Automated Team Capsule for 2023-24 Morgan State11-20 (0.355) | MEAC
All-Play Percentage: 0.044 (346th)
Schedule Strength: 0.305 (312th)
Record Quality: -0.357 (331st)
Avg. Season Rank: 342.46 (347th)
Pace: 70.98 (31st)
Momentum: 0.98 (126th)
Off. Momentum: 1.46 (105th)
Def. Momentum: -0.48 (180th)
Consistency: -7.95 (36th)
Res. Consistency: -11.22 (114th)
Away From Home: -1.23 (289th)
Paper Tiger Factor: -2.27 (282nd)
NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category. Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement. Includes games through April 8, 2024. Data shown on this page is based on time-independent ratings.
OFFENSE
Eff
Upc
FTAR
FT%
FGAR
FGMR
FG%
3PAR
3PMR
3P%
MRAR
MRMR
MR%
NPAR
NPMR
NP%
PPSt
PPSC
SCC%
%3PA
%MRA
%NPA
Prox
RATING:
94.93
70.81
23.37
75.17
83.89
35.44
42.25
22.10
6.48
29.32
29.14
11.26
38.64
32.65
17.70
54.22
11.48
13.92
6.39
26.34
34.74
38.92
1.87
RANK:
330th
34th
296th
62nd
260th
285th
276th
357th
359th
351st
42nd
44th
197th
115th
190th
284th
181st
153rd
90th
357th
33rd
87th
10th
DEFENSE
Eff
Upc
FTAR
FT%
FGAR
FGMR
FG%
3PAR
3PMR
3P%
MRAR
MRMR
MR%
NPAR
NPMR
NP%
PPSt
PPSC
SCC%
%3PA
%MRA
%NPA
Prox
RATING:
114.31
71.16
32.59
--
85.51
40.46
47.32
30.24
10.93
36.16
17.92
7.37
41.15
37.36
22.16
59.32
13.27
18.23
7.94
35.36
20.95
43.68
1.92
RANK:
347th
335th
346th
--
179th
318th
333rd
113th
198th
299th
10th
37th
279th
352nd
355th
237th
301st
362nd
357th
103rd
8th
358th
341st
ANALYSIS: If you're looking for a squad in the bottom quartile of all Division I basketball teams this year, Morgan State likely fits the bill. Ranked 346th overall (out of 362) in our most recent ratings, they presently have a record of 11-20. They are also ranked by this site as the #6 team (out of eight) in the MEAC (average ranking 308.3).
Morgan State has a very sieve-like defense that gives up points way too easily. The team is ranked 347th in efficiency on that end of the court and gives up more than 114 points every 100 possessions vs. AO. Morgan State gives up far too many offensive rebounds and second chances to their opponents. The club has a rating of 18.23 vs. AO in potential points allowed off of second chances (last nationally), and they let AO convert a healthy 7.9% of all second-chance opportunities (ranked sixth from the bottom) as well. Morgan State also fouls far too much and sends the opposition to the line way too often. With a defensive free throw attempt rate of 32.59 vs. AO, the squad is ranked #346 in the country in that category.
Morgan State doesn't rate much better on offense than they do on defense. Scoring roughly 95 points for every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO, they are ranked #330 in the nation in offensive efficiency. Morgan State is one of the least accurate teams when shooting from long-distance. They are ranked 351st in three-point field goal percentage nationally and make just 29.3% of their attempts from long vs. AO.
Morgan State is one of the more consistent teams in Division I (presently ranked 36th in consistency), so forecasting the outcomes of their future contests tends to be easier than the norm.
Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location. Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.
CURIOUS TRENDS:
Morgan State does worse vs. clubs that tend to allow more shots on the perimeter. When playing squads that have a defensive shooting proximity score vs. AO greater than 2.03, Morgan State performs above average 25% of the time. Against all other opponents, the team performs better than the norm 81% of the time.
Morgan State performs better against squads that aren't terribly skilled defensively. When facing teams that have a defensive efficiency rating vs. AO greater than 108.14, Morgan State is more efficient than normal 74% of the time. In their other contests, the team is more efficient 22% of the time.
When playing teams that tend to capitalize off breakaway opportunities, Morgan State usually performs worse than average. Morgan State is more efficient than normal 39% of the time when facing clubs that have a potential point rate off steals vs. AO greater than 10.92. In all other contests, Morgan State performs better than average 90% of the time.
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