Haslametrics.com

Automated Team Capsule for 2023-24 Villanova 18-16 (0.529) | Big East

All-Play Percentage: 0.939 (23^rd)	Schedule Strength: 0.694 (31^st)	Record Quality: 0.188 (86^th)	Avg. Season Rank: 23.65 (21^st)
Pace: 64.23 (349^th)	Momentum: -5.30 (346^th)	Off. Momentum: -4.18 (357^th)	Def. Momentum: -1.13 (214^th)
Consistency: -10.02 (278^th)	Res. Consistency: -14.19 (302^nd)	Away From Home: -0.80 (256^th)	Paper Tiger Factor: -0.65 (138^th)

NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category.
Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement.
Includes games through April 8, 2024. Data shown on this page is based on time-independent ratings.

OFFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

113.14

25.57

81.18

87.01

44.88

40.74

35.06

15.36

41.99

30.91

59.26

9.99

9.49

3.01

46.83

17.65

35.52

2.11

RANK:

56^th

217^th

2^nd

103^rd

132^nd

6^th

143^rd

347^th

59^th

173^rd

127^th

256^th

347^th

357^th

7^th

350^th

208^th

342^nd

DEFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

93.35

19.57

87.12

38.48

37.28

31.63

24.88

34.17

24.95

53.01

10.15

11.12

3.38

42.80

28.56

28.64

2.14

RANK:

11^th

6^th

274^th

5^th

347^th

34^th

263^rd

14^th

10^th

38^th

80^th

29^th

5^th

345^th

253^rd

6^th

ANALYSIS:
Despite their unexceptional win percentage, Villanova should be regarded as one of the better teams in college hoops. Carrying a record of 18-16, they are currently rated #23 overall (out of 362) in All-Play Percentage this season. Of the 11 schools in the Big East (average ranking 73.5), they're currently ranked as our #4 team in the conference.

The Villanova defense will be extremely problematic for most opposing offenses. Allowing about 93 points for every 100 possessions vs. AO and demonstrating a preference for a more deliberate, half-court style of play (the 14th-slowest pace in D1), the club is ranked 11th overall in defensive efficiency. Villanova will put a good dent in the shooting percentages of several opponents, considering the team ranks in the top-50 in each of the four major defensive shooting categories. They allow AO to make just 31.6% of their three-pointers (34th in the nation), 34.2% of their mid-range shots (14th), 53.0% of their near-proximity attempts (38th), and 38.5% of their total shots from the field (fifth). Villanova also does a fantastic job to prevent opposing teams from capitalizing on chances from offensive rebounds. The squad allows AO to convert only 3.4% of all second-chance opportunities (ranked fifth in the NCAA), and with a rating of 11.12, they're 29th in potential points allowed off of the offensive glass as well. Villanova is lastly a superior unit when it comes to preventing opponents from getting to the foul line. With a defensive free throw attempt rate of 19.57 vs. AO, they are currently rated sixth in the country in that category.

Villanova plays at about the same level on offense as they do on defense. The team ranks 56th nationally in offensive efficiency, scoring about 113 points every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO. Villanova is deadly accurate at the free throw line. Making 81.2% of their attempts from the stripe, they are ranked second nationally in free throw percentage. Villanova also lives and dies by the three-ball and will launch from long-distance early and often. The team ranks seventh in ratio of three-point attempts to total field goal attempts. When it comes to actually making their three-point attempts, the squad shoots a so-so 35.1% from beyond the arc vs. AO. If Villanova does have a glaring weakness offensively, it would have to be the team's difficulties obtaining and converting second-chance opportunities from offensive rebounds. The squad has a second-chance conversion percentage of just 3.0% vs. AO, which ranks sixth-worst in the nation.

Villanova has definitely not been as efficient as of late compared to earlier in the season and, consequently, the team is nationally ranked 346th in positive momentum.

SORTABLE SCHEDULE / RESULTS:


					ADJ. OFF. EFFICIENCY			ADJ. DEF. EFFICIENCY
Date	Opponent	Should	Did	Record	Should	Did	Diff.	Should	Did	Diff.	Rating
Mon 11/6/2023	vs American₂₈₉	W 74.72 - 52.78	W 90-63	1-0	120.59	134.50	▲ 13.91	90.21	87.44	▲ 2.77	▲ 16.68
Fri 11/10/2023	vs Le Moyne₂₉₉	W 77.94 - 53.95	W 83-57	2-0	118.97	134.96	▲ 15.99	86.46	97.27	▼ 10.81	▲ 5.18
Mon 11/13/2023	@ Penn₂₀₃	W 72.48 - 60.89	L 72-76	2-1	117.87	111.22	▼ 6.65	94.78	109.23	▼ 14.45	▼ 21.10
Fri 11/17/2023	vs Maryland₆₉	W 65.72 - 57.63	W 57-40	3-1	102.71	114.13	▲ 11.42	94.44	47.77	▲ 46.67	▲ 58.09
Wed 11/22/2023	vs Texas Tech₄₀ *	W 67.22 - 65.58	W 85-69	4-1	106.11	120.29	▲ 14.18	103.64	98.51	▲ 5.13	▲ 19.31
Thu 11/23/2023	vs North Carolina₈ *	L 67.05 - 70.90	W 83-81 (OT)	5-1	100.79	103.03	▲ 2.24	106.21	101.49	▲ 4.72	▲ 6.96
Fri 11/24/2023	vs Memphis₉₂ *	W 74.58 - 67.00	W 79-63	6-1	109.74	118.00	▲ 8.26	98.92	55.10	▲ 43.82	▲ 52.08
Wed 11/29/2023	vs Saint Joe's₈₂	W 72.22 - 62.51	L 65-78	6-2	109.38	95.74	▼ 13.64	98.83	127.96	▼ 29.13	▼ 42.77
Sat 12/2/2023	vs Drexel₁₂₀ *	W 67.84 - 58.58	L 55-57	6-3	109.77	93.22	▼ 16.55	94.83	96.61	▼ 1.78	▼ 18.33
Tue 12/5/2023	@ Kansas State₇₇	W 65.22 - 62.34	L 71-72 (OT)	6-4	104.67	99.46	▼ 5.21	95.09	94.39	▲ 0.70	▼ 4.51
Sat 12/9/2023	vs UCLA₉₄	W 66.09 - 55.76	W 65-56	7-4	106.91	103.59	▼ 3.32	94.34	92.50	▲ 1.84	▼ 1.48
Wed 12/20/2023	@ Creighton₁₀	L 63.26 - 70.30	W 68-66 (OT)	8-4	102.72	91.77	▼ 10.95	107.93	85.34	▲ 22.59	▲ 11.64
Sat 12/23/2023	@ DePaul₃₁₂	W 76.11 - 57.74	W 84-48	9-4	119.94	129.46	▲ 9.52	87.45	64.13	▲ 23.32	▲ 32.84
Wed 1/3/2024	vs Xavier₆₂	W 73.10 - 65.30	W 66-65	10-4	106.13	95.97	▼ 10.16	99.41	102.54	▼ 3.13	▼ 13.29
Sat 1/6/2024	vs St. John's₂₄	W 70.87 - 67.39	L 71-81	10-5	105.83	94.72	▼ 11.11	105.34	110.64	▼ 5.30	▼ 16.41
Fri 1/12/2024	vs DePaul₃₁₂	W 79.48 - 54.55	W 94-69	11-5	119.94	143.08	▲ 23.14	87.45	113.25	▼ 25.80	▼ 2.66
Mon 1/15/2024	@ Marquette₁₂	L 64.32 - 70.92	L 74-87	11-6	101.45	117.05	▲ 15.60	106.22	131.33	▼ 25.11	▼ 9.51
Sat 1/20/2024	vs UConn₁	L 62.35 - 68.65	L 65-66	11-7	99.04	107.63	▲ 8.59	113.75	112.54	▲ 1.21	▲ 9.80
Wed 1/24/2024	@ St. John's₂₄	L 67.49 - 70.64	L 50-70	11-8	105.83	78.90	▼ 26.93	105.34	105.91	▼ 0.57	▼ 27.50
Sat 1/27/2024	@ Butler₅₆	W 67.50 - 66.91	L 81-88 (2OT)	11-9	106.89	105.76	▼ 1.13	100.93	100.28	▲ 0.65	▼ 0.48
Tue 1/30/2024	vs Marquette₁₂	L 67.68 - 67.71	L 80-85	11-10	101.45	111.34	▲ 9.89	106.22	122.25	▼ 16.03	▼ 6.14
Sun 2/4/2024	vs Providence₅₅	W 67.46 - 60.46	W 68-50	12-10	102.56	107.63	▲ 5.07	96.93	83.89	▲ 13.04	▲ 18.11
Wed 2/7/2024	@ Xavier₆₂	W 69.62 - 68.66	L 53-56	12-11	106.13	89.42	▼ 16.71	99.41	90.80	▲ 8.61	▼ 8.10
Sun 2/11/2024	vs Seton Hall₄₈	W 68.16 - 62.24	W 80-54	13-11	104.37	123.88	▲ 19.51	100.33	78.46	▲ 21.87	▲ 41.38
Fri 2/16/2024	@ Georgetown₂₀₅	W 74.14 - 61.85	W 70-54	14-11	118.86	112.54	▼ 6.32	94.82	80.80	▲ 14.02	▲ 7.70
Tue 2/20/2024	vs Butler₅₆	W 70.85 - 63.61	W 72-62	15-11	106.89	117.46	▲ 10.57	100.93	105.87	▼ 4.94	▲ 5.63
Sat 2/24/2024	@ UConn₁	L 59.18 - 71.75	L 54-78	15-12	99.04	91.06	▼ 7.98	113.75	113.86	▼ 0.11	▼ 8.09
Tue 2/27/2024	vs Georgetown₂₀₅	W 77.46 - 58.73	W 75-47	16-12	118.86	126.88	▲ 8.02	94.82	78.54	▲ 16.28	▲ 24.30
Sat 3/2/2024	@ Providence₅₅	W 64.15 - 63.62	W 71-60	17-12	102.56	122.88	▲ 20.32	96.93	100.91	▼ 3.98	▲ 16.34
Wed 3/6/2024	@ Seton Hall₄₈	L 64.87 - 65.50	L 56-66	17-13	104.37	91.43	▼ 12.94	100.33	105.66	▼ 5.33	▼ 18.27
Sat 3/9/2024	vs Creighton₁₀	L 66.53 - 67.03	L 67-69	17-14	102.72	100.54	▼ 2.18	107.93	107.08	▲ 0.85	▼ 1.33
Wed 3/13/2024	vs DePaul₃₁₂ *	W 77.80 - 56.14	W 58-57	18-14	119.94	93.55	▼ 26.39	87.45	95.00	▼ 7.55	▼ 33.94
Thu 3/14/2024	vs Marquette₁₂ *	L 66.00 - 69.31	L 65-71 (OT)	18-15	101.45	94.69	▼ 6.76	106.22	93.55	▲ 12.67	▲ 5.91
Wed 3/20/2024	vs VCU₇₄	W 67.56 - 58.36	L 61-70	18-16	105.50	85.55	▼ 19.95	95.65	101.13	▼ 5.48	▼ 25.43
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Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location.
Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.

CURIOUS TRENDS:

	Villanova does better vs. clubs that prefer the outside shot. When playing squads that have an offensive shooting proximity score vs. AO greater than 1.96, Villanova performs above average 58% of the time. Against all other opponents, the team performs better than the norm 20% of the time.
	Villanova performs better against squads that do not defend well on the perimeter. When facing teams that have a defensive three-point field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 33.32%, Villanova is more efficient than normal 73% of the time. In their other contests, the team is more efficient 35% of the time.
	When playing teams that tend to get off more shots, Villanova usually performs worse than average. Villanova is more efficient than normal 33% of the time when facing clubs that have an offensive field goal attempt rate vs. AO greater than 85.76. In all other contests, Villanova performs better than average 69% of the time.

HASLAMETRICS ALL-PLAY PERCENTAGE RANKING BY DAY: Select data to plot:

HASLAMETRICS TEAM HISTORY: Select data to view:

SUMMARY	Rk	AP%	Rec (WinPct)		RQ	Conference	Pace	Con	SOS	PTF	AFH	ASR

OFFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

DEFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

SUMMARY	Rk		AP%		Rec (WinPct)		RQ		Conference		Pace		Con		SOS		PTF		AFH		ASR

OFFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox

DEFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox