Haslametrics.com

Automated Team Capsule for 2020-21 Mid Tennessee 5-18 (0.217) | Conference USA

All-Play Percentage: 0.149 (304^th)	Schedule Strength: 0.526 (144^th)	Record Quality: -0.307 (320^th)	Avg. Season Rank: 264.75 (271^st)
Pace: 69.90 (169^th)	Momentum: -1.85 (257^th)	Off. Momentum: 0.25 (185^th)	Def. Momentum: -2.10 (276^th)
Consistency: -11.15 (326^th)	Res. Consistency: -9.08 (30^th)	Away From Home: -1.35 (288^th)	Paper Tiger Factor: -0.11 (122^nd)

NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category.
Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement.
Includes games through April 5, 2021. Data shown on this page is based on time-independent ratings.

OFFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

89.51

21.60

67.97

83.02

38.94

32.71

31.07

22.44

31.24

27.87

54.39

12.43

11.89

3.57

39.40

27.03

33.57

2.06

RANK:

329^th

299^th

277^th

126^th

344^th

118^th

300^th

201^st

347^th

187^th

290^th

98^th

226^th

305^th

124^th

212^th

198^th

232^nd

DEFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

102.16

24.12

79.89

47.46

28.27

33.50

19.95

36.39

31.66

66.90

11.37

9.72

5.17

35.39

24.97

39.63

1.96

RANK:

215^th

153^rd

70^th

326^th

78^th

159^th

48^th

113^th

314^th

351^st

197^th

10^th

208^th

95^th

58^th

331^st

322^nd

ANALYSIS:
Mid Tennessee is not one of the better teams in Division I this year. Their record this season is 5-18, and the club is ranked 304th overall (out of 357) in Haslametrics' most recent ratings. They are also ranked by this site as the worst team (out of 14) in Conference USA (average ranking 168.8).

Mid Tennessee is not one of the most productive teams on offense. Scoring fewer than 90 points for every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO, they are rated at #329 in offensive efficiency. Mid Tennessee is downright rotten when shooting the mid-range jumper. The team is ranked 347th in field goal percentage from that distance, making only 31.2% of their mid-range attempts vs. AO. Exacerbating the situation, they find themselves in the bottom-25 in overall offensive field goal percentage, converting only 38.9% of all their attempts from the floor vs. AO.

Even though the team ranks considerably higher in defensive efficiency, Mid Tennessee isn't a powerhouse on that end of the floor either. Allowing roughly 102 points for every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO, they are ranked #215 in the nation in defensive efficiency. Mid Tennessee fares terribly when attempting to stop opponents from converting from the inside. The team is ranked seventh from the bottom in the country in defensive near-proximity percentage, allowing AO to make good on 66.9% of their attempts from close-up. And with such little resistance, AO will merrily cut, slash, and drive right to the hoop as often as possible. Of AO's total field goals, a big portion of them (39.6%) will be from short-distance. Mid Tennessee also allows opponents' field goal percentages to get far too high. The ball-club ranks #326 nationally in field goal percentage allowed, as AO will convert approximately 47.5% of their total attempts from the floor. If Mid Tennessee does have a bright spot on defense, it would have to be their success stopping opponents from earning second-chance opportunities via offensive boards. The team has a rating of 9.72 in potential points allowed off of second chances vs. AO, which ranks tenth-best in college hoops.

Mid Tennessee has been one of the more erratic teams in NCAA basketball this year (presently ranked 326th in the country in consistency), which makes forecasting the outcomes of their upcoming games tougher than most.

SORTABLE SCHEDULE / RESULTS:


					ADJ. OFF. EFFICIENCY			ADJ. DEF. EFFICIENCY
Date	Opponent	Should	Did	Record	Should	Did	Diff.	Should	Did	Diff.	Rating
Thu 11/26/2020	vs Omaha₃₀₁ *	L 68.88 - 69.35	L 59-60	0-1	95.25	76.62	▼ 18.63	95.59	77.42	▲ 18.17	▼ 0.46
Fri 11/27/2020	vs ETSU₁₃₄ *	L 58.49 - 69.69	L 43-57	0-2	87.70	54.61	▼ 33.09	103.52	69.74	▲ 33.78	▲ 0.69
Wed 12/2/2020	vs Murray State₁₇₄	L 62.86 - 68.84	W 78-61	1-2	90.51	105.80	▲ 15.29	102.75	85.53	▲ 17.22	▲ 32.51
Mon 12/7/2020	vs Chattanooga₁₅₀	L 61.68 - 68.77	L 70-80	1-3	89.78	89.21	▼ 0.57	103.38	111.35	▼ 7.97	▼ 8.54
Sat 12/12/2020	vs Covenant	---	W 76-57	2-3	---	---	---	---	---	---	---
Wed 12/16/2020	vs Ole Miss₅₄	L 54.60 - 70.46	L 51-70	2-4	79.64	64.02	▼ 15.62	106.23	97.66	▲ 8.57	▼ 7.05
Fri 1/8/2021	vs FIU₂₉₃	W 69.49 - 67.58	L 55-68	2-5	95.60	83.47	▼ 12.13	95.92	105.17	▼ 9.25	▼ 21.38
Sat 1/9/2021	vs FIU₂₉₃	W 69.49 - 67.58	W 67-56	3-5	95.60	89.64	▼ 5.96	95.92	75.86	▲ 20.06	▲ 14.10
Fri 1/15/2021	@ Southern Miss₂₅₄	L 60.17 - 66.93	L 54-84	3-6	90.09	72.51	▼ 17.58	94.70	121.94	▼ 27.24	▼ 44.82
Sat 1/16/2021	@ Southern Miss₂₅₄	L 60.17 - 66.93	L 59-64	3-7	90.09	79.77	▼ 10.32	94.70	83.20	▲ 11.50	▲ 1.18
Sat 1/23/2021	vs W. Kentucky₉₅	L 60.20 - 72.62	L 67-82	3-8	85.35	91.04	▲ 5.69	106.27	124.97	▼ 18.70	▼ 13.01
Sun 1/24/2021	vs W. Kentucky₉₅	L 60.20 - 72.62	L 52-68	3-9	85.35	75.99	▼ 9.36	106.27	97.30	▲ 8.97	▼ 0.39
Thu 1/28/2021	vs UAB₁₀₁	L 58.52 - 70.60	L 59-70	3-10	83.50	86.40	▲ 2.90	103.73	106.68	▼ 2.95	▼ 0.05
Sun 1/31/2021	@ UAB₁₀₁	L 55.75 - 73.46	L 52-63	3-11	83.50	81.50	▼ 2.00	103.73	94.69	▲ 9.04	▲ 7.04
Fri 2/5/2021	vs Charlotte₂₅₂	L 60.75 - 61.77	W 66-65	4-11	90.50	102.62	▲ 12.12	95.20	105.31	▼ 10.11	▲ 2.01
Sat 2/6/2021	vs Charlotte₂₅₂	L 60.75 - 61.77	W 73-60	5-11	90.50	123.53	▲ 33.03	95.20	105.59	▼ 10.39	▲ 22.64
Fri 2/12/2021	@ Marshall₉₄	L 63.40 - 83.01	L 79-107	5-12	88.23	104.99	▲ 16.76	110.03	129.29	▼ 19.26	▼ 2.50
Sat 2/13/2021	@ Marshall₉₄	L 63.40 - 83.01	L 85-96	5-13	88.23	108.99	▲ 20.76	110.03	125.64	▼ 15.61	▲ 5.15
Fri 2/26/2021	@ Old Dominion₁₆₇	L 59.88 - 71.86	L 61-67	5-14	89.09	93.18	▲ 4.09	101.27	96.03	▲ 5.24	▲ 9.33
Sat 2/27/2021	@ Old Dominion₁₆₇	L 59.88 - 71.86	L 60-73	5-15	89.09	83.39	▼ 5.70	101.27	110.56	▼ 9.29	▼ 14.99
Thu 3/4/2021	@ FAU₁₈₂	L 60.97 - 72.08	L 50-80	5-16	90.46	61.53	▼ 28.93	100.54	101.31	▼ 0.77	▼ 29.70
Fri 3/5/2021	@ FAU₁₈₂	L 60.97 - 72.08	L 54-63	5-17	90.46	82.14	▼ 8.32	100.54	89.94	▲ 10.60	▲ 2.28
Wed 3/10/2021	vs North Texas₈₂ *	L 53.88 - 69.10	L 56-76	5-18	83.58	92.98	▲ 9.40	105.90	124.14	▼ 18.24	▼ 8.84
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Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location.
Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.

CURIOUS TRENDS:

Mid Tennessee does better vs. clubs that fail to defend efficiently inside the paint. When playing squads that have a defensive near-proximity field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 58.33%, Mid Tennessee performs above average 80% of the time. Against all other opponents, the team performs better than the norm 42% of the time.

LATEST NEWS ITEMS:

	MTSU students arrested on theft, forgery charges; TBI claims they stole $114,000 from university (3/10/2021 11:35:09 AM) Two Middle Tennessee University students were charged with stealing $114,000 from the school, including speaking events that never took place at MTSU
	Forrest scores 16 to lead FAU past Middle Tennessee 63-54 (3/5/2021 8:40:12 PM) BOCA RATON, Fla. (AP) — Michael Forrest had 16 points as Florida Atlantic got past Middle Tennessee 63-54 on Friday night.
	Hot shooting lifts Middle Tennessee past Charlotte 73-60 (2/6/2021 7:27:26 PM) MURFREESBORO, Tenn. (AP) — Jordan Davis scored 17 points, Elias King and Tyler Millin added career-highs with 15 and 13 points, respectively, and Middle Tennessee beat Charlotte 73-60 on Saturday.
	Jemison, Ertel lift UAB over Middle Tennessee 63-52 (1/31/2021 5:44:46 PM) BIRMINGHAM, Ala. (AP) — Trey Jemison and Michael Ertel scored 12 points apiece as UAB topped Middle Tennessee 63-52 on Sunday.
	Lovan scores 23 to lead UAB over Middle Tennessee 70-59 (1/28/2021 11:29:53 PM) MURFREESBORO, Tenn. (AP) — Tavin Lovan had 23 points as UAB beat Middle Tennessee 70-59 on Thursday night.

HASLAMETRICS ALL-PLAY PERCENTAGE RANKING BY DAY: Select data to plot:

HASLAMETRICS TEAM HISTORY: Select data to view:

SUMMARY	Rk	AP%	Rec (WinPct)		RQ	Conference	Pace	Con	SOS	PTF	AFH	ASR

OFFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

DEFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

SUMMARY	Rk		AP%		Rec (WinPct)		RQ		Conference		Pace		Con		SOS		PTF		AFH		ASR

OFFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox

DEFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox