Automated Team Capsule for 2015-16 UNC Asheville22-12 (0.647) | Big South
All-Play Percentage: 0.637 (128th)
Schedule Strength: 0.411 (257th)
Record Quality: 0.076 (137th)
Avg. Season Rank: 127.76 (125th)
Pace: 72.08 (56th)
Momentum: 3.73 (27th)
Off. Momentum: 2.73 (54th)
Def. Momentum: 1.00 (81st)
Consistency: -8.54 (125th)
Res. Consistency: -9.93 (65th)
Away From Home: 1.30 (59th)
Paper Tiger Factor: -1.68 (244th)
NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category. Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement. Includes games through April 4, 2016. Data shown on this page is based on time-independent ratings.
OFFENSE
Eff
Upc
FTAR
FT%
FGAR
FGMR
FG%
3PAR
3PMR
3P%
MRAR
MRMR
MR%
NPAR
NPMR
NP%
PPSt
PPSC
SCC%
%3PA
%MRA
%NPA
Prox
RATING:
99.61
72.14
29.32
71.00
81.01
35.43
43.74
24.64
7.93
32.16
26.28
10.30
39.18
30.10
17.21
57.19
15.34
16.19
7.76
30.42
32.44
37.15
1.93
RANK:
189th
55th
144th
132nd
229th
179th
165th
299th
321st
286th
105th
58th
46th
112th
156th
219th
6th
107th
80th
296th
90th
100th
54th
DEFENSE
Eff
Upc
FTAR
FT%
FGAR
FGMR
FG%
3PAR
3PMR
3P%
MRAR
MRMR
MR%
NPAR
NPMR
NP%
PPSt
PPSC
SCC%
%3PA
%MRA
%NPA
Prox
RATING:
97.98
72.01
27.47
--
79.37
35.16
44.30
26.21
7.93
30.26
22.04
8.69
39.41
31.11
18.54
59.60
12.19
15.34
7.20
33.02
27.77
39.20
1.94
RANK:
86th
293rd
112th
--
68th
129th
186th
52nd
12th
9th
96th
183rd
314th
262nd
250th
176th
280th
193rd
210th
85th
127th
287th
295th
ANALYSIS: UNC Asheville is a fairly decent basketball team that, while likely better than average, isn't quite good enough to crack any top-25 rankings this year. Ranked 128th overall (out of 351) in our most recent ratings, they presently have a record of 22-12. They are also ranked by this site as the best team (out of 11) in the Big South (average ranking 237.3).
The primary strength for UNC Asheville is defense. The team is ranked 86th in efficiency, allowing fewer than 98 points for every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO. UNC Asheville thrives on scoring fast and easy points off of steals. They're ranked sixth in potential points off of breakaway steals vs. AO with a rating of 15.34. UNC Asheville also does an outstanding job shutting down the opposition from behind the arc. They rank ninth in the NCAA in defensive three-point percentage, allowing AO to make just 30.3% of their attempts from afar. If UNC Asheville does exhibit a weakness on the defensive end of the floor, it'd likely be the team's troubles stopping opponents from converting mid-range jumpers. AO will make good on 39.4% of their mid-range field goal attempts, and the squad ranks 38th-worst in that category because of it.
The offense for UNC Asheville, on the other hand, isn't nearly as efficient as the defense is. The team is ranked 189th in offensive efficiency, scoring about 100 points every 100 possessions vs. AO. UNC Asheville has been below-average more times than not when shooting three-pointers this year. They are ranked 286th in three-point field goal percentage nationally and make just 32.2% of their attempts from long vs. AO. If UNC Asheville does have a strength offensively, it would have to be the team's ability to successfully hit from mid-range locations on the court. The team makes 39.2% of their in-between field goal attempts vs. AO, which ranks 46th in the NCAA.
UNC Asheville has been playing better basketball in their most recent outings, as evidenced by the team's #27 ranking in positive momentum.
Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location. Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.
CURIOUS TRENDS:
UNC Asheville is typically better vs. teams that convert well from the charity stripe. Against foes that have an adjusted free throw percentage vs. AO greater than 72.09%, UNC Asheville performs above their norm 64% of the time. Against the remaining opposition, the team performs above average 29% of the time.
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