibit a noticeable weakness on the defensive end of the floor, it'd likely be the team's tendency to send opponents to the line too much by fouling. The squad has a rating of 31.05 in defensive free throw attempt rate vs. AO, which ranks 15th-worst in the country.

Unfortunately, Cal Poly is not even remotely close to being as good on offense as they are on defense. The team is ranked 339th in offensive efficiency, scoring about 93 points every 100 possessions vs. AO. Cal Poly is one of the least accurate teams when shooting from long-distance. They are ranked 350th in three-point field goal percentage nationally and make just 29.9% of their attempts from long vs. AO. Cal Poly is also one of the more inferior teams in the college game when it comes to maximizing opportunities to score on offense. The team is nationally ranked 315th in offensive field goal attempt rate with a rating of only 81.67 vs. AO.

Cal Poly has been playing better basketball in their most recent outings, as evidenced by the team's #28 ranking in positive momentum. Cal Poly has also been one of the more erratic teams in NCAA basketball this year (presently ranked 325th in the country in consistency), which makes forecasting the outcomes of their upcoming games tougher than most.

SORTABLE SCHEDULE / RESULTS:


					ADJ. OFF. EFFICIENCY			ADJ. DEF. EFFICIENCY
Date	Opponent	Should	Did	Record	Should	Did	Diff.	Should	Did	Diff.	Rating
Mon 11/7/2022	vs Bethesda	---	W 94-59	1-0	---	---	---	---	---	---	---
Thu 11/10/2022	@ San Francisco₉₂	L 57.91 - 73.20	L 48-60	1-1	89.95	60.11	▼ 29.84	108.50	75.02	▲ 33.48	▲ 3.64
Fri 11/18/2022	@ Stanford₇₅	L 56.05 - 72.25	L 43-80	1-2	90.66	63.37	▼ 27.29	110.94	130.61	▼ 19.67	▼ 46.96
Sun 11/20/2022	vs Mt. St. Mary's₂₆₄	W 61.35 - 59.87	L 68-73	1-3	93.71	93.24	▼ 0.47	95.30	107.80	▼ 12.50	▼ 12.97
Wed 11/23/2022	vs Idaho₃₀₀	W 66.20 - 63.03	W 82-71	2-3	101.35	127.03	▲ 25.68	99.55	110.07	▼ 10.52	▲ 15.16
Mon 11/28/2022	@ Pacific₂₀₄	L 64.73 - 72.26	W 62-58	3-3	97.54	97.39	▼ 0.15	104.25	87.23	▲ 17.02	▲ 16.87
Sat 12/3/2022	vs Cal Baptist₁₆₆	L 58.59 - 61.97	W 64-53	4-3	91.45	101.22	▲ 9.77	100.13	86.13	▲ 14.00	▲ 23.77
Sat 12/10/2022	vs Portland State₂₃₉	W 68.65 - 68.29	W 72-49	5-3	96.70	102.84	▲ 6.14	100.13	76.20	▲ 23.93	▲ 30.07
Tue 12/13/2022	@ Washington₁₀₄	L 56.25 - 70.33	L 68-74	5-4	86.72	108.25	▲ 21.53	102.81	113.62	▼ 10.81	▲ 10.72
Fri 12/16/2022	vs Weber State₂₁₁	L 59.34 - 61.10	L 45-74	5-5	92.02	70.22	▼ 21.80	98.54	112.91	▼ 14.37	▼ 36.17
Tue 12/20/2022	@ San Jose State₁₀₃	L 54.25 - 66.93	L 43-65	5-6	92.15	69.93	▼ 22.22	107.74	105.40	▲ 2.34	▼ 19.88
Thu 12/22/2022	vs SD Christian	---	W 72-59	6-6	---	---	---	---	---	---	---
Thu 12/29/2022	vs CSU Northridge₃₁₉	W 63.11 - 58.25	W 67-57	7-6	97.87	111.08	▲ 13.21	93.32	97.00	▼ 3.68	▲ 9.53
Sat 12/31/2022	@ Hawaii₁₂₂	L 53.38 - 65.33	L 48-57	7-7	88.36	83.36	▼ 5.00	102.33	96.27	▲ 6.06	▲ 1.06
Thu 1/5/2023	@ CSU Bakersfield₂₉₄	L 56.44 - 58.69	L 51-61	7-8	93.06	85.27	▼ 7.79	92.31	94.82	▼ 2.51	▼ 10.30
Sat 1/7/2023	vs UCSB₁₁₁	L 59.25 - 66.96	L 57-62	7-9	92.50	88.78	▼ 3.72	107.99	100.04	▲ 7.95	▲ 4.23
Thu 1/12/2023	@ Long Beach St.₁₆₄	L 63.54 - 73.13	L 58-77	7-10	92.78	65.24	▼ 27.54	102.12	102.28	▼ 0.16	▼ 27.70
Mon 1/16/2023	@ UC Riverside₁₃₈	L 58.65 - 69.27	L 78-83 (OT)	7-11	92.74	116.12	▲ 23.38	104.79	120.13	▼ 15.34	▲ 8.04
Thu 1/19/2023	vs UC San Diego₂₅₇	W 63.49 - 62.40	L 64-71	7-12	96.60	98.00	▲ 1.40	98.66	111.23	▼ 12.57	▼ 11.17
Sat 1/21/2023	@ UC Davis₁₇₁	L 61.47 - 70.52	L 63-65	7-13	93.15	103.62	▲ 10.47	101.70	106.33	▼ 4.63	▲ 5.84
Thu 1/26/2023	vs Long Beach St.₁₆₄	L 66.41 - 70.33	L 52-70	7-14	92.78	73.00	▼ 19.78	102.12	102.00	▲ 0.12	▼ 19.66
Sat 1/28/2023	vs CSU Fullerton₁₃₉	L 57.61 - 62.87	L 36-65	7-15	88.77	63.30	▼ 25.47	100.69	115.71	▼ 15.02	▼ 40.49
Thu 2/2/2023	@ UCSB₁₁₁	L 56.67 - 69.58	L 62-68	7-16	92.50	105.34	▲ 12.84	107.99	107.67	▲ 0.32	▲ 13.16
Sat 2/4/2023	vs Hawaii₁₂₂	L 55.92 - 62.74	L 56-69	7-17	88.36	86.52	▼ 1.84	102.33	111.53	▼ 9.20	▼ 11.04
Thu 2/9/2023	@ UC Irvine₈₉	L 56.76 - 72.19	L 54-55	7-18	87.55	85.08	▼ 2.47	105.83	82.61	▲ 23.22	▲ 20.75
Sat 2/11/2023	@ CSU Northridge₃₁₉	L 60.51 - 60.87	L 53-64	7-19	97.87	86.13	▼ 11.74	93.32	99.58	▼ 6.26	▼ 18.00
Wed 2/15/2023	vs CSU Bakersfield₂₉₄	W 58.99 - 56.10	L 62-70	7-20	93.06	87.85	▼ 5.21	92.31	104.57	▼ 12.26	▼ 17.47
Sat 2/18/2023	@ CSU Fullerton₁₃₉	L 55.00 - 65.42	L 62-83	7-21	88.77	93.94	▲ 5.17	100.69	122.59	▼ 21.90	▼ 16.73
Mon 2/20/2023	vs UC Irvine₈₉	L 59.48 - 69.44	L 56-59	7-22	87.55	85.16	▼ 2.39	105.83	91.40	▲ 14.43	▲ 12.04
Sat 2/25/2023	vs UC Davis₁₇₁	L 64.24 - 67.78	L 52-58	7-23	93.15	74.47	▼ 18.68	101.70	86.06	▲ 15.64	▼ 3.04
Sat 3/4/2023	vs UC Riverside₁₃₈	L 61.31 - 66.66	L 72-73 (OT)	7-24	92.74	93.38	▲ 0.64	104.79	95.94	▲ 8.85	▲ 9.49
Tue 3/7/2023	vs Long Beach St.₁₆₄ *	L 64.98 - 71.73	W 88-68	8-24	92.78	112.64	▲ 19.86	102.12	86.96	▲ 15.16	▲ 35.02
Thu 3/9/2023	vs UCSB₁₁₁ *	L 57.96 - 68.27	L 54-64	8-25	92.50	85.38	▼ 7.12	107.99	101.59	▲ 6.40	▼ 0.72
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Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location.
Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.

CURIOUS TRENDS:

	Cal Poly does better vs. clubs that allow opponents to shoot well from the field. When playing squads that have a defensive field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 44.85%, Cal Poly performs above average 90% of the time. Against all other opponents, the team performs better than the norm 38% of the time.
	Cal Poly performs worse against squads that tend to allow more shots on the perimeter. When facing teams that have a defensive shooting proximity score vs. AO greater than 1.99, Cal Poly is more efficient than normal 31% of the time. In their other contests, the team is more efficient 80% of the time.
	When playing teams that have trouble defending the mid-range shot, Cal Poly usually performs better than average. Cal Poly is more efficient than normal 80% of the time when facing clubs that have a defensive mid-range field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 36.74%. In all other contests, Cal Poly performs better than average 31% of the time.

HASLAMETRICS ALL-PLAY PERCENTAGE RANKING BY DAY: Select data to plot:

HASLAMETRICS TEAM HISTORY: Select data to view:

SUMMARY	Rk	AP%	Rec (WinPct)		RQ	Conference	Pace	Con	SOS	PTF	AFH	ASR

OFFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

DEFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

SUMMARY	Rk		AP%		Rec (WinPct)		RQ		Conference		Pace		Con		SOS		PTF		AFH		ASR

OFFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox

DEFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox