Haslametrics.com

Automated Team Capsule for 2017-18 NC Central 19-16 (0.543) | MEAC

All-Play Percentage: 0.080 (323^rd)	Schedule Strength: 0.214 (350^th)	Record Quality: -0.183 (268^th)	Avg. Season Rank: 313.96 (321^st)
Pace: 67.28 (320^th)	Momentum: 2.67 (58^th)	Off. Momentum: -2.15 (313^th)	Def. Momentum: 4.82 (4^th)
Consistency: -9.00 (171^st)	Res. Consistency: -13.25 (278^th)	Away From Home: -1.43 (278^th)	Paper Tiger Factor: 0.57 (48^th)

NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category.
Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement.
Includes games through April 2, 2018. Data shown on this page is based on time-independent ratings.

OFFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

92.59

22.21

68.91

81.95

42.47

25.40

30.22

27.00

33.11

29.55

61.55

7.61

14.93

8.93

30.99

32.95

36.06

1.95

RANK:

323^rd

312^th

279^th

176^th

250^th

320^th

343^rd

60^th

316^th

124^th

109^th

330^th

157^th

34^th

325^th

57^th

128^th

61^st

DEFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

109.38

28.31

84.55

45.45

32.96

35.94

20.77

41.58

30.82

58.24

10.49

16.80

6.42

38.99

24.56

36.45

2.03

RANK:

301^st

268^th

275^th

210^th

275^th

204^th

105^th

332^nd

253^rd

106^th

139^th

302^nd

132^nd

248^th

71^st

222^nd

159^th

ANALYSIS:
Despite having a win percentage north of .500, NC Central is definitely a below-average ball-club in college hoops this year. They have a record of 19-16 and are ranked 323rd overall (out of 351) in the latest Haslametrics ratings. They are also ranked by this site as the #6 team (out of 13) in the MEAC (average ranking 326.6). With a strength-of-schedule rating of 0.214 (which ranks second from the bottom nationally), NC Central has had one of the cushiest slates in all of college basketball.

NC Central is not one of the most productive teams on offense. Scoring fewer than 93 points for every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO, they are rated at #323 in offensive efficiency. NC Central is one of the least accurate teams when shooting from long-distance. They are ranked ninth from the bottom in three-point field goal percentage nationally and make just 30.2% of their attempts from long vs. AO. NC Central also needs improvement when it comes to draining the mid-range shot. The team is ranked 316th in field goal percentage from that distance, making only 33.1% of their mid-range attempts vs. AO. If NC Central does have a strength offensively, it would have to be the team's ability to obtain and convert second-chance opportunities from offensive rebounds. The squad has a second-chance conversion percentage of 8.9% vs. AO, which ranks 34th in the nation.

NC Central doesn't rate much better on defense than they do on offense. Allowing roughly 109 points for every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO, they are ranked #301 in the nation in defensive efficiency. NC Central performs really badly when attempting to stop opponents from making mid-range jumpers. The squad is ranked 332nd nationally in defensive mid-range field goal percentage, allowing AO to make good on 41.6% of their attempts from those in-between spots on the floor. NC Central is also extremely underskilled to force steals that turn into quick and easy points. They're ranked #330 in potential points off of breakaway steals with a rating of only 7.61 vs. AO.

SORTABLE SCHEDULE / RESULTS:


					ADJ. OFF. EFFICIENCY			ADJ. DEF. EFFICIENCY
Date	Opponent	Should	Did	Record	Should	Did	Diff.	Should	Did	Diff.	Rating
Fri 11/10/2017	@ UIC₂₀₁	L 63.80 - 75.46	L 55-65	0-1	92.76	78.03	▼ 14.73	104.56	93.32	▲ 11.24	▼ 3.49
Mon 11/13/2017	@ Evansville₁₅₆	L 55.23 - 69.06	L 55-68	0-2	87.01	81.30	▼ 5.71	103.31	102.57	▲ 0.74	▼ 4.97
Wed 11/15/2017	@ UT Martin₂₈₇	L 62.03 - 67.52	L 57-74	0-3	96.40	64.77	▼ 31.63	100.98	122.22	▼ 21.24	▼ 52.87
Fri 11/17/2017	vs Warren Wilson	---	W 101-76	1-3	---	---	---	---	---	---	---
Sun 11/19/2017	vs Southern₃₂₈	W 68.15 - 63.87	W 80-67	2-3	98.12	116.48	▲ 18.36	96.35	97.58	▼ 1.23	▲ 17.13
Wed 11/22/2017	@ Marshall₁₂₆	L 65.50 - 83.33	L 84-92	2-4	91.81	113.37	▲ 21.56	111.61	120.24	▼ 8.63	▲ 12.93
Fri 11/24/2017	@ Illinois₈₁	L 59.51 - 80.61	L 73-86	2-5	89.02	101.79	▲ 12.77	115.30	115.83	▼ 0.53	▲ 12.24
Sun 11/26/2017	@ SE Missouri St.₂₅₅	L 69.08 - 76.75	W 77-70	3-5	103.09	106.32	▲ 3.23	110.58	92.33	▲ 18.25	▲ 21.48
Thu 11/30/2017	vs Christendom College	---	W 116-38	4-5	---	---	---	---	---	---	---
Sat 12/2/2017	vs SE Missouri St.₂₅₅	L 72.05 - 73.73	L 77-86	4-6	103.09	104.67	▲ 1.58	110.58	123.40	▼ 12.82	▼ 11.24
Sat 12/9/2017	@ George Mason₂₂₇	L 63.57 - 73.07	L 65-77	4-7	95.67	92.89	▼ 2.78	105.42	111.58	▼ 6.16	▼ 8.94
Mon 12/11/2017	@ Grand Canyon₁₁₄	L 55.96 - 73.22	L 59-64	4-8	85.05	98.99	▲ 13.94	106.05	104.40	▲ 1.65	▲ 15.59
Thu 12/14/2017	vs McNeese₃₀₀	W 70.00 - 68.95	W 77-71	5-8	100.07	110.97	▲ 10.90	102.87	109.85	▼ 6.98	▲ 3.92
Sat 12/30/2017	vs St. Andrews Presbyterian	---	W 75-55	6-8	---	---	---	---	---	---	---
Wed 1/3/2018	@ Delaware State₃₅₁	W 68.67 - 60.59	W 65-62	7-8	108.36	102.27	▼ 6.09	91.99	93.12	▼ 1.13	▼ 7.22
Mon 1/8/2018	vs Norfolk State₃₁₃	W 67.83 - 65.73	W 64-63	8-8	98.13	91.85	▼ 6.28	99.66	94.92	▲ 4.74	▼ 1.54
Sat 1/13/2018	vs Coppin State₃₄₈	W 67.81 - 57.81	W 81-61	9-8	99.21	118.07	▲ 18.86	88.76	81.58	▲ 7.18	▲ 26.04
Mon 1/15/2018	vs Morgan State₃₂₇	W 69.72 - 65.64	W 77-63	10-8	100.28	110.97	▲ 10.69	98.62	93.31	▲ 5.31	▲ 16.00
Sat 1/20/2018	@ Howard₃₃₆	W 72.11 - 71.62	L 78-84 (OT)	10-9	104.65	98.37	▼ 6.28	100.22	92.60	▲ 7.62	▲ 1.34
Mon 1/22/2018	@ UMES₃₅₀	W 67.90 - 61.72	W 63-60	11-9	105.14	93.57	▼ 11.57	91.43	84.69	▲ 6.74	▼ 4.83
Sat 1/27/2018	@ NC A&T₃₂₀	L 66.62 - 69.72	L 64-70	11-10	100.18	95.02	▼ 5.16	100.50	99.18	▲ 1.32	▼ 3.84
Sat 2/3/2018	vs Delaware State₃₅₁	W 71.49 - 57.79	W 72-61	12-10	108.36	110.23	▲ 1.87	91.99	98.99	▼ 7.00	▼ 5.13
Mon 2/5/2018	vs Hampton₂₉₅	W 71.51 - 70.87	L 70-86	12-11	99.69	92.10	▼ 7.59	103.01	118.94	▼ 15.93	▼ 23.52
Sat 2/10/2018	@ Florida A&M₃₄₃	W 68.75 - 65.59	L 56-65	12-12	104.86	89.77	▼ 15.09	96.11	97.73	▼ 1.62	▼ 16.71
Mon 2/12/2018	@ Bethune-Cookman₂₉₁	L 71.92 - 77.95	L 81-99	12-13	99.06	94.21	▼ 4.85	102.67	134.83	▼ 32.16	▼ 37.01
Sat 2/17/2018	vs UMES₃₅₀	W 70.77 - 58.87	W 77-49	13-13	105.14	110.85	▲ 5.71	91.43	81.30	▲ 10.13	▲ 15.84
Mon 2/19/2018	vs Howard₃₃₆	W 75.16 - 68.54	W 83-66	14-13	104.65	127.24	▲ 22.59	100.22	105.66	▼ 5.44	▲ 17.15
Sat 2/24/2018	@ S. Carolina St.₃₄₁	W 71.91 - 69.52	L 79-102	14-14	105.15	108.94	▲ 3.79	97.53	138.05	▼ 40.52	▼ 36.73
Mon 2/26/2018	@ Savannah State₃₀₈	L 79.51 - 84.29	L 75-85	14-15	102.67	102.27	▼ 0.40	104.69	111.43	▼ 6.74	▼ 7.14
Thu 3/1/2018	vs NC A&T₃₂₀	W 69.57 - 66.70	W 70-59	15-15	100.18	96.26	▼ 3.92	100.50	85.85	▲ 14.65	▲ 10.73
Tue 3/6/2018	vs Coppin State₃₄₈ *	W 66.36 - 59.30	W 60-48	16-15	99.21	95.08	▼ 4.13	88.76	63.93	▲ 24.83	▲ 20.70
Thu 3/8/2018	vs Savannah State₃₀₈ *	L 81.22 - 82.56	W 58-56	17-15	102.67	81.69	▼ 20.98	104.69	80.00	▲ 24.69	▲ 3.71
Fri 3/9/2018	vs Morgan State₃₂₇ *	W 68.24 - 67.16	W 79-70	18-15	100.28	115.15	▲ 14.87	98.62	96.97	▲ 1.65	▲ 16.52
Sat 3/10/2018	vs Hampton₂₉₅ *	L 69.99 - 72.47	W 71-63	19-15	99.69	113.11	▲ 13.42	103.01	95.08	▲ 7.93	▲ 21.35
Wed 3/14/2018	vs Texas Southern₂₃₈ *	L 69.48 - 75.42	L 46-64	19-16	100.42	63.33	▼ 37.09	108.96	101.69	▲ 7.27	▼ 29.82
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Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location.
Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.

CURIOUS TRENDS:

When facing teams that allow more chances at the line, NC Central often performs better than normal. NC Central is more efficient than usual 73% of the time when facing teams that have a defensive free throw attempt rate vs. AO greater than 28.27. In their other contests, NC Central performs better than the norm 38% of the time.

HASLAMETRICS ALL-PLAY PERCENTAGE RANKING BY DAY: Select data to plot:

HASLAMETRICS TEAM HISTORY: Select data to view:

SUMMARY	Rk	AP%	Rec (WinPct)		RQ	Conference	Pace	Con	SOS	PTF	AFH	ASR

OFFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

DEFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

SUMMARY	Rk		AP%		Rec (WinPct)		RQ		Conference		Pace		Con		SOS		PTF		AFH		ASR

OFFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox

DEFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox