Haslametrics.com

Automated Team Capsule for 2015-16 Navy 19-14 (0.576) | Patriot League

All-Play Percentage: 0.446 (196^th)	Schedule Strength: 0.342 (322^nd)	Record Quality: -0.081 (211^th)	Avg. Season Rank: 180.43 (179^th)
Pace: 67.04 (316^th)	Momentum: -2.87 (300^th)	Off. Momentum: 0.07 (195^th)	Def. Momentum: -2.94 (305^th)
Consistency: -8.92 (176^th)	Res. Consistency: -13.10 (272^nd)	Away From Home: 3.37 (4^th)	Paper Tiger Factor: -0.98 (189^th)

NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category.
Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement.
Includes games through April 4, 2016. Data shown on this page is based on time-independent ratings.

OFFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

96.20

31.87

63.26

79.75

43.21

23.08

30.89

28.63

34.73

28.04

62.00

8.49

15.67

7.81

28.94

35.90

35.16

1.94

RANK:

259^th

53^rd

338^th

279^th

187^th

333^rd

321^st

50^th

216^th

91^st

307^th

127^th

76^th

320^th

40^th

176^th

60^th

DEFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

100.48

31.32

79.06

42.93

29.42

35.51

26.93

33.32

22.70

63.95

10.17

15.31

6.72

37.22

34.07

28.72

2.09

RANK:

134^th

268^th

62^nd

127^th

208^th

210^th

282^nd

66^th

8^th

298^th

111^th

190^th

162^nd

257^th

306^th

10^th

28^th

ANALYSIS:
Navy has a squad that most likely falls somewhere in the bottom half of NCAA Division I teams this year. They are ranked #196 (out of 351) in the most recent Haslametrics ratings and have a record of 19-14. Of the 10 schools in the Patriot League (average ranking 246.7), they're currently ranked as our #3 team in the conference.

Navy will likely call on their defense to win a majority of their games. The team is ranked 134th in defensive efficiency and allows fewer than 101 points for every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO. Navy has been doing fairly decent work to prevent opponents from getting off shots from the field. The club is ranked 62nd in Division I in defensive field goal attempt rate with a rating of 79.06 vs. AO. Navy has also been fairly decent in preventing teams from draining shots from between the three-point stripe and the low post. They're ranked 66th in Division I in defensive mid-range field goal percentage, allowing AO to make good on only 33.3% of their attempts from that distance. To capitalize on that weakness, this team will make AO shoot from mid-range locations more than they usually would. Of AO's total field goals, a large portion of them (34.1%) will be from mid-range. If Navy does exhibit a weakness on the defensive end of the floor, it'd likely be the team's unwillingness to take risks in order to score fast points off of the opposition's turnovers. The squad only has a rating of 8.49 in potential points scored off of steals vs. AO, which ranks 45th-worst in the college game.

The offense for Navy, on the other hand, isn't nearly as efficient as the defense is. The team is ranked 259th in offensive efficiency, scoring about 96 points every 100 possessions vs. AO. Navy has had serious struggles making their free throws this year. Converting just 63.3% of their attempts, the squad is ranked #338 overall in free throw percentage. Navy also won't enter the conversation if you're looking to list the best three-point shooting teams in the country. They are ranked 321st in three-point field goal percentage nationally and make just 30.9% of their attempts from long vs. AO.

When playing on the road, Navy has played their best basketball this season. The team is currently ranked fourth in the country in the away-from-home metric our site tracks.

SORTABLE SCHEDULE / RESULTS:


					ADJ. OFF. EFFICIENCY			ADJ. DEF. EFFICIENCY
Date	Opponent	Should	Did	Record	Should	Did	Diff.	Should	Did	Diff.	Rating
Fri 11/13/2015	vs Florida₃₉	L 60.23 - 69.83	L 41-59	0-1	85.98	55.70	▼ 30.28	105.23	96.02	▲ 9.21	▼ 21.07
Mon 11/16/2015	vs Charleston₁₃₇	L 58.50 - 58.54	L 58-72	0-2	88.94	83.65	▼ 5.29	94.32	112.01	▼ 17.69	▼ 22.98
Thu 11/19/2015	@ USC Upstate₃₂₀	W 69.00 - 63.75	W 67-55	1-2	106.54	114.58	▲ 8.04	93.36	87.25	▲ 6.11	▲ 14.15
Sun 11/22/2015	vs Goucher	---	W 76-47	2-2	---	---	---	---	---	---	---
Wed 11/25/2015	@ UMBC₃₁₅	W 71.89 - 66.88	W 75-54	3-2	107.91	112.44	▲ 4.53	95.66	76.45	▲ 19.21	▲ 23.74
Fri 11/27/2015	@ UNCG₂₀₄	L 63.36 - 66.33	W 70-66	4-2	98.07	98.81	▲ 0.74	96.81	86.27	▲ 10.54	▲ 11.28
Sat 11/28/2015	vs Jacksonville₂₈₉ *	W 70.93 - 64.49	W 71-65	5-2	102.99	106.06	▲ 3.07	93.97	90.63	▲ 3.34	▲ 6.41
Sun 11/29/2015	vs Fort Wayne₁₄₀ *	L 68.74 - 72.32	W 75-53	6-2	99.28	107.58	▲ 8.30	104.78	80.30	▲ 24.48	▲ 32.78
Wed 12/2/2015	@ Penn₂₇₃	W 65.13 - 63.78	W 65-59	7-2	100.21	105.58	▲ 5.37	93.21	91.17	▲ 2.04	▲ 7.41
Mon 12/7/2015	vs Oregon₁₆ *	L 58.75 - 76.07	L 47-67	7-3	88.22	74.60	▼ 13.62	113.23	101.56	▲ 11.67	▼ 1.95
Sat 12/12/2015	@ VMI₃₂₁	W 68.48 - 63.10	W 68-62	8-3	104.77	105.95	▲ 1.18	91.03	85.65	▲ 5.38	▲ 6.56
Mon 12/14/2015	vs USC Upstate₃₂₀	W 72.60 - 60.14	L 57-66	8-4	106.54	93.69	▼ 12.85	93.36	116.71	▼ 23.35	▼ 36.20
Tue 12/22/2015	vs Furman₁₈₂	W 65.16 - 62.66	W 62-49	9-4	98.08	98.72	▲ 0.64	99.89	81.25	▲ 18.64	▲ 19.28
Wed 12/30/2015	@ Bucknell₁₇₄	L 66.42 - 71.75	L 58-88	9-5	98.86	89.80	▼ 9.06	100.90	124.95	▼ 24.05	▼ 33.11
Sat 1/2/2016	vs Holy Cross₂₇₄	W 65.22 - 56.82	W 65-60	10-5	100.41	105.42	▲ 5.01	92.84	99.69	▼ 6.85	▼ 1.84
Wed 1/6/2016	@ Boston U₂₄₀	L 67.22 - 68.26	W 83-67	11-5	100.67	115.77	▲ 15.10	97.30	94.14	▲ 3.16	▲ 18.26
Sat 1/9/2016	@ Colgate₂₅₄	L 64.36 - 64.68	W 71-68 (OT)	12-5	102.40	94.98	▼ 7.42	97.82	90.63	▲ 7.19	▼ 0.23
Wed 1/13/2016	vs Loyola (MD)₂₇₀	W 70.02 - 61.88	W 60-52	13-5	102.79	84.04	▼ 18.75	96.21	77.20	▲ 19.01	▲ 0.26
Sat 1/16/2016	vs Lafayette₃₀₃	W 73.83 - 62.27	W 87-61	14-5	105.35	146.06	▲ 40.71	93.99	96.67	▼ 2.68	▲ 38.03
Wed 1/20/2016	@ Lehigh₁₈₈	L 64.16 - 68.34	W 69-64	15-5	98.93	110.73	▲ 11.80	99.23	98.67	▲ 0.56	▲ 12.36
Wed 1/27/2016	vs American₃₂₂	W 63.41 - 51.62	L 58-63	15-6	101.18	90.63	▼ 10.55	87.76	104.53	▼ 16.77	▼ 27.32
Sat 1/30/2016	@ Holy Cross₂₇₄	W 61.79 - 60.36	L 80-87 (OT)	15-7	100.41	112.44	▲ 12.03	92.84	106.61	▼ 13.77	▼ 1.74
Mon 2/1/2016	@ Army₂₄₆	L 68.89 - 69.50	W 64-50	16-7	99.46	96.86	▼ 2.60	95.03	75.21	▲ 19.82	▲ 17.22
Wed 2/3/2016	vs Boston U₂₄₀	W 70.93 - 64.40	L 72-83	16-8	100.67	95.67	▼ 5.00	97.30	118.63	▼ 21.33	▼ 26.33
Sat 2/6/2016	vs Colgate₂₅₄	W 67.86 - 61.07	L 55-58	16-9	102.40	97.08	▼ 5.32	97.82	104.67	▼ 6.85	▼ 12.17
Wed 2/10/2016	@ Loyola (MD)₂₇₀	W 66.42 - 65.65	W 71-51	17-9	102.79	118.71	▲ 15.92	96.21	70.30	▲ 25.91	▲ 41.83
Sat 2/13/2016	@ Lafayette₃₀₃	W 70.13 - 66.13	W 74-68	18-9	105.35	104.29	▼ 1.06	93.99	88.63	▲ 5.36	▲ 4.30
Wed 2/17/2016	vs Lehigh₁₈₈	W 67.77 - 64.51	L 74-77	18-10	98.93	105.91	▲ 6.98	99.23	116.15	▼ 16.92	▼ 9.94
Sat 2/20/2016	vs Army₂₄₆	W 72.74 - 65.53	L 78-80 (2OT)	18-11	99.46	85.14	▼ 14.32	95.03	90.98	▲ 4.05	▼ 10.27
Wed 2/24/2016	@ American₃₂₂	W 60.09 - 55.06	L 65-72	18-12	101.18	98.51	▼ 2.67	87.76	104.55	▼ 16.79	▼ 19.46
Sat 2/27/2016	vs Bucknell₁₇₄	W 70.16 - 67.85	L 73-77	18-13	98.86	101.37	▲ 2.51	100.90	111.37	▼ 10.47	▼ 7.96
Tue 3/1/2016	vs Lafayette₃₀₃	W 73.83 - 62.27	W 78-70	19-13	105.35	106.94	▲ 1.59	93.99	101.51	▼ 7.52	▼ 5.93
Thu 3/3/2016	@ Lehigh₁₈₈	L 64.16 - 68.34	L 63-65	19-14	98.93	102.92	▲ 3.99	99.23	97.08	▲ 2.15	▲ 6.14
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Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location.
Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.

CURIOUS TRENDS:

	Navy performs better against squads that do not defend well on the perimeter. When facing teams that have a defensive three-point field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 35.18%, Navy is more efficient than normal 65% of the time. In their other contests, the team is more efficient 17% of the time.
	When playing teams that favor a faster tempo, Navy usually performs better than average. Navy is more efficient than normal 59% of the time when facing clubs that have a pace vs. AO greater than 69.08. In all other contests, Navy performs better than average 20% of the time.
	Navy is typically better vs. teams that allow a greater number of field goal opportunities. Against foes that have a defensive field goal attempt rate vs. AO greater than 82.45, Navy performs above their norm 65% of the time. Against the remaining opposition, the team performs above average 27% of the time.

HASLAMETRICS ALL-PLAY PERCENTAGE RANKING BY DAY: Select data to plot:

HASLAMETRICS TEAM HISTORY: Select data to view:

SUMMARY	Rk	AP%	Rec (WinPct)		RQ	Conference	Pace	Con	SOS	PTF	AFH	ASR

OFFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

DEFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

SUMMARY	Rk		AP%		Rec (WinPct)		RQ		Conference		Pace		Con		SOS		PTF		AFH		ASR

OFFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox

DEFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox