Haslametrics.com

Automated Team Capsule for 2016-17 Mercer 15-17 (0.469) | Southern

All-Play Percentage: 0.626 (132^nd)	Schedule Strength: 0.536 (125^th)	Record Quality: -0.006 (178^th)	Avg. Season Rank: 149.70 (146^th)
Pace: 65.25 (345^th)	Momentum: 2.40 (59^th)	Off. Momentum: 3.47 (28^th)	Def. Momentum: -1.07 (213^th)
Consistency: -8.33 (98^th)	Res. Consistency: -8.72 (33^rd)	Away From Home: -0.18 (167^th)	Paper Tiger Factor: -3.75 (332^nd)

NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category.
Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement.
Includes games through April 3, 2017. Data shown on this page is based on time-independent ratings.

OFFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

104.72

25.61

78.38

84.55

43.10

34.11

34.50

26.95

38.32

23.48

61.07

5.87

14.15

6.09

40.34

31.88

27.77

2.13

RANK:

104^th

239^th

8^th

48^th

207^th

41^st

205^th

77^th

87^th

329^th

125^th

351^st

199^th

226^th

71^st

93^rd

338^th

329^th

DEFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

105.00

29.70

83.12

42.67

33.43

35.09

22.73

35.75

26.96

57.92

9.67

13.04

5.94

40.22

27.35

32.43

2.08

RANK:

226^th

251^st

236^th

98^th

320^th

147^th

136^th

117^th

115^th

117^th

83^rd

68^th

102^nd

314^th

113^th

99^th

55^th

ANALYSIS:
As an average to slightly above-average foe, Mercer should probably not be discounted by opponents this year. Ranked 132nd overall (out of 351) in our most recent ratings, they presently have a record of 15-17. They are also ranked by this site as the #5 team (out of 10) in the Southern (average ranking 176.3).

If there is a strength for Mercer this year, it's probably on the offensive end of the court. While favoring a style of play that will try to grind things to a crawl (the seventh-slowest pace in D1), the team is rated 104th in offensive efficiency, scoring more than 104 points every 100 possessions vs. AO. Mercer is deadly accurate at the free throw line. Making 78.4% of their attempts from the stripe, they are ranked eighth nationally in free throw percentage. Mercer also has one of the better squads in the college game when it comes to maximizing opportunities to score. The team is ranked 48th in the NCAA in offensive field goal attempt rate with a rating of 84.55 vs. AO. As far as making those field goal attempts goes, the team is somewhat middle-of-the-road, converting about 43.1% of them vs. AO.

The defense for Mercer, on the other hand, isn't nearly as efficient as the offense is. The team is ranked 226th in defensive efficiency, allowing about 105 points every 100 possessions vs. AO. Mercer is extremely underskilled to force steals that turn into quick and easy points. They're ranked #351 in potential points off of breakaway steals with a rating of only 5.87 vs. AO.

SORTABLE SCHEDULE / RESULTS:


					ADJ. OFF. EFFICIENCY			ADJ. DEF. EFFICIENCY
Date	Opponent	Should	Did	Record	Should	Did	Diff.	Should	Did	Diff.	Rating
Fri 11/11/2016	vs Brewton Parker	---	W 87-53	1-0	---	---	---	---	---	---	---
Sun 11/13/2016	vs Florida₄ *	L 58.69 - 77.41	L 54-76	1-1	89.91	68.42	▼ 21.49	118.43	112.28	▲ 6.15	▼ 15.34
Sun 11/20/2016	vs Ga Southern₁₉₂	W 72.53 - 66.71	W 80-67	2-1	107.49	123.59	▲ 16.10	102.84	103.78	▼ 0.94	▲ 15.16
Tue 11/22/2016	vs Radford₃₀₇	W 68.97 - 56.15	W 58-47	3-1	108.29	96.03	▼ 12.26	92.61	74.63	▲ 17.98	▲ 5.72
Fri 11/25/2016	vs ECU₁₈₀ *	W 64.19 - 61.95	W 70-66	4-1	99.09	107.69	▲ 8.60	95.68	101.54	▼ 5.86	▲ 2.74
Sat 11/26/2016	vs Akron₁₁₁ *	L 67.51 - 69.30	L 63-65	4-2	106.54	108.62	▲ 2.08	109.43	112.07	▼ 2.64	▼ 0.56
Tue 11/29/2016	vs Davidson₇₉	L 67.62 - 69.29	L 57-78	4-3	100.90	85.72	▼ 15.18	108.06	127.64	▼ 19.58	▼ 34.76
Sat 12/3/2016	@ George Mason₁₃₁	L 67.47 - 70.71	L 68-79	4-4	104.96	111.89	▲ 6.93	105.42	123.18	▼ 17.76	▼ 10.83
Wed 12/7/2016	vs Oglethor	---	W 98-41	5-4	---	---	---	---	---	---	---
Sat 12/10/2016	@ Clemson₃₆	L 61.05 - 74.78	L 47-90	5-5	97.93	80.48	▼ 17.45	114.88	139.45	▼ 24.57	▼ 42.02
Sun 12/18/2016	@ Auburn₇₆	L 70.63 - 78.85	L 74-76	5-6	102.61	111.04	▲ 8.43	109.65	112.94	▼ 3.29	▲ 5.14
Thu 12/22/2016	vs La Salle₁₁₂	W 71.84 - 70.62	L 96-98 (3OT)	5-7	107.33	112.54	▲ 5.21	110.08	116.97	▼ 6.89	▼ 1.68
Wed 12/28/2016	@ Kennesaw State₂₆₆	W 73.06 - 68.13	W 80-76	6-7	112.11	131.25	▲ 19.14	100.44	122.37	▼ 21.93	▼ 2.79
Sat 12/31/2016	@ Wofford₁₃₄	L 68.06 - 71.01	L 71-88	6-8	107.87	105.11	▼ 2.76	107.37	124.26	▼ 16.89	▼ 19.65
Mon 1/2/2017	@ Furman₁₀₃	L 63.06 - 68.50	L 69-71	6-9	101.75	108.37	▲ 6.62	105.63	107.02	▼ 1.39	▲ 5.23
Thu 1/5/2017	vs VMI₃₂₇	W 78.26 - 62.05	W 68-50	7-9	116.81	110.07	▼ 6.74	96.75	80.79	▲ 15.96	▲ 9.22
Sat 1/7/2017	vs ETSU₇₃	L 67.08 - 69.58	L 58-67	7-10	98.30	85.09	▼ 13.21	106.07	102.22	▲ 3.85	▼ 9.36
Wed 1/11/2017	@ Samford₁₅₁	L 68.35 - 70.90	W 68-65	8-10	106.55	106.83	▲ 0.28	105.80	97.78	▲ 8.02	▲ 8.30
Sat 1/14/2017	vs Chattanooga₉₅	L 64.69 - 65.14	L 68-70	8-11	101.13	99.28	▼ 1.85	105.67	102.22	▲ 3.45	▲ 1.60
Thu 1/19/2017	@ UNCG₁₁₉	L 65.22 - 69.07	L 66-68	8-12	103.90	96.50	▼ 7.40	105.38	96.34	▲ 9.04	▲ 1.64
Sat 1/21/2017	@ W. Carolina₃₃₈	W 69.80 - 56.87	W 70-50	9-12	110.42	108.67	▼ 1.75	86.56	81.12	▲ 5.44	▲ 3.69
Sat 1/28/2017	vs The Citadel₂₉₁	W 90.28 - 76.08	W 82-66	10-12	116.08	114.20	▼ 1.88	102.33	96.15	▲ 6.18	▲ 4.30
Mon 1/30/2017	vs W. Carolina₃₃₈	W 72.77 - 54.19	W 62-47	11-12	110.42	105.19	▼ 5.23	86.56	69.52	▲ 17.04	▲ 11.81
Thu 2/2/2017	vs Furman₁₀₃	W 65.97 - 65.73	L 68-70	11-13	101.75	97.78	▼ 3.97	105.63	105.16	▲ 0.47	▼ 3.50
Sat 2/4/2017	vs Wofford₁₃₄	W 71.03 - 68.02	L 62-65	11-14	107.87	93.17	▼ 14.70	107.37	100.70	▲ 6.67	▼ 8.03
Thu 2/9/2017	@ VMI₃₂₇	W 75.23 - 64.86	W 81-51	12-14	116.81	119.96	▲ 3.15	96.75	79.45	▲ 17.30	▲ 20.45
Sat 2/11/2017	@ ETSU₇₃	L 64.03 - 72.47	L 71-88	12-15	98.30	110.15	▲ 11.85	106.07	127.47	▼ 21.40	▼ 9.55
Sat 2/18/2017	@ The Citadel₂₉₁	W 86.79 - 79.47	W 89-78	13-15	116.08	122.49	▲ 6.41	102.33	104.63	▼ 2.30	▲ 4.11
Wed 2/22/2017	vs UNCG₁₁₉	W 68.17 - 66.26	L 66-72	13-16	103.90	109.65	▲ 5.75	105.38	124.25	▼ 18.87	▼ 13.12
Sat 2/25/2017	@ Chattanooga₉₅	L 61.82 - 67.91	W 64-54	14-16	101.13	108.88	▲ 7.75	105.67	89.31	▲ 16.36	▲ 24.11
Mon 2/27/2017	vs Samford₁₅₁	W 71.36 - 67.95	W 88-79	15-16	106.55	130.04	▲ 23.49	105.80	116.97	▼ 11.17	▲ 12.32
Sat 3/4/2017	vs ETSU₇₃ *	L 65.56 - 71.03	L 66-73	15-17	98.30	94.12	▼ 4.18	106.07	105.80	▲ 0.27	▼ 3.91
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Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location.
Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.

CURIOUS TRENDS:

	Mercer performs better against squads that are likely to allow more second chances off of offensive rebounds. When facing teams that have a defensive second-chance potential point rate vs. AO greater than 14.59, Mercer is more efficient than normal 84% of the time. In their other contests, the team is more efficient 9% of the time.
	When playing teams that are more proficient at draining the mid-range shot, Mercer usually performs worse than average. Mercer is more efficient than normal 11% of the time when facing clubs that have an offensive mid-range field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 37.02%. In all other contests, Mercer performs better than average 76% of the time.
	Mercer is typically better vs. teams that effectively clean the offensive glass. Against foes that have an offensive second-chance potential point rate vs. AO greater than 13.08, Mercer performs above their norm 76% of the time. Against the remaining opposition, the team performs above average 11% of the time.

HASLAMETRICS ALL-PLAY PERCENTAGE RANKING BY DAY: Select data to plot:

HASLAMETRICS TEAM HISTORY: Select data to view:

SUMMARY	Rk	AP%	Rec (WinPct)		RQ	Conference	Pace	Con	SOS	PTF	AFH	ASR

OFFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

DEFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

SUMMARY	Rk		AP%		Rec (WinPct)		RQ		Conference		Pace		Con		SOS		PTF		AFH		ASR

OFFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox

DEFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox