Haslametrics.com

Automated Team Capsule for 2016-17 Cal Poly 11-20 (0.355) | Big West

All-Play Percentage: 0.177 (290^th)	Schedule Strength: 0.406 (268^th)	Record Quality: -0.293 (312^th)	Avg. Season Rank: 287.60 (292^nd)
Pace: 67.49 (306^th)	Momentum: 0.33 (156^th)	Off. Momentum: -2.15 (304^th)	Def. Momentum: 2.49 (28^th)
Consistency: -9.17 (201^st)	Res. Consistency: -14.29 (321^st)	Away From Home: 1.18 (46^th)	Paper Tiger Factor: 0.51 (60^th)

NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category.
Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement.
Includes games through April 3, 2017. Data shown on this page is based on time-independent ratings.

OFFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

97.54

23.99

70.16

85.11

40.58

35.26

32.99

24.42

33.71

25.43

57.69

7.87

13.16

5.26

41.43

28.69

29.88

2.12

RANK:

235^th

297^th

181^st

32^nd

313^th

24^th

276^th

147^th

292^nd

291^st

229^th

327^th

250^th

300^th

54^th

178^th

316^th

321^st

DEFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

109.57

30.78

81.22

47.80

25.23

39.68

27.27

39.30

28.72

63.00

9.98

14.29

7.64

31.07

33.57

35.36

1.96

RANK:

301^st

293^rd

139^th

316^th

23^rd

336^th

306^th

295^th

187^th

264^th

106^th

166^th

259^th

23^rd

321^st

187^th

290^th

ANALYSIS:
Not one of the better ball-clubs in college basketball, Cal Poly should be a fairly easy win for most capable opponents. Haslametrics has them ranked 290th overall (out of 351) in All-Play Percentage, and the team holds a record of 11-20. They are also ranked by this site as the #7 team (out of nine) in the Big West (average ranking 256.1).

Cal Poly does not provide much of a challenge on defense. They are ranked at #301 in efficiency on that end of the court and give up about 110 points for every 100 possessions vs. AO. Cal Poly does an extremely poor job to deny the opposition behind the arc. They rank 336th nationally in defensive three-point percentage, allowing AO to make 39.7% of their attempts from afar. Luckily, AO will take nowhere near as many threes as they typically would, and only 31.1% of AO's field goal attempts will come from downtown. Cal Poly is also extremely underskilled to force steals that turn into quick and easy points. They're ranked #327 in potential points off of breakaway steals with a rating of only 7.87 vs. AO.

Though they rate better on offense than they do on defense, Cal Poly still isn't one of the more capable offensive teams in college hoops. Scoring roughly 98 points for every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO, they are ranked #235 in the nation in offensive efficiency. Cal Poly has a hard time converting field goals attempts on offense. The team is rated #313 in the country in field goal percentage, making good on a meager 40.6% of their attempts vs. AO. If Cal Poly does have a strength offensively, it would have to be the team's ability to successfully get off shots each possession. The squad has a field goal attempt rate of 85.11 vs. AO, which ranks #32 in college basketball.

On the road, Cal Poly performs somewhat better than their norm, as the squad is nationally ranked 46th in our away-from-home metric.

SORTABLE SCHEDULE / RESULTS:


					ADJ. OFF. EFFICIENCY			ADJ. DEF. EFFICIENCY
Date	Opponent	Should	Did	Record	Should	Did	Diff.	Should	Did	Diff.	Rating
Fri 11/11/2016	@ Pepperdine₃₀₉	L 71.64 - 72.34	L 68-77	0-1	107.58	92.36	▼ 15.22	104.23	107.78	▼ 3.55	▼ 18.77
Sun 11/13/2016	@ Arizona State₁₂₆	L 68.42 - 81.59	L 74-96	0-2	101.18	99.36	▼ 1.82	115.75	122.07	▼ 6.32	▼ 8.14
Thu 11/17/2016	vs CS Dom. Hills	---	W 75-64	1-2	---	---	---	---	---	---	---
Sat 11/19/2016	vs Bethesda	---	W 69-52	2-2	---	---	---	---	---	---	---
Wed 11/23/2016	@ N. Illinois₂₀₆	L 62.84 - 70.59	W 68-64	3-2	97.15	102.22	▲ 5.07	103.46	90.32	▲ 13.14	▲ 18.21
Fri 11/25/2016	vs UIC₂₃₁ *	L 70.94 - 74.53	L 71-84	3-3	100.46	94.44	▼ 6.02	105.08	116.67	▼ 11.59	▼ 17.61
Sat 11/26/2016	vs Elon₁₅₈ *	L 64.07 - 72.31	L 66-72	3-4	95.69	104.55	▲ 8.86	107.48	114.06	▼ 6.58	▲ 2.28
Thu 12/1/2016	vs UTSA₂₅₅	W 67.34 - 66.34	W 59-47	4-4	97.83	84.39	▼ 13.44	100.32	70.89	▲ 29.43	▲ 15.99
Sat 12/3/2016	vs Texas A&M-CC₁₈₉	L 68.12 - 71.54	W 82-70	5-4	98.14	128.56	▲ 30.42	106.97	113.52	▼ 6.55	▲ 23.87
Sat 12/10/2016	@ Fresno State₁₁₀	L 61.15 - 75.33	L 59-73	5-5	93.03	82.57	▼ 10.46	109.44	117.43	▼ 7.99	▼ 18.45
Sat 12/17/2016	@ California₆₈	L 55.87 - 73.53	L 55-81	5-6	88.16	84.36	▼ 3.80	110.26	119.21	▼ 8.95	▼ 12.75
Tue 12/20/2016	@ Washington₁₆₇	L 68.18 - 79.01	L 61-77	5-7	99.49	91.28	▼ 8.21	110.45	108.39	▲ 2.06	▼ 6.15
Wed 12/28/2016	@ Grand Canyon₁₆₄	L 63.38 - 74.23	L 64-71	5-8	94.55	92.36	▼ 2.19	105.71	97.78	▲ 7.93	▲ 5.74
Sat 12/31/2016	@ Princeton₇₀	L 56.78 - 74.12	L 52-81	5-9	92.28	95.83	▲ 3.55	114.75	139.45	▼ 24.70	▼ 21.15
Sat 1/7/2017	@ UC Davis₂₀₈	L 63.37 - 71.09	L 64-68	5-10	95.07	99.19	▲ 4.12	102.10	97.78	▲ 4.32	▲ 8.44
Thu 1/12/2017	vs CSU Fullerton₂₆₀	W 68.43 - 67.34	L 74-87	5-11	98.55	99.26	▲ 0.71	101.18	124.27	▼ 23.09	▼ 22.38
Sat 1/14/2017	@ UCSB₃₂₄	W 65.77 - 64.60	L 53-58	5-12	104.05	91.69	▼ 12.36	97.71	97.78	▼ 0.07	▼ 12.43
Wed 1/18/2017	vs UC Irvine₁₃₅	L 62.97 - 69.13	L 48-70	5-13	93.37	68.28	▼ 25.09	106.45	103.85	▲ 2.60	▼ 22.49
Sat 1/21/2017	vs Long Beach St.₂₂₇	L 71.99 - 72.62	L 92-98 (OT)	5-14	102.84	110.00	▲ 7.16	107.58	121.39	▼ 13.81	▼ 6.65
Thu 1/26/2017	@ UC Irvine₁₃₅	L 60.11 - 71.99	W 79-66	6-14	93.37	133.79	▲ 40.42	106.45	101.23	▲ 5.22	▲ 45.64
Sat 1/28/2017	@ CSU Fullerton₂₆₀	L 65.49 - 70.27	L 71-81	6-15	98.55	102.32	▲ 3.77	101.18	112.37	▼ 11.19	▼ 7.42
Thu 2/2/2017	vs UC Davis₂₀₈	L 66.32 - 68.19	W 74-70	7-15	95.07	103.50	▲ 8.43	102.10	103.66	▼ 1.56	▲ 6.87
Sat 2/4/2017	vs UC Riverside₃₀₅	W 67.77 - 63.19	L 56-67	7-16	98.81	91.10	▼ 7.71	96.08	113.47	▼ 17.39	▼ 25.10
Thu 2/9/2017	@ Hawaii₂₇₆	L 65.20 - 68.84	L 65-74	7-17	100.74	96.15	▼ 4.59	101.38	106.61	▼ 5.23	▼ 9.82
Wed 2/15/2017	@ CSU Northridge₂₈₀	L 75.14 - 78.75	W 85-71	8-17	107.23	130.52	▲ 23.29	107.60	72.78	▲ 34.82	▲ 58.11
Sat 2/18/2017	vs Hawaii₂₇₆	W 68.08 - 65.92	L 61-82	8-18	100.74	90.92	▼ 9.82	101.38	126.99	▼ 25.61	▼ 35.43
Thu 2/23/2017	@ Long Beach St.₂₂₇	L 69.01 - 75.67	W 78-71	9-18	102.84	113.64	▲ 10.80	107.58	97.78	▲ 9.80	▲ 20.60
Sat 2/25/2017	@ UC Riverside₃₀₅	L 64.86 - 66.09	W 84-77 (OT)	10-18	98.81	104.99	▲ 6.18	96.08	102.01	▼ 5.93	▲ 0.25
Thu 3/2/2017	vs CSU Northridge₂₈₀	W 78.25 - 75.55	W 76-70	11-18	107.23	106.40	▼ 0.83	107.60	101.91	▲ 5.69	▲ 4.86
Sat 3/4/2017	vs UCSB₃₂₄	W 68.58 - 61.87	L 44-57	11-19	104.05	68.53	▼ 35.52	97.71	93.46	▲ 4.25	▼ 31.27
Thu 3/9/2017	vs UC Davis₂₀₈ *	L 64.85 - 69.64	L 55-66	11-20	95.07	78.57	▼ 16.50	102.10	92.96	▲ 9.14	▼ 7.36
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Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location.
Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.

CURIOUS TRENDS:

	Cal Poly is typically worse vs. teams that prefer the outside shot. Against foes that have an offensive shooting proximity score vs. AO greater than 1.95, Cal Poly performs above their norm 25% of the time. Against the remaining opposition, the team performs above average 78% of the time.
	When facing teams that do a nice job converting inside the paint, Cal Poly often performs worse than normal. Cal Poly is more efficient than usual 22% of the time when facing teams that have an offensive near-proximity field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 55.50%. In their other contests, Cal Poly performs better than the norm 73% of the time.
	Cal Poly does worse vs. clubs that convert well from outside the arc. When playing squads that have an offensive three-point field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 34.99%, Cal Poly performs above average 11% of the time. Against all other opponents, the team performs better than the norm 55% of the time.

HASLAMETRICS ALL-PLAY PERCENTAGE RANKING BY DAY: Select data to plot:

HASLAMETRICS TEAM HISTORY: Select data to view:

SUMMARY	Rk	AP%	Rec (WinPct)		RQ	Conference	Pace	Con	SOS	PTF	AFH	ASR

OFFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

DEFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

SUMMARY	Rk		AP%		Rec (WinPct)		RQ		Conference		Pace		Con		SOS		PTF		AFH		ASR

OFFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox

DEFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox