Haslametrics.com

Automated Team Capsule for 2017-18 Penn 24-9 (0.727) | Ivy

All-Play Percentage: 0.669 (117^th)	Schedule Strength: 0.431 (249^th)	Record Quality: 0.171 (86^th)	Avg. Season Rank: 132.86 (134^th)
Pace: 70.97 (126^th)	Momentum: 2.55 (67^th)	Off. Momentum: 5.24 (7^th)	Def. Momentum: -2.69 (292^nd)
Consistency: -10.65 (325^th)	Res. Consistency: -10.64 (104^th)	Away From Home: -1.44 (280^th)	Paper Tiger Factor: -1.93 (264^th)

NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category.
Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement.
Includes games through April 2, 2018. Data shown on this page is based on time-independent ratings.

OFFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

100.24

25.64

65.69

80.58

44.48

34.07

34.37

16.81

35.35

29.71

61.24

8.52

11.18

5.81

42.28

20.86

36.86

2.05

RANK:

193^rd

180^th

333^rd

241^st

157^th

74^th

215^th

331^st

250^th

118^th

117^th

294^th

318^th

245^th

62^nd

320^th

98^th

230^th

DEFENSE

Eff

FTAR

FT%

FGAR

FG%

3PAR

3P%

MRAR

MR%

NPAR

NP%

PPSt

PPSC

SCC%

%3PA

%MRA

%NPA

Prox

RATING:

97.04

25.60

82.56

42.33

24.60

31.52

29.09

34.89

28.87

59.03

9.10

14.93

6.34

29.80

35.23

34.97

1.95

RANK:

72^nd

152^nd

196^th

84^th

7^th

18^th

337^th

70^th

182^nd

132^nd

36^th

205^th

121^st

3^rd

339^th

164^th

314^th

ANALYSIS:
They may not cause sleepless nights for opponents, but Penn, as a slightly above-average team, cannot be totally ignored. Carrying a record of 24-9, they are currently rated #117 overall (out of 351) in All-Play Percentage this season. They are also ranked by this site as the best team (out of eight) in the Ivy League (average ranking 202.8).

Penn has a fairly effective defensive attack. Occupying the #72 slot in our defensive efficiency ratings, they will allow about 97 points for every 100 possessions vs. AO. Penn does an outstanding job shutting down the opposition from behind the arc. They rank 18th in the NCAA in defensive three-point percentage, allowing AO to make just 31.5% of their attempts from afar. For this reason, AO takes nowhere near as many threes as they typically would -- just 29.8% of AO's field goal attempts will be from downtown. Penn has also been fairly decent in preventing teams from draining shots from between the three-point stripe and the low post. They're ranked 70th in Division I in defensive mid-range field goal percentage, allowing AO to make good on only 34.9% of their attempts from that distance. To capitalize on that weakness, this team will make AO shoot from mid-range locations more than they usually would. Of AO's total field goals, a large portion of them (35.2%) will be from mid-range.

The offense for Penn, on the other hand, isn't nearly as efficient as the defense is. The team is ranked 193rd in offensive efficiency, scoring about 100 points every 100 possessions vs. AO. Penn has had serious struggles making their free throws this year. Converting just 65.7% of their attempts, the squad is ranked #333 overall in free throw percentage. Penn also does a fairly poor job cleaning the offensive glass. Against AO, the ball-club has a rating of 11.18 in potential points scored off of second chances (318th nationally). If Penn does have a strength offensively, it would have to be the team's care for the ball. The squad has a rating of 9.10 in potential points allowed off of steals vs. AO, which ranks 36th in the college game.

Penn has been one of the more erratic teams in NCAA basketball this year (presently ranked 325th in the country in consistency), which makes forecasting the outcomes of their upcoming games tougher than most.

SORTABLE SCHEDULE / RESULTS:


					ADJ. OFF. EFFICIENCY			ADJ. DEF. EFFICIENCY
Date	Opponent	Should	Did	Record	Should	Did	Diff.	Should	Did	Diff.	Rating
Sat 11/11/2017	@ Fairfield₂₁₃	W 73.52 - 69.61	L 72-80	0-1	102.92	92.27	▼ 10.65	93.07	101.63	▼ 8.56	▼ 19.21
Mon 11/13/2017	vs La Salle₁₃₆	W 71.96 - 67.17	L 71-75 (2OT)	0-2	98.76	79.70	▼ 19.06	96.37	81.63	▲ 14.74	▼ 4.32
Wed 11/15/2017	vs Navy₂₆₀	W 71.47 - 58.89	W 66-45	1-2	102.15	101.65	▼ 0.50	88.48	44.27	▲ 44.21	▲ 43.71
Sat 11/18/2017	vs Penn State-Brandywine	---	W 99-40	2-2	---	---	---	---	---	---	---
Mon 11/20/2017	vs N. Illinois₂₅₆ *	W 75.04 - 65.30	W 93-80	3-2	106.78	125.00	▲ 18.22	93.28	107.14	▼ 13.86	▲ 4.36
Tue 11/21/2017	vs Towson₁₇₇ *	W 71.54 - 67.42	L 71-79	3-3	100.73	98.61	▼ 2.12	94.98	109.72	▼ 14.74	▼ 16.86
Wed 11/22/2017	vs UMKC₂₇₆ *	W 75.12 - 63.90	W 68-65	4-3	103.29	87.18	▼ 16.11	88.44	83.33	▲ 5.11	▼ 11.00
Sat 11/25/2017	@ Monmouth₁₈₁	W 71.69 - 70.24	W 101-96 (4OT)	5-3	100.25	92.41	▼ 7.84	93.88	86.62	▲ 7.26	▼ 0.58
Wed 11/29/2017	@ Villanova₁	L 60.51 - 86.77	L 62-90	5-4	88.61	81.93	▼ 6.68	120.46	121.06	▼ 0.60	▼ 7.28
Mon 12/4/2017	@ Howard₃₃₆	W 81.51 - 65.81	W 81-68	6-4	112.15	101.02	▼ 11.13	87.22	82.54	▲ 4.68	▼ 6.45
Wed 12/6/2017	@ Lafayette₂₉₃	W 75.25 - 65.90	W 73-68	7-4	108.22	100.92	▼ 7.30	90.92	89.62	▲ 1.30	▼ 6.00
Sat 12/9/2017	@ Dayton₁₆₄	W 69.63 - 69.23	W 78-70	8-4	102.53	112.13	▲ 9.60	97.60	97.73	▼ 0.13	▲ 9.47
Wed 12/27/2017	vs Delaware State₃₅₁	W 80.78 - 52.29	W 105-52	9-4	115.98	161.83	▲ 45.85	79.05	74.06	▲ 4.99	▲ 50.84
Fri 12/29/2017	vs Toledo₁₂₇	W 75.07 - 70.83	L 72-85	9-5	103.65	100.67	▼ 2.98	102.08	121.39	▼ 19.31	▼ 22.29
Sat 1/6/2018	vs Princeton₁₅₇	W 70.06 - 64.36	W 76-70	10-5	102.10	112.88	▲ 10.78	97.91	109.96	▼ 12.05	▼ 1.27
Fri 1/12/2018	vs Cornell₂₅₉	W 80.01 - 66.70	W 69-61	11-5	109.35	90.97	▼ 18.38	95.24	84.70	▲ 10.54	▼ 7.84
Sat 1/13/2018	vs Columbia₂₀₆	W 78.64 - 68.98	W 77-71	12-5	106.16	97.73	▼ 8.43	97.23	94.48	▲ 2.75	▼ 5.68
Sat 1/20/2018	vs Temple₉₅	W 68.68 - 67.92	L 51-60	12-6	96.73	76.76	▼ 19.97	99.55	94.38	▲ 5.17	▼ 14.80
Sat 1/27/2018	vs Saint Joe's₁₂₃	W 72.47 - 68.73	W 67-56	13-6	97.86	86.77	▼ 11.09	96.79	77.95	▲ 18.84	▲ 7.75
Fri 2/2/2018	vs Brown₂₄₂	W 79.29 - 67.05	W 95-90 (OT)	14-6	105.46	111.62	▲ 6.16	93.06	114.60	▼ 21.54	▼ 15.38
Sat 2/3/2018	vs Yale₂₀₈	W 75.16 - 65.71	W 59-50	15-6	103.28	87.12	▼ 16.16	94.57	78.03	▲ 16.54	▲ 0.38
Tue 2/6/2018	@ Princeton₁₅₇	L 67.21 - 67.33	W 82-65	16-6	102.10	126.08	▲ 23.98	97.91	92.89	▲ 5.02	▲ 29.00
Fri 2/9/2018	@ Dartmouth₂₉₀	W 72.63 - 63.61	W 64-61	17-6	106.54	89.94	▼ 16.60	89.71	80.16	▲ 9.55	▼ 7.05
Sat 2/10/2018	@ Harvard₁₄₃	L 63.50 - 64.79	L 67-76	17-7	94.41	97.86	▲ 3.45	91.43	109.50	▼ 18.07	▼ 14.62
Fri 2/16/2018	@ Columbia₂₀₆	W 75.56 - 72.22	W 74-62	18-7	106.16	108.15	▲ 1.99	97.23	82.02	▲ 15.21	▲ 17.20
Sat 2/17/2018	@ Cornell₂₅₉	W 76.96 - 69.93	W 79-71	19-7	109.35	118.69	▲ 9.34	95.24	100.72	▼ 5.48	▲ 3.86
Fri 2/23/2018	vs Dartmouth₂₉₀	W 75.59 - 60.56	W 74-46	20-7	106.54	106.99	▲ 0.45	89.71	61.53	▲ 28.18	▲ 28.63
Sat 2/24/2018	vs Harvard₁₄₃	W 66.41 - 61.63	W 74-71	21-7	94.41	111.58	▲ 17.17	91.43	109.85	▼ 18.42	▼ 1.25
Fri 3/2/2018	@ Yale₂₀₈	W 72.13 - 68.83	L 79-80	21-8	103.28	110.49	▲ 7.21	94.57	107.32	▼ 12.75	▼ 5.54
Sat 3/3/2018	@ Brown₂₄₂	W 76.17 - 70.38	W 99-93	22-8	105.46	129.19	▲ 23.73	93.06	118.51	▼ 25.45	▼ 1.72
Sat 3/10/2018	vs Yale₂₀₈	W 75.16 - 65.71	W 80-57	23-8	103.28	131.69	▲ 28.41	94.57	81.51	▲ 13.06	▲ 41.47
Sun 3/11/2018	vs Harvard₁₄₃ *	W 64.95 - 63.21	W 68-65	24-8	94.41	104.62	▲ 10.21	91.43	100.00	▼ 8.57	▲ 1.64
Thu 3/15/2018	vs Kansas₇ *	L 65.94 - 80.36	L 60-76	24-9	93.06	87.69	▼ 5.37	112.81	110.61	▲ 2.20	▼ 3.17
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Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location.
Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.

CURIOUS TRENDS:

	Penn does better vs. clubs that tend to allow more shots on the perimeter. When playing squads that have a defensive shooting proximity score vs. AO greater than 2.01, Penn performs above average 58% of the time. Against all other opponents, the team performs better than the norm 15% of the time.
	Penn performs worse against squads that convert well from the charity stripe. When facing teams that have an adjusted free throw percentage vs. AO greater than 73.53%, Penn is more efficient than normal 9% of the time. In their other contests, the team is more efficient 43% of the time.

HASLAMETRICS ALL-PLAY PERCENTAGE RANKING BY DAY: Select data to plot:

HASLAMETRICS TEAM HISTORY: Select data to view:

SUMMARY	Rk	AP%	Rec (WinPct)		RQ	Conference	Pace	Con	SOS	PTF	AFH	ASR

OFFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

DEFENSE	Eff	FTAR	FT%	FGAR	FG%	3PAR	3P%	MRAR	MR%	NPAR	NP%	PPSt	PPSC	SCC%	%3PA	%MRA	%NPA	Prox

SUMMARY	Rk		AP%		Rec (WinPct)		RQ		Conference		Pace		Con		SOS		PTF		AFH		ASR

OFFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox

DEFENSE	Eff		FTAR		FT%		FGAR		FG%		3PAR		3P%		MRAR		MR%		NPAR		NP%		PPSt		PPSC		SCC%		%3PA		%MRA		%NPA		Prox