Haslametrics.com

Automated Team Capsule for 2023-24 UNCG 21-11 (0.656) | Southern

All-Play Percentage: 0.593 (148^th)	Schedule Strength: 0.415 (193^rd)	Record Quality: 0.133 (109^th)	Avg. Season Rank: 135.67 (129^th)
Pace: 65.73 (315^th)	Momentum: -2.40 (270^th)	Off. Momentum: 0.03 (192^nd)	Def. Momentum: -2.43 (296^th)
Consistency: -9.89 (268^th)	Res. Consistency: -14.92 (331^st)	Away From Home: 0.40 (121^st)	Paper Tiger Factor: -0.83 (152^nd)

NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category.
Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement.
Includes games through April 8, 2024. Data shown on this page is based on time-independent ratings.

OFFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

107.72

22.12

73.67

86.87

44.17

38.11

38.51

20.76

38.38

28.01

56.16

11.63

12.05

5.26

43.87

23.89

32.24

2.12

RANK:

123^rd

330^th

120^th

110^th

167^th

22^nd

11^th

242^nd

214^th

283^rd

223^rd

174^th

237^th

190^th

28^th

258^th

305^th

344^th

DEFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

106.42

28.91

84.93

42.85

34.49

35.14

22.78

37.86

27.65

56.58

10.71

14.78

5.96

40.61

26.82

32.56

2.08

RANK:

200^th

283^rd

150^th

107^th

307^th

233^rd

186^th

129^th

57^th

129^th

127^th

277^th

248^th

317^th

191^st

59^th

43^rd

ANALYSIS:
UNCG is a fairly decent basketball team that, while likely better than average, isn't quite good enough to crack any top-25 rankings this year. They have a record of 21-11 and are ranked 148th overall (out of 362) in the latest Haslametrics ratings. Of the 10 schools in the Southern (average ranking 191.6), they're currently ranked as our #3 team in the conference.

If there is a strength for UNCG this year, it's probably on the offensive end of the court. The team is rated 123rd in offensive efficiency, scoring more than 107 points every 100 possessions vs. AO. UNCG is one of the most accurate teams when shooting from long-distance. They're ranked 11th nationally in three-point field goal percentage and make about 38.5% of their attempts from there vs. AO. The team will try to shoot a fair amount of threes, too. Roughly 43.9% of their field goal attempts vs. AO are from long, giving the team a top-50 ranking in that category. If UNCG does have a weakness offensively, it would have to be the team's inability to get to the free throw line. The squad has a free throw attempt rate of only 22.12 vs. AO, which ranks 33rd-worst in the country.

UNCG doesn't perform as well defensively as they do offensively. The team is ranked 200th in defensive efficiency, allowing about 106 points every 100 possessions vs. AO. UNCG has some difficulty staying out of foul trouble, leading to an excess of free throw attempts for the opposition. With a defensive free throw attempt rate of 28.91 vs. AO, the squad is ranked #283 in the country in that category.

SORTABLE SCHEDULE / RESULTS:


					ADJ. OFF. EFFICIENCY			ADJ. DEF. EFFICIENCY
Date	Opponent	Should	Did	Record	Should	Did	Diff.	Should	Did	Diff.	Rating
Fri 11/10/2023	vs NC A&T₃₄₉	W 79.93 - 61.30	W 94-78	1-0	118.22	131.31	▲ 13.09	95.37	104.07	▼ 8.70	▲ 4.39
Tue 11/14/2023	@ Vanderbilt₁₇₄	L 67.81 - 69.07	L 70-74	1-1	108.31	108.60	▲ 0.29	105.15	107.91	▼ 2.76	▼ 2.47
Fri 11/17/2023	@ Arkansas₁₀₄	L 69.87 - 76.57	W 78-72	2-1	105.63	112.40	▲ 6.77	109.94	97.46	▲ 12.48	▲ 19.25
Fri 11/24/2023	vs UMKC₂₀₁ *	W 70.11 - 66.36	W 76-64	3-1	108.29	124.59	▲ 16.30	102.25	95.08	▲ 7.17	▲ 23.47
Sat 11/25/2023	vs Delaware₁₅₆ *	W 70.41 - 69.84	W 88-77	4-1	107.18	127.88	▲ 20.70	106.14	110.00	▼ 3.86	▲ 16.84
Sun 11/26/2023	vs UIC₁₇₉ *	W 69.70 - 67.36	W 58-57	5-1	105.25	90.63	▼ 14.62	101.93	89.06	▲ 12.87	▼ 1.75
Fri 12/1/2023	vs William Peace	---	W 88-56	6-1	---	---	---	---	---	---	---
Thu 12/7/2023	vs E. Kentucky₂₀₉	W 76.69 - 69.55	W 87-85 (OT)	7-1	111.70	109.06	▼ 2.64	105.86	115.77	▼ 9.91	▼ 12.55
Sun 12/10/2023	vs Elon₃₁₁	W 78.42 - 65.38	W 82-73	8-1	116.50	111.35	▼ 5.15	101.85	103.93	▼ 2.08	▼ 7.23
Sat 12/16/2023	@ Marshall₂₂₇	W 72.53 - 70.96	L 65-72	8-2	107.79	101.02	▼ 6.77	100.44	104.93	▼ 4.49	▼ 11.26
Tue 12/19/2023	@ High Point₁₁₁	L 72.01 - 78.32	L 63-74	8-3	110.66	100.97	▼ 9.69	114.44	111.31	▲ 3.13	▼ 6.56
Thu 12/21/2023	vs Vulynchbrg	---	W 135-57	9-3	---	---	---	---	---	---	---
Fri 12/29/2023	@ Texas₂₆	L 63.48 - 78.44	L 37-72	9-4	98.91	56.88	▼ 42.03	116.45	121.38	▼ 4.93	▼ 46.96
Wed 1/3/2024	vs Furman₁₅₁	W 74.86 - 71.48	W 79-68	10-4	109.63	117.16	▲ 7.53	109.16	104.05	▲ 5.11	▲ 12.64
Sat 1/6/2024	vs ETSU₂₀₂	W 72.09 - 65.06	W 70-54	11-4	107.94	97.46	▼ 10.48	101.20	71.19	▲ 30.01	▲ 19.53
Thu 1/11/2024	@ Samford₁₀₀	L 73.71 - 81.05	L 70-79	11-5	107.18	101.13	▼ 6.05	112.27	108.34	▲ 3.93	▼ 2.12
Sat 1/13/2024	@ Chattanooga₁₅₅	L 69.96 - 72.88	W 70-54	12-5	109.85	121.18	▲ 11.33	109.32	84.13	▲ 25.19	▲ 36.52
Wed 1/17/2024	vs The Citadel₂₆₀	W 72.99 - 63.75	W 73-67	13-5	111.09	117.14	▲ 6.05	101.72	112.37	▼ 10.65	▼ 4.60
Sat 1/20/2024	vs Wofford₂₀₇	W 73.05 - 66.27	W 82-59	14-5	111.74	126.04	▲ 14.30	105.93	90.04	▲ 15.89	▲ 30.19
Wed 1/24/2024	@ W. Carolina₁₁₆	L 66.88 - 72.50	W 85-82 (OT)	15-5	104.63	113.65	▲ 9.02	107.84	106.84	▲ 1.00	▲ 10.02
Sat 1/27/2024	vs Mercer₂₂₁	W 72.42 - 64.60	L 64-70	15-6	109.41	90.22	▼ 19.19	101.89	105.48	▼ 3.59	▼ 22.78
Wed 1/31/2024	@ VMI₃₅₆	W 81.62 - 66.09	W 85-79	16-6	115.52	115.87	▲ 0.35	89.19	100.13	▼ 10.94	▼ 10.59
Sun 2/4/2024	@ Furman₁₅₁	L 71.53 - 74.83	W 89-87	17-6	109.63	137.38	▲ 27.75	109.16	129.28	▼ 20.12	▲ 7.63
Thu 2/8/2024	vs Samford₁₀₀	L 77.21 - 77.57	L 69-78	17-7	107.18	98.93	▼ 8.25	112.27	115.58	▼ 3.31	▼ 11.56
Sat 2/10/2024	vs Chattanooga₁₅₅	W 73.22 - 69.58	L 61-89	17-8	109.85	95.42	▼ 14.43	109.32	155.60	▼ 46.28	▼ 60.71
Wed 2/14/2024	@ The Citadel₂₆₀	W 69.78 - 66.91	W 76-61	18-8	111.09	122.21	▲ 11.12	101.72	90.80	▲ 10.92	▲ 22.04
Sat 2/17/2024	@ Wofford₂₀₇	W 69.85 - 69.28	W 58-47	19-8	111.74	94.60	▼ 17.14	105.93	66.32	▲ 39.61	▲ 22.47
Wed 2/21/2024	vs W. Carolina₁₁₆	W 70.15 - 69.24	W 71-65	20-8	104.63	108.40	▲ 3.77	107.84	104.10	▲ 3.74	▲ 7.51
Sat 2/24/2024	@ Mercer₂₂₁	W 69.19 - 67.73	L 72-86	20-9	109.41	107.22	▼ 2.19	101.89	126.69	▼ 24.80	▼ 26.99
Wed 2/28/2024	vs VMI₃₅₆	W 85.22 - 62.55	W 100-58	21-9	115.52	141.91	▲ 26.39	89.19	96.98	▼ 7.79	▲ 18.60
Sat 3/2/2024	@ ETSU₂₀₂	W 68.83 - 68.23	L 65-66	21-10	107.94	107.37	▼ 0.57	101.20	103.92	▼ 2.72	▼ 3.29
Sat 3/9/2024	vs ETSU₂₀₂ *	W 70.46 - 66.64	L 62-73	21-11	107.94	91.80	▼ 16.14	101.20	116.67	▼ 15.47	▼ 31.61
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Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location.
Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.

CURIOUS TRENDS:

	When playing teams that convert well from the charity stripe, UNCG usually performs better than average. UNCG is more efficient than normal 71% of the time when facing clubs that have an adjusted free throw percentage vs. AO greater than 0.71%. In all other contests, UNCG performs better than average 25% of the time.
	UNCG is typically worse vs. teams that tend to capitalize off breakaway opportunities. Against foes that have a potential point rate off steals vs. AO greater than 11.52, UNCG performs above their norm 18% of the time. Against the remaining opposition, the team performs above average 63% of the time.
	When facing teams that are more proficient at draining the mid-range shot, UNCG often performs better than normal. UNCG is more efficient than usual 78% of the time when facing teams that have an offensive mid-range field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 40.90%. In their other contests, UNCG performs better than the norm 33% of the time.

HASLAMETRICS ALL-PLAY PERCENTAGE RANKING BY DAY: Select data to plot:

HASLAMETRICS TEAM HISTORY: Select data to view:

SUMMARY	Rk	AP%	Rec (WinPct)		RQ	Conference	Pace	Con	SOS	PTF	AFH	ASR

OFFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

DEFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

SUMMARY	Rk		AP%		Rec (WinPct)		RQ		Conference		Pace		Con		SOS		PTF		AFH		ASR

OFFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox

DEFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox