Haslametrics.com

Automated Team Capsule for 2016-17 Morehead State 14-16 (0.467) | Ohio Valley

All-Play Percentage: 0.420 (204^th)	Schedule Strength: 0.510 (147^th)	Record Quality: -0.071 (211^th)	Avg. Season Rank: 212.44 (210^th)
Pace: 70.25 (177^th)	Momentum: -4.23 (324^th)	Off. Momentum: -4.42 (347^th)	Def. Momentum: 0.19 (116^th)
Consistency: -7.60 (32^nd)	Res. Consistency: -8.28 (18^th)	Away From Home: -1.30 (280^th)	Paper Tiger Factor: -2.49 (295^th)

NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category.
Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement.
Includes games through April 3, 2017. Data shown on this page is based on time-independent ratings.

OFFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

103.22

23.21

72.91

86.19

44.24

26.80

37.44

31.25

37.35

28.14

58.37

10.89

16.96

6.59

31.09

36.25

32.65

1.98

RANK:

132^nd

319^th

95^th

16^th

160^th

259^th

62^nd

15^th

127^th

195^th

200^th

159^th

47^th

168^th

306^th

32^nd

255^th

122^nd

DEFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

107.63

31.21

78.79

47.03

28.72

40.48

19.62

37.82

30.46

59.13

10.05

13.08

6.48

36.45

24.90

38.66

1.98

RANK:

278^th

305^th

53^rd

286^th

141^st

344^th

30^th

220^th

256^th

145^th

116^th

73^rd

149^th

186^th

42^nd

294^th

255^th

ANALYSIS:
They're far from the worst of the worst, but Morehead State should not be a terribly frightening opponent for most clubs. Their record this season is 14-16, and the club is ranked 204th overall (out of 351) in Haslametrics' most recent ratings. Of the 12 schools in the OVC (average ranking 212.4), they're currently ranked as our #6 team in the conference.

Based on the data, Morehead State will likely find more success on offense than on defense. Scoring about 103 points for every 100 possessions vs. AO, they currently occupy the #132 slot in the rankings for offensive efficiency. Morehead State is one of the very best when it comes to maximizing field goal opportunities. The team is ranked 16th in the NCAA in offensive field goal attempt rate with a rating of 86.19 vs. AO. As far as making those field goal attempts goes, the team is somewhat middle-of-the-road, converting about 44.2% of them vs. AO. Morehead State also favors the mid-range jumper over any of the others. The club is ranked 32nd in ratio of mid-range attempts to total field goal attempts. As far as converting those mid-range shots goes, the team shoots a mediocre 37.3% vs. AO. If Morehead State does have a weakness offensively, it would have to be the team's inability to get to the free throw line. The squad has a free throw attempt rate of only 23.21 vs. AO, which ranks 33rd-worst in the country.

The defense for Morehead State, on the other hand, isn't nearly as efficient as the offense is. The team is ranked 278th in defensive efficiency, allowing about 108 points every 100 possessions vs. AO. Morehead State does an extremely poor job to deny the opposition behind the arc. They rank eighth from the bottom nationally in defensive three-point percentage, allowing AO to make 40.5% of their attempts from afar. Morehead State also commits too many fouls, which leads to plentiful free throw attempts for the opposition. With a defensive free throw attempt rate of 31.21 vs. AO, the squad is ranked #305 in the country in that category.

Morehead State has recently performed below their norm from an efficiency standpoint. The team is currently ranked 324th in the country in positive momentum. Morehead State is also one of the more consistent teams in Division I (presently ranked 32nd in consistency), so forecasting the outcomes of their future contests tends to be easier than the norm.

SORTABLE SCHEDULE / RESULTS:


					ADJ. OFF. EFFICIENCY			ADJ. DEF. EFFICIENCY
Date	Opponent	Should	Did	Record	Should	Did	Diff.	Should	Did	Diff.	Rating
Fri 11/11/2016	vs KY Christian	---	W 106-41	1-0	---	---	---	---	---	---	---
Sun 11/13/2016	vs Lipscomb₁₇₁	W 81.66 - 80.85	W 89-75	2-0	105.33	112.26	▲ 6.93	108.37	100.90	▲ 7.47	▲ 14.40
Wed 11/16/2016	@ Marshall₁₆₁	L 83.31 - 90.20	L 77-85	2-1	109.16	100.79	▼ 8.37	113.34	106.97	▲ 6.37	▼ 2.00
Sat 11/19/2016	@ Evansville₁₄₈	L 69.07 - 75.72	L 56-69	2-2	102.21	95.55	▼ 6.66	106.69	112.78	▼ 6.09	▼ 12.75
Fri 11/25/2016	@ Pittsburgh₇₄	L 67.64 - 80.39	L 63-76	2-3	102.04	102.22	▲ 0.18	116.11	127.61	▼ 11.50	▼ 11.32
Wed 11/30/2016	vs N. Kentucky₁₄₃	L 74.34 - 75.19	L 79-84	2-4	103.79	106.00	▲ 2.21	109.44	118.88	▼ 9.44	▼ 7.23
Sat 12/3/2016	@ Purdue₁₂	L 62.99 - 88.48	L 56-90	2-5	91.86	84.22	▼ 7.64	122.66	139.78	▼ 17.12	▼ 24.76
Sat 12/10/2016	@ Lipscomb₁₇₁	L 78.32 - 84.19	L 84-98	2-6	105.33	108.71	▲ 3.38	108.37	118.04	▼ 9.67	▼ 6.29
Tue 12/13/2016	@ E. Washington₁₈₈	L 73.21 - 77.71	L 86-88	2-7	109.03	110.67	▲ 1.64	110.58	103.26	▲ 7.32	▲ 8.96
Sat 12/17/2016	vs ETSU₇₃	L 70.77 - 77.86	L 68-78	2-8	96.68	92.23	▼ 4.45	110.17	109.06	▲ 1.11	▼ 3.34
Mon 12/19/2016	vs Cent. Arkansas₃₁₀	W 85.69 - 74.57	W 111-85	3-8	113.98	134.40	▲ 20.42	103.67	105.07	▼ 1.40	▲ 19.02
Thu 12/22/2016	@ Miss. State₉₂	L 68.07 - 79.39	L 76-85	3-9	98.38	113.98	▲ 15.60	109.49	122.78	▼ 13.29	▲ 2.31
Wed 12/28/2016	vs Asbury	---	W 120-77	4-9	---	---	---	---	---	---	---
Sat 12/31/2016	@ UT Martin₂₂₄	L 75.51 - 77.15	L 77-81	4-10	107.82	100.72	▼ 7.10	105.15	96.29	▲ 8.86	▲ 1.76
Thu 1/5/2017	vs E. Illinois₂₀₂	W 74.13 - 71.14	W 85-75	5-10	102.50	111.67	▲ 9.17	102.42	98.05	▲ 4.37	▲ 13.54
Sat 1/7/2017	vs SIUE₃₂₂	W 78.81 - 66.56	W 73-65	6-10	109.63	96.40	▼ 13.23	96.64	85.55	▲ 11.09	▼ 2.14
Thu 1/12/2017	vs Belmont₈₆	L 72.69 - 78.54	L 78-84	6-11	101.98	112.49	▲ 10.51	114.45	122.22	▼ 7.77	▲ 2.74
Sat 1/14/2017	vs Tennessee St.₁₃₃	L 69.91 - 70.98	W 87-85	7-11	98.48	118.62	▲ 20.14	103.64	118.65	▼ 15.01	▲ 5.13
Thu 1/19/2017	@ Austin Peay₂₉₆	W 81.77 - 78.38	W 89-82	8-11	116.74	117.80	▲ 1.06	107.47	102.91	▲ 4.56	▲ 5.62
Sat 1/21/2017	vs E. Kentucky₂₃₆	W 74.77 - 69.65	W 80-54	9-11	104.27	113.91	▲ 9.64	101.34	86.09	▲ 15.25	▲ 24.89
Thu 1/26/2017	@ Tenn. Tech₂₅₃	L 73.21 - 73.24	L 73-76	9-12	105.93	102.22	▼ 3.71	100.93	99.12	▲ 1.81	▼ 1.90
Sat 1/28/2017	@ Jacksonville St.₁₇₀	L 68.17 - 73.52	W 72-69	10-12	103.43	103.62	▲ 0.19	106.62	97.78	▲ 8.84	▲ 9.03
Sat 2/4/2017	@ SE Missouri St.₂₂₉	L 74.72 - 76.17	W 89-81	11-12	107.79	127.57	▲ 19.78	105.37	110.28	▼ 4.91	▲ 14.87
Wed 2/8/2017	vs Murray State₁₉₄	W 78.21 - 76.15	W 101-100 (OT)	12-12	107.68	114.45	▲ 6.77	108.13	117.28	▼ 9.15	▼ 2.38
Sat 2/11/2017	@ E. Kentucky₂₃₆	L 71.67 - 72.71	W 67-62	13-12	104.27	99.32	▼ 4.95	101.34	87.64	▲ 13.70	▲ 8.75
Thu 2/16/2017	@ Tennessee St.₁₃₃	L 66.85 - 74.01	L 52-64	13-13	98.48	68.88	▼ 29.60	103.64	90.09	▲ 13.55	▼ 16.05
Sat 2/18/2017	@ Belmont₈₆	L 69.61 - 81.77	L 73-89	13-14	101.98	95.66	▼ 6.32	114.45	128.93	▼ 14.48	▼ 20.80
Thu 2/23/2017	vs Tenn. Tech₂₅₃	W 76.33 - 70.15	W 73-68	14-14	105.93	102.14	▼ 3.79	100.93	99.08	▲ 1.85	▼ 1.94
Sat 2/25/2017	vs Jacksonville St.₁₇₀	W 71.15 - 70.54	L 61-70	14-15	103.43	91.63	▼ 11.80	106.62	109.91	▼ 3.29	▼ 15.09
Thu 3/2/2017	vs Murray State₁₉₄ *	L 76.63 - 77.74	L 69-75	14-16	107.68	97.18	▼ 10.50	108.13	105.63	▲ 2.50	▼ 8.00
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Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location.
Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.

CURIOUS TRENDS:

	Morehead State is typically worse vs. teams that find ways to get to the free throw line. Against foes that have an offensive free throw attempt rate vs. AO greater than 27.04, Morehead State performs above their norm 21% of the time. Against the remaining opposition, the team performs above average 71% of the time.
	When facing teams that do not defend well on the perimeter, Morehead State often performs better than normal. Morehead State is more efficient than usual 69% of the time when facing teams that have a defensive three-point field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 35.94%. In their other contests, Morehead State performs better than the norm 27% of the time.
	Morehead State does better vs. clubs that are likely to allow more second chances off of offensive rebounds. When playing squads that have a defensive second-chance potential point rate vs. AO greater than 15.86, Morehead State performs above average 75% of the time. Against all other opponents, the team performs better than the norm 35% of the time.

HASLAMETRICS ALL-PLAY PERCENTAGE RANKING BY DAY: Select data to plot:

HASLAMETRICS TEAM HISTORY: Select data to view:

SUMMARY	Rk	AP%	Rec (WinPct)		RQ	Conference	Pace	Con	SOS	PTF	AFH	ASR

OFFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

DEFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

SUMMARY	Rk		AP%		Rec (WinPct)		RQ		Conference		Pace		Con		SOS		PTF		AFH		ASR

OFFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox

DEFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox